Ant Alumni Who Cashed Out Before IPO Flop Have Big Ambitions

(Bloomberg Markets) -- In the seconds after headlines flashed an abrupt halt to what had been billed as the world’s biggest initial public offering, a chat shared by a group of Chinese friends exploded in disbelief. China had just delivered a public drubbing to billionaire Jack Ma, one of its most-revered entrepreneurs, days before his Ant Group Co. was to be listed.

The friends on WeChat understood well the sweat, tears, and brazen audacity it had taken to build Ant into a financial-services juggernaut in less than two decades: They used to work there, after all. The listing, expected to value Hangzhou-based Ant at $315 billion, would have delivered a long-awaited payday to many current employees just as an earlier IPO had enriched the chat group members. Then regulators slammed on the brakes.

One of the people on the WeChat group was Yuan Leiming, a 14-year Ant veteran who left the company in 2019. He recalls heading for Hangzhou and Shanghai, expecting IPO celebrations in both places. “Ant staff were promising to buy me dinner,” he says. “Now I have to buy them dinner to placate their wounded hearts.”

Yuan is among three dozen Ant tong xue—classmates—who meet regularly, usually in Shanghai, and have formed a powerful alumni network. Many of them became millionaires after Ma’s Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., which owns about a third of Ant, went public in 2014; others sold their Ant options back to the company when it was valued at $150 billion two years ago. All resisted the urge to hold on for Ant’s IPO. For employees who did hang on, or who joined the company more recently, the suspension threw their plans for a bonanza up in the air.

Perhaps the intervention from President Xi Jinping’s government was to be expected. Ten days before it happened, Ma took to a conference stage in Shanghai to deliver a stinging rebuke of regulations that stifled innovation. The company soon came in for a deluge of criticism on Chinese state media. Commentators faulted Ant for straying from its core payments business and called out Big Tech generally for misleading users to consume beyond their means. Guo Wuping, head of consumer protection at the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, said fintech companies used their market power to set exorbitant fees. QuickTake: Why China Changed the Rules on Jack Ma’s Ant Group

Three days before the planned listing, the China Securities Regulatory Commission summoned Ma to a conference room and informed him that Ant’s time as a beneficiary of relaxed government oversight and minimal capital requirements was over. Just before 9 p.m. the following day, the fintech company’s trading debut was suspended, with the securities regulator saying later that preventing a “hasty” listing while significant regulatory changes were afoot was a responsible move for potential investors.


  • Get Paid 14% To Wait For KEYS Stock To Go On Sale

    Trefis: KEYS Stock Insights
    Trefis: KEYS Stock Insights

    Here is a way to get paid a healthy income stream from Keysight Technologies now, which you keep no matter what, while setting a price well below today's level, where you would be happy to become an owner.

    Keysight Technologies (KEYS) has been on a monster run, more than doubling over the past year to its current price around $331.43 a share, yet it still trades about 10% below its 52-week high. After a move like that, many investors feel they have missed their chance. But one specific options trade offers a way to get paid for simply naming your price at a comfortable discount to the current action, with the full mechanics laid out below.

    14% annualized yield at a 30% margin of safety, by selling put options.

    • Sell a put option on KEYS expiring 12/18/2026, with a strike price of $230.

    • Collect roughly $1,060 in premiums per contract (each contract covers 100 shares).

    • That works out to about 8.9% annualized on the $23,000 of cash you set aside to secure the trade.

    • Park that cash in a money market or savings account earning roughly 5.0%, and your total yield climbs to about 13.9%.

    • And if KEYS falls below $230, you buy it at $230, an effective entry near $219.40 a share after the premium, about a 34% discount to today's $331.43.

    Two Outcomes, You Keep The Cash Either Way

    If KEYS stays above $230 through 12/18/2026, the put expires worthless and you simply keep the full $1,060 premium. That is about 4.6% on the $23,000 you set aside over 192 days, cash that might otherwise earn you 5.0% or so. You never buy the stock and keep the income, free to do it again.

    If KEYS closes below $230, you are assigned to buy 100 shares at $230. The $1,060 premium you already pocketed lowers your effective cost to about $219.40 a share, roughly a 34% discount to today's price, though if the stock has fallen further by then you would be holding a paper loss.

    So what happens if KEYS really does close below $230, and you are the one buying? Then everything rests on a single question.

    The Real Question: Do You Want To Own KEYS?

    This trade pays you an upfront income that is yours to keep, period. If the stock stays above your chosen price, you simply keep the cash and the trade expires. The only way you end up buying shares is if the stock falls below your price, and even then, you get to buy them at that predetermined lower level. So the entire decision hinges on one question: what kind of business would you be getting into? On one hand, you have a company posting what its CEO called the “best quarter in company history.” Orders in the second quarter grew 56% year-over-year, revenue jumped 31%, and earnings per share was up 69%.


  • Investors Buy Long-Dated Microsoft Call Options in Huge Volumes - A Very Bullish Signal

    Microsoft France headquarters by JeanLuclchard via Shutterstock
    Microsoft France headquarters by JeanLuclchard via Shutterstock

    Institutional investors have piled into long-dated (almost 6-month out) Microsoft Corp (MSFT) call options at a 44% higher call strike price. That indicates they are extremely bullish on MSFT stock for the near term. Moreover, analysts' price targets are also well over today's price.

    MSFT is at $402.00 in midday trading on Wednesday, June 10, after peaking at $460.52 on June 1. However, the Barchart chart below shows that MSFT has been basically flat for the past 2 months. It released its fiscal Q3 earnings on April 29, but the stock has been treading water since then.

    More News from Barchart

    Given its strong free cash flow (FCF) outlook, MSFT stock could have much further to go. More on this below.

    The huge call options trading can be seen in Barchart's Unusual Stock Options Activity Report today. The trade is listed as the top stock with unusual volume.

    For example, the report shows that the MSFT call option has had over 120x the prior number of contracts outstanding. In addition, the strike price is $580.00, or over 44% over today's price.

    The expiry date is November 20, 2026, 163 days from now (5.4 months away). That indicates these call option buyers are extremely bullish on MSFT stock over the near term.

    MSFT calls expiring Nov. 20, 2026 - Barchart Unusual Stock Options Activity Report - As of June 10, 2026
    MSFT calls expiring Nov. 20, 2026 - Barchart Unusual Stock Options Activity Report - As of June 10, 2026

    Moreover, the call option premium is not too high, just $4.28 at the latest price. That is only 1% of today's price, which does not give options sellers much income during that period.

    It means that MSFT has to rise to over $584.28 (45.3%+) over the next 5 and a half months for this call option to have any intrinsic value.

    Can this happen? Let's look at Microsoft's fair value.

    Price Targets for MSFT Stock

    I discussed MSFT's value in a June 2 Barchart article on Microsoft and a May 11 article, “Microsoft Stock Still Looks Undervalued Based on FCF Projections, Despite Higher Capex."

    I showed that Microsoft can be expected to generate almost $100 billion in free cash flow (FCF) next fiscal year ending June 30, 2027. That was based on revenue projections of $383.93 billion, operating cash flow margins of 53.5%, and capex of $107 billion.

    However, since then, analysts have raised their revenue projections to $384.83 billion. That could also push its operating cash flow (OCF) margin to at least 54%. So, here is the new FCF projection:


  • Is Microsoft Stock Too Cheap To Ignore?

    Trefis: MSFT Stock Insights
    Trefis: MSFT Stock Insights

    Microsoft (MSFT) stock is at an interesting point right now. If you bet on it, you are betting on a company that's growing reasonably, is sustaining good cash flow and margin, has a low-debt to market cap structure, and is relatively cheaply valued. But is that enough?

    Why Bet On MSFT Now?

    The investment thesis is centered on Microsoft's unique ability to monetize generative AI by leveraging its two primary strategic assets: its priority cloud partnership with OpenAI and its massive, embedded enterprise distribution channel via Microsoft 365. This allows Microsoft to both capture new AI workloads in Azure and drive significant Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) uplift from its existing 450 million+ commercial seats.

    • Azure revenue growth accelerated to +40% YoY in Q3 FY26, driven by a 123% increase in AI business.

    • Commercial Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) surged 99% YoY to $627B, indicating a massive pipeline of future revenue.

    • The addressable market for the Copilot upsell is over 450 million commercial paid seats, representing a substantial, high-margin revenue opportunity.

    While there may be reasons to consider MSFT stock for your portfolio, it is important to analyze what has been driving its stock price recently to understand ground reality.

    How Do The Fundamentals Look?

    • Revenue Growth: 17.9% LTM and 15.3% last 3-year average.

    • Operating Margin: Nearly 45.6% 3-year average operating margin.

    • No Margin Shock: Microsoft has improved in the last 12 months.

    • Modest Valuation: Despite these fundamentals, MSFT stock trades at a PE multiple of 23.9

    Below is a quick comparison of MSFT fundamentals with S&P medians.

    MSFT

    S&P Median

    Sector

    Information Technology

    -

    Industry

    Systems Software

    -

    PE Ratio

    23.9

    23.9

    LTM* Revenue Growth

    17.9%

    7.4%

    3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth

    15.3%

    5.8%

    LTM Operating Margin Change

    1.6%

    0.2%

    LTM* Operating Margin

    46.8%

    18.4%

    3Y Average Operating Margin

    45.6%

    18.3%

    LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin

    22.9%

    14.5%

    *LTM: Last Twelve Months

    The Bear View And The Current Investment Debate

    The current investment debate on MSFT is centered around: Bulls see massive AI capex as necessary to capture a generational opportunity, while bears fear diminishing returns, margin pressure, and that demand won't justify the $190B+ annual spend.

    The prevailing sentiment is neutral. The massive AI-driven backlog is being directly offset by concerns around the immense capex spend and Azure growth lagging behind some of its hyper-scale peers. Investors are weighing the long-term AI prize against near-term margin pressure and execution risk.


  • Cantor Fitzgerald Adjusts PT on Micron Technology to $1,500 From $700, Maintains Overweight Rating

    Micron Technology (MU) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $816.51, according to a

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  • Selling Short 1-Month Occidental Petroleum Put Options Is Still Working

    Stacked oil barrels by JONGHO SHIN via iStock
    Stacked oil barrels by JONGHO SHIN via iStock

    Selling short Occidental Petroleum (OXY) puts has worked for the last 2 months, as seen in my last 2 Barchart OXY articles. This is even though oil and OXY stock have been volatile, but mostly flat. It makes sense to play this again in the next month.

    OXY closed at $56.93 on Friday, June 5, down from its recent highs, even as oil prices have been trending higher. The Barchart chart below shows that OXY has been mostly flat over the past three months.

    More News from Barchart

    OXY stock - last 3 months - June 5, 2026
    OXY stock - last 3 months - June 5, 2026

    This is despite a continuous upward drift in crude oil futures, as evidenced by the WTI June 26 futures contract (CLM26), shown in the Barchart chart below. That might imply that OXY stock could be due for an upward turnaround.

    That means this is ideal for short-sellers of out-of-the-money (OTM) OXY put options. They get to collect income shorting OTM OXY puts, without having to buy OXY stock.

    The reason is that the below-market put options' strike prices are never exercised. The investor keeps the original income received from selling short the put.

    How It's Worked Out - Shorting Out-of-the-Money (OTM) OXY Puts

    You can see this in my last two Barchart articles, where I discussed shorting OXY puts. The first one was on April 20, “Occidental Petroleum Stock Is Off Its Peak - Time to Buy OXY or Short OTM Puts?

    For example, I discussed shorting the $50 OXY put expiring 34 days later on May 22, when OXY was 7% higher at $53.79. The premium was $0.97, so the short-put yield was 1.94% (i.e., $0.97/$50.00).

    By May 15, when I wrote my next Barchart article on Occidental Petroleum, OXY was at $56.84. The 5/22/26 expiry put option premium had dropped to just 4 cents, almost worthless. That's exactly what a short-seller wants to see.

    In the May 22 Barchart article, “Shorting OXY Puts Is Working - Especially if Oil Keeps Rising,” I discussed shorting the June 18 expiry $52.50 put option and the $55.00 put option.

    These options were 3% and 7% out-of-the-money, as OXY was at $56.84. The premiums received were 88 cents and $1.17, respectively. That means the short-seller made an immediate income yield of 1.67% (i.e., $0.88/$52.50) and 3.109% ($1.71/$55.00), respectively. The average of these two yields (doing both put plays) was 2.41%.

    Today, these premiums have fallen. For example, the June 18 expiry $52.50 put premium is down from $0.88 to $0.33 at the midpoint. The $55 put has dropped from $1.71 to 97 cents. There is now just one week left on this contract, and the put strike prices are still below OXY's trading price.


  • Microsoft Held Up as AI Chips Sold Off. Is It the Safer Megacap Bet Now?

    Year to date, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has trailed most of its big-tech peers, with shares down roughly 11% in 2026. But today, the stock did something the chip sector could not: it held up. Microsoft finished the session modestly higher, even as a wave of selling hit semiconductor stocks, with Broadcom sliding double digits and memory and semiconductor names like Micron and Arm Holdings dropping as much as 7% as investors pulled back from the hot group of stocks.

    That divergence raises a question: As money rotates out of the hardware names that have led the AI trade, is Microsoft -- with its software-heavy, more diversified path to monetizing artificial intelligence (AI) -- the steadier way to own the theme?

    Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

    A person interacting with AI on a laptop.
    Image source: Getty Images.

    Two different kinds of AI exposure

    The chipmakers that sold off on Thursday share a vulnerability. Their fortunes are tied to a build-out cycle: orders for accelerators, memory, and networking gear that can swing hard when customers pause to digest what they have already bought. And when the pace of spending merely holds steady rather than climbing, these stocks -- which are priced for an AI boom -- could fall sharply, which is roughly what happened after Broadcom only reiterated its $100 billion AI chip revenue guidance rather than raising it.

    Microsoft, however, has a more insulated business. It sells the cloud capacity and software that the chips ultimately run, and it collects much of that revenue through subscriptions and consumption that recur quarter after quarter. The company doesn't have to sell a customer a new graphics processor every cycle to keep the money coming in.

    And the AI piece of the software giant's business is now sizable. In its fiscal third quarter (the period ended March 31, 2026), Microsoft said its AI business reached an annual revenue run rate of about $37 billion, up roughly 123% year over year. That growth is spread across customers building on its Azure cloud, frontier model companies, and its own Copilot products rather than concentrated in a single product line.

    The breadth shows up elsewhere in the quarter, too.

    Total revenue rose 18% year over year to $82.9 billion, and earnings per share climbed 23%. In addition, Microsoft's "Azure and other cloud services" revenue grew 40%.

    And Microsoft's commercial backlog (contracted work not yet recognized as revenue) reached $627 billion, nearly double the prior-year figure.


  • Microsoft Stock Is Up Nearly 30% From Its March Lows, But You Shouldn’t Sell MSFT Just Yet

    Microsoft Corporation logo on sign-by Jean-Luc Ichard via iStock
    Microsoft Corporation logo on sign-by Jean-Luc Ichard via iStock

    Microsoft stock (MSFT) is up a cool 30% from the 2026 lows that it hit in late March. The rally has helped it bridge its 2026 losses to 7% even though it is still the worst-performing Magnificent 7 so far. Meta Platforms (META) and Tesla (TSLA) are the other two Mag 7 stocks in the red this year and underperforming the S&P 500 Index ($SPX).

    Notably, Microsoft’s underperformance is not a 2026 thing; it underperformed the S&P 500 Index in 2024, barely outpaced it in 2025, and was the worst-performing Mag 7 stock in 2024. With Microsoft stock showing some signs of recovery, it would be prudent to examine whether there is still heat left in the rally or whether investors would be better off selling the stock instead.

    More News from Barchart

    www.barchart.com
    www.barchart.com

    Why Has Microsoft Stock Rebounded?

    To begin with, let’s analyze the key factors behind Microsoft’s recovery. First, there has been a broad-based market rally that supported MSFT’s price action. Secondly, "SaaSpocalypse” fears have subsided, and other software names have also rebounded. On a more company-specific note, Microsoft’s relations with OpenAI seem to have stabilized and the ChatGPT parent’s imminent IPO would be a positive event for MSFT.

    Microsoft’s financial performance has also been reasonably good, and it beat on both the topline and the bottomline in the March quarter. The company’s consolidated guidance did fall short of estimates, but its outlook for Azure was better than expected.

    Microsoft’s valuation had become too cheap to ignore at the trough. No wonder Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame and Pershing Square’s Bill Ackman loaded up on the stock this year. Ackman — a self-described “Warren Buffett devotee” — trimmed Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) stake and hinted that he finds the Google-parent overvalued and MSFT undervalued.

    Most recently, Nvidia (NVDA) unveiled a new N1X processor that it made with Microsoft and would power new PCs from Microsoft and other OEMs. Commenting on the new chip, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at Taiwan’s Computex conference that “Microsoft and Nvidia are going to reinvent the PC.” He added, “This is the first completely re-engineered, reinvented line of PCs that has happened in 40 years.” AI PCs would drive sales of Microsoft's suite of products as they could fuel a refresh supercycle.

Is Microsoft Stock Too Cheap To Ignore?