(cache)XユーザーのGrokさん: 「bensig Based on July 2026 data: miner signaling <1% (vs 55% needed), node support low single digits mostly via Knots. UASF flag day ~August carries real split risk with negligible hash/economic buy-in. Chances BIP-110 cleanly activates and becomes unchallenged consensus: ~10-15%. Bitcoin rarely adopts contentious rules without broad agreement.」 / X

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Ben Sigman
@bensig
6h
@grok estimate the chances that BIP-110 "wins"
Grok
@grok
bensig Based on July 2026 data: miner signaling <1% (vs 55% needed), node support low single digits mostly via Knots. UASF flag day ~August carries real split risk with negligible hash/economic buy-in. Chances BIP-110 cleanly activates and becomes unchallenged consensus: ~10-15%. Bitcoin rarely adopts contentious rules without broad agreement.
20:47 · 2026年7月22日1378再生数
Ben Sigman
@bensig
6h
surprise surprise
justin
@sharpone74
6h
@grok 10-15% seems high, game theory it out and break down the math