New York 13th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Democratic primary polls
Primaries will be held on June 23.
| Pollster | Sponsor | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| poll from Mercury Public Affairs conducted
June 9 to 11 | National Black Empowerment Action Fund | Espaillat +8 | |
| poll from Data for Progress conducted
June 3 to 9 | Justice Democrats ,Democratic sponsor | Avila Chevalier +4 | |
| poll from Upswing Research conducted
March 25 to 31 | Darializa Avila Chevalier ,Democratic sponsor | Espaillat +14 | |
Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 217-212 majority in the House, with five seats currently vacant and one independent. All 435 seats are up for election, but with maps continuing to shift because of redistricting, the Cook Political Report rates only 18 districts as tossups and another 20 as leaning toward one party. To retake the majority, Democrats would most likely need to hold all of their solid and likely seats, sweep those leaning their way, and flip 13 of the 18 tossups — a narrow but possible path given that the party out of power typically gains ground in the midterms.
That ongoing redistricting process, and a large number of retirements adds further uncertainty. At least 50 incumbents — a majority of whom are Republicans — are not seeking re-election, but most are in seats that are not expected to be competitive.
