Netflix's Falling Knife And Underwater Thesis Explored - Contrarian Buy Reiterated

Juxtaposed Ideas
15.96K Followers

Summary

  • Netflix, Inc.'s decelerating growth profile, the missed M&A with WBD, and the increased streaming competition have pressured its share performance.
  • This is, albeit, with the market leader still reporting robust engagement trends, growing revenues/margins, lower net debts, and higher ad monetization.
  • The meltdown has triggered NFLX's cheap EV/EBITDA of 18.42x and 3Y PEG ratio of 0.94x, with an upward re-rating supporting a bull-case LTPT of $119.40.
  • This is, albeit with volatility risks, including heavy insider selling, intense D2C competition, and uncertain materialization of trading floors amid macro headwinds.
  • NFLX is rated a contrarian buy for patient investors seeking deep-value plays and potential rebound momentum prospects.

Close up of kitchen knife about to fall off counter

Adam Gault/OJO Images via Getty Images

I previously covered Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) and Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) in January 2026, discussing the risks and rewards related to NFLX's planned WBD acquisition.

In this article, I shall discuss why NFLX remains

Create a free account to read the full article

Gain access to the world's leading investment community.

Already a member?

By creating an account using any of the options above, you agree to the Terms of Use & Privacy Policy
or

About NFLX Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
NFLX
68.95-7.26%
Post69.120.25%
Chart
Combination chart with 2 data series.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Time. Data ranges from 2026-07-13 09:30:00 to 2026-07-17 16:00:00.
The chart has 1 Y axis displaying values. Data ranges from 65.55 to 75.36.
End of interactive chart.
Market Cap
$313.07B
PE (FWD)
21.20
Yield
-
Rev Growth (YoY)
16.72%
Short Interest
2.47%
Prev. Close
$74.35

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
NFLX
68.95-7.26%
Post:69.120.25%
NFLX:CA
25.97-7.38%
ZNFL:CA
5.71-6.55%
Chart
Line chart with 3 lines.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Time. Data ranges from 2026-07-13 09:30:00 to 2026-07-17 16:00:00.
The chart has 1 Y axis displaying values. Data ranges from -12.79 to 1.49.
End of interactive chart.
word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word word

mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1
mmMwWLliI0fiflO&1