Global Situation
Tue, 28 Apr 2026 07:03:11 UTC
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TEHRAN
TEL AVIV
JERUSALEM
MIDDLE EAST
AI Insights
LIVEAI-Powered Analysis
• World Brief: AI summary (Groq/OpenRouter)
• Sentiment: News tone analysis
• Velocity: Fast-moving stories
• Focal Points: Correlates news entities with map signals (military, protests, outages)
Desktop only • Powered by Llama 3.3 + Focal Point Detection
• World Brief: AI summary (Groq/OpenRouter)
• Sentiment: News tone analysis
• Velocity: Fast-moving stories
• Focal Points: Correlates news entities with map signals (military, protests, outages)
Desktop only • Powered by Llama 3.3 + Focal Point Detection
🌍 WORLD BRIEF
The Iran War poses a threat. This threat is directed at Turkey.
🎯 FOCAL POINTS
Iran
CRITICAL
📢 💥
37 news • 3 signals
"Oil major BP beats profit expectations as Iran war boosts fu..."
📍 GEOGRAPHIC CONVERGENCE
🪧📍📍📍 Middle East
Middle East: civil unrest, active strikes, sanctions pressure, thermal anomalies detected across Iran, Syria, Lebanon, United Arab Emirates, Israel, Oman, Kuwait
4 signal types • 12 events
🪧📍📍 Eastern Europe
Eastern Europe: civil unrest, thermal anomalies, sanctions pressure detected across Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Moldova, Romania, Czechia
3 signal types • 158 events
🪧📍 East Asia
East Asia: civil unrest, sanctions pressure detected across China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan
2 signal types • 6 events
20
Multi-source
0
Fast-moving
239
Clusters
BREAKING & CONFIRMED
The Iran War’s Threat to Turkey
2 sources⚠ ALERTconflict
Middle East war live: Trump not happy with Iran's latest peace proposal, US official says
2 sources⚠ ALERT
World News in Brief: Sudan drone attacks condemned, South Sudan violence, airstrikes in Ukraine, Sou...
⚠ ALERTconflict
China's clean tech exporters cash in as Iran war hits oil & gas flows - Reuters
⚠ ALERTconflict
Bomb blast on Colombia highway leaves 21 dead amid pre-election violence
⚠ ALERTterrorism
Central Asians in Russia-Ukraine War: From Forced Recruitment to Economic Recruitment
⚠ ALERTconflict
Two months into Iran war, economic strain mounts across emerging markets - Reuters
⚠ ALERTconflict
Colombia offers record $1.4m-reward for rebel it blames for deadly bomb attack
AI Strategic Posture1 NEW
Methodology
Aggregates military aircraft and naval vessels by theater.
- Normal: Baseline activity
- Elevated: Above threshold (50+ aircraft)
- Critical: High concentration (100+ aircraft)
Strike Capable: Tankers + AWACS + Fighters present in sufficient numbers for sustained operations.
💡 Emoji Key
Air Assets
✈️Fighters
⛽Tankers
📡AWACS
🔍Recon
📦Transport
💣Bombers
🛸Drones
Naval Assets
🚢Carriers
⚓Destroyers
🛥️Frigates
🦈Submarines
🚤Patrol
⚓Auxiliary
IRAN
✈️ 2⚓ 1
NORM
TAIWAN
NORM
BALTIC
✈️ 3
NORM
BLACK SEA
NORM
KOREA
NORM
SCS
⚓ 1
NORM
E.MED
✈️ 1
NORM
GAZA
NORM
AI Forecasts
LIVE13AI Forecasts AI-generated probability estimates for geopolitical and economic events:
- Cross-domain coverage: conflict, markets, supply chain, cyber, political
- Each forecast shows estimated probability, confidence level, and time horizon
- Calibrated against prediction market baselines where available
Active Theaters
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state
85%
Market CascadeEconomic Ripple Effect
Germany market repricing state
85%
EscalationSovereign Debt Crisis & FX Contagion
China cyber pressure state
80%
Market CascadeLocalized Economic Shock
Probability Bets
ForecastProbabilityTrendDomain
Inflation and rates pressure from Iran infrastructure fragility state
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
Iran's infrastructure fragility, evidenced by "Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation," will continue to drive inflation and interest rate pressures over the next 30 days.
Base Case
The current baseline of 70% probability for inflation and rates pressure will remain stable, as actors absorb existing evidence without significant shifts, as indicated by the 'base' simulated branch projecting 73%.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 70% versus 71% in the prior run. New signal: Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation
New signal: Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation
New signal: 2 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Rates and Inflation pressure for Iran infrastructure fragility state.
World State
Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Iran, with the forecast sitting near 70% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation
Iran infrastructure fragility state combines 1 clustered situations and 2 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through energy supply shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation.
Stabilizers:
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits below the internal estimate by 20 points.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
If prediction markets move decisively away from 58%, revisit the probability baseline.
Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: Increased and more direct reporting on Iran's infrastructure issues, as per 'More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path,' could push the probability of inflation and rates pressure above the current 70% baseline, potentially reaching 90%.
Contrarian: If Polymarket pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' remains 20 points below the internal estimate, this restraint could cause the forecast for inflation and rates pressure to drop below the current 70% baseline, potentially to 55%.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 73%
Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 73% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on iran would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 90%
More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 70% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
R2: More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in supply_chain. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 55%
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits below the internal estimate by 20 points. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 70% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits below the internal estimate by 20 points. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
R2: Actors slow the path if polymarket pricing in "will mojtaba khamenei be head of state in iran end of 2026?" sits below the internal estimate by 20 points. More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Supporting Evidence
Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation (42%)
Iran infrastructure fragility state combines 1 clustered situations and 2 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through energy supply shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation. (24%)
2 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Rates and Inflation pressure for Iran infrastructure fragility state. (20%)
Counter Evidence
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits below the internal estimate by 20 points. (20%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
If prediction markets move decisively away from 58%, revisit the probability baseline.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Iran.
Objective: Price whether stress in Iran becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Iran.
Objective: Price whether stress in Iran becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Iran.
Objective: Price whether stress in Iran becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Iran.
Objective: Price whether stress in Iran becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 70%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Signals indicate a stable and high probability (70%) of inflation and rates pressure stemming from Iran's infrastructure fragility, primarily through energy supply shock, with '2 urgent critical signals' reinforcing this pressure.
Regional: Middle Eastern actors, particularly commodity traders and large importers, will continue to rebalance positions based on the 70% probability of stress in Iran becoming durable, as highlighted by 'Commodity traders' and 'Large importers' objectives.
Contrarian: The Polymarket pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' being 20 points below the internal estimate suggests a potential underestimation of stability or a differing view on future leadership, which could prevent or reverse the predicted inflation and rates pressure.
Context
Market: Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? (58%)Prior: 71%Cascades: 1
Iran infrastructure fragility state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through energy supply shock, with 52% pressure and 72% state confirmation
Iran infrastructure fragility state combines 1 clustered situations and 2 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through energy supply shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation.
2 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Rates and Inflation pressure for Iran infrastructure fragility state.
10 headline(s) mention Iran or linked entities
FX stress from China cyber pressure state
AI backed
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
China's cyber pressure state, confirmed at 66% and exerting 89% pressure through sovereign stress, will continue to cause FX stress in the market over the next 30 days.
Base Case
The current FX stress will remain active, with the probability staying near 67% over the 30-day horizon, as actors absorb the existing evidence without a decisive shift, as per the 'base' simulated branch projecting 70%.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 67% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 67% over the 30d.
Lead evidence: China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation
World State
China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in China, with the forecast sitting near 67% over the 30d.
Pressures:
China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation
China cyber pressure state combines 3 clustered situations and 15 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: More direct reporting on China's cyber pressure, as indicated by 'More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path,' could increase the probability of FX stress above the current 67% baseline, potentially reaching 82%.
Contrarian: If the current 75% confidence level for FX stress allows for reversal, the forecast could move below the 67% baseline, potentially to 59%, as actors prioritize containment and stabilization.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 70%
China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 70% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on china would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 82%
More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 67% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
R2: More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 59%
The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 67% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: The current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
R2: Actors slow the path if the current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation (42%)
China cyber pressure state combines 3 clustered situations and 15 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress. (24%)
4 urgent critical signals are reinforcing FX Stress pressure for China cyber pressure state. (20%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on China would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in China.
Objective: Price whether stress in China becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in China.
Objective: Price whether stress in China becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in China.
Objective: Price whether stress in China becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in China.
Objective: Price whether stress in China becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 67%.
Perspectives
Strategic: The 'China cyber pressure state' is a significant driver of FX stress, with '89% pressure and 66% state confirmation' indicating a strong and stable influence through sovereign stress.
Regional: Commodity traders, policy officials, and large importers in China will continue to price in the 67% probability of durable FX stress, adjusting their positions accordingly, as stated in their 'likely action' for the market path.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level, while high, still leaves room for a reversal, suggesting that underlying factors or counter-measures could mitigate the FX stress, preventing it from reaching the projected baseline.
Context
Prior: 67%
China cyber pressure state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 66% state confirmation
China cyber pressure state combines 3 clustered situations and 15 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress.
4 urgent critical signals are reinforcing FX Stress pressure for China cyber pressure state.
3 headline(s) mention China or linked entities
Sovereign risk repricing from Red Sea maritime disruption state
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 64% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 64% over the 30d.
Lead evidence: Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation
World State
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Red Sea, with the forecast sitting near 64% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation
Red Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 64% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 67%
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on red sea would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 80%
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 56%
The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: The current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: Actors slow the path if the current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation (42%)
Red Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk. (24%)
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Sovereign Risk pressure for Red Sea maritime disruption state. (20%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Red Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Red Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Red Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Red Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Red Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Red Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Red Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Red Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 64% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Red Sea, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 64%
Red Sea maritime disruption state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through sovereign stress, with 71% pressure and 72% state confirmation
Red Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk.
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Sovereign Risk pressure for Red Sea maritime disruption state.
10 headline(s) mention Red Sea or linked entities
FX stress from Germany political instability state
AI backed
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 64% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 64% over the 30d.
Lead evidence: Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation
World State
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Germany, with the forecast sitting near 64% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation
Germany political instability state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 64% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 67%
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on germany would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 80%
More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 56%
The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: The current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
R2: Actors slow the path if the current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation (42%)
Germany political instability state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress. (24%)
4 urgent critical signals are reinforcing FX Stress pressure for Germany political instability state. (20%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on Germany would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Germany.
Objective: Price whether stress in Germany becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Germany.
Objective: Price whether stress in Germany becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Germany.
Objective: Price whether stress in Germany becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Germany.
Objective: Price whether stress in Germany becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 64%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 64% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Germany, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 64%
Germany political instability state is keeping FX stress active through sovereign stress, with 89% pressure and 80% state confirmation
Germany political instability state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through sovereign stress across 1 edge(s) toward FX Stress.
4 urgent critical signals are reinforcing FX Stress pressure for Germany political instability state.
2 headline(s) mention Germany or linked entities
Supply chain disruption risk from Red Sea maritime disruption state (market)
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
The Red Sea maritime disruption state, confirmed at 72% and causing 56% freight pressure through shipping cost shock, will lead to supply chain disruption risk with a 52% probability over the next 7 days.
Base Case
The supply chain disruption risk will remain near 52% over the 7-day horizon, as actors absorb the current evidence without a decisive break, as per the 'base' simulated branch projecting 55%.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 52% versus 54% in the prior run. New signal: Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation
New signal: Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation
New signal: 6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Freight pressure for Red Sea maritime disruption state (market).
World State
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Red Sea, with the forecast sitting near 52% over the 7d.
Pressures:
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Freight.
Stabilizers:
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits above the internal estimate by 10 points.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
If prediction markets move decisively away from 58%, revisit the probability baseline.
Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: More direct reporting on the Red Sea, as indicated by 'More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path,' could push the probability of supply chain disruption above the current 52% baseline, potentially to 74%.
Contrarian: If Polymarket pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' remains 10 points above the internal estimate, this restraint could cause the forecast for supply chain disruption to drop below the 52% baseline, potentially to 38%.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 55%
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 55% over the 7d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on red sea would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 74%
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 52% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
R2: More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in market and market. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 38%
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits above the internal estimate by 10 points. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 52% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits above the internal estimate by 10 points. Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
R2: Actors slow the path if polymarket pricing in "will mojtaba khamenei be head of state in iran end of 2026?" sits above the internal estimate by 10 points. More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Supporting Evidence
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation (42%)
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Freight. (24%)
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Freight pressure for Red Sea maritime disruption state (market). (20%)
Counter Evidence
polymarket pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" sits above the internal estimate by 10 points. (10%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on Red Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
If prediction markets move decisively away from 58%, revisit the probability baseline.
Actors
Shipping operators
commercialInfluence 84%
Shipping operators is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Red Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Red Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
Port authorities
infrastructureInfluence 71%
Port authorities is a primary infrastructure actor for the supply_chain path in Red Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Red Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
Major cargo owners
commercialInfluence 67%
Major cargo owners is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Red Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Red Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
Marine insurers
marketInfluence 54%
Marine insurers is a primary market actor for the supply_chain path in Red Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Red Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Red Sea.
Perspectives
Strategic: Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 52% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Red Sea, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 7d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: If Polymarket pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' remains 10 points above the internal estimate, this restraint could cause the forecast for supply chain disruption to drop below the 52% baseline, potentially to 38%.
Context
Market: Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? (58%)Prior: 54%Cascades: 2
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) is disrupting freight and shipping flows through shipping cost shock, with 56% freight pressure and 72% state confirmation
Red Sea maritime disruption state (market) combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Freight.
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Freight pressure for Red Sea maritime disruption state (market).
3 headline(s) mention Red Sea or linked entities
Sovereign risk repricing from Brazil security escalation state
Analysis
Signals (5)
Executive View
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 61% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 61% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 58% versus 58% in the prior run. New signal: Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation
New signal: Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation
New signal: 10 headline(s) mention Brazil or linked entities
World State
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Brazil, with the forecast sitting near 58% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation
Brazil security escalation state combines 10 clustered situations and 19 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through security escalation across 10 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk.
Key unknowns:
More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 58% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 58% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 61%
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 61% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether more directly matched reporting on brazil would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 74%
More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 58% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
R2: More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path. More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 50%
The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 58% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: The current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
R2: Actors slow the path if the current 75% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation (42%)
Brazil security escalation state combines 10 clustered situations and 19 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through security escalation across 10 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk. (24%)
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Sovereign Risk pressure for Brazil security escalation state. (20%)
Signals To Watch
More directly matched reporting on Brazil would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Brazil.
Objective: Price whether stress in Brazil becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Brazil.
Objective: Price whether stress in Brazil becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Brazil.
Objective: Price whether stress in Brazil becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Brazil.
Objective: Price whether stress in Brazil becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 75% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 58%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 58% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Brazil, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: The current 75% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 58% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 58%
Brazil security escalation state is keeping sovereign risk elevated through security escalation, with 71% pressure and 70% state confirmation
Brazil security escalation state combines 10 clustered situations and 19 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through security escalation across 10 edge(s) toward Sovereign Risk.
6 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Sovereign Risk pressure for Brazil security escalation state.
10 headline(s) mention Brazil or linked entities
Inflation and rates pressure from Baltic Sea maritime disruption state
AI backed
Analysis
Signals (4)
Executive View
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 60% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 60% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 57% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 57% over the 30d.
Lead evidence: Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation
World State
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation is setting the current stable baseline in Baltic Sea, with the forecast sitting near 57% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation.
Stabilizers:
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea.
Key unknowns:
Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Whether directly matched reporting on Baltic Sea appears in the next run.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: The next evidence cycle in Baltic Sea becomes decisive. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 57% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 57% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 60%
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation. For now, the base case stays near 60% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether the next market update in baltic sea becomes the key threshold. Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 71%
The next evidence cycle in Baltic Sea becomes decisive. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 57% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
R2: The next market update in Baltic Sea becomes the key threshold. Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 47%
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 57% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
R2: Actors slow the path if no directly matched headlines are currently attached to baltic sea. Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Supporting Evidence
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation (42%)
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path. (26%)
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation. (24%)
2 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Rates and Inflation pressure for Baltic Sea maritime disruption state. (20%)
Counter Evidence
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea. (20%)
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Baltic Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Baltic Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Baltic Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Baltic Sea.
Objective: Price whether stress in Baltic Sea becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Baltic Sea is still thin.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 57%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 57% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Baltic Sea, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Baltic Sea. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 57% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 57%
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state is feeding inflation and rates pressure through shipping cost shock, with 52% pressure and 71% state confirmation
Baltic Sea maritime disruption state combines 1 clustered situations and 1 linked forecasts into one canonical state path.
The strongest transmission path runs through shipping cost shock across 1 edge(s) toward Rates and Inflation.
2 urgent critical signals are reinforcing Rates and Inflation pressure for Baltic Sea maritime disruption state.
Active armed conflict: Israel
Analysis
Signals (2)
Executive View
Active armed conflict in Israel is likely to continue at a stable, elevated level over the next 30 days.
Base Case
The presence of 458 UCDP conflict events and 19 headlines mentioning Israel, including 'Israeli strikes kill 14 in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire', indicates a stable but high level of conflict, with a 64% probability over 30 days.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 64% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 64% over the 30d.
Lead evidence: 458 UCDP conflict events
Initial market check: Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States at 56%.
World State
458 UCDP conflict events is setting the current stable baseline in Israel, with the forecast sitting near 64% over the 30d.
Pressures:
458 UCDP conflict events
19 headline(s) mention Israel or linked entities
Israeli strikes kill 14 in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire
Stabilizers:
kalshi pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" sits below the internal estimate by 14 points.
Key unknowns:
A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel.
More directly matched reporting on Israel would improve confidence in the current path.
Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts, beyond the current 458 UCDP conflict events, would confirm an escalation path, pushing the probability above the current 64% baseline.
Contrarian: If Kalshi pricing for 'Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States' remains 14 points below the internal estimate, it could signal a broader trend of restraint that might stabilize or reduce the conflict in Israel.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 67%
458 UCDP conflict events. For now, the base case stays near 67% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: 458 UCDP conflict events Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
R2: Actors adapt to whether a sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in israel. A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 86%
A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: 458 UCDP conflict events Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
R2: A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel. A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in political and infrastructure. Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 50%
kalshi pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" sits below the internal estimate by 14 points. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 64% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: kalshi pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" sits below the internal estimate by 14 points. Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
R2: Actors slow the path if kalshi pricing in "which country will be the next to send humans to the moon?: united states" sits below the internal estimate by 14 points. A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Supporting Evidence
458 UCDP conflict events (50%)
19 headline(s) mention Israel or linked entities (15%)
Israeli strikes kill 14 in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire (15%)
Pro-Palestine activists appear in court over attack on Israeli arms factory in Germany (15%)
Counter Evidence
kalshi pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" sits below the internal estimate by 14 points. (14%)
Signals To Watch
A sustained increase in verified conflict-event counts would confirm the escalation path in Israel.
More directly matched reporting on Israel would improve confidence in the current path.
If prediction markets move decisively away from 56%, revisit the probability baseline.
Actors
Regional command authority
stateInfluence 88%
Regional command authority is a primary state actor for the conflict path in Israel.
Objective: Prevent the Israel situation from moving beyond the current stable path.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
Security forces
securityInfluence 82%
Security forces is a primary security actor for the conflict path in Israel.
Objective: Prevent the Israel situation from moving beyond the current stable path.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
External power broker
externalInfluence 74%
External power broker is a primary external actor for the conflict path in Israel.
Objective: Prevent the Israel situation from moving beyond the current stable path.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
Energy market participants
marketInfluence 58%
Energy market participants is a primary market actor for the conflict path in Israel.
Objective: Prevent the Israel situation from moving beyond the current stable path.
Constraint: Market pricing in "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States" is not fully aligned with the internal estimate.
Likely action: Reposition attention and resources around Israel over the next 30d.
Perspectives
Strategic: 458 UCDP conflict events is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 64% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Israel, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: If Kalshi pricing for 'Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States' remains 14 points below the internal estimate, it could signal a broader trend of restraint that might stabilize or reduce the conflict in Israel.
Context
Market: Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: United States (56%)Prior: 64%Cascades: 2
458 UCDP conflict events
19 headline(s) mention Israel or linked entities
Oil price impact from Strait of Hormuz disruption
Analysis
Signals (3)
Executive View
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical. For now, the base case stays near 44% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical. For now, the base case stays near 44% over the 30d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 40% versus 40% in the prior run. New signal: 13 headline(s) mention Middle East or linked entities
New signal: 13 headline(s) mention Middle East or linked entities
New reporting: Iran oil tankers turned back by US blockade, Hormuz traffic sparse - Reuters
World State
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical is setting the current stable baseline in Middle East, with the forecast sitting near 40% over the 30d.
Pressures:
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical
Oil sensitivity: 0.8
13 headline(s) mention Middle East or linked entities
Key unknowns:
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
More directly matched reporting on Middle East would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 40% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: The current 58% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 40% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 44%
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical. For now, the base case stays near 44% over the 30d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Strait of Hormuz risk: critical Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
R2: Actors adapt to whether strait of hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 62%
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 40% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Strait of Hormuz risk: critical Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
R2: Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in infrastructure and conflict. Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 32%
The current 58% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 40% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: The current 58% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
R2: Actors slow the path if the current 58% confidence level keeps this path from becoming fully settled. Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical (50%)
Oil sensitivity: 0.8 (30%)
13 headline(s) mention Middle East or linked entities (15%)
MIDDLE EAST LIVE 27 April: Everyone’s paying the price for Hormuz closure, Guterres warns Security Council (15%)
Signals To Watch
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
More directly matched reporting on Middle East would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Commodity traders
marketInfluence 84%
Commodity traders is a primary market actor for the market path in Middle East.
Objective: Price whether stress in Middle East becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
Policy officials
stateInfluence 72%
Policy officials is a primary state actor for the market path in Middle East.
Objective: Price whether stress in Middle East becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
Large importers
commercialInfluence 68%
Large importers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Middle East.
Objective: Price whether stress in Middle East becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
Regional producers
commercialInfluence 62%
Regional producers is a primary commercial actor for the market path in Middle East.
Objective: Price whether stress in Middle East becomes durable over the 30d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 58% confidence level.
Likely action: Rebalance positions if the probability path moves away from 40%.
Perspectives
Strategic: Strait of Hormuz risk: critical is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 40% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Middle East, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 30d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: The current 58% confidence level still leaves room for reversal. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 40% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 40%Cascades: 3
Strait of Hormuz risk: critical
Oil sensitivity: 0.8
13 headline(s) mention Middle East or linked entities
GPS interference in Persian Gulf shipping zone
Analysis
Signals (2)
Executive View
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 50% versus 50% in the prior run. Evidence mix is broadly unchanged from the prior snapshot.
Evidence mix is broadly unchanged from the prior snapshot.
World State
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf is setting the current stable baseline in Persian Gulf, with the forecast sitting near 50% over the 7d.
Pressures:
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf
3 headline(s) mention Persian Gulf or linked entities
Putin says Russia ready to support peace efforts in Middle East
Stabilizers:
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration.
Key unknowns:
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
More directly matched reporting on Persian Gulf would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 50% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 53%
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: 31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
R2: Actors adapt to whether wider gps interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 72%
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 50% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: 31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
R2: Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in market and infrastructure. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 40%
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
R2: Actors slow the path if confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf (50%)
3 headline(s) mention Persian Gulf or linked entities (15%)
Putin says Russia ready to support peace efforts in Middle East (15%)
Oil prices near $110 as stalled US-Iran talks stoke supply concerns (15%)
Counter Evidence
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. (25%)
Signals To Watch
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
More directly matched reporting on Persian Gulf would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Shipping operators
commercialInfluence 84%
Shipping operators is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Persian Gulf.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Persian Gulf functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
Port authorities
infrastructureInfluence 71%
Port authorities is a primary infrastructure actor for the supply_chain path in Persian Gulf.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Persian Gulf functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
Major cargo owners
commercialInfluence 67%
Major cargo owners is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Persian Gulf.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Persian Gulf functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
Marine insurers
marketInfluence 54%
Marine insurers is a primary market actor for the supply_chain path in Persian Gulf.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Persian Gulf functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Persian Gulf.
Perspectives
Strategic: 31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 50% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Persian Gulf, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 7d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 50%Cascades: 3
31 jamming hexes in Persian Gulf
3 headline(s) mention Persian Gulf or linked entities
GPS interference in Black Sea shipping zone
Analysis
Signals (2)
Executive View
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 50% versus 50% in the prior run. New signal: 1 headline(s) mention Black Sea or linked entities
New signal: 1 headline(s) mention Black Sea or linked entities
New reporting: Spain, France, Portugal: Renewables race heats up as governments scramble to keep energy bills down
World State
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea is setting the current stable baseline in Black Sea, with the forecast sitting near 50% over the 7d.
Pressures:
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea
1 headline(s) mention Black Sea or linked entities
Spain, France, Portugal: Renewables race heats up as governments scramble to keep energy bills down
Stabilizers:
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration.
Key unknowns:
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
More directly matched reporting on Black Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 50% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 53%
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea. For now, the base case stays near 53% over the 7d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: 52 jamming hexes in Black Sea Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
R2: Actors adapt to whether wider gps interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 72%
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 50% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: 52 jamming hexes in Black Sea Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
R2: Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in market and conflict. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 40%
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
R2: Actors slow the path if confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea (50%)
1 headline(s) mention Black Sea or linked entities (15%)
Spain, France, Portugal: Renewables race heats up as governments scramble to keep energy bills down (15%)
Potential spillover into market via supply shortage pricing (20%). (20%)
Counter Evidence
Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. (25%)
Signals To Watch
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
More directly matched reporting on Black Sea would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Shipping operators
commercialInfluence 84%
Shipping operators is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Black Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Black Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
Port authorities
infrastructureInfluence 71%
Port authorities is a primary infrastructure actor for the supply_chain path in Black Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Black Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
Major cargo owners
commercialInfluence 67%
Major cargo owners is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Black Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Black Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
Marine insurers
marketInfluence 54%
Marine insurers is a primary market actor for the supply_chain path in Black Sea.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Black Sea functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 42% confidence level.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Black Sea.
Perspectives
Strategic: 52 jamming hexes in Black Sea is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 50% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Black Sea, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 7d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: Confidence is only 42%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 50% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 50%Cascades: 2
52 jamming hexes in Black Sea
1 headline(s) mention Black Sea or linked entities
Supply chain disruption: Kerch Strait
Analysis
Signals (1)
Executive View
Kerch Strait disruption detected. For now, the base case stays near 36% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
Base Case
Kerch Strait disruption detected. For now, the base case stays near 36% over the 7d. Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
What Changed
This forecast is new in the current run, entering at 35% with a stable trajectory.
New forecast surfaced in this run at 35% over the 7d.
Lead evidence: Kerch Strait disruption detected
World State
Kerch Strait disruption detected is setting the current stable baseline in Kerch Strait, with the forecast sitting near 35% over the 7d.
Pressures:
Kerch Strait disruption detected
Potential spillover into market via supply shortage pricing (14%).
Spillover pressure into market via supply shortage pricing.
Stabilizers:
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait.
Confidence is only 25%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration.
Key unknowns:
Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Whether directly matched reporting on Kerch Strait appears in the next run.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 35% baseline. Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
Contrarian: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 35% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 36%
Kerch Strait disruption detected. For now, the base case stays near 36% over the 7d.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Kerch Strait disruption detected Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
R2: Actors adapt to whether kerch strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 51%
Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 35% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Kerch Strait disruption detected Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
R2: Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk. Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in market. Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 22%
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 35% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait. Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
R2: Actors slow the path if no directly matched headlines are currently attached to kerch strait. Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Supporting Evidence
Kerch Strait disruption detected (50%)
Potential spillover into market via supply shortage pricing (14%). (14%)
Counter Evidence
No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait. (20%)
Confidence is only 25%, implying thin source diversity or mixed calibration. (25%)
Signals To Watch
Kerch Strait disruption detected persisting for another cycle would deepen downstream disruption risk.
Actors
Shipping operators
commercialInfluence 84%
Shipping operators is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Kerch Strait.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Kerch Strait functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
Port authorities
infrastructureInfluence 71%
Port authorities is a primary infrastructure actor for the supply_chain path in Kerch Strait.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Kerch Strait functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
Major cargo owners
commercialInfluence 67%
Major cargo owners is a primary commercial actor for the supply_chain path in Kerch Strait.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Kerch Strait functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
Marine insurers
marketInfluence 54%
Marine insurers is a primary market actor for the supply_chain path in Kerch Strait.
Objective: Keep critical flows through Kerch Strait functioning over the 7d.
Constraint: Public reporting directly tied to Kerch Strait is still thin.
Likely action: Adjust routing and contingency plans around Kerch Strait.
Perspectives
Strategic: Kerch Strait disruption detected is setting the strategic baseline, and the current 35% probability implies a live but not settled risk path.
Regional: For actors in Kerch Strait, the practical implication is continued sensitivity to short-term triggers over the 7d, especially if the current stable trend persists.
Contrarian: No directly matched headlines are currently attached to Kerch Strait. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 35% baseline. Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
Context
Prior: 35%Cascades: 1
Kerch Strait disruption detected
Infrastructure cascade risk: Iran
Analysis
Signals (3)
Executive View
Iran faces a 59% probability of an infrastructure cascade risk within 24 hours, driven by 'Iran total outage' and 'GPS interference in Iran'.
Base Case
The current infrastructure cascade risk will remain near 59% over the next 24 hours, with actors absorbing the existing evidence without a decisive shift, as per the 'base' simulated branch projecting 62%.
What Changed
Probability is holding near 59% versus 59% in the prior run. Evidence mix is broadly unchanged from the prior snapshot.
Evidence mix is broadly unchanged from the prior snapshot.
World State
Iran total outage is setting the current stable baseline in Iran, with the forecast sitting near 59% over the 24h.
Pressures:
Iran total outage
GPS interference in Iran
1 headline(s) mention Iran or linked entities
Stabilizers:
Prediction-market pricing near 58% is not strongly disputing the internal estimate.
Key unknowns:
A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk.
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Alternative Paths
Escalatory: A 'second major outage in Iran' would escalate the risk, pushing the probability above the current 59% baseline, potentially to 81%, as it would signal a broader cascade.
Contrarian: If prediction market pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' remains near 58%, not strongly disputing the internal estimate, the forecast could drop below the 59% baseline, potentially to 48%.
Simulated Branches
Base Branch
Projected 62%
Iran total outage. For now, the base case stays near 62% over the 24h.
Outcome: Actors absorb the current evidence mix without a decisive break toward either shock or relief.
R1: Iran total outage Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
R2: Actors adapt to whether a second major outage in iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk. A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk.
R3: The path settles near the current balance of pressure and restraint. Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Escalatory Branch
Projected 81%
A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk. If that threshold breaks, the path can move above the current 59% baseline.
Outcome: Actors treat escalation as increasingly self-reinforcing, especially if cross-domain pressure appears.
R1: Iran total outage Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
R2: A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk. A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk.
R3: Spillover becomes visible in supply_chain and market. Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Contrarian Branch
Projected 48%
Prediction-market pricing near 58% is not strongly disputing the internal estimate. If that restraint persists, the forecast can move below the current 59% baseline.
Outcome: Actors prioritize containment and the system drifts toward stabilization unless new hard signals emerge.
R1: Prediction-market pricing near 58% is not strongly disputing the internal estimate. Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
R2: Actors slow the path if prediction-market pricing near 58% is not strongly disputing the internal estimate. A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk.
R3: The path cools if counter-pressure remains stronger than fresh escalation evidence. Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Supporting Evidence
Iran total outage (40%)
GPS interference in Iran (20%)
1 headline(s) mention Iran or linked entities (15%)
Renewables in vogue as Iran war drives up Europe power prices - Reuters (15%)
Signals To Watch
A second major outage in Iran would turn a contained event into a cascade risk.
Wider GPS interference across adjacent zones would increase the chance of spillover effects.
More directly matched reporting on Iran would improve confidence in the current path.
Actors
Grid operators
infrastructureInfluence 83%
Grid operators is a primary infrastructure actor for the infrastructure path in Iran.
Objective: Contain service degradation in Iran before it becomes cross-system.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Likely action: Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
Civil protection authorities
stateInfluence 72%
Civil protection authorities is a primary state actor for the infrastructure path in Iran.
Objective: Contain service degradation in Iran before it becomes cross-system.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Likely action: Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
Critical service providers
commercialInfluence 64%
Critical service providers is a primary commercial actor for the infrastructure path in Iran.
Objective: Contain service degradation in Iran before it becomes cross-system.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Likely action: Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
Incident response teams
securityInfluence 59%
Incident response teams is a primary security actor for the infrastructure path in Iran.
Objective: Contain service degradation in Iran before it becomes cross-system.
Constraint: Action remains bounded by the current 80% confidence level.
Likely action: Prioritize mitigation and continuity measures around the most exposed nodes.
Perspectives
Strategic: The presence of 'Iran total outage' and 'GPS interference in Iran' indicates a significant and immediate infrastructure cascade risk, with a 59% probability within 24 hours.
Regional: Grid operators, civil protection authorities, and critical service providers in Iran will prioritize mitigation and continuity measures to contain service degradation, given the 59% probability of an infrastructure cascade, as per their 'likely action' objectives.
Contrarian: The prediction market pricing for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?' being near 58% suggests a degree of stability or a different long-term outlook that could prevent the short-term infrastructure cascade from fully materializing.
Context
Market: Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? (58%)Prior: 59%Cascades: 3
Iran total outage
GPS interference in Iran
1 headline(s) mention Iran or linked entities
Country Instability
Methodology
- Unrest: civil disorder & protests
- Conflict: armed conflict intensity
- Security: military flights/vessels over territory
- Information: news velocity and focal point correlation
- Hotspot proximity boost (strategic locations)
🔴Iran98→
U:82C:100S:35I:80
🔴Russia81→
U:68C:0S:38I:80
🟡Haiti60→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
🟡China59→
U:70C:0S:35I:90
🟡Ukraine56→
U:6C:0S:35I:28
🟢Colombia50→
U:8C:0S:10I:5
🟢Oman50→
U:8C:3S:30I:0
🟢Nigeria50→
U:8C:0S:5I:10
🟢Ethiopia50→
U:0C:0S:25I:0
🟢Trinidad and Tobago50→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
🟢Turkey43→
U:10C:0S:38I:30
🟢Syria37→
U:0C:0S:20I:0
🟢Mexico36→
U:16C:0S:35I:10
🟢Pakistan33→
U:12C:0S:25I:15
🟢Venezuela32→
U:14C:0S:5I:0
🟢Sudan31→
U:50C:0S:35I:35
🟢Israel31→
U:6C:0S:6I:10
🟢United States31→
U:49C:0S:95I:27
⚪Myanmar30→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪North Korea27→
U:48C:0S:0I:0
⚪India26→
U:13C:0S:25I:8
⚪Iraq23→
U:0C:3S:35I:0
⚪Yemen22→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Cuba22→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Taiwan19→
U:12C:0S:0I:8
⚪South Sudan19→
U:0C:0S:5I:30
⚪XX18→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪United Arab Emirates18→
U:0C:0S:16I:15
⚪Democratic Republic of the Congo18→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪United Kingdom17→
U:32C:0S:12I:21
⚪Afghanistan17→
U:0C:0S:15I:10
⚪Australia16→
U:24C:0S:45I:5
⚪France16→
U:24C:0S:50I:14
⚪Saudi Arabia16→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪Lebanon15→
U:8C:0S:0I:10
⚪Belarus15→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪Libya14→
U:26C:0S:35I:0
⚪Japan14→
U:8C:0S:35I:20
⚪Azerbaijan14→
U:16C:0S:10I:0
⚪Indonesia14→
U:16C:0S:35I:10
⚪Brazil14→
U:24C:0S:35I:0
⚪Somalia14→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Mali14→
U:0C:0S:15I:15
⚪South Africa14→
U:0C:0S:25I:30
⚪Thailand13→
U:32C:0S:15I:0
⚪Nepal13→
U:8C:0S:10I:0
⚪Belgium12→
U:0C:0S:12I:0
⚪Canada11→
U:8C:0S:35I:0
⚪Central African Republic11→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Honduras11→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Costa Rica11→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Egypt11→
U:0C:0S:35I:5
⚪Eritrea11→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Peru11→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Nicaragua11→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Sri Lanka11→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Germany10→
U:32C:0S:27I:0
⚪Chile10→
U:8C:0S:25I:0
⚪Italy10→
U:8C:0S:18I:5
⚪Cameroon10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Burkina Faso10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Burundi10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bangladesh10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Guatemala10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪El Salvador10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Rwanda10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Algeria10→
U:0C:0S:30I:0
⚪Western Sahara10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Ecuador10→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Kazakhstan10→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪Argentina10→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪Antarctica10→
U:0C:0S:35I:0
⚪Philippines9→
U:8C:0S:11I:0
⚪Spain9→
U:8C:0S:12I:5
⚪Austria9→
U:8C:0S:12I:0
⚪Chad9→
U:0C:0S:15I:10
⚪Georgia9→
U:0C:0S:25I:0
⚪Vietnam8→
U:8C:0S:0I:5
⚪South Korea8→
U:16C:0S:0I:0
⚪Greece8→
U:16C:0S:0I:0
⚪Sweden8→
U:8C:0S:5I:0
⚪Malaysia8→
U:8C:0S:5I:0
⚪Norway8→
U:8C:0S:5I:0
⚪Montenegro8→
U:8C:0S:6I:0
⚪Kuwait8→
U:8C:0S:5I:0
⚪Finland8→
U:8C:0S:5I:0
⚪Niger8→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Kenya8→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Ghana8→
U:0C:0S:20I:0
⚪Palestine8→
U:0C:11S:0I:0
⚪United Republic of Tanzania8→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Tajikistan8→
U:0C:0S:20I:0
⚪Paraguay8→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Laos8→
U:0C:0S:17I:0
⚪Greenland8→
U:0C:0S:15I:0
⚪Singapore7→
U:8C:0S:0I:0
⚪New Zealand7→
U:8C:0S:0I:0
⚪Ireland7→
U:8C:0S:0I:0
⚪Belize7→
U:8C:0S:0I:0
⚪Czechia7→
U:8C:0S:0I:0
⚪Tunisia7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Mozambique7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Uganda7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Benin7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Qatar7→
U:0C:3S:0I:0
⚪Estonia7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Jordan7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Romania7→
U:0C:0S:11I:0
⚪Zambia7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Republic of the Congo7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Portugal7→
U:0C:0S:6I:5
⚪Angola7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Senegal7→
U:0C:0S:0I:5
⚪Uzbekistan7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Zimbabwe7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Cambodia7→
U:0C:0S:7I:0
⚪Mongolia7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Bolivia7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Namibia7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Turkmenistan7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Guyana7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪Gabon7→
U:0C:0S:5I:0
⚪East Timor7→
U:0C:0S:10I:0
⚪Morocco6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Hungary6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Barbados6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bermuda6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Luxembourg6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Latvia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Netherlands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Republic of Serbia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Switzerland6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Mauritania6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Slovakia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Armenia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Moldova6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bosnia and Herzegovina6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bulgaria6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Guinea6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Denmark6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Papua New Guinea6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Ivory Coast6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Cyprus6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Malawi6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Togo6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Lithuania6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Djibouti6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Uruguay6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Albania6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Croatia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Kyrgyzstan6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪North Macedonia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Sierra Leone6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Dominican Republic6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Gambia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Slovenia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Jamaica6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Panama6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Malta6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Liberia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Iceland6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bhutan6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪eSwatini6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪The Bahamas6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Suriname6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Fiji6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Guinea-Bissau6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Comoros6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Botswana6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Madagascar6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Hong Kong S.A.R.6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Tonga6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Equatorial Guinea6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Vanuatu6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Liechtenstein6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Mauritius6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Solomon Islands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Lesotho6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Dominica6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Samoa6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Saint Lucia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Bahrain6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Saint Vincent and the Grenadines6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Cabo Verde6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Grenada6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Sint Maarten6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Antigua and Barbuda6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Brunei6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Saint Kitts and Nevis6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Nauru6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Maldives6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Cayman Islands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪British Virgin Islands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Kiribati6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Seychelles6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Macao S.A.R6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪São Tomé and Principe6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Turks and Caicos Islands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Monaco6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Andorra6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Tuvalu6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Marshall Islands6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Niue6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Curaçao6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Anguilla6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪New Caledonia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Federated States of Micronesia6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Palau6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Aruba6→
U:0C:0S:0I:0
⚪Poland5→
U:6C:0S:0I:0
Strategic Risk Overview
LIVEMethodology Composite score (0-100) blending:
- 50% Country Instability (top 5 weighted)
- 30% Geographic convergence zones
- 20% Infrastructure incidents
62
Elevated
Trend
➡️ Stable
0
Convergence
98.0
CII Deviation
0
Infra Events
7
High Alerts
Top Risks
1.
Sanctions pressure: Russia (5950, +0 new)
2.
Potential radiation spike: Chicago (+22.3 nSv/h)
3.
Iran instability: 98 (critical)
Recent Alerts (17)
📊
🟡
United States Instability Rising
Instability index rose from 21 to 31 (+10). Driver: Security Activity
just now
📊
🟢
United Arab Emirates Instability Rising
Instability index rose from 4 to 15 (+11). Driver: Information Velocity
just now
📊
🟢
Afghanistan Instability Rising
Instability index rose from 6 to 17 (+11). Driver: Security Activity
just now
📊
🟡
India Instability Rising
Instability index rose from 8 to 26 (+18). Driver: Security Activity
just now
📊
🟢
Israel Instability Rising
Instability index rose from 18 to 28 (+10). Driver: Information Velocity
just now
Intel Feed
LIVE19
The War Zone
ONGOING
ALERT
Russia’s Stealthy S-71K Air-Launched Missile Seen In New Detail
Ukraine has released more details of Russia’s S-71K Kovyor — translated as Carpet — an air-launched missile that Kyiv says has been used in combat since late last year. The continued development of…
9 hours ago
The War Zone
ONGOING
ALERT
Prospects Dimming On Iran-U.S. Deal To Open Strait, End War
U.S. President Donald Trump met with top national security officials today to discuss a new Iranian proposal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt…
11 hours ago
Defense News
ONGOING
ALERT
US Air Force looks to launch cheap missiles from cargo aircraft
The U.S. Air Force wants inexpensive, long-range missiles that can be launched in mass volleys by cargo aircraft. According to a recent Request for Information , Beyond Adversary’s Reach, Family of…
12 hours ago
The War Zone
ONGOING
ALERT
Evidence Of Ukraine Using AIM-120C-8 Missiles Emerges
Recently uncovered wreckage of an Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM) reveals that Ukraine is employing the AIM-120C-8 version, a weapon that is close to the ‘top of the line’ for these…
13 hours ago
Foreign Affairs
ONGOING
ALERT
The Iran War’s Threat to Turkey
Even on the sidelines, Ankara faces blowback.
yesterday
Military Times
ONGOING
Why aircraft carriers are the best (and worst) place for laser weapons
Editor’s note: This story originally appeared on Laser Wars, a newsletter about military laser weapons and other futuristic defense technology. Subscribe here . When U.S. Navy leaders declared that…
5 hours ago
Military Times
ONGOING
What we know about the US military’s new joint laser weapon system
Editor’s note: This story originally appeared on Laser Wars, a newsletter about military laser weapons and other futuristic defense technology. Subscribe here . The cruise missile-killing high-energy…
6 hours ago
Defense News
ONGOING
Why aircraft carriers are the best (and worst) place for laser weapons
Editor’s note: This story originally appeared on Laser Wars, a newsletter about military laser weapons and other futuristic defense technology. Subscribe here . When U.S. Navy leaders declared that…
5 hours ago
Defense News
ONGOING
What we know about the US military’s new joint laser weapon system
Editor’s note: This story originally appeared on Laser Wars, a newsletter about military laser weapons and other futuristic defense technology. Subscribe here . The cruise missile-killing high-energy…
6 hours ago
USNI News
ONGOING
Amphibs Bougainville, Fallujah Deliveries Are Pushed Another Year - USNI News
Amphibs Bougainville, Fallujah Deliveries Are Pushed Another Year USNI News
9 hours ago
Military Times
ONGOING
A missed lane and a comeback: Ranger team wins Best Sapper
On the first day of the Army’s most elite combat engineering competition , the winning team made an error that could have knocked them out of running. For a swimming task, the pair forgot to swim the…
10 hours ago
Military Times
ONGOING
US Air Force seeks $3.9 billion to boost KC-46 fleet
The Air Force is asking Congress for $3.9 billion to buy 15 Boeing KC-46A Pegasus tankers in fiscal 2027, an $800 million increase over fiscal 2026, according to Air Force budget materials released…
10 hours ago
Military Times
ONGOING
All Marines required to follow grooming standards within 12 months or face separation
The U.S. Marine Corps announced that established uniform and grooming standards must be met within 12 months, regardless of medical conditions, in accordance with the Department of Defense’s previous…
10 hours ago
USNI News
ONGOING
Navy Pushes MQ-25A Stingray IOC Back to 2029 while Production Aircraft Takes First Flight - USNI News
Navy Pushes MQ-25A Stingray IOC Back to 2029 while Production Aircraft Takes First Flight USNI News
11 hours ago
Foreign Policy
ONGOING
Latin America’s Anti-Women Movement Is Spreading
Chile's president José Antonio Kast is following the regressive examples set elsewhere in the region.
2 hours ago
USNI News
DEVELOPING ×5
USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) Archives - Page 32 of 32 - USNI News
USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) Archives - Page 32 of 32 USNI News
12 hours ago
USNI News
ONGOING
USNI News Fleet and Marine Tracker: April, 27 2026 - USNI News
USNI News Fleet and Marine Tracker: April, 27 2026 USNI News
13 hours ago
Foreign Policy
ONGOING
What Congress Could Do to Stop the War
Republicans are declining to use their power of the purse.
3 hours ago
Foreign Policy
ONGOING
The Iran War Is Tearing Trump’s Coalition Apart
MAGA is not necessarily the same thing as America First.
3 hours ago
Live Intelligence
10News Intelligence Real-time global news monitoring:
- Curated topic categories (conflicts, cyber, etc.)
- Articles from 100+ languages translated
- Updates every 15 minutes
- 14-day media tone & volume trend per topic
- 14-day media tone & volume trend per topic
businesstoday.in18h ago
Krishnaswamy Sundarji : The General Pakistan feared would split it in half
cbs6albany.com10h ago
New York State Police add 19 Ford Mustang GT500s to modernize traffic patrol fleet
ibtimes.co.uk1d ago
Trump Panics as Iran - US War 1 May Deadline Nears : Will Trump Defy the Law or Will Congress Let the War Go On ?
cnycentral.com9h ago
State Police buy dozens of new Ford Mustangs , cite evolving challenge for purchase
mondediplo.com8h ago
Tensions rise between Islamabad and Kabul
dailyrepublicannews.com5h ago
Carterville Troop 77 honors 6 new Eagle Scouts
khaama.com15h ago
Pakistan Missile Strikes Kill 3 , Injure 45 in Kunar as Border Tensions Escalate
itemlive.com4h ago
Swampscott Daisies visit with fire department , earn first aid badge
krcgtv.com8h ago
Severe storms cause damage throughout mid - Missouri
dailymail.com18h ago
Statue of King Troop soldier on horseback falls at first hurdle amid fears design will trip up blind walkers
National Debt Clock
187Live national debt estimates for 150+ countries. Data anchored at 2024-01-01 and accruing using IMF deficit projections.
World Debt
$122442508551.2T
In Deficit
157
Running Surplus
30
1
🇺🇸
United States
$42030429849.0T
2
🇨🇳
China
$22158613561.1T
3
🇯🇵
Japan
$10299554013.0T
4
🇬🇧
United Kingdom
$4591519788.9T
5
🇫🇷
France
$4316830816.6T
6
🇮🇹
Italy
$3777552379.9T
7
🇮🇳
India
$3726720574.4T
8
🇩🇪
Germany
$3578879285.2T
9
🇨🇦
Canada
$2802651499.9T
10
🇧🇷
Brazil
$2242794502.8T
11
🇪🇸
Spain
$2029525384.8T
12
🇲🇽
Mexico
$1240577233.7T
13
🇰🇷
Korea (South)
$1168482934.4T
14
🇸🇬
Singapore
$1120773535.4T
15
🇦🇺
Australia
$1001974277.0T
16
🇧🇪
Belgium
$854679886.0T
17
🇵🇱
Poland
$760990725.6T
18
🇮🇩
Indonesia
$656733936.8T
19
🇷🇺
Russia
$654116967.7T
20
🇳🇱
Netherlands
$646209007.7T
Cross-Source Signal Aggregator
4Aggregates 15+ real-time data streams every 15 minutes. Ranks cross-domain signals by severity and detects composite escalation when 3 or more signal categories co-fire in the same theater.
1
✈️MIL FLTX
CRITICAL
Global · 21m ago
Military flight surge: 55 active sorties tracked in Global
2
📡GPS JAM
CRITICAL
Other · 17m ago
GPS jamming detected: 1185 high-interference hexagons in Other
3
📡GPS JAM
CRITICAL
Eastern Europe · 17m ago
GPS jamming detected: 111 high-interference hexagons in Eastern Europe
4
📡GPS JAM
CRITICAL
Middle East · 17m ago
GPS jamming detected: 53 high-interference hexagons in Middle East
Evaluated 03:45 PM
AI Market ImplicationsPRO
AI Market Implications LLM-generated trade signals derived from live geopolitical, commodity, and macro state after each forecast cycle.
- Direction: LONG / SHORT / HEDGE with confidence rating
- Timeframe: 1W, 2W, 1M, or 3M horizon
- Driver: Key catalyst behind the signal
- Risk: Caveat or invalidation condition
Sign in to unlock premium features
Infrastructure Cascade
440Cascade Analysis Models infrastructure dependencies:
- Subsea cables, pipelines, ports, chokepoints
- Select infrastructure to simulate failure
- Shows affected countries and capacity loss
- Identifies redundant routes
🔌 86
🛢️ 88
⚓ 62
🌊 13
🏳️ 191
📊 1453 links
Select infrastructure to analyze cascade impact
Force Posture
5Force Posture Correlates military activity with geopolitical context:
- Military aircraft and naval vessel concentrations by region
- Cross-references with active conflict zones and news spikes
- Highlights unusual force buildups or repositioning
24Military flight cluster — USA4 signals→
24Military flight cluster — Unknown/NATO36 signals→
22Military flight cluster — USA2 signals→
22Military flight cluster — USA4 signals→
22Military flight cluster — Israel2 signals→
Escalation Monitor
17Escalation Monitor Detects converging geopolitical signals:
- Correlates military movements, conflict events, and news spikes
- Scores convergence zones by severity (critical/high/medium/low)
- Tracks escalation or de-escalation trends over time
58conflict + news escalation — Russia4 signals→
58conflict + news escalation — Iran8 signals→
58conflict + news escalation — China10 signals→
38conflict — Libya2 signals→
38conflict + news escalation — Japan2 signals→
33conflict + news escalation — Ukraine2 signals→
33conflict + news escalation — Turkey2 signals→
27conflict + news escalation — Lebanon2 signals→
25conflict — North Korea2 signals→
25conflict — Australia3 signals→
25conflict — India2 signals→
25conflict — South Korea2 signals→
25conflict — Thailand4 signals→
25conflict — United States of America16 signals→
25conflict — United Kingdom2 signals→
25conflict — Germany2 signals→
25conflict — Greece2 signals→
Economic Warfare
1Economic Warfare Detects converging economic pressure signals:
- Sanctions, trade restrictions, and currency movements
- Commodity disruptions linked to geopolitical actors
- Cross-domain correlation between economic and security events
21Iran sanctions activity4 signals→
Disaster Cascade
0Disaster Cascade Detects converging natural disaster and infrastructure signals:
- Correlates earthquakes, wildfires, floods, and weather extremes
- Tracks cascading effects on infrastructure and supply chains
- Highlights regions with compounding disaster risk
No active convergence detected
World News
LIVE20
CNN World
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
Millions of Iranians face unemployment as war exacts heavy economic price - CNN
Millions of Iranians face unemployment as war exacts heavy economic price CNN
3 hours ago
BBC World
ONGOING
Rescuers race to free survivors trapped inside train after fatal Indonesia crash
Two trains collided on the outskirts of the Indonesian capital on Monday, killing at least 14 people.
3 hours ago
BBC World
ONGOING
Trump says King will be 'very safe' during US visit after security talks
The state visit will go ahead despite concerns raised after a gunman targeted an event attended by the president.
22 hours ago
AP News
ONGOING
King Charles III arrives at the White House on a delicate mission to restore the UK-US relationship - AP News
King Charles III arrives at the White House on a delicate mission to restore the UK-US relationship AP News
8 hours ago
Reuters World
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Human Rights Watch urges FIFA to push for 'ICE Truce' at World Cup - Reuters
Human Rights Watch urges FIFA to push for 'ICE Truce' at World Cup Reuters
10 hours ago
AP News
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US stocks inch to more records as oil prices rise ahead of a blockbuster week for Wall Street - AP News
US stocks inch to more records as oil prices rise ahead of a blockbuster week for Wall Street AP News
10 hours ago
Reuters World
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Trading Day: Tech in a world of its own - Reuters
Trading Day: Tech in a world of its own Reuters
10 hours ago
AP News
ONGOING
Trump administration fires independent board overseeing the National Science Foundation - AP News
Trump administration fires independent board overseeing the National Science Foundation AP News
10 hours ago
BBC World
DEVELOPING ×5
Jimmy Kimmel rejects White House criticism over Melania widow joke
In a parody aired days before the White House Correspondents' Dinner, Kimmel called Melania an "expectant widow".
53 minutes ago
AP News
ONGOING
Pope prays with Archbishop of Canterbury Sarah Mullally in historic encounter, vows dialogue - AP News
Pope prays with Archbishop of Canterbury Sarah Mullally in historic encounter, vows dialogue AP News
15 hours ago
Reuters World
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Iran oil tankers turned back by US blockade, Hormuz traffic sparse - Reuters
Iran oil tankers turned back by US blockade, Hormuz traffic sparse Reuters
16 hours ago
CNN World
ONGOING
‘Dances With Wolves’ actor Nathan Chasing Horse sentenced to life for sexual assault of Indigenous women and girls - CNN
‘Dances With Wolves’ actor Nathan Chasing Horse sentenced to life for sexual assault of Indigenous women and girls CNN
6 hours ago
Guardian World
ONGOING
German tourist dies after being bitten at snake show on family holiday in Egypt
Man, 57, was watching snake-charming show when reptile crawled into his trousers, say German police A German tourist has died after a snake crawled into his trousers and bit him as he watched a show…
14 hours ago
Reuters World
ONGOING
Sawe's marathon record boosts Adidas in 'supershoe' race with Nike - Reuters
Sawe's marathon record boosts Adidas in 'supershoe' race with Nike Reuters
17 hours ago
AP News
ONGOING
Marathon milestone shattered: Sabastian Sawe breaks the fabled 2-hour barrier by 30 seconds - AP News
Marathon milestone shattered: Sabastian Sawe breaks the fabled 2-hour barrier by 30 seconds AP News
18 hours ago
CNN World
ONGOING
Baby on board: Paramedics help passenger give birth just before Delta flight lands - CNN
Baby on board: Paramedics help passenger give birth just before Delta flight lands CNN
7 hours ago
CNN World
ONGOING
Line of succession: Who was and was not at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner - CNN
Line of succession: Who was and was not at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner CNN
8 hours ago
Guardian World
ONGOING
Gunmen kill at least 29 at football pitch in north-east Nigeria, governor says
Attack in Adamawa state continues wave of violence across the country, including armed raid on orphanage in Kogi Gunmen have killed at least 29 people in north-east Nigeria, a state governor said on…
8 hours ago
CNN World
ONGOING
In pictures: King Charles’ state visit to the US - CNN
In pictures: King Charles’ state visit to the US CNN
8 hours ago
BBC World
ONGOING
Pakistan accused of attacking Afghan university
Air attacks on the province of Kunar have killed at least seven people and injured 75, sources tell the BBC.
14 hours ago
United States
LIVE19
Reuters US
ONGOING
ALERT
Trump not happy with latest Iran proposal to end the war, US official says - Reuters
Trump not happy with latest Iran proposal to end the war, US official says Reuters
5 hours ago
Wall Street Journal
ONGOING
ALERT
Shooting Suspect Faces Attempted Assassination Charge
Plus, the Supreme Court questions Bayer over its failure to warn consumers about Roundup risks, and a teen could restore Italy’s F1 glory.
9 hours ago
NBC News
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
Jimmy Kimmel says joke was not a call for assassination as the Trumps demand his firing
Hours after the president and first lady called for Jimmy Kimmel’s ouster, the late-night host defended the joke that sparked their ire in the wake of an assassination attempt at the White House…
2 hours ago
PBS NewsHour
ONGOING
ALERT
Accused Correspondents' Dinner gunman charged with attempted assassination of Trump
The suspect who attempted to storm a press gala this weekend in Washington has been charged with the attempted assassination of President Trump and other federal weapons charges. If convicted, he…
8 hours ago
Wall Street Journal
ONGOING
Suspect Accused Of Trying To Kill President
The alleged gunman at the Washington gala was charged with attempting to assassinate Trump and two firearms offenses.
4 hours ago
Reuters US
ONGOING
Trump unhappy with Iranian proposal, US official says - Reuters
Trump unhappy with Iranian proposal, US official says Reuters
6 hours ago
CBS News
ONGOING
Oil prices rise as U.S. and Iran appear locked in a costly stalemate
Energy prices keep rising with no sign of progress toward a deal to end the U.S.-Iran standoff and Hezbollah rejecting the Lebanon ceasefire.
1 hour ago
NPR News
DEVELOPING ×5
Pompeii archaeologists use AI to reconstruct man killed in volcano's eruption
Archaeologists have used AI for the first time to digitally reconstruct the face of a man killed in the AD 79 eruption of Mount Vesuvius, offering a new way to understand one of history's most famous…
2 hours ago
ABC News
ONGOING
WHCA dinner shooting timeline: Suspect captured trying to get in
Here is a timeline of events leading up to Saturday night's shooting and its aftermath at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner.
4 hours ago
CBS News
ONGOING
Correspondents' dinner suspect charged with trying to assassinate Trump
Cole Allen, the man accused of opening fire at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, was charged with trying to assassinate President Trump.
5 hours ago
NPR News
ONGOING
South Carolina's measles outbreak is over. But more are brewing around the country
The virus infected nearly 1,000 people in the state before the state declared it over. Meanwhile, cases are spreading across many parts of the U.S., with more than 20 outbreaks currently active.…
8 hours ago
Reuters US
DEVELOPING ×5
Gold edges down with US-Iran talks, central bank decisions in focus - Reuters
Gold edges down with US-Iran talks, central bank decisions in focus Reuters
6 hours ago
Reuters US
ONGOING
For the average price of a car in the US, you could buy 5 new Chinese EVs - Reuters
For the average price of a car in the US, you could buy 5 new Chinese EVs Reuters
5 hours ago
Reuters US
ONGOING
US, Iran clash at UN after Tehran gets nuclear non-proliferation role - Reuters
US, Iran clash at UN after Tehran gets nuclear non-proliferation role Reuters
9 hours ago
Wall Street Journal
ONGOING
Supreme Court Grills Bayer Over Failure to Warn Consumers About Roundup Risks
Bayer is facing thousands of lawsuits brought by consumers who claim its flagship weedkiller causes cancer.
13 hours ago
Wall Street Journal
ONGOING
The Year of the Molotov Cocktail: American Antigovernment Violence Hits a 30-Year High
Immigration backlash helped push extreme-left attacks past the extreme right for the first time in 20 years, new data show.
13 hours ago
CBS News
ONGOING
4/27: CBS Evening News
Correspondents' dinner shooting suspect charged with trying to assassinate the president; Georgia wildfire battle enters second week.
4 hours ago
ABC News
ONGOING
WATCH: Video shows moment 'slingshot' ride snaps, causing multiple injuries
Passengers, as well as two people on the ground, suffered minor injuries.
6 hours ago
CBS News
ONGOING
Pentagon can require reporters to be escorted during appeal process, judges rule
An appeals court has ruled that the Defense Department can require journalists to be escorted on Pentagon grounds while the Trump administration appeals a judge's decision to block its enforcement of…
6 hours ago
Europe
LIVE20
France 24
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
Middle East war live: Trump not happy with Iran's latest peace proposal, US official says
US President Donald Trump is unhappy with the latest Iranian proposal on ending the US-Israeli war against Iran, a US official told Reuters. Iran's latest proposal would reportedly set aside…
2 hours ago
DW News
ONGOING
Indonesia: Many killed in train collision near Jakarta
A long-distance train crashed into the rear car of a stopped commuter train outside Jakarta, killing at least 14 people.
4 hours ago
France 24
DEVELOPING ×5
King Charles expected to promote US-UK unity in speech before Congress
King Charles III will speak before the US Congress on Tuesday, where he is expected to deliver an address promoting US-UK unity despite widening differences between London and Washington. Charles and…
1 hour ago
France 24
DEVELOPING ×5
Champions League: 'Best teams in Europe' face off in semifinal clash
Paris Saint-Germain host Bayern Munich in the first leg of the Champions League semifinal. Bayern are aiming for their first final since 2020.
1 hour ago
EuroNews
ONGOING
Rare spring snowstorm hits Moscow
A rare spring snowfall blankets Moscow, forcing flight cancellations and toppling trees. The Russian Meteorological Center has declared an orange alert level for the capital, in effect until Tuesday…
1 hour ago
EuroNews
ONGOING
AI tool could help predict ADHD in children years before a formal diagnosis
Researchers found that the AI system could accurately flag early warning signs of ADHD, potentially allowing children to receive support much sooner.
2 hours ago
EuroNews
ONGOING
Spain, France, Portugal: Renewables race heats up as governments scramble to keep energy bills down
"As long as we depend on oil and gas, we will continue to pay the price of other people's wars,” said French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu.
2 hours ago
EuroNews
ONGOING
Four Seasons Hotel and Residences Cartagena opens steps away from UNESCO-listed Walled City
The new property has two rooftop pools offering spectacular views over the historic city on Colombia’s Caribbean coast.
2 hours ago
EuroNews
ONGOING
Latest news bulletin | April 28th, 2026 – Morning
Catch up with the most important stories from around Europe and beyond this April 28th, 2026 - latest news, breaking news, World, Business, Entertainment, Politics, Culture, Travel.
2 hours ago
Le Monde
DEVELOPING ×5
France's National Center of Stage Costume showcases exceptional creations for its 20th anniversary
The institution has chosen to display Sarah Bernhardt's gown from 'Ruy Blas,' along with creations by Christian Lacroix and the dazzling red sequined and feathered dress worn by Line Renaud in her…
3 hours ago
France 24
DEVELOPING ×5
Australia targets tech giants with levy unless they pay local news outlets
Australia unveiled draft laws on Tuesday that would force Meta, Google and TikTok to pay local publishers for news content or face a levy worth 2.25 percent of their Australian revenue in a major…
4 hours ago
Le Monde
ONGOING
Senegal's anti-gay law is a smokescreen for the country's powerless government
By criminalizing 'acts against nature,' President Bassirou Diomaye Faye and his prime minister, Ousmane Sonko, hope to distract from mounting social tensions and ongoing economic hardship.
5 hours ago
Le Monde
ONGOING
Chernobyl cloud stopped at the border: The making of a uniquely French myth
The legend of the radioactive cloud that supposedly never crossed into France has left a lasting mark on the national imagination. Yet that narrative has been rewritten many times over the decades.
5 hours ago
Le Monde
ONGOING
A new ultrasound technique promises to spare patients from surgery for digestive endometriosis
After several studies, a clinical trial is now underway that tests the use of ultrasound to treat endometriosis nodules located in the rectum – a development that is bringing hope to patients.
5 hours ago
France 24
ONGOING
Tuareg rebels in control of Kidal
In today's edition, two days after a wave of coordinated attacks across the country, Mali remains on edge. Also, 42 people are killed in Chad after a clash between two families over a water point,…
10 hours ago
Le Monde
ONGOING
King Charles III meets Trump in bid to salvage UK-US ties
Tensions over the Iran war have rocked the so-called 'special relationship' ahead of a trip that was meant to mark the United States' 250th anniversary of independence from the British monarch's…
12 hours ago
DW News
ONGOING
Mali on edge as insurgency tests junta's resolve
The death of Malian defense minister Sadio Camara amid a series of coordinated assaults on several Malian cities is posing a serious challenge to the junta in Bamako, analysts say.
12 hours ago
DW News
ONGOING
China blocks Meta's $2B acquisition of AI startup Manus
Manus claimed to revolutionize agentic AI. Now Chinese authorities are forcing Meta to unwind its purchase of the company in what analysts believe could set a new precedent.
12 hours ago
DW News
ONGOING
Gala shooting suspect charged with attempt to murder Trump
A suspect in the shooting at the White House Correspondents' Dinner made his first court appearance. Meanwhile, Britain's King Charles III arrived in the US after a security review cleared the…
13 hours ago
DW News
ONGOING
Clashes over water resources in Chad kill over 40 people
Community clashes over water resources are becoming increasingly common in Chad, feuled by extreme weather. The latest violence spread across a wide area around a water well, prompting the military…
15 hours ago
Middle East
LIVE16
The National
ONGOING
Iran war has shown the world the limits of US satellite dominance
The battle for control of information has been a major part of conflict since the technology revolution of the late 20th century. Behind the modern front lines of propaganda, censorship and social…
2 hours ago
Al Jazeera
ONGOING
Gunmen kill at least 29 in Nigeria’s northeast Adamawa State
The ISIL affiliate in the region has claimed responsibility for the attack on Guyaku village, which lasted for hours.
2 hours ago
The National
ONGOING
Oil prices near $110 as stalled US-Iran talks stoke supply concerns
Oil prices hovered close to $110 per barrel on Tuesday morning as traders evaluated prospects for peace talks in the Middle East. The US is reviewing a new proposal from Iran while the vital Strait…
3 hours ago
Guardian ME
ONGOING
Israel’s direction poses ‘existential threat’ to Judaism, UK’s leading progressive rabbis warn
Rabbis Charley Baginsky and Josh Levy say criticising Israeli government is not disloyalty but a Jewish obligation The UK’s most senior progressive rabbis have warned that Israel’s current political…
3 hours ago
Guardian ME
ONGOING
Sudan paramilitary leaders acquired £17.7m property portfolio in Dubai, investigation reveals
The RSF leadership, accused of committing genocide, used UAE as a ‘safe haven’ for family members and their wealth, records show A network linked to the leadership of a militia accused of genocide…
3 hours ago
Al Jazeera
ONGOING
Mexican military captures cartel commander Audias Flores
The Mexican military released footage of an operation resulting in the capture of Audias Flores.
3 hours ago
Al Jazeera
ONGOING
Mexico’s Jalisco drug cartel commander ‘El Jardinero’ found hiding in ditch
Mexican Navy says special forces apprehended Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader 'without a single shot being fired'.
3 hours ago
BBC Middle East
ONGOING
Israeli strikes kill 14 in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire
The US announced three days ago that the ceasefire was extended by three weeks after talks.
yesterday
The National
ONGOING
Twinning movement boosts links between Palestinian and UK cities
Councils across the UK are forming a new wave of “friendships” with towns in Palestine, in a bid to strengthen links between communities and support scholarships. The city of Preston in the north of…
2 hours ago
Al Jazeera
DEVELOPING ×5
Tailgating to be allowed at Boston World Cup matches as FIFA changes stance
Boston World Cup host committee says fans will be allowed to tailgate for all seven matches at the Gillette Stadium.
58 minutes ago
Guardian ME
DEVELOPING ×5
Lebanon accuses Israel of committing ‘ecocide’ in country since 2023
Claim by environment minister opens new report into profound ecological damage allegedly done by IDF forces Lebanon’s minister for the environment has accused Israel’s military of committing “an act…
1 hour ago
The National
DEVELOPING ×5
Iran containment ‘failed miserably’, UAE official says
In today’s episode of Trending Middle East , Dr Anwar Gargash said Gulf efforts to contain Iran have failed, warning the region must prepare for a long-term threat from Tehran. We also hear that…
2 hours ago
Al Jazeera
ONGOING
Oil prices rise despite Iran’s proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz
Brent crude rises more than 1 percent despite Iran's offer to reopen waterway in exchange for deferral of nuclear talks.
2 hours ago
The National
ONGOING
'Signed, sealed, delivered!' Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua to fight in 'Battle of Britain'
Tyson Fury will meet long-time heavyweight rival Anthony Joshua in a "Battle of Britain", promoters for both boxers confirmed on Monday evening. Joshua will face Albanian heavyweight Kristian Prenga…
3 hours ago
Guardian ME
ONGOING
German tourist dies after being bitten at snake show on family holiday in Egypt
Man, 57, was watching snake-charming show when reptile crawled into his trousers, say German police A German tourist has died after a snake crawled into his trousers and bit him as he watched a show…
14 hours ago
Guardian ME
ONGOING
Middle East crisis: Iran’s foreign ministry condemns US seizure of Iranian-linked tankers as ‘piracy and armed robbery’ – as it happened
Spokesperson Esmail Baghaei says actions of the United States ‘strike at the heart of international law’ as blockade continues in strait of Hormuz Iran is proposing that shipping companies should pay…
10 hours ago
Africa
LIVE20
Premium Times
ONGOING
2027: NNPP fixes date for primaries for all elective positions
The party said it would adopt the consensus mode of election in all the wards across the country. The post 2027: NNPP fixes date for primaries for all elective positions appeared first on Premium…
2 hours ago
Premium Times
ONGOING
Gov Namadi signs polling unit development fund, university conversion laws
“The Polling Unit Development Fund will allow members of the community in each polling unit to be able to decide some of the small development projects they will undertake.” The post Gov Namadi signs…
3 hours ago
Africanews
ONGOING
Security, politics and protest: top stories in {Africanews Today}
Life is gradually returning to normal in Mali, according to testimonies gathered after the jihadist attack that claimed the life of General Sadio Camara.
11 hours ago
Premium Times
ONGOING
United Capital Group completes recapitalisation of SEC-regulated subsidiaries over a year ahead of deadline
In line with applicable regulations, United Capital has submitted all required audited documentation to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to confirm its full compliance with the revised…
8 hours ago
Premium Times
ONGOING
Xenophobia: Two Nigerians killed in South Africa
Last week, videos of violence against African migrants in South Africa circulated online. The post Xenophobia: Two Nigerians killed in South Africa appeared first on Premium Times Nigeria .
9 hours ago
Premium Times
ONGOING
$6bn Mambilla Fraud Trial: Witness says disputed FEC minutes came from SGF’s office
Monday’s testimony adds to a series of contested claims that have emerged during the trial over the validity of the Mambilla contract and whether it received FEC approval. The post $6bn Mambilla…
9 hours ago
Africanews
DEVELOPING ×5
Mali's PM urges public to remain calm during visit to victims of coordinated attacks
The Prime Minister of Mali's transitional government, General Abdoulaye Maiga, on Monday visited some of the injured in Saturday's attacks by jihadi and rebel forces that killed the country's defence…
2 hours ago
News24
ONGOING
News24 | Insurance shows up real-life odds of thriving after a cancer diagnosis
Discovery Life recently released its 2025 claim statistics. They make for sobering reading.
11 hours ago
Africanews
ONGOING
Putin says Russia ready to support peace efforts in Middle East
Russian President Vladimir Putin told Iran's top diplomat that Moscow would do everything it could to help secure peace in the Middle East, during a meeting in Saint Petersburg on Monday.
12 hours ago
News24
ONGOING
News24 | Junior Boks floor Pumas after Benade hat-trick in Rugby Champs opener
The Junior Springboks were too strong for Argentina in their opening Rugby Championship fixture in Gqeberha on Sunday.
13 hours ago
News24
ONGOING
News24 | Tuesday’s weather: Cold snap expected across SA with some areas dropping to near-freezing
The South African Weather Service has issued multiple warnings for damaging winds and waves along the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal coastline, while very cold conditions are expected over the…
14 hours ago
Africanews
ONGOING
14 Killed in crash near Juba as poor weather suspected
A tragic aviation accident in Juba has left 14 people dead after a Cessna aircraft crashed on the outskirts of the capital.
14 hours ago
Africanews
ONGOING
Malians respond to the death of defence Minister Sadio Camara
Malians have been reacting to the death of the Mininster of Defence Sadio Camara over the weekend. The 47 year old Camara a key junta member, was killed on Saturday in a car bomb attack at his home…
14 hours ago
BBC Africa
ONGOING
Russian fighters confirm withdrawal from northern Mali city after separatist attacks
Ethnic Tuareg fighters say they are in control of Kidal following a weekend of nationwide attacks, alongside Islamist groups.
15 hours ago
BBC Africa
ONGOING
Plane crash in South Sudan kills all 15 on board
The authorities are investigating but early reports suggest bad weather and poor visibility may be to blame.
15 hours ago
BBC Africa
ONGOING
Gunmen raid Nigerian orphanage and kidnap children
The attack saw 23 children and the facility's proprietress kidnapped by gunmen on Sunday.
15 hours ago
News24
ONGOING
News24 | Suspected Dutch drug mule arrested with 60kg of khat at OR Tambo airport
A Dutch national has been arrested at OR Tambo International Airport after police discovered 60kg of khat concealed in his luggage.
16 hours ago
News24
ONGOING
News24 | International community, including US, sends Freedom Day well-wishes to SA
South Africa has received well-wishes, even from an unlikely ally, the United States, as it commemorates Freedom Day.
18 hours ago
BBC Africa
ONGOING
How special Sawe broke iconic sub-two-hour barrier
Kenya's Sabastian Sawe on becoming the first person to break the two-hour barrier for the marathon.
19 hours ago
BBC Africa
ONGOING
At least 42 killed in Chad after water well dispute escalates
The dispute was initially between two families before escalating into a cycle of reprisal attacks.
22 hours ago
Latin America
LIVE1Asia-Pacific
LIVE18
The Hindu
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
How a surgeon kept a Sudan hospital functioning on the war’s front line
Dr. Jamal Eltaeb was leading Al Nao hospital in Omdurman, just outside the capital, Khartoum, as control of the urban area shifted between Sudan’s army and paramilitary fighters
59 minutes ago
The Diplomat
ONGOING
ALERT
Central Asians in Russia-Ukraine War: From Forced Recruitment to Economic Recruitment
Has Russia’s war become an extension of the migrant labor economy for Central Asians?
16 hours ago
South China Morning Post
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
Trump’s Golden Dome targets China’s ‘hypersonic weapons, cruise missiles’ - South China Morning Post
Trump’s Golden Dome targets China’s ‘hypersonic weapons, cruise missiles’ South China Morning Post
8 hours ago
BBC Asia
ONGOING
Rescuers race to free survivors trapped inside train after fatal Indonesia crash
Two trains collided on the outskirts of the Indonesian capital on Monday, killing at least 14 people.
3 hours ago
Nikkei Asia
ONGOING
Tokyo condo boom cools off as interest rates rise - Nikkei Asia
Tokyo condo boom cools off as interest rates rise Nikkei Asia
yesterday
Asia News
ONGOING
TIBET – CHINA Beijing slams the election to the 18th Tibetan parliament-in-exile - AsiaNews
TIBET – CHINA Beijing slams the election to the 18th Tibetan parliament-in-exile AsiaNews
17 hours ago
Nikkei Asia
ONGOING
Japan's Idemitsu Kosan secures 4m barrels of crude oil for Vietnam - Nikkei Asia
Japan's Idemitsu Kosan secures 4m barrels of crude oil for Vietnam Nikkei Asia
14 hours ago
Nikkei Asia
ONGOING
Samsung eyes exit from China TV, appliance sales to focus on US - Nikkei Asia
Samsung eyes exit from China TV, appliance sales to focus on US Nikkei Asia
17 hours ago
The Diplomat
ONGOING
Iran Crisis: Pakistan’s Prominence and India’s Strategic Silence
While Pakistan has stepped up to try and mediate between the U.S. and Iran, India has taken a much quieter approach.
10 hours ago
The Diplomat
ONGOING
Watching Iran, China Hopes to Learn New Tricks for the Taiwan Strait
Beijing is learning a lot from Iran’s Hormuz Strait closure and how it could apply Tehran’s methods to a future conflict with the U.S. over Taiwan.
11 hours ago
Nikkei Asia
ONGOING
Beijing blocks Meta's $2bn acquisition of Manus after security review - Nikkei Asia
Beijing blocks Meta's $2bn acquisition of Manus after security review Nikkei Asia
22 hours ago
The Hindu
DEVELOPING ×5
West Bengal polls final phase: BJP eyes breach of TMC’s south Bengal fortress amid SIR shadow
Despite the BJP’s aggressive push five years ago, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s party swept south Bengal and retained control of the state with ease
53 minutes ago
The Hindu
DEVELOPING ×5
Telangana fuel rush | 11,490 KL petrol, 18,449 KL diesel supplied on April 27; Civil Supplies Dept urges people not to hoard
57 minutes ago
The Hindu
ONGOING
Earth Day 2026: Unwrapping India’s plastic packaging problem — from boom to burden
Transparent plastics used in packaging have turbocharged profits and reshaped consumer culture — but at a heavy cost to our environment and health
59 minutes ago
CNA
DEVELOPING ×5
Sentosa unveils scenic posting box at Palawan Beach for visitors to send postcards worldwide
Pen a letter home – wherever in the world that may be – with picturesque views of the South China Sea at Palawan Beach on Sentosa Island.
1 hour ago
The Hindu
DEVELOPING ×5
White House to review presidential security; spotlight on line of succession
The foiled attack at the Washington Hilton hotel, the venue of the White House Correspondents Association Dinner, has also brought into focus the presidential line of succession as several cabinet…
1 hour ago
Energy & Resources
LIVE15
Reuters Energy
ALERT
Conflict
Renewables in vogue as Iran war drives up Europe power prices - Reuters
Reuters Energy
ALERT
Conflict
Gulf economies head for worst crisis since pandemic as war roils energy lifeline - Reuters
Reuters Energy
ALERT
Conflict
China's clean tech exporters cash in as Iran war hits oil & gas flows - Reuters
Nuclear Energy
Diplomatic
National Reactor Innovation Center announces first selections for Nuclear Energy Launch Pad - Idaho National Laboratory (.gov)
Nuclear Energy
TerraPower breaks ground on a rarity: A nuclear reactor, Wyoming’s first - Idaho State Journal
Nuclear Energy
Steffan Szumowki From the Nuclear Energy Content Hub Notes A Record US Shipbuilding Request to Benefit Nuclear Names - Yahoo Finance
Reuters Energy
US to end more offshore wind leases in exchange for fossil fuel investments - Reuters
Nuclear Energy
Bill Gates’ TerraPower Starts Construction on First U.S. Advanced Nuclear Reactor - ESG Today
Oil & Gas
This price for Brent crude is more important for its outlook than $100, charts show - MarketWatch
Oil & Gas
Exclusive: JPMorgan among banks providing financing for Kuwaiti oil pipeline stake deal - Reuters
Government
LIVE19
UN News
ONGOING
ALERT
World News in Brief: Sudan drone attacks condemned, South Sudan violence, airstrikes in Ukraine, South Africa Freedom Day
The United Nations has condemned two recent drone attacks in Sudan, one of which left seven dead, Spokesperson Stéphane Dujarric said on Monday during his regular media briefing in New York.
19 hours ago
UN News
ONGOING
As warheads proliferate, decades old nuclear weapons treaty must evolve, warns UN chief
With top diplomats gathered at UN Headquarters to review the 1970 Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the UN Secretary-General warned that it must evolve to survive the age of…
19 hours ago
State Dept
ONGOING
dvprogram - U.S. Department of State (.gov)
dvprogram U.S. Department of State (.gov)
4 hours ago
State Dept
ONGOING
- U.S. Department of State (.gov)
U.S. Department of State (.gov)
6 hours ago
White House
ONGOING
Presidential Message on National Apprenticeship Week
Briefings & Statements Search Select Category All News Briefings & Statements All Presidential Actions Executive Orders Nominations & Appointments Presidential Memoranda Proclamations Fact Sheets…
10 hours ago
Pentagon
ONGOING
Navy Commissions Submarine USS Idaho
The Navy commissioned the submarine USS Idaho in a traditional ceremony at Naval Submarine Base New London in Groton, Conn., bringing cutting-edge warfighting capability to the nation's undersea…
12 hours ago
White House
ONGOING
Congressional Bill H.J.Res. 140 Signed into Law
Briefings & Statements Search Select Category All News Briefings & Statements All Presidential Actions Executive Orders Nominations & Appointments Presidential Memoranda Proclamations Fact Sheets…
13 hours ago
Pentagon
ONGOING
U.S., Moroccan Air Forces Project Combat Power During Exercise African Lion 26
During Exercise African Lion 26, a joint flyover of U.S. and Moroccan aircraft inaugurated Morocco's first accredited joint terminal attack controller qualification course to enhance regional…
15 hours ago
DOJ
ONGOING
Suspect in White House Correspondents’ Dinner Shooting Charged with Attempt to Assassinate the President - Department of Justice (.gov)
Suspect in White House Correspondents’ Dinner Shooting Charged with Attempt to Assassinate the President Department of Justice (.gov)
8 hours ago
Treasury
ONGOING
TREASURY AUCTION RESULTS - U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data (.gov)
TREASURY AUCTION RESULTS U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data (.gov)
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Treasury
ONGOING
TREASURY AUCTION RESULTS - U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data (.gov)
TREASURY AUCTION RESULTS U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data (.gov)
9 hours ago
UN News
ONGOING
Afghanistan risks losing 25,000 women teachers and health workers
Restrictions on girls’ education and women’s employment in Afghanistan could leave the country with a deficit of over 25,000 female teachers and health workers by 2030, the UN Children’s Fund…
19 hours ago
UN News
ONGOING
Central Sahel: Millions of children in humanitarian need, UNICEF official warns
Nearly 7.5 million children across the Central Sahel region in Africa are in urgent need of humanitarian assistance – “an emergency that remains too far from the attention of the international…
19 hours ago
UN News
ONGOING
MIDDLE EAST LIVE 27 April: Everyone’s paying the price for Hormuz closure, Guterres warns Security Council
The recently extended ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon remains under strain as violence continues, with civilian deaths and injuries reported in Israeli strikes over the weekend. Meanwhile, the…
19 hours ago
Treasury
ONGOING
READOUT: Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent’s Meeting with European Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security Maroš Šefčovič - U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov)
READOUT: Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent’s Meeting with European Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security Maroš Šefčovič U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov)
12 hours ago
DOJ
ONGOING
Jay Bryant Pleads Guilty as Accomplice to the Murder of Run-Dmc’s Jason Mizell, Also Known as “Jam Master Jay” - Department of Justice (.gov)
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13 hours ago
DOJ
ONGOING
Office of Public Affairs | Prolific Chinese State-Sponsored Contract Hacker Extradited from Italy - Department of Justice (.gov)
Office of Public Affairs | Prolific Chinese State-Sponsored Contract Hacker Extradited from Italy Department of Justice (.gov)
13 hours ago
Think Tanks
LIVE14
Foreign Affairs
ALERT
Conflict
The Iran War’s Threat to Turkey
Foreign Policy
Latin America’s Anti-Women Movement Is Spreading
Foreign Policy
Conflict
What Congress Could Do to Stop the War
Foreign Policy
Conflict
The Iran War Is Tearing Trump’s Coalition Apart
Foreign Affairs
The Disposable Oligarchs
Atlantic Council
Taking the Three Seas Initiative to the next level
Foreign Policy
The U.S. Shouldn’t Rule the Seas Forever
Foreign Policy
Iran Offers to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Atlantic Council
Three scenarios for the USMCA’s review—and why auto manufacturers should prepare now
●
War on the Rocks
Confronting the Past and Present, Lessons from Chornobyl
●
War on the Rocks
From Slogan to Standard: How the Pentagon Should Define Affordable Mass
●
War on the Rocks
Beijing’s United Front and the Quiet Transfer of Western Technology
●
War on the Rocks
The Importance of the Battle of Savo Island
Predictions
Prediction Markets Real-money forecasting markets:
- Prices reflect crowd probability estimates
- Higher volume = more reliable signal
- Geopolitical and current events focus
Polymarket
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Polymarket
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Metals & Materials
Commodities Tradeable non-energy commodity tape focused on metals and materials. Energy prices live in Energy Complex; macro stress indicators live in Macro Stress.
GOLD
$4,643
-1.08%
SILVER
$73.19
-2.45%
COPPER
$6.05
-0.41%
PLATINUM
$1,961
-1.86%
PALLADIUM
$1,455
-2.11%
ALUMINUM
$3,504
-0.46%
TTF GAS
$43.91
-1.65%
GASOLINE
$3.40
+0.95%
HEATING OIL
$3.92
+0.98%
URANIUM
$56.70
+2.51%
LITHIUM
$84.95
+1.38%
COAL
$104.75
+8.32%
WHEAT
$635.25
+0.87%
CORN
$471.00
+0.37%
SOYBEANS
$1,189
-0.27%
RICE
$11.08
-0.32%
COFFEE
$288.45
-0.02%
SUGAR
$13.99
+0.14%
COCOA
$3,287
-0.27%
COTTON
$79.82
+0.58%
Energy Complex
Energy Complex Physical and tradeable energy signals in one place:
- EIA metrics: WTI, Brent, US production, and inventories
- Live tape: Tradeable energy prices like crude and natural gas
- Purpose: Separate physical energy stress from broader macro and commodity panels
US Crude Inventories (Mb)
870774.0 Mb
-2211.0 WoW
2026-04-17
US Nat Gas Storage (Bcf)
2063 Bcf
+103 WoW
2026-04-17
EU Gas Storage (Fill %)
31.5%
+0.28% 1d
injecting
2026-04-25
Live Tape
OIL
$98.30
+2.00%
BRENT
$103.68
+1.96%
NATGAS
$2.72
-0.44%
IEA Oil Stocks — Days of Cover
| # | Ctry | Days | vs 90d |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NL | 469 d | +379 |
| 2 | DK | 371 d | +281 |
| 3 | FI | 292 d | +202 |
| 4 | HU | 214 d | +124 |
| 5 | JP | 208 d | +118 |
| 6 | KR | 200 d | +110 |
| 7 | SE | 177 d | +87 |
| 8 | LT | 176 d | +86 |
| 9 | BE | 169 d | +79 |
| 10 | CH | 165 d | +75 |
| 11 | SK | 163 d | +73 |
| 12 | IT | 136 d | +46 |
| 13 | GR | 135 d | +45 |
| 14 | DE | 130 d | +40 |
| 15 | GB | 124 d | +34 |
| 16 | PL | 121 d | +31 |
| 17 | PT | 121 d | +31 |
| 18 | CZ | 120 d | +30 |
| 19 | FR | 117 d | +27 |
| 20 | LV | 117 d | +27 |
| 21 | AT | 114 d | +24 |
| 22 | IE | 110 d | +20 |
| 23 | ES | 98 d | +8 |
| 24 | LU | 96 d | +6 |
| 25 | TR | 96 d | +6 |
| 26 | NZ | 88 dBelow 90d | -2 |
| 27 | AU | 49 dBelow 90d | -41 |
| 28 | CA | Net Exporter | — |
| 29 | MX | Net Exporter | — |
| 30 | US | Net Exporter | — |
| 31 | NO | Net Exporter | — |
Europeavg 167d / min 96d
Asia-Pacificavg 136d / min 49d2 below 90d
North America3 net exporter(s)
Data: 2025-12 (IEA)
Oil Inventories
Oil Inventories US crude oil and SPR stockpiles (EIA weekly), natural gas storage, EU gas fill percentage (GIE AGSI+), and OECD oil stocks days-of-cover (IEA monthly).
US Total Oil Stocks
Total: 1275819.0 Mb (2026-04-17) | Commercial: 870774.0 -2211.0 WoW | SPR: 405045.0 -4136.0 WoW
Commercial
SPR
US Nat Gas Working Storage
Storage: 2063 Bcf +103.0 WoW
EU Gas Storage Fill
Fill: 31.5% | Trend: injecting | +0.28%/d
IEA OECD Oil Stocks (Days of Cover)
Europe avg 167d | AsiaPac avg 136d | 2 below 90d | Data: 2025-12
Refinery Throughput
US Refinery Crude Inputs: 15987.0 Mb/d (2026-04-17)
Source: EIA, IEA, GIE AGSI+
Markets
Markets Real-time stock indices, equities, and crypto prices. Customize your watchlist with the Watchlist button. Sparklines show recent price trend.
Market data temporarily unavailable
Premium Stock AnalysisPRO
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Premium BacktestingPRO
Premium Backtesting Historical performance backtests for stocks in your watchlist — past returns, max drawdown, and volatility metrics.
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Daily Market BriefPRO
Daily Market Brief AI-generated daily summary of global market conditions, key macro trends, and sector-level signals — refreshes each trading day.
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WM Analyst AI analyst with live context across geopolitical, market, military, and economic domains. Powered by Claude with real-time data injected from active WorldMonitor feeds.
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Macro Stress
Macro Stress Macro gauges, government spending, and central bank data:
- Indicators: VIX, rates, yield curve, labor, inflation
- Gov: Recent US government contract awards
- Central Banks: BIS policy rates and exchange rate data
Macro pressure
Steady
Macro conditions are stable for now.
VIX
VIXCLS
18.71
-0.6
Fed Funds Rate
FEDFUNDS
3.64%
0%
10Y-2Y Spread
T10Y2Y
0.57%
+0.04%
Unemployment
UNRATE
4.3%
-0.1%
VIX
VIXCLS
18.71
-0.6
2026-04-24
Fed Funds Rate
FEDFUNDS
3.64%
0%
2026-03-01
10Y-2Y Spread
T10Y2Y
0.57%
+0.04%
2026-04-27
Unemployment
UNRATE
4.3%
-0.1%
2026-03-01
HY Spread
BAMLH0A0HYM2
2.86%
0%
2026-04-24
Jobless Claims
ICSA
214,000
+6,000
2026-04-18
30Y Mortgage
MORTGAGE30US
6.23%
-0.07%
2026-04-23
M2 Supply
M2SL
22.7$T
+0.2$T
2026-02-01
CPI Index
CPIAUCSL
330.3
+2.8
2026-03-01
10Y Treasury
DGS10
4.31%
-0.03%
2026-04-24
Fed Total Assets
WALCL
6,707.4$T
+1.7$T
2026-04-22
Trade Policy
Trade Policy WTO baseline and tariff-impact monitoring:
- Overview: WTO MFN baseline rates with US effective-rate context when available
- Tariffs: WTO MFN tariff trends vs the US effective tariff estimate
- Trade Flows: Export/import volumes with year-over-year changes
- Barriers: Technical barriers to trade (TBT/SPS notifications)
- Revenue: Monthly US customs duties revenue (US Treasury MTS data)
Loading...
Supply Chain
Supply Chain Monitor Global logistics and resource tracking:
- Chokepoints: Maritime transit status, disruption scores, and vessel counts
- Shipping: Baltic Dry Index and freight rate trends
- Minerals: Critical mineral concentration risk (HHI) and top producers
Strait of Hormuz
70/100
red
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
eastbound/westbound
WoW change: ▲82.6%
Disruption: 100.0%
Risk level: critical
560 incidents (7d)
War Zone
~2.5 mb/d (12% of 21 baseline) ⚠ HORMUZ-26
Active conflict — Iran-Israel war; Iranian naval blockade risk and mines reported in Persian Gulf
Gulf Oil Exports, Qatar LNG, Iran Exports
Kerch Strait
70/100
red
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲8.9%
War Zone
Active conflict zone; Russia controls Kerch Bridge; Ukraine grain exports via Azov severely restricted
Ukraine Grain (Azov), Russia Azov Ports, Crimea Supply
Bab el-Mandeb
40/100
yellow
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▼1.7%
Disruption: 100.0%
Risk level: critical
27 incidents (7d)
Critical
~5.9 mb/d (96% of 6.2 baseline)
JWC Listed Area — active Houthi attacks on commercial shipping
Suez-Indian Ocean, Gulf-Europe Oil, Red Sea Transit
Suez Canal
30/100
yellow
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▼6.3%
Disruption: 100.0%
Risk level: elevated
9 incidents (7d)
High
~6.1 mb/d (81% of 7.6 baseline)
JWC Listed Area — adjacent to active Red Sea conflict and Iran-Israel war spillover
China-Europe (Suez), Gulf-Europe Oil, Qatar LNG-Europe
Bosporus Strait
25/100
yellow
0 warning(s) · 1 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▼7.3%
Disruption: 100.0%
Risk level: elevated
324 incidents (7d)
Elevated
~3 mb/d (102% of 2.9 baseline)
Montreux Convention restrictions; elevated due to Russia-Ukraine war and periodic Turkish traffic controls
Russia Black Sea Exports, Ukraine Grain, Caspian Oil Transit
Taiwan Strait
20/100
yellow
0 warning(s) · 1 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▼3.8%
Disruption: 100.0%
Risk level: critical
594 incidents (7d)
Elevated
Cross-strait military tensions and PLA exercises
China-Japan Trade, Korea-Southeast Asia, Pacific Semiconductor
Cape of Good Hope
15/100
green
0 warning(s) · 1 AIS disruption(s)
eastbound/westbound
WoW change: ▲2.8%
Normal
No active disruptions
Asia-Europe (Cape Route), Gulf-Americas Oil, Suez Bypass
Dover Strait
15/100
green
0 warning(s) · 1 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲6.3%
Normal
~2.4 mb/d (81% of 3 baseline)
No active disruptions
North Sea-Atlantic, Europe Intra-Trade, UK-Continental Europe
Strait of Malacca
0/100
green
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲0.7%
Normal
~12.5 mb/d (73% of 17.2 baseline)
No active disruptions
China-Middle East Oil, China-Europe (via Suez), Japan-Middle East Oil
Panama Canal
0/100
green
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲13.3%
Normal
~1.2 mb/d (134% of 0.9 baseline)
No active disruptions
US East Coast-Asia, US East Coast-South America, Atlantic-Pacific Bulk
Strait of Gibraltar
0/100
green
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
eastbound/westbound
WoW change: ▲5.6%
Normal
No active disruptions
Atlantic-Mediterranean, Gulf-Europe Oil (final leg), India-Europe
Korea Strait
0/100
green
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲1.0%
Normal
No active disruptions
Japan-Korea Trade, China-Japan (alternate), Pacific-East Asia
Lombok Strait
0/100
green
0 warning(s) · 0 AIS disruption(s)
northbound/southbound
WoW change: ▲10.0%
Normal
No active disruptions
Malacca Bypass (VLCCs), Australia-Asia, Indian Ocean-Pacific
Financial
LIVE20
CNBC
DEVELOPING ×5
ALERT
Oil major BP beats profit expectations as Iran war boosts fuel prices
The results come shortly after BP's board suffered a shareholder revolt at its annual general meeting.
58 minutes ago
Reuters Business
ONGOING
ALERT
Two months into Iran war, economic strain mounts across emerging markets - Reuters
Two months into Iran war, economic strain mounts across emerging markets Reuters
17 hours ago
Reuters Business
ONGOING
OpenAI falls short of revenue and user targets as it races toward IPO, WSJ reports - Reuters
OpenAI falls short of revenue and user targets as it races toward IPO, WSJ reports Reuters
4 hours ago
CNBC
ONGOING
Bank of Japan keeps policy rate steady while raising inflation forecast on Iran war worries
The decision to keep rates steady came in a split 6-3 vote, and was in line with Reuters-polled analysts' estimates.
2 hours ago
Financial Times
ONGOING
A troubling plan to revive the frozen US property market
Buyers should beware the real estate dark pools
3 hours ago
MarketWatch
ONGOING
California is one step closer to America’s first billionaire wealth tax — and the divide between red and blue state taxes is getting deeper - MarketWatch
California is one step closer to America’s first billionaire wealth tax — and the divide between red and blue state taxes is getting deeper MarketWatch
6 hours ago
Financial Times
ONGOING
Rivian CEO’s $403mn pay package dwarfs those of top US car bosses
Founder of electric-truck maker earns about 13 times more than next best-paid American auto executive
7 hours ago
CNBC
DEVELOPING ×5
European markets to open higher as Trump considers Iran peace proposal
European stocks are expected to open higher on Tuesday as investors assess the latest developments in the Iran war, and look ahead to earnings reports.
2 hours ago
Reuters Business
ONGOING
Citi to boost Japan, China investment banking teams, plans senior sector-focused hires - Reuters
Citi to boost Japan, China investment banking teams, plans senior sector-focused hires Reuters
13 hours ago
Financial Times
ONGOING
Iran’s hardliners fight over talks with US
As the regime’s leaders project unity, lawmakers are divided on negotiations about Tehran’s nuclear programme
3 hours ago
Financial Times
ONGOING
Coffee, fuel and houses: why Trump has an inflation problem
The US president’s war in Iran has worsened America’s affordability crisis
3 hours ago
Financial Times
ONGOING
Wall Street dealers boost Treasury holdings to highest level since 2007
Trump administration’s push to cut regulations prompts big banks to facilitate more trading in government debt
3 hours ago
Reuters Business
ONGOING
Thermo Fisher to sell microbiology business to PE firm Astorg for over $1 billion - Reuters
Thermo Fisher to sell microbiology business to PE firm Astorg for over $1 billion Reuters
18 hours ago
CNBC
ONGOING
Judge in Musk v. Altman seats nine-person jury. Opening arguments start Tuesday
The Musk v. Altman trial kicked off at a federal courthouse in Oakland, California, with jury selection followed by opening arguments.
8 hours ago
Reuters Business
ONGOING
Samsung Elec to withdraw home appliances, TV sales from China this year, Nikkei reports - Reuters
Samsung Elec to withdraw home appliances, TV sales from China this year, Nikkei reports Reuters
19 hours ago
CNBC
ONGOING
Cole Allen charged with trying to assassinate Trump at WHCD event
The Secret Service is facing scrutiny over security at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, where President Donald Trump was evacuated Saturday.
9 hours ago
MarketWatch
ONGOING
Bed Bath & Beyond is seeing new life, as rare sales growth lifts stock more than 25% - MarketWatch
Bed Bath & Beyond is seeing new life, as rare sales growth lifts stock more than 25% MarketWatch
9 hours ago
MarketWatch
ONGOING
Poet Technologies’ stock craters nearly 50% in record drop, as Marvell relationship sours - MarketWatch
Poet Technologies’ stock craters nearly 50% in record drop, as Marvell relationship sours MarketWatch
12 hours ago
MarketWatch
ONGOING
Elon Musk is about to get a lot richer. It was worth the headaches. - MarketWatch
Elon Musk is about to get a lot richer. It was worth the headaches. MarketWatch
13 hours ago
MarketWatch
ONGOING
Why JPMorgan is telling investors to keep buying the dips even as market hits new highs - MarketWatch
Why JPMorgan is telling investors to keep buying the dips even as market hits new highs MarketWatch
22 hours ago
Technology
LIVE15
Hacker News
Economic
San Francisco, AI capital of the world, is an economic laggard
The Verge
Tech
Jury selection in Musk v. Altman: ‘People don’t like him’
Hacker News
Tech
Show HN: AgentSwift – Open-source iOS builder agent
Hacker News
Tech
Ted Nyman – High Performance Git
Hacker News
Integrated by Design
MIT Tech Review
Elon Musk and Sam Altman are going to court over OpenAI’s future
The Verge
Trump demands ABC fire Jimmy Kimmel
MIT Tech Review
The missing step between hype and profit
MIT Tech Review
Rebuilding the data stack for AI
Crypto
Crypto Live prices, 24h changes, and volume for major cryptocurrencies. Data sourced from CoinGecko.
Bitcoin
BTC
$76,933.511
-1.18%
Ethereum
ETH
$2,290.69
-1.51%
BNB
BNB
$625.333
-0.66%
Solana
SOL
$84.103
-2.15%
XRP
XRP
$1.393
-1.90%
Cardano
ADA
$0.248
-0.40%
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.1
+1.37%
TRON
TRX
$0.324
+0.17%
Avalanche
AVAX
$9.23
-0.69%
Chainlink
LINK
$9.28
-0.90%
Sector Heatmap
Sector Heatmap S&P 500 sector performance at a glance. Color intensity reflects the magnitude of daily change. Green = gains, Red = losses.
XLK
+0.22%
Technology
XLF
+0.76%
Financials
XLE
-0.18%
Energy
XLV
-0.50%
Health Care
XLY
-0.72%
Consumer Disc.
XLI
+0.02%
Industrials
XLP
-1.07%
Con. Staples
XLU
+0.02%
Utilities
XLB
-0.27%
Materials
XLRE
-0.78%
Real Estate
XLC
+0.23%
Comm. Svcs
SMH
-0.04%
Semiconductors
AI/ML
LIVE18
AI News
ONGOING
Our eighth generation TPUs: two chips for the agentic era - blog.google
Our eighth generation TPUs: two chips for the agentic era blog.google
3 hours ago
The Verge AI
ONGOING
Microsoft and OpenAI’s famed AGI agreement is dead
OpenAI and Microsoft's partnership-turned-situationship just got even less committed. And a clause about artificial general intelligence, which has for years dictated the future of their deal, has…
15 hours ago
AI News
ONGOING
Google signs classified AI deal with Pentagon, The Information reports - Reuters
Google signs classified AI deal with Pentagon, The Information reports Reuters
2 hours ago
The Verge AI
ONGOING
Jury selection in Musk v. Altman: ‘People don’t like him’
On Monday, the courtroom battle between Elon Musk and Sam Altman over alleged broken promises at OpenAI started, as usual, with jury selection. The only tricky part? A lot of the prospective jurors…
3 hours ago
MIT Tech Review
ONGOING
Elon Musk and Sam Altman are going to court over OpenAI’s future
After a yearslong legal feud, Elon Musk and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman are heading to trial this week in Northern California in a case that could have sweeping consequences. Ahead of OpenAI’s highly…
8 hours ago
The Verge AI
ONGOING
Google is testing AI chatbot search for YouTube
Google is trying out an AI Mode-like search experience for YouTube. The company is now testing "a new way to search on YouTube that feels more like a conversation," with results pulling in things…
7 hours ago
ArXiv AI
ONGOING
An Intelligent Fault Diagnosis Method for General Aviation Aircraft Based on Multi-Fidelity Digital Twin and FMEA Knowledge Enhancement
arXiv:2604.22777v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fault diagnosis of general aviation aircraft faces challenges including scarce real fault data, diverse fault types, and weak fault signatures. This…
3 hours ago
ArXiv AI
ONGOING
PExA: Parallel Exploration Agent for Complex Text-to-SQL
arXiv:2604.22934v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based agents for text-to-SQL often struggle with latency-performance trade-off, where performance improvements come at the cost of latency or vice…
3 hours ago
ArXiv AI
ONGOING
The Power of Power Law: Asymmetry Enables Compositional Reasoning
arXiv:2604.22951v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Natural language data follows a power-law distribution, with most knowledge and skills appearing at very low frequency. While a common intuition…
3 hours ago
ArXiv AI
ONGOING
On the Existence of an Inverse Solution for Preference-Based Reductions in Argumentation
arXiv:2604.22958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Preference-based argumentation frameworks (PAFs) extend Dung's approach to abstract argumentation (AAFs) by encoding preferences over arguments. Such…
3 hours ago
ArXiv AI
ONGOING
Towards Causally Interpretable Wi-Fi CSI-Based Human Activity Recognition with Discrete Latent Compression and LTL Rule Extraction
arXiv:2604.22979v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We address Human Activity Recognition (HAR) utilizing Wi-Fi Channel State Information (CSI) under the joint requirements of causal interpretability,…
3 hours ago
The Verge AI
ONGOING
Canonical lays out a plan for AI in Ubuntu Linux
One of the most popular Linux distributions is about to get an influx of AI features. As reported by Phoronix , Jon Seager, VP of engineering at Ubuntu developer Canonical, shared a blog post on…
10 hours ago
MIT Tech Review
ONGOING
The missing step between hype and profit
This story originally appeared in The Algorithm, our weekly newsletter on AI. To get stories like this in your inbox first, sign up here . In February, I picked up a flyer at an anti-AI march in…
15 hours ago
The Verge AI
ONGOING
Google employees ask Sundar Pichai to say no to classified military AI use
Google CEO Sundar Pichai arrives for the inauguration of President Donald Trump. | Getty Images Over 600 Google employees signed a letter to CEO Sundar Pichai demanding that Google block the Pentagon…
13 hours ago
MIT Tech Review
ONGOING
Rebuilding the data stack for AI
Artificial intelligence may be dominating boardroom agendas, but many enterprises are discovering that the biggest obstacle to meaningful adoption is the state of their data. While consumer-facing AI…
18 hours ago
AI News
ONGOING
Google workers petition CEO to refuse classified AI work with Pentagon - The Washington Post
Google workers petition CEO to refuse classified AI work with Pentagon The Washington Post
8 hours ago
AI News
ONGOING
Hundreds of Google workers urge CEO to refuse classified AI work with Pentagon - CBS News
Hundreds of Google workers urge CEO to refuse classified AI work with Pentagon CBS News
10 hours ago
AI News
ONGOING
The next phase of the Microsoft OpenAI partnership - OpenAI
The next phase of the Microsoft OpenAI partnership OpenAI
16 hours ago
Layoffs Tracker
LIVE10
Layoffs.fyi
ALERT
Disaster
Meta and Microsoft have joined the tech layoff tsunami. Is AI really to blame? - The Straits Times
Layoffs News
Economic
Job Cuts Driven by A.I. Are Rising on Wall Street - The New York Times
Layoffs.fyi
Economic
Meta and Microsoft announce mass layoffs, as AI jobs massacre continues - World Socialist Web Site
Layoffs News
UnityPoint layoffs won't impact the QCA - KWQC
Layoffs.fyi
Shocking Layoffs (Up to 10%) Could Be Bearish for These 2 Tech Stocks - The Globe and Mail
Layoffs News
See the Corporate Layoffs So Far in 2026 - WSJ
My Monitors
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Fires
232NASA FIRMS VIIRS satellite thermal detections across monitored conflict regions. High-intensity = brightness >360K & confidence >80%.
| Region | Fires | High | FRP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 105 | 1 | 262 |
| Ukraine | 89 | 3 | 418 |
| Turkey | 33 | 0 | 52 |
| Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| Syria | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Total | 232 | 4 | 748 |
BTC Regime
BTC Regime Composite signal dashboard for Bitcoin positioning and risk appetite:
- Liquidity: Net Fed liquidity proxy
- Flow: BTC vs QQQ 5-day returns
- Regime: QQQ vs XLP rotation (risk-on/off)
- BTC Trend: Price vs SMA50/200, Mayer Multiple
- Hash Rate: 30-day network hash change
- Fear & Greed: Market sentiment index
Overall
₿ BTC
BUY
4/7 bullish
Flow
ALIGNED
BTC -2.1% / QQQ +2.7%
5d returns
Momentum
MODERATE
Mayer Multiple
Fear & Greed
Composite sentiment index: 10 weighted categories (volatility, positioning, breadth, momentum, liquidity, credit, macro, cross-asset, sentiment, trend).
Strong / Risk-On
AGGRESSIVE
18.02
VIX
2.86%
HY Spread
4.31%
10Y Yield
0.65
P/C Ratio
55.1%
% > 200d
67
CNN F&G
46.0%
AAII Bull
34.0%
AAII Bear
3.64%
Fed Rate
Category Breakdown
Sentiment
61
10% weight · +6.1 pts
Volatility
73
10% weight · +7.3 pts
Positioning
68
15% weight · +10.2 pts
Trend
92
10% weight · +9.2 pts
Breadth
37
10% weight · +3.7 pts
Momentum
90
10% weight · +9.0 pts
Liquidity
67
15% weight · +10.0 pts
Credit
82
10% weight · +8.2 pts
Macro
67
5% weight · +3.4 pts
Cross-Asset
67
5% weight · +3.4 pts
Market Breadth
Percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 20, 50, and 200-day simple moving averages. A measure of market participation and internal strength.
% Above 20-day SMA
59.4%
% Above 50-day SMA
52.5%
% Above 200-day SMA
54.7%
4/25/2026, 11:01:15 AM
Liquidity Shifts
Liquidity Shifts High-liquidity positioning and daily shift monitor for oil, gold, silver, equity index futures, and top US stocks. COT asset-manager net and leveraged-funds net vs daily price change.
Oil / Gold / Silver + Index Positioning (COT)
Crude Oil (WTI)
CL • Long 220477 / Short 77076
+48.19%
Gold
GC • Long 125908 / Short 30410
+61.09%
Silver
SI • Long 13559 / Short 4696
+48.55%
S&P 500 futures
ES • Long 1207865 / Short 191715
+72.60%
Lev -62.4%
Nasdaq futures
NQ • Long 113281 / Short 30639
+57.42%
Lev -27.7%
Top US Stocks: Daily Shift
AAPL
AAPL
-1.27%
MSFT
MSFT
+0.05%
NVDA
NVDA
+4.00%
AMZN
AMZN
-1.09%
GOOGL
GOOGL
+1.72%
META
META
+0.53%
TSLA
TSLA
+0.63%
COT report date: 2026-04-21
24/7 Positioning
24/7 Positioning Perpetual contract positioning stress from Hyperliquid. Trades around the clock, showing what's building when traditional markets are closed. Composite score (0-100) from funding rate, volume, open interest, and spot-perp basis. Green = longs crowded (bullish lean), red = shorts crowded (bearish lean).
COMMODITIES
Platinum
0.006%
+22.5%
Silver
0.002%
+7.0%
Gold
0.001%
-0.3%
Natural Gas
0.002%
+1.3%
PAXG (gold)
-0.001%
-0.4%
Copper
0.001%
+0.8%
WTI Crude
0.001%
-0.1%
Brent Crude
0.000%
+0.2%
Palladium
0.002%
-0.1%
CRYPTO
ETH
-0.001%
-0.0%
BTC
-0.000%
-0.2%
SOL
-0.001%
-0.2%
FX
EUR
0.001%
-0.0%
JPY
-0.001%
+0.6%
Gold Intelligence
Gold Intelligence Gold spot price, gold/silver ratio, gold vs platinum premium, cross-currency XAU prices (EUR, GBP, JPY, CNY, INR, CHF), and CFTC managed money positioning. Sources: Yahoo Finance, CFTC COT.
Price & Performance
$4,639.10
-1.16%
Updated 7m ago • GC=F front-month
Session H $4,716.50 • L $4,636.50 • Prev $3,332.50
Returns
1W
-1.1%
1M
+3.4%
YTD
+7.7%
1Y
+39.4%
52-week range
Low $3,181.40
$4,639.10 • 69% of range
High $5,318.40
Metals Complex
Gold/Silver Ratio
63.6 Neutral
Gold vs Platinum
+136.4% premium
Silver
$72.95
Platinum
$1,962.00
Palladium
$1,454.00
Gold in Major Currencies
🇪🇺 XAU/EUR
3,967
🇬🇧 XAU/GBP
3,435
🇯🇵 XAU/JPY
738,985
🇨🇳 XAU/CNY
31,705
🇮🇳 XAU/INR
438,321
🇨🇭 XAU/CHF
5,880
CFTC Positioning
Managed Money (speculators) Δ -3,352
+61.1%
MM breakdown
L 125,908 / S 30,410 • 28.1% OI
Producer/Swap (commercials) Δ +1,373
-75.6%
P/S breakdown
L 28,656 / S 206,203 • 42.2% OI
As of 2026-04-21 • next release 2026-04-24
OI 556,894
Physical Flows (GLD)
1044.3 tonnes
AUM $157.5B • NAV $429.89
1W
-15.4t
-1.46%
1M
-8.4t
-0.79%
1Y
+95.8t
+10.10%
SPDR GLD • as of 2026-04-27
Central-Bank Reserves
Top holders (tonnes)
1. United States
8133.5t
2. Germany
3350.3t
3. Italy
2451.8t
4. France
2437.0t
5. Russia
2304.8t
6. Japan
846.0t
7. Turkey
693.5t
8. Netherlands
612.5t
9. Poland
581.6t
10. EZB
508.4t
IMF IFS • as of 2026-M03
Drivers
US 10Y Yield
4.34
+1.64%
corr 30d -0.11
DXY
98.62
-0.39%
corr 30d +0.01
Hormuz Trade Tracker
Hormuz Trade Tracker Live AIS vessel tracking through the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most critical oil chokepoint. Monitors tanker counts, disruption events, and weekly flow changes. Approximately 20% of global oil supply transits here daily.
CLOSED
24.03.2026
Crude Oil Outbound Shipments
0 kt/day · -31-2026
LNG Outbound Shipments
0 units · March-31
Fertilizer Outbound Shipments
0 units · -31-2026
Agriculture Inbound Shipments
89 units · March-31
Source: WTO DataLab / AXSMarine
Energy Crisis Tracker
142IEA 2026 Energy Crisis Policy Response Tracker. Tracks government measures to conserve energy and support consumers in response to Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz supply disruptions.
58
Countries
77
Conservation
65
Consumer Support
Australia
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Encourages citizens to voluntarily reduce their fuel use
2026-04-07
Australia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise duty
2026-04-07
Australia
Consumer Support
Other
active
Interest-free loans to support most affected businesses
2026-04-07
Argentina
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Allow higher bioethanol content in gasoline blend
2026-04-07
Argentina
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Delay increases in fuel taxes
2026-04-07
Bangladesh
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Limit to 25 degrees
2026-04-07
Bangladesh
Energy Conservation
Schools and universities
active
Public and private university closure
2026-04-07
Bangladesh
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask public and businesses to save energy, including unnecessary lighting
2026-04-07
Bangladesh
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Fuel supply limits for vehicles; promote public transport
2026-04-07
Brunei
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Limit fuel purchases for foreign vehicles and domestic vehicles leaving
2026-04-07
Chile
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Freeze or contain rises in public transport fares; credits for taxis
2026-04-07
Chile
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Suspend differentiated fuel credit
2026-04-07
Chile
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Freeze on kerosene prices
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Hold meetings online for civil servants
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Encourage limit to 24-25 degrees in public offices
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Reduce long-distance official travel and avoid commuting in peak hours
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
State-owned electricity company urging public to reduce electricity use
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Reductions in import taxes for products related to EVs, renewables
2026-04-07
Egypt
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
One day remote work for public sector
2026-04-07
Egypt
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Egypt
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Daily closing of administrative capital at 6pm to turn off lighting
2026-04-07
Egypt
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask public to save fuel, limit commercial and public lighting, close shops
2026-04-07
Egypt
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Promote public transport and cut fuel use by government administrations
2026-04-07
Egypt
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Subsidise diesel and gasoline prices
2026-04-07
Ethiopia
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Urge public to be frugal in use of fuel
2026-04-07
India
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Cap industry natural gas usage, speed up piped natural gas rollout
2026-04-07
India
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut petrol and diesel excise duty
2026-04-07
Indonesia
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Work from home on Fridays for civil servants
2026-04-07
Indonesia
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Indonesia
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Encourage energy saving strategies in government office buildings
2026-04-07
Indonesia
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Accelerate biodiesel programme and limit purchases of subsidised fuel
2026-04-07
Indonesia
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Increase the state budget for fuel subsidies
2026-04-07
Jordan
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Ban AC use in public offices
2026-04-07
Jordan
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Temporary ban of international travel for public officials
2026-04-07
Jordan
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Curbs on use of government vehicles
2026-04-07
Korea
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Mandate 2-day odd-even no driving by number plate for public sector
2026-04-07
Korea
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Public campaign on practical saving actions encouraging top companies
2026-04-07
Korea
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Ask private vehicles to not drive 1 day per week, limit public parking
2026-04-07
Korea
Consumer Support
Other
active
Provide cash vouchers to bottom 70% of income groups, extra support
2026-04-07
Korea
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Domestic fuel price cap
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Remote work and rotating shifts for civil servants
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Energy Conservation
Schools and universities
active
Shorten school week from five to three days
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask public to conserve fuel in campaign
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Encourage public transport, lower excise tax electric transport
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise duty
2026-04-07
Lao PDR
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Allocate funds from subsidy programme to stabilise prices
2026-04-07
Lithuania
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Reduce local train fares by 50% for two months
2026-04-07
Malaysia
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Remote work for civil servants
2026-04-07
Malaysia
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Maldives
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Temporarily half-fill LPG cylinders for cooking
2026-04-07
Mauritius
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Restrict non-essential electricity use decorative lightning, heating
2026-04-07
Myanmar
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Mandatory remote work on Wednesdays for public officials
2026-04-07
Myanmar
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Alternate driving days, fuel rationing
2026-04-07
Nepal
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Restrict use of government vehicles
2026-04-07
Nepal
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ration LPG for cooking, ask public to limit travel and adopt practices
2026-04-07
Pakistan
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
4-day work week for officials, 50% remote work on remaining days
2026-04-07
Pakistan
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Ban on foreign travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Pakistan
Energy Conservation
Schools and universities
active
100% online classes, remote work encouraged
2026-04-07
Pakistan
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask local governments to save energy, no official dinners or meetings
2026-04-07
Pakistan
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Reduce speed limit on highways, vehicle purchase ban, free public transport
2026-04-07
Peru
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Encourage public and private sector to work remotely
2026-04-07
Peru
Energy Conservation
Schools and universities
active
Shift schools to online classes
2026-04-07
Philippines
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
4-day work week for public officials
2026-04-07
Philippines
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Encourage limit to 24 degrees in public offices
2026-04-07
Philippines
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit non-essential government travel
2026-04-07
Philippines
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Declare national energy emergency, ask agencies to reduce consumption
2026-04-07
Philippines
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Free bus rides for students and workers in selected cities
2026-04-07
Philippines
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Fuel subsidies for bus, taxi, delivery, ride-hailing drivers and workers
2026-04-07
Philippines
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Lower fuel excise taxes
2026-04-07
Senegal
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Call to adapt energy consumption habits
2026-04-07
Singapore
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Encourage raising AC temperature setpoints
2026-04-07
Singapore
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Urge public to conserve energy, use efficient appliances, expand grants
2026-04-07
Singapore
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Encourage less private car use, more public transport and carpooling
2026-04-07
Singapore
Consumer Support
Other
active
Increase corporate income tax rebate for 2026
2026-04-07
Singapore
Consumer Support
Other
active
Provide generic cash reliefs and targeted support for taxi drivers
2026-04-07
Slovak Republic
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Cap fuel purchases, higher prices for foreign number plates
2026-04-07
Slovenia
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Temporarily cap fuel purchases
2026-04-07
Slovenia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Reduction of excise duty on petrol, diesel and heating oil
2026-04-07
Spain
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Reduce personal income tax for renovations, solar installation
2026-04-07
Spain
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel VAT and suspend the hydrocarbon excise duty
2026-04-07
Spain
Consumer Support
Other
active
Change regulation to promote new energy communities
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Encourage less private car use, more public transport and carpooling
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Limit offices to 26 degrees, encourage 1-2 hr switch off daily
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit public official travel, encourage public transport
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Schools and universities
active
Close schools and universities on Wednesdays
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Nationwide QR code fuel rationing, 9pm billboard lighting switch off
2026-04-07
Sri Lanka
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Fuel quotas for private cars and motorcycles
2026-04-07
Thailand
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Encourage remote work and video conferencing in public and private
2026-04-07
Thailand
Energy Conservation
Cooling
active
Encourage limit to 26 degrees
2026-04-07
Thailand
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Avoid overseas travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Thailand
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask office workers to limit demand including stairs, turning off devices
2026-04-07
Thailand
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Encourage carpooling and limit unnecessary travel, increase biofuel
2026-04-07
Thailand
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Freeze fuel cooking prices until May
2026-04-07
Thailand
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Provide fuel subsidies under the Oil Fuel Fund
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Energy Conservation
Work from home
active
Encourage remote work
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Energy Conservation
Government travel
active
Limit travel by public officials
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Energy Conservation
Campaign
active
Ask local governments to help save energy
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Energy Conservation
Transport
active
Discourage private vehicle use, promote public transport and carpooling
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel import tariffs until 30 April
2026-04-07
Viet Nam
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Provide extra funds to existing fuel price stabilisation mechanism
2026-04-07
Albania
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise duty
2026-04-07
Austria
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap fuel-retailer margins
2026-04-07
Austria
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut gasoline and diesel taxes
2026-04-07
Barbados
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Lock in heavy fuel oil price for 3 months
2026-04-07
Barbados
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Subsidise electricity
2026-04-07
Barbados
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cap VAT on natural gas and diesel
2026-04-07
Brazil
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Subsidise fuel for producers and importers
2026-04-07
Brazil
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Lower energy tax on diesel
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut in fuel VAT
2026-04-07
Cambodia
Consumer Support
Other
active
Increase government oversight to prevent fuel pump price gouging
2026-04-07
China
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Put controls on domestic refined oil prices
2026-04-07
Croatia
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap oil and diesel prices
2026-04-07
Croatia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise duty
2026-04-07
Czechia
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap fuel retailers' profit margins
2026-04-07
Czechia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut excise tax
2026-04-07
France
Consumer Support
Other
active
Provide targeted temporary support for key sectors transport, fishing
2026-04-07
Germany
Consumer Support
Other
active
Limit for fuel stations to raise prices only once per day
2026-04-07
Greece
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap profit margins on fuel for 3 months
2026-04-07
Greece
Consumer Support
Fuel subsidies
active
Subsidise diesel, fuel card for households and subsidy on fertilizer
2026-04-07
Hungary
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap fuel prices
2026-04-07
Ireland
Consumer Support
Other
active
Fuel allowance extension and diesel rebate increase
2026-04-07
Ireland
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut excise rates on petrol and diesel and reduce NORA levy
2026-04-07
Ireland
Consumer Support
Other
active
Targeted energy supports for pensioners, carers and people with disabilities
2026-04-07
Italy
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise taxes
2026-04-07
Japan
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Subsidy-backed fuel price cap
2026-04-07
Latvia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Reduction of excise duty on diesel and green diesel
2026-04-07
Mexico
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Existing agreement with fuel retailers to cap gasoline prices
2026-04-07
Morocco
Consumer Support
Other
active
Payment of direct and exceptional support for professionals
2026-04-07
Mozambique
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap retail fuel prices
2026-04-07
Namibia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel levies
2026-04-07
New Zealand
Consumer Support
Other
active
Relief package to help vulnerable families
2026-04-07
Poland
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Cap petrol and diesel prices
2026-04-07
Poland
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut VAT on fuel and reduce excise duty
2026-04-07
Portugal
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel tax temporarily
2026-04-07
Serbia
Consumer Support
Price caps
active
Temporarily cap fuel prices
2026-04-07
Serbia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel excise duties
2026-04-07
South Africa
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut fuel levy
2026-04-07
Sweden
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Temporary cut vehicle fuels duty
2026-04-07
Türkiye
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Lower fuel tax on oil
2026-04-07
United Kingdom
Consumer Support
Other
active
Heating support for vulnerable consumers
2026-04-07
United Kingdom
Consumer Support
Other
active
Accelerate Warm Homes Plan, work to approve plug-in solar
2026-04-07
Zambia
Consumer Support
Taxation
active
Cut VAT on petrol and diesel
2026-04-07
Oil & Gas Pipeline Status
Curated registry of critical oil and gas pipelines. Public badge is derived from evidence (operator statements, sanction refs, commercial state, physical signals) — see /docs/methodology/pipelines for the classifier spec.
| Asset | From → To | Capacity | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
|
⛽ Antonio Ricaurte Pipeline (Colombia–Venezuela)
TGI / PDVSA
|
CO → VE | 5.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ Arab Gas Pipeline
Arab Gas Pipeline Consortium
|
EG → LB | 10.3 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ Bolivia–Argentina Gas Pipeline (GIJA / Yacuiba)
YPFB / Energía Argentina
|
BO → AR | 7.7 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Brotherhood & Soyuz (Transit via Ukraine)
Gazprom / Naftogaz
|
RU → SK | 142.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ Central Asia–Center (CAC)
Gazprom / TürkmenGaz
|
TM → RU | 44.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ EastMed Pipeline (Israel–Cyprus–Greece, planned)
IGI Poseidon (DEPA / Edison)
|
IL → GR | 10.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Escravos–Lagos Pipeline System
NNPC / Chevron Nigeria
|
NG → NG | 9.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ EUGAL Pipeline (Nord Stream 2 continuation)
EUGAL Gastransport consortium
|
DE → CZ | 55.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ GALSI (Algeria–Sardinia–Italy, planned)
Enagás / Edison / Sonatrach (consortium paused)
|
DZ → IT | 8.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Greenstream
Eni / Mellitah Oil & Gas
|
LY → IT | 8.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Iran–Iraq Gas Pipeline (Basra line)
NIGC / Iraq Ministry of Electricity
|
IR → IQ | 9.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Iran–Pakistan Gas Pipeline (Peace, Pakistani segment stalled)
NIGC / ISGS Pakistan
|
IR → PK | 11.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Kirkuk–Dohuk–Turkey Gas Pipeline (planned)
KRG / BOTAŞ (commercial framework TBD)
|
IQ → TR | 10.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Korpeje–Kurt Kui (Turkmenistan–Iran)
TürkmenGaz / NIGC
|
TM → IR | 8.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Maghreb–Europe Gas Pipeline (GME)
Metragaz / Enagás
|
DZ → ES | 12.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ NEL Pipeline (Nord Stream continuation)
Gasunie Deutschland / Fluxys / WIGA
|
DE → DE | 20.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Nigeria–Morocco Offshore Gas Pipeline (planned)
NNPC / ONHYM
|
NG → MA | 30.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Nord Stream 1
Nord Stream AG
|
RU → DE | 55.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ Nord Stream 2
Nord Stream 2 AG
|
RU → DE | 55.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ OPAL Pipeline (Nord Stream continuation)
OPAL Gastransport (WIGA joint venture)
|
DE → CZ | 36.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Power of Siberia 2 (planned)
Gazprom / CNPC
|
RU → CN | 50.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Trans Austria Gas Pipeline (TAG)
Trans Austria Gasleitung GmbH
|
AT → IT | 45.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (Nigeria–Algeria, planned)
NNPC / Sonatrach / Sonidep (MoU consortium)
|
NG → DZ | 30.0 bcm/yr | Disputed |
|
⛽ Urengoy–Pomary–Uzhhorod (Progress)
Gazprom / Naftogaz
|
RU → SK | 32.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
⛽ West African Gas Pipeline (WAGP)
WAPCo (Chevron-led consortium)
|
NG → GH | 5.0 bcm/yr | Reduced |
|
⛽ Yamal–Europe Pipeline
Gazprom / EuRoPol GAZ / WinGas
|
RU → DE | 33.0 bcm/yr | Offline |
|
🛢️ Anzoátegui–Puerto La Cruz Crude Trunk
PDVSA
|
VE → VE | 0.35 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Baku–Novorossiysk Northern Route Pipeline
Transneft / SOCAR
|
AZ → RU | 0.10 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Brent System Pipeline
Shell
|
NO → GB | 0.50 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Caño Limón–Coveñas Pipeline
Ecopetrol / Occidental
|
CO → CO | 0.22 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Druzhba Pipeline (Northern Branch)
Transneft / PERN / MERO
|
RU → DE | 1.00 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Druzhba Pipeline (Southern Branch)
Transneft / MOL / Slovnaft
|
RU → HU | 0.60 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP, under construction)
TotalEnergies / CNOOC / UNOC / TPDC
|
UG → TZ | 0.22 mb/d | Disputed |
|
🛢️ Greater Nile Petroleum Pipeline
GNPOC (CNPC / Petronas / ONGC consortium)
|
SS → SD | 0.27 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Iraq–Saudi Arabia Pipeline (IPSA-2)
Saudi Aramco (nationalised 2001)
|
IQ → SA | 1.65 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Keystone XL (cancelled 2021)
TC Energy (project sponsor; permit revoked)
|
CA → US | 0.83 mb/d | Disputed |
|
🛢️ Khafji–Neutral Zone Export Pipeline
KJO (Saudi Arabian Chevron / Kuwait Gulf Oil)
|
SA → KW | 0.31 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Kirkuk–Ceyhan Pipeline
BOTAS / North Oil Company / Iraqi State Oil Marketing Organization
|
IQ → TR | 1.60 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Kirkuk–Haifa Pipeline (closed 1948)
Iraq Petroleum Company (historical; now defunct)
|
IQ → IL | 0.08 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Neka–Tehran Crude Trunk
NIOC
|
IR → IR | 0.37 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Nigeria Bonny Export System (Trans Niger Pipeline)
SPDC / Renaissance Africa Energy
|
NG → NG | 0.45 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Nigeria Forcados Export System
SPDC / Renaissance Africa Energy
|
NG → NG | 0.40 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ Odesa–Brody Pipeline
Ukrtransnafta
|
UA → UA | 0.18 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Oleoducto Norperuano
Petroperú
|
PE → PE | 0.20 mb/d | Reduced |
|
🛢️ South Sudan–Kenya Lamu Crude Pipeline (LAPSSET, planned)
South Sudan Ministry of Petroleum / LAPSSET Corridor Development Authority
|
SS → KE | 0.45 mb/d | Disputed |
|
🛢️ Transandino Pipeline (Argentina–Chile)
Oleoducto Trasandino S.A.
|
AR → CL | 0.11 mb/d | Offline |
|
🛢️ Tuxpan–Mexico City Products Pipeline
Pemex Logística
|
MX → MX | 0.12 mb/d | Reduced |
|
⛽ Arish–Ashkelon Pipeline (reverse flow IL→EG)
EMG / East Gas Company
|
IL → EG | 7.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Åsgard Transport
Gassco
|
NO → NO | 14.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ BBL (Balgzand–Bacton Line)
BBL Company
|
NL → GB | 19.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Blue Stream
Gazprom / Eni (Blue Stream Pipeline Company)
|
RU → TR | 16.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Bolivia–Brazil Gas Pipeline (GASBOL)
TBG / GTB
|
BO → BR | 11.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Cakerawala–Pengerang (Thai–Malaysia JDA)
Carigali-PTTEPI Operating Company
|
TH → MY | 14.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Central Area Transmission System (CATS)
Kellas Midstream
|
GB → GB | 9.6 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Central Asia–China Gas Pipeline
CNPC / Turkmengaz / KazTransGas
|
TM → CN | 55.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Dampier to Bunbury Natural Gas Pipeline
DBNGP WA
|
AU → AU | 8.6 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Dolphin Gas Pipeline
Dolphin Energy Ltd
|
QA → AE | 20.4 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Egypt–Jordan–Aqaba Gas Pipeline (AGP south leg)
EGAS / NEPCO
|
EG → JO | 3.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Europipe I
Gassco
|
NO → DE | 16.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Europipe II
Gassco
|
NO → DE | 24.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Franpipe
Gassco
|
NO → FR | 19.2 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Ghana Gas Company Pipeline (Atuabo)
Ghana National Gas Company
|
GH → GH | 1.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Grissik–Sakra Gas Pipeline
ConocoPhillips / SembGas
|
ID → SG | 3.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Interconnector Greece–Bulgaria (IGB)
ICGB
|
GR → BG | 3.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Interconnector UK–Belgium
Interconnector (UK) Limited
|
GB → BE | 25.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Iran–Armenia Gas Pipeline
Gazprom Armenia
|
IR → AM | 2.3 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Iran–Turkey Gas Pipeline (Tabriz–Ankara)
NIGC / BOTAŞ
|
IR → TR | 14.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ JAGAL (North German gas link)
GASCADE
|
DE → DE | 16.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Kish Island–Iran Mainland Gas Pipeline
NIGC
|
IR → IR | 2.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Langeled
Gassco
|
NO → GB | 25.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Mainland–Hong Kong Gas Pipeline
CNOOC Gas & Power / Towngas
|
CN → HK | 2.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Medgaz
Medgaz S.A. (Sonatrach / Naturgy)
|
DZ → ES | 10.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Mid-European Gas Pipeline (MEGAL)
GRTgaz Deutschland / OGE
|
DE → FR | 37.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Moomba–Sydney Pipeline
APA Group
|
AU → AU | 5.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Mtwara–Dar es Salaam Gas Pipeline
TPDC / CPI-CPP consortium
|
TZ → TZ | 2.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Myanmar–China Gas Pipeline (Shwe)
South East Asia Gas Pipeline Company (CNPC-led)
|
MM → CN | 12.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Oseberg Gas Transport (OGT)
Gassco
|
NO → NO | 9.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Power of Siberia
Gazprom / CNPC
|
RU → CN | 38.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ ROMPCO (Mozambique–South Africa)
Sasol / CEF / Companhia Moçambicana de Gasoduto
|
MZ → ZA | 5.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Sakarya Gas Field Pipeline (Turkish Black Sea)
TPAO
|
TR → TR | 14.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Saudi Master Gas System
Saudi Aramco
|
SA → SA | 95.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Sleipner–Kårstø
Gassco
|
NO → NO | 12.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ South Caucasus Pipeline (SCP / Baku–Tbilisi–Erzurum)
BP (South Caucasus Pipeline Company)
|
AZ → TR | 22.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Statpipe
Gassco
|
NO → NO | 25.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP)
TAP AG
|
TR → IT | 10.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Trans-Anatolian Pipeline (TANAP)
TANAP Doğalgaz İletim A.Ş.
|
AZ → TR | 16.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Trans-Mediterranean (Enrico Mattei)
Sonatrach / Eni
|
DZ → IT | 33.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Troll A – Kollsnes
Gassco
|
NO → NO | 30.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ TurkStream
South Stream Transport B.V. (Gazprom)
|
RU → TR | 31.5 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Vesterled
Gassco
|
NO → GB | 13.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ West Natuna–Singapore Gas Pipeline
ConocoPhillips / SembGas
|
ID → SG | 3.7 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ West–East Gas Pipeline 1 (China)
PetroChina
|
CN → CN | 17.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ West–East Gas Pipeline 2 (China)
PetroChina
|
CN → CN | 30.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ West–East Gas Pipeline 3 (China)
PetroChina
|
CN → CN | 30.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ ZEELINK (H-gas conversion pipeline)
OGE / Thyssengas
|
BE → DE | 10.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
⛽ Zeepipe
Gassco
|
NO → BE | 15.0 bcm/yr | Flowing |
|
🛢️ AB-1 (Saudi Arabia–Bahrain)
Bapco / Saudi Aramco
|
SA → BH | 0.35 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Abadan–Isfahan Crude Pipeline
NIOC
|
IR → IR | 0.34 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Abqaiq–Yanbu Products Line
Saudi Aramco
|
SA → SA | 0.55 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (Habshan–Fujairah)
IPIC / ADNOC
|
AE → AE | 1.50 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Bai Hassan Crude Gathering Line
North Oil Company (Iraq)
|
IQ → IQ | 0.25 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Baku–Supsa (Western Route Export) Pipeline
BP / AIOC
|
AZ → GE | 0.14 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan (BTC)
BTC Co. (BP operated)
|
AZ → TR | 1.20 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Baltic Pipeline System 1 (Primorsk)
Transneft
|
RU → RU | 1.30 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Baltic Pipeline System 2 (Ust-Luga)
Transneft
|
RU → RU | 0.75 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Cabinda Offshore Export System
Sonangol / Chevron
|
AO → AO | 0.55 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC)
Caspian Pipeline Consortium
|
KZ → RU | 1.40 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Chad–Cameroon Pipeline (COTCO)
Cameroon Oil Transportation Company (COTCO)
|
TD → CM | 0.25 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Djeno Terminal System (Congo)
TotalEnergies / Eni / Perenco (Djeno consortium)
|
CG → CG | 0.27 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ East–West Crude Pipeline (Petroline)
Saudi Aramco
|
SA → SA | 5.00 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Eastern Siberia–Pacific Ocean Pipeline (ESPO)
Transneft
|
RU → RU | 1.60 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Enbridge Line 3 Replacement
Enbridge
|
CA → US | 0.76 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Enbridge Line 5
Enbridge
|
CA → CA | 0.54 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Enbridge Mainline System
Enbridge
|
CA → US | 3.15 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ ESPO Spur to Daqing (China Branch)
Transneft / CNPC
|
RU → CN | 0.60 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Flanagan South Pipeline
Enbridge
|
US → US | 0.60 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Forties Pipeline System
INEOS Forties Pipeline System
|
GB → GB | 0.60 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Habshan–Ruwais Crude Trunk
ADNOC
|
AE → AE | 1.10 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Iraq Strategic Pipeline (North–South)
Iraq State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO)
|
IQ → IQ | 1.40 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ JANAF / Adria Pipeline
JANAF
|
HR → HU | 0.28 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Kazakhstan–China Crude Pipeline
KazTransOil / CNPC
|
KZ → CN | 0.40 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Keystone Pipeline System (Phase 1-3)
TC Energy
|
CA → US | 0.59 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Komsomolsk–Perevoznaya Crude Pipeline (Khabarovsk Krai)
Transneft
|
RU → RU | 0.40 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Lago Agrio–Orellana Feeder
Petroecuador
|
EC → EC | 0.08 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Madero–Cadereyta Crude Feed
Pemex
|
MX → MX | 0.23 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Marketlink (TC Energy)
TC Energy
|
US → US | 0.75 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Mundra–Bhatinda Crude Pipeline
HPCL-Mittal Energy (HMEL)
|
IN → IN | 0.45 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Myanmar–China Crude Pipeline
South East Asia Crude Pipeline Company (CNPC-led)
|
MM → CN | 0.44 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Norpipe (Oil)
Gassco (Norpipe Oil AS)
|
NO → DE | 0.90 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Nuevo Pemex–Cactus Crude Pipeline (Mexico)
Pemex
|
MX → MX | 0.44 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Oleoducto Central (OCENSA)
OCENSA (Ecopetrol-led)
|
CO → CO | 0.65 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Oleoducto de Crudos Pesados (OCP)
OCP Ecuador S.A.
|
EC → EC | 0.45 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Oman Main Oil Pipeline (Fahud–Mina al-Fahal)
Petroleum Development Oman
|
OM → OM | 1.00 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Omsk–Pavlodar Crude Pipeline
Transneft / KazTransOil
|
RU → KZ | 0.50 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Pipeline Sud-Européen (SPSE)
SPSE SAS (Trafigura / ExxonMobil / others)
|
FR → DE | 0.49 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Qinhuangdao–Tianjin–Huabei Trunk
PetroChina
|
CN → CN | 0.40 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Rotterdam–Rhine Pipeline (RRP)
BP / Shell / ExxonMobil (RRP consortium)
|
NL → DE | 0.50 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Sakhalin-2 Crude Export Pipeline
Sakhalin Energy (Gazprom-led, post-2022)
|
RU → RU | 0.18 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Salaya–Mathura Crude Pipeline
Indian Oil Corporation
|
IN → IN | 0.50 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Salina Cruz–Minatitlán Products/Crude Bridge
Pemex
|
MX → MX | 0.28 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Seaway Pipeline
Enbridge / Enterprise Products (Seaway Crude Pipeline Company)
|
US → US | 0.95 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Sistema de Oleoducto Transecuatoriano (SOTE)
Petroecuador
|
EC → EC | 0.36 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Spearhead Pipeline
Enbridge
|
US → US | 0.19 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ SuMed Pipeline
Arab Petroleum Pipelines Company (SUMED)
|
EG → EG | 2.80 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Trans Mountain Pipeline (incl. TMX expansion)
Trans Mountain Corporation (Government of Canada)
|
CA → CA | 0.89 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Trans-Alaska Pipeline (TAPS)
Alyeska Pipeline Service Co.
|
US → US | 2.10 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Trans-Panama Pipeline
Petroterminal de Panamá
|
PA → PA | 0.90 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Transalpine Pipeline (TAL)
TAL Group (OMV-led consortium)
|
IT → DE | 0.77 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Vadinar–Kandla Products Pipeline
Indian Oil Corporation
|
IN → IN | 0.18 mb/d | Flowing |
|
🛢️ Yangzi–Hefei–Hangzhou Products Pipeline
Sinopec
|
CN → CN | 0.20 mb/d | Flowing |
Strategic Storage Atlas
Curated registry of strategic storage assets — underground gas storage, strategic petroleum reserves, LNG terminals, crude tank farms. Public badge is derived from evidence (operator statements, sanction refs, commercial state, physical signals) — see /docs/methodology/storage for the classifier spec.
| Facility | Country · Type | Capacity | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
|
🟡 Bonny Crude Oil Terminal (SPDC)
Shell Petroleum Development Company / NNPC
|
NG · Crude hub | 14 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 Es Sider Crude Oil Terminal
Waha Oil Company (NOC Libya / ConocoPhillips / Total / Hess JV)
|
LY · Crude hub | 8 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 José Antonio Anzoátegui Petroindustrial Complex
PDVSA
|
VE · Crude hub | 50 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 Kirkuk Field Crude Storage (North Oil Company)
North Oil Company (Iraq)
|
IQ · Crude hub | 12 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 Ras Lanuf Crude Oil Terminal
Harouge Oil Operations (NOC Libya / Petro-Canada successor)
|
LY · Crude hub | 6 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 Tema Oil Refinery Tank Farm
Tema Oil Refinery (TOR) / GHAPOHA
|
GH · Crude hub | 1 Mb | Reduced |
|
🟡 Ventspils Crude Oil Terminal (Ventbunkers)
Ventbunkers AS
|
LV · Crude hub | 2.5 Mb | Reduced |
|
🚢 Angola LNG (Soyo)
Angola LNG Supply Services
|
AO · LNG export | 5.2 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Arctic LNG 2 (Gydan)
Novatek / CNPC / CNOOC / TotalEnergies / Japan Arctic LNG
|
RU · LNG export | 19.8 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Atlantic LNG (Point Fortin)
Atlantic LNG Company of Trinidad and Tobago
|
TT · LNG export | 14.8 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Bontang LNG
Badak NGL (Pertamina-led)
|
ID · LNG export | 22.5 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Darwin LNG
Santos / INPEX
|
AU · LNG export | 3.7 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Nigeria LNG (Bonny Island)
Nigeria LNG Ltd (Shell/NNPC/Total/Eni)
|
NG · LNG export | 22.5 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🚢 Prelude FLNG
Shell
|
AU · LNG export | 3.6 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
⚓ Kochi LNG (Puthuvypeen)
Petronet LNG
|
IN · LNG import | 5.0 Mtpa | Reduced |
|
🟢 Rough Gas Storage
Centrica Storage
|
GB · UGS | 9.0 TWh | Reduced |
|
🟡 Amsterdam Petroleum Hub (ARA)
Vopak / Oiltanking / Koole (multi-operator)
|
NL · Crude hub | 28 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Antwerp Petroleum Hub (ARA)
Vopak / SEA-Tank / ITC / multi-operator
|
BE · Crude hub | 55 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Bandar Imam Khomeini Export Terminal
NIOC
|
IR · Crude hub | 9 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Basra Oil Terminal (BOT) & Khor al-Amaya
Basra Oil Company / SOMO
|
IQ · Crude hub | 8 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Ceyhan Marine Terminal (BTC / ITP / Kirkuk-Ceyhan)
BOTAŞ International Limited
|
TR · Crude hub | 7 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Corpus Christi Crude Storage
Magellan / Buckeye / multi-operator
|
US · Crude hub | 38 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Cushing Oil Storage Hub
Enbridge / Magellan / Plains / multi-operator
|
US · Crude hub | 98 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Dos Bocas Refinery Crude Storage (Olmeca)
Pemex
|
MX · Crude hub | 10 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Edmonton Crude Hub (Alberta)
Enbridge / Gibson Energy / Pembina
|
CA · Crude hub | 30 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Fujairah Oil Storage Hub
ADNOC Distribution / Gulf Petrochem / VTTI / Vopak (multi-operator)
|
AE · Crude hub | 69 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Gwangyang Commercial Crude Storage
GS Caltex / SK Energy (Gwangyang multi-operator)
|
KR · Crude hub | 25 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Hardisty Crude Hub (Alberta)
Enbridge / Gibson Energy / TC Energy
|
CA · Crude hub | 32 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Horizon Djibouti Terminals
Horizon Djibouti Terminals Ltd (Emirates National Oil Co.)
|
DJ · Crude hub | 3.7 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Jebel Dhanna Crude Terminal
ADNOC Onshore
|
AE · Crude hub | 20 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Juaymah Crude Tank Farm (Aramco)
Saudi Aramco
|
SA · Crude hub | 33 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Jurong Island Petroleum Storage (Singapore)
Vopak / Oiltanking / Horizon Terminals / multi-operator
|
SG · Crude hub | 120 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Kaohsiung Crude Storage Complex (CPC Taiwan)
CPC Corporation, Taiwan
|
TW · Crude hub | 24 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Kenya Pipeline Company Mombasa Terminal
Kenya Pipeline Company (KPC)
|
KE · Crude hub | 1.2 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Kharg Island Export Terminal
National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)
|
IR · Crude hub | 28 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Kozmino Crude Oil Terminal (ESPO)
Transneft
|
RU · Crude hub | 8 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Lake Charles Crude Storage Complex
Phillips 66 / Motiva / multi-operator
|
US · Crude hub | 22 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Mailiao Harbor Crude Tank Farm (Formosa)
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation
|
TW · Crude hub | 18 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Maoming Commercial Crude Storage
Sinopec Maoming
|
CN · Crude hub | 14 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Mesaieed Industrial Port (Qatar)
QatarEnergy
|
QA · Crude hub | 12 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Mina Al-Ahmadi Export Terminal
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation
|
KW · Crude hub | 18 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Mina al-Fahal Crude Export Terminal
Petroleum Development Oman
|
OM · Crude hub | 10 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Mongstad Terminal
Equinor
|
NO · Crude hub | 9.5 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Naftoport Gdańsk Crude Terminal
Naftoport Sp. z o.o. (PERN)
|
PL · Crude hub | 3 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Nghi Son Refinery Crude Storage
Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical (Idemitsu-led JV)
|
VN · Crude hub | 8 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Oil Terminal Constanța
Oil Terminal S.A. Constanța
|
RO · Crude hub | 2 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Patoka Crude Hub (Illinois)
Marathon / Energy Transfer / multi-operator
|
US · Crude hub | 16 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Port of Santos Petroleum Tank Farm (Transpetro/Alemoa)
Transpetro / Stolthaven / Adonai Química
|
BR · Crude hub | 12 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Primorsk Crude Export Terminal
Transneft
|
RU · Crude hub | 40 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Puerto Rosales Crude Terminal (Oiltanking Ebytem)
Oiltanking Ebytem S.A.
|
AR · Crude hub | 2.4 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Pulau Ayer Chawan Petroleum Storage (Singapore)
ExxonMobil / Shell (Jurong Island legacy)
|
SG · Crude hub | 32 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Qingdao Commercial Crude Storage
Sinopec / Qingdao Port International
|
CN · Crude hub | 24 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Ras Tanura Crude Oil Terminal (Aramco)
Saudi Aramco
|
SA · Crude hub | 50 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Rizhao Port Crude Storage
Rizhao Port Group / Sinopec
|
CN · Crude hub | 18 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Rotterdam ARA Oil Storage
Vopak / Koole / VTTI / multi-operator (ARA terminals)
|
NL · Crude hub | 42 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Saldanha Bay Crude Storage
PetroSA / Strategic Fuel Fund
|
ZA · Crude hub | 45 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Sheskharis Crude Oil Terminal (Novorossiysk)
Transneft / CPC
|
RU · Crude hub | 4 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Sidi Kerir SuMed Terminal
Arab Petroleum Pipelines Company (SUMED)
|
EG · Crude hub | 15 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 SIR Abidjan Refinery Tank Farm
Société Ivoirienne de Raffinage (SIR)
|
CI · Crude hub | 1 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Sriracha Crude Storage Hub (Thailand)
Thai Oil Public Company
|
TH · Crude hub | 18 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Terminal Almirante Barroso (TEBAR São Sebastião)
Transpetro
|
BR · Crude hub | 30 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Ust-Luga Crude Export Terminal
Transneft
|
RU · Crude hub | 22 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Wood River Crude Hub (Illinois)
Phillips 66 / Cenovus WRB Refining
|
US · Crude hub | 14 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Yanbu Crude Oil Terminal (Aramco)
Saudi Aramco
|
SA · Crude hub | 20 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Yangshan Port Crude Storage (Shanghai)
Sinopec / Yangshan Port Authority
|
CN · Crude hub | 32 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Yokkaichi Crude Terminal (ENEOS)
ENEOS Corporation
|
JP · Crude hub | 10 Mb | Operational |
|
🟡 Zhoushan Oil Storage Base
Sinopec / CNPC / multi-operator
|
CN · Crude hub | 220 Mb | Operational |
|
🚢 Arzew LNG Complex (GL1Z/GL2Z/GL3Z)
Sonatrach
|
DZ · LNG export | 25.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Brunei LNG (Lumut)
Brunei LNG Sdn Bhd
|
BN · LNG export | 7.2 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Calcasieu Pass LNG
Venture Global LNG
|
US · LNG export | 10.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Cameron LNG Terminal
Cameron LNG (Sempra)
|
US · LNG export | 12.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Corpus Christi LNG Terminal
Cheniere Energy
|
US · LNG export | 15.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Cove Point LNG Terminal
Dominion Energy
|
US · LNG export | 5.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Das Island LNG (ADGAS)
ADNOC LNG
|
AE · LNG export | 8.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Donggi-Senoro LNG
PT Donggi-Senoro (Mitsubishi / Medco / Pertamina)
|
ID · LNG export | 2.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Elba Island LNG Terminal
Kinder Morgan
|
US · LNG export | 2.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Energía Costa Azul LNG (reverse to export)
Sempra Infrastructure / IEnova
|
MX · LNG export | 3.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Equatorial Guinea LNG (Punta Europa)
EG LNG (Marathon Oil-led)
|
GQ · LNG export | 3.7 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Freeport LNG Terminal
Freeport LNG
|
US · LNG export | 15.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Gladstone LNG (Curtis Island)
Santos / Shell / Origin (combined GLNG + QCLNG + APLNG)
|
AU · LNG export | 25.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Hilli Episeyo FLNG (Kribi)
Golar LNG / Perenco / SNH
|
CM · LNG export | 2.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 North West Shelf LNG (Karratha Gas Plant)
Woodside Energy (on behalf of NWS JV)
|
AU · LNG export | 16.9 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Perú LNG (Pampa Melchorita)
Perú LNG (Hunt Oil / SK / Shell / Marubeni)
|
PE · LNG export | 4.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Petronas LNG Complex (Bintulu)
Malaysia LNG (Petronas)
|
MY · LNG export | 29.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Pluto LNG
Woodside Energy
|
AU · LNG export | 4.9 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 PNG LNG
ExxonMobil PNG
|
PG · LNG export | 8.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Qalhat LNG Terminal (Sur)
Oman LNG / Qalhat LNG
|
OM · LNG export | 11.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Ras Laffan LNG Terminal
QatarEnergy LNG (fmr. Qatargas/RasGas)
|
QA · LNG export | 77.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Sabine Pass LNG Terminal
Cheniere Energy
|
US · LNG export | 30.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Sakhalin 2 LNG (Prigorodnoye)
Sakhalin Energy (Gazprom-led post-2022)
|
RU · LNG export | 9.6 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Skikda LNG Complex (GL1K/GL2K/New Skikda)
Sonatrach
|
DZ · LNG export | 8.8 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Tangguh LNG
BP (operator, Pertamina Hulu Energi share)
|
ID · LNG export | 11.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🚢 Yamal LNG (Sabetta)
Novatek / CNPC / TotalEnergies / Silk Road Fund
|
RU · LNG export | 17.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Adriatic LNG Terminal (Rovigo offshore)
Terminale GNL Adriatico
|
IT · LNG import | 6.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Aliağa LNG Terminal (Ege Gaz)
Ege Gaz
|
TR · LNG import | 4.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Batangas LNG Terminal (FGEN / AG&P)
First Gen / AG&P Atlantic Gulf & Pacific
|
PH · LNG import | 5.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Brunsbüttel FSRU (Höegh Gannet)
Deutsche Energy Terminal (DET) / RWE
|
DE · LNG import | 3.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Cartagena LNG (Spain)
Enagás
|
ES · LNG import | 8.8 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Chita LNG Terminal
JERA / Toho Gas
|
JP · LNG import | 13.8 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Dabhol LNG
Konkan LNG Ltd (GAIL)
|
IN · LNG import | 5.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Dahej LNG Terminal
Petronet LNG
|
IN · LNG import | 17.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Dragon LNG (Milford Haven)
Dragon LNG (Ancala-led)
|
GB · LNG import | 7.6 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Dunkerque LNG Terminal
Fluxys Dunkerque LNG
|
FR · LNG import | 13.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Ennore LNG
Indian Oil Corporation
|
IN · LNG import | 5.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Fos Cavaou LNG Terminal
Elengy (GRTgaz)
|
FR · LNG import | 8.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Futtsu LNG Terminal
JERA
|
JP · LNG import | 19.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ GATE Terminal (Rotterdam)
Gasunie LNG / Vopak
|
NL · LNG import | 12.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ GNL Mejillones
ENGIE / Codelco
|
CL · LNG import | 3.3 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ GNL Quintero
GNL Quintero S.A.
|
CL · LNG import | 6.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Hazira LNG (Shell)
Shell Energy India
|
IN · LNG import | 6.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Himeji LNG Terminal (Joint)
Osaka Gas / Kansai Electric
|
JP · LNG import | 11.4 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Incheon LNG Terminal
KOGAS
|
KR · LNG import | 19.2 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Isle of Grain LNG Terminal
National Grid Grain LNG
|
GB · LNG import | 22.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Klaipėda LNG FSRU (Independence)
KN Energies (Klaipėdos nafta)
|
LT · LNG import | 2.9 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Krk FSRU (LNG Hrvatska)
LNG Croatia LLC
|
HR · LNG import | 2.9 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Map Ta Phut LNG (PTT)
PTT LNG Co. Ltd.
|
TH · LNG import | 11.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Montoir-de-Bretagne LNG Terminal
Elengy (GRTgaz)
|
FR · LNG import | 10.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Mugardos LNG (Reganosa, El Ferrol)
Reganosa
|
ES · LNG import | 3.6 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Mundra LNG (Adani-GSPC)
Mundra LNG Ltd (Adani / GSPC)
|
IN · LNG import | 5.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Negishi LNG Terminal
Tokyo Gas / JERA
|
JP · LNG import | 11.6 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ OLT Offshore LNG Toscana (Livorno FSRU)
OLT Offshore LNG Toscana
|
IT · LNG import | 3.8 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Panigaglia LNG Terminal (La Spezia)
GNL Italia (Snam)
|
IT · LNG import | 2.7 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Port Qasim LNG Terminals (Engro/PGPCL)
Engro Elengy / Pakistan GasPort (PGPCL)
|
PK · LNG import | 11.9 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Pyeongtaek LNG Terminal
KOGAS
|
KR · LNG import | 15.2 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Revithoussa LNG Terminal
DESFA
|
GR · LNG import | 6.5 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Sodegaura LNG Terminal
Tokyo Gas
|
JP · LNG import | 26.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ South Hook LNG (Milford Haven)
South Hook LNG Terminal Company
|
GB · LNG import | 21.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Świnoujście LNG Terminal (President Lech Kaczyński)
Gaz-System (Polskie LNG SA)
|
PL · LNG import | 6.2 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Wilhelmshaven FSRU (Höegh Esperanza)
Deutsche Energy Terminal (DET) / Uniper
|
DE · LNG import | 5.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
⚓ Zeebrugge LNG Terminal
Fluxys LNG
|
BE · LNG import | 9.0 Mtpa | Operational |
|
🛢️ Bayou Choctaw SPR Site
US DOE Strategic Petroleum Reserve
|
US · SPR | 76 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Big Hill SPR Site
US DOE Strategic Petroleum Reserve
|
US · SPR | 170 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Bryan Mound SPR Site
US DOE Strategic Petroleum Reserve
|
US · SPR | 247 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Geoje Strategic Reserve Base
Korea National Oil Corporation (KNOC)
|
KR · SPR | 47 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Huangdao Strategic Petroleum Reserve
China National Petroleum Reserves Center / Sinopec
|
CN · SPR | 20 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Kiire National Petroleum Reserve
JOGMEC
|
JP · SPR | 22 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Mangalore Strategic Petroleum Reserve
Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd (ISPRL)
|
IN · SPR | 11 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Mutsu-Ogawara National Petroleum Reserve
JOGMEC
|
JP · SPR | 28 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Padur Strategic Petroleum Reserve
Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd (ISPRL)
|
IN · SPR | 17.4 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Shibushi National Petroleum Reserve
JOGMEC
|
JP · SPR | 31.2 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Ulsan Strategic Reserve Base
Korea National Oil Corporation (KNOC)
|
KR · SPR | 33 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Visakhapatnam Strategic Petroleum Reserve
Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd (ISPRL)
|
IN · SPR | 9.8 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ West Hackberry SPR Site
US DOE Strategic Petroleum Reserve
|
US · SPR | 219 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Yeosu Strategic Reserve Base
Korea National Oil Corporation (KNOC)
|
KR · SPR | 42 Mb | Operational |
|
🛢️ Zhanjiang Strategic Petroleum Reserve Base
China National Petroleum Reserves Center
|
CN · SPR | 45 Mb | Operational |
|
🟢 7Fields / Schönkirchen–Reyersdorf Gas Storage
RAG Austria
|
AT · UGS | 24.6 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Alkmaar Gas Storage
TAQA Energy
|
NL · UGS | 5.9 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Banatski Dvor UGS
Srbijagas
|
RS · UGS | 4.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Baumgarten Gas Storage
OMV Gas Storage
|
AT · UGS | 13.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Bergermeer Gas Storage
TAQA Energy BV
|
NL · UGS | 47.3 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Bierwang Gas Storage
Uniper Energy Storage
|
DE · UGS | 14.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Bilche-Volytsko-Uherske UGS
Ukrtransgaz
|
UA · UGS | 154.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Brugherio Gas Storage
Edison Stoccaggio
|
IT · UGS | 1.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Cerville-Velaine Gas Storage
Storengy (ENGIE)
|
FR · UGS | 8.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Chémery Gas Storage
Storengy (ENGIE)
|
FR · UGS | 38.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Chiren Gas Storage
Bulgartransgaz
|
BG · UGS | 6.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Damboříce Gas Storage
MND Energy Storage
|
CZ · UGS | 5.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Empelde Gas Storage
Storengy Deutschland
|
DE · UGS | 2.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Epe Gas Storage (multi-operator salt-cavern complex)
Uniper / Nuon / Salzgitter (Epe Kavernengesellschaft)
|
DE · UGS | 22.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Étrez Gas Storage
Storengy (ENGIE)
|
FR · UGS | 4.7 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Etzel Gas Storage (salt cavern complex)
IVG Caverns / Storengy / EWE
|
DE · UGS | 20.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Gaviota Gas Storage
Enagás GTS
|
ES · UGS | 2.4 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Grijpskerk Gas Storage
NAM
|
NL · UGS | 27.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Haidach Gas Storage
RAG Austria / OMV / Astora
|
AT · UGS | 32.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Hajdúszoboszló Gas Storage
MOL Magyar Földgáztároló
|
HU · UGS | 17.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Háje Gas Storage (Czech Republic)
RWE Gas Storage CZ
|
CZ · UGS | 0.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Hornsea Gas Storage
SSE Gas Storage
|
GB · UGS | 3.3 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Inčukalns Gas Storage
Conexus Baltic Grid
|
LV · UGS | 24.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Izaute Gas Storage
Teréga
|
FR · UGS | 8.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Jemgum Gas Storage
EWE Gasspeicher / astora
|
DE · UGS | 14.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Kasimovskoe Gas Storage
Gazprom UGS
|
RU · UGS | 124.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Kirchheilingen Gas Storage
Uniper Energy Storage
|
DE · UGS | 3.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Krummhörn Gas Storage
EWE Gasspeicher
|
DE · UGS | 6.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Kushchevskoe UGS
Gazprom UGS
|
RU · UGS | 49.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Láb Gas Storage
Nafta a.s.
|
SK · UGS | 36.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Lille Torup Gas Storage
Gas Storage Denmark (Energinet)
|
DK · UGS | 4.6 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Lobodice Gas Storage
RWE Gas Storage CZ
|
CZ · UGS | 2.6 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Loenhout UGS
Fluxys Belgium
|
BE · UGS | 9.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Lussagnet Gas Storage
Teréga
|
FR · UGS | 35.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Manosque Gas Storage (Géosel)
Geomethane / Storengy
|
FR · UGS | 2.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Minerbio Gas Storage
Stogit (Snam)
|
IT · UGS | 45.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Mogilno Gas Storage (salt cavern)
PGNiG / Gas Storage Poland
|
PL · UGS | 9.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Norg Gas Storage
NAM
|
NL · UGS | 59.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Nüttermoor Gas Storage
EWE Gasspeicher
|
DE · UGS | 15.4 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Okoli UGS
PSP d.o.o. (Podzemno skladište plina)
|
HR · UGS | 5.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Peckensen Gas Storage
VNG Gasspeicher
|
DE · UGS | 5.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Puchkirchen Gas Storage
RAG Austria
|
AT · UGS | 6.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Reckrod Gas Storage
VNG Gasspeicher
|
DE · UGS | 0.9 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Rehden Gas Storage
Astora (formerly Gazprom Germania, now SEFE Storage)
|
DE · UGS | 45.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Reitbrook Gas Storage
Hamburger Gaswerke / Uniper
|
DE · UGS | 4.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Ripalta Gas Storage
Stogit (Snam)
|
IT · UGS | 18.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Sergnano Gas Storage
Stogit (Snam)
|
IT · UGS | 6.5 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Stockstadt Gas Storage
Uniper Energy Storage
|
DE · UGS | 0.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Târgu Mureș Gas Storage
Romgaz
|
RO · UGS | 3.1 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Třanovice Gas Storage
RWE Gas Storage CZ
|
CZ · UGS | 3.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Uelsen Gas Storage
Wintershall Dea / Gasspeicher Uelsen
|
DE · UGS | 7.4 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Uhřice Gas Storage
MND Energy Storage
|
CZ · UGS | 2.8 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Xanten Gas Storage
Open Grid Europe / Nuon
|
DE · UGS | 5.2 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Yela UGS
Enagás
|
ES · UGS | 20.0 TWh | Operational |
|
🟢 Zuidwending Gas Storage
EnergyStock (Gasunie)
|
NL · UGS | 3.1 TWh | Operational |
Global Fuel Shortage Registry
Global fuel-shortage alert registry (petrol, diesel, jet, heating oil). Severity (confirmed / watch) is a classifier output, not a client derivation. Every row carries the full evidence source list — see /docs/methodology/shortages for the threshold spec + classifier version.
9 confirmed · 20 watch
| Country · Product | Since | Evidence | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|
|
🛢️ CU · diesel
import_cut · policy
|
2025-11-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ BO · diesel
import_cut · policy
|
2025-10-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ UA · diesel
war · upstream_refinery
|
2022-03-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
⛽ NG · petrol
upstream_refinery · logistics
|
2026-01-05 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ LB · diesel
policy · logistics
|
2023-07-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ BD · diesel
import_cut · policy
|
2024-08-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ SY · diesel
sanction · war
|
2020-01-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
⛽ PK · petrol
policy · logistics
|
2026-01-12 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
⛽ VE · petrol
upstream_refinery · sanction
|
2024-06-01 | ●●● | Confirmed |
|
🛢️ NG · diesel
upstream_refinery
|
2026-02-01 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
⛽ KE · petrol
logistics
|
2026-03-05 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
⛽ ZW · petrol
logistics
|
2026-03-01 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ ZA · diesel
upstream_refinery · logistics
|
2026-02-10 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
⛽ LK · petrol
logistics
|
2026-02-20 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ MZ · diesel
logistics · policy
|
2026-02-15 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ ZM · diesel
import_cut · policy
|
2026-01-10 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
⛽ GH · petrol
logistics
|
2026-03-05 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ MW · diesel
import_cut
|
2026-01-20 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ MN · diesel
logistics
|
2025-12-10 | ●●○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ SD · diesel
war · import_cut
|
2023-04-15 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ EG · diesel
policy
|
2026-02-15 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ MM · diesel
sanction · import_cut
|
2024-03-01 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
⛽ IR · petrol
upstream_refinery
|
2026-03-20 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ AR · diesel
logistics
|
2026-02-10 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
✈️ PA · jet
logistics
|
2026-03-22 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
⛽ BY · petrol
sanction
|
2026-03-01 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ AO · diesel
logistics
|
2026-03-01 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🛢️ CO · diesel
logistics
|
2026-02-01 | ●○○ | Watch |
|
🔥 DE · heating_oil
logistics
|
2026-01-15 | ●○○ | Watch |
Energy Disruptions Log
Curated log of disruption events affecting oil & gas pipelines and storage facilities — sabotage, sanctions, maintenance, mechanical, weather, war, commercial. Each event ties back to a seeded asset; click a row to jump to the pipeline / storage panel with that event highlighted. See /docs/methodology/disruptions for the schema.
52 events · 33 ongoing
| Event | Asset | Window | Offline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
💥 sabotage
Drone strikes on Tynda and Bamovsk pumping stations; four-day throughput reduction to Daqing.
sabotage → war
|
pipeline espo | 2025-08-14 → 2025-08-18 | 1.60 mb/d | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Ukraine allowed the 2019 transit agreement with Gazprom to expire; Russian gas transit via Sudzha halted 1 Jan 2025 ending a ~50-year era of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
policy → war
|
pipeline progress-urengoy-uzhhorod | 2025-01-01 · ongoing | 15.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
🌀 weather
Hurricane Beryl forces temporary shutdown and evacuation; minimal cargo delay, no lasting impact.
logistics
|
storage sabine-pass | 2024-07-08 → 2024-07-12 | — | Resolved |
|
🔧 maintenance
Annual planned maintenance on both strings; supply suspended for ~2 weeks, resumed on schedule.
logistics
|
pipeline turkstream | 2024-06-24 → 2024-07-09 | 31.5 bcm/yr | Resolved |
|
💥 sabotage
Trans Niger Pipeline (Bonny export system) chronic tap-ins + force-majeure declarations. Shell divested to Renaissance Africa Energy; disruption pattern continues.
sabotage
|
pipeline nigeria-bonny-export | 2024-05-01 · ongoing | 0.20 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
💥 sabotage
Ukrainian drone strike series on Russian refineries (Tuapse, Ryazan, Volgograd, Nizhny Novgorod) through 2024-2025 — intermittent throughput reductions to Baltic export systems.
sabotage → war
|
pipeline bps-1 | 2024-01-15 · ongoing | 0.40 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
Following Nov 2023 OFAC designation, TotalEnergies and Japanese partners declared force majeure on Arctic LNG 2 JV stakes; commercial exports stalled.
sanction
|
storage arctic-lng-2 | 2024-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Dolphin long-term contract renegotiation ongoing as original 25-year deal approaches expiry in 2032; commercial event not an outage.
policy
|
pipeline dolphin | 2024-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Fujairah product stocks trended at multi-year highs through 2024 as Red Sea diversion of tankers boosted UAE intermediate storage demand.
logistics
|
storage fujairah-hub | 2024-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
JERA announced phased retirement of older Futtsu units as Japan's gas-fired generation mix shifts toward higher-efficiency units.
policy
|
storage futtsu-lng | 2024-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
⚔️ war
Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping since Nov 2023 have driven tanker traffic around the Cape, boosting SuMed's role as Suez bypass. Contextual indirect effect; SuMed itself physically flowing.
war → chokepoint
|
pipeline sumed | 2023-11-19 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
OFAC designates Arctic LNG 2 LLC; foreign partners withdraw. Operations continue but commercial exports suspended.
sanction
|
storage arctic-lng-2 | 2023-11-02 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Major Western banks + insurers publicly declined to finance EACOP citing climate and human-rights concerns; Chinese financial institutions filling gap. Schedule slips ongoing.
policy
|
pipeline uganda-tanzania-eacop-planned | 2023-09-01 · ongoing | 0.22 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
🔧 maintenance
Scheduled Gladstone LNG turnaround on one liquefaction train; ~6-week reduced cargo loadings.
logistics
|
storage gladstone-lng | 2023-08-01 → 2023-09-15 | — | Resolved |
|
⚔️ war
Sudan civil war has disrupted South Sudan's crude transit via Greater Nile pipeline; intermittent force-majeure, rising transit-fee disputes.
war
|
pipeline greater-nile-petroleum | 2023-04-15 · ongoing | 0.15 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
ICC arbitration ruling against Turkey halted Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline exports from Kurdistan. Pipeline remains shut.
sanction → policy
|
pipeline kirkuk-ceyhan | 2023-03-25 · ongoing | 0.45 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
Poland and Germany halt crude flows from Russia; Druzhba North branch unused for commercial deliveries.
sanction → policy
|
pipeline druzhba-north | 2023-02-25 · ongoing | 0.30 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Flow volumes ramping toward 38 bcm/yr contracted level. Commercial / capacity-ramp event, not an outage.
policy
|
pipeline power-of-siberia | 2023-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
China continued multi-phase crude storage expansion at Zhoushan base; exact capacity expansion not publicly disclosed (fill levels opaque).
policy
|
storage zhoushan-hub | 2023-01-01 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Bolivia's gas production decline reduced export flows to Brazil and Argentina; GASBOL throughput reductions continuing.
upstream_refinery → policy
|
pipeline gasbol | 2023-01-01 · ongoing | 3.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Post-coup Myanmar gas production dispersion; offshore Shwe field throughput below contracted levels at various points.
policy → war
|
pipeline myanmar-china-gas | 2023-01-01 · ongoing | 2.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
⚙️ mechanical
14,000-barrel crude spill in Washington County, Kansas — the largest onshore US crude spill since 2010. Keystone mainline shut 22 days.
logistics
|
pipeline keystone | 2022-12-07 → 2022-12-29 | 0.62 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
G7+EU $60/bbl price cap took effect on Russian seaborne crude; targeted tanker shipments from Baltic/Black Sea/Arctic export terminals (Primorsk, Ust-Luga, Novorossiysk); reshaped routing, shadow-fleet usage expanded. Linked to Primorsk (largest Baltic crude export terminal); ESPO pipeline leg to China was out of scope.
sanction → policy
|
storage primorsk-crude-terminal | 2022-12-05 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
Transit-country energy-stability concerns as Russia cut gas volumes to Moldova during winter 2022-2023; contextual impact on Brotherhood-Soyuz throughput.
policy
|
pipeline brotherhood-soyuz | 2022-10-24 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💥 sabotage
Submarine explosions rupture both Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines in Baltic Sea; operator declares force majeure.
sabotage → war
|
pipeline nord-stream-1 | 2022-09-26 · ongoing | 55.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
💥 sabotage
NS2 damaged alongside NS1; pipeline was never commercially operational due to German regulatory freeze.
sabotage → war
|
pipeline nord-stream-2 | 2022-09-26 · ongoing | 55.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
TAG throughput to Italy reduced as Gazprom flows dropped progressively across 2022; alternative supply (Azerbaijan via TAP) partially compensating.
sanction → policy
|
pipeline trans-austria-gas | 2022-09-01 · ongoing | 20.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Russian court ordered 30-day shutdown of CPC; overturned on appeal within weeks. Threatened ~1.2 mbd of Kazakh crude exports.
policy → war
|
pipeline cpc | 2022-08-22 → 2022-08-31 | 1.20 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🌀 weather
Rhine low-water disrupted barge-based distribution from ARA oil hub to inland German customers for ~2.5 months.
logistics
|
storage rotterdam-hub | 2022-07-15 → 2022-09-30 | — | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
EU 6th sanctions package banned seaborne Russian crude and capped Druzhba pipeline crude imports to landlocked EU members; progressive reductions continuing.
sanction
|
pipeline druzhba-north | 2022-06-03 · ongoing | 0.50 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
Russia cuts flows over EuRoPol GAZ sanctions; Yamal-Europe reversed to Poland→Belarus virtual reverse flow.
sanction → policy
|
pipeline yamal-europe | 2022-05-12 · ongoing | 33.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Yamal-Europe transit contract expired; reverse-flow arrangements via Poland→Belarus became the only residual use. Pipeline now operationally inactive for westbound flow.
sanction → policy
|
pipeline yamal-europe | 2022-05-12 · ongoing | 33.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
🚫 sanction
Germany placed Gazprom Germania (operator of Rehden) under BNetzA trusteeship; operator sanctioned, facility regained access under new operator.
sanction → policy
|
storage rehden | 2022-04-01 → 2022-06-14 | — | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Cushing stocks drew down to near tank-bottoms in late 2022 — levels below operational minimum; WTI benchmark structure affected.
logistics
|
storage cushing-hub | 2022-04-01 → 2022-12-31 | — | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Biden administration ordered 180 million barrel SPR release — the largest ever; SPR levels fell to ~40-year lows by mid-2023.
policy
|
storage bryan-mound | 2022-03-31 → 2023-07-31 | 1.00 mb/d | Resolved |
|
⚔️ war
Russian strikes on Ukrainian fuel depots across 2022-2024 disrupted inland fuel distribution; Ukrainian side has periodically attacked Druzhba booster stations on Russian territory.
war → sabotage
|
pipeline druzhba-south | 2022-03-25 · ongoing | 0.08 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
⚙️ mechanical
CPC's Novorossiysk loading buoys damaged in storm + war tensions; operator declares one-month force majeure.
logistics → war
|
pipeline cpc-pipeline | 2022-03-22 → 2022-04-22 | 0.80 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
Yamal LNG foreign partners retained stakes but ice-class carrier sanctions + Western insurance withdrawal restricted shipping options; Chinese financial flows substitute.
sanction
|
storage yamal-lng | 2022-02-24 · ongoing | — | Ongoing |
|
💼 commercial
Built to carry Nord Stream 2 gas into Central Europe; never reached commercial operation after German halt of NS2 certification (Feb 2022) and subsequent NS2 damage (Sep 2022).
sanction → policy
|
pipeline eugal-pipeline-germany | 2022-02-22 · ongoing | 55.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
⚙️ mechanical
Landslide rupture in Ecuador's Amazon region forced ~2-week OCP shutdown; repeated failures at kilometer 150-160 segment.
logistics
|
pipeline ocp-ecuador | 2022-01-28 → 2022-02-12 | 0.45 mb/d | Resolved |
|
💥 sabotage
ISIS-claimed bombing at Bai Hassan oil field briefly halted throughput to Kirkuk export system.
sabotage
|
pipeline iraq-bai-hassan | 2022-01-23 → 2022-01-25 | 0.22 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
Algeria declined to renew MEG contract amid diplomatic rupture with Morocco; pipeline closed end of Oct 2021. Morocco partially repurposed for reverse flow (Spain→Morocco LNG vaporisation).
policy
|
pipeline meg-maghreb-europe | 2021-10-31 · ongoing | 12.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
🌀 weather
Hurricane Ida forced shutdown of multiple Gulf-coast LNG terminals and gas-processing; cargoes delayed ~1 week.
logistics
|
storage sabine-pass | 2021-08-29 → 2021-09-07 | — | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Biden administration revoked the presidential permit on day one; TC Energy terminated the project 9 Jun 2021 after extended uncertainty.
policy
|
pipeline keystone-xl-cancelled | 2021-01-20 → 2021-06-09 | 0.83 mb/d | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Brent field in decommissioning phase; upstream supply into Brent System pipeline reduced to residual production volumes.
logistics
|
pipeline brent-pipeline | 2020-10-01 · ongoing | 0.30 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
💥 sabotage
Houthi-claimed drone + cruise missile attack on Abqaiq processing and Khurais field temporarily removed ~50% of Saudi crude processing capacity (headline 5.7 mbd figure reflects plant-level loss; capacityOffline capped at linked pipeline 5.0 mbd throughput ceiling).
sabotage → war
|
pipeline east-west-saudi | 2019-09-14 → 2019-09-25 | 5.00 mb/d | Resolved |
|
⚙️ mechanical
Organic chlorides contamination forced suspension of crude deliveries through Druzhba; cleanup took ~3 months.
logistics
|
pipeline druzhba-north | 2019-04-19 → 2019-07-10 | 1.00 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
OFAC designated PDVSA; US refiners cut Venezuelan heavy crude intake, reshaping Latam flows.
sanction
|
pipeline ve-petrol-2026-q1 | 2019-01-28 · ongoing | 0.50 mb/d | Ongoing |
|
⚙️ mechanical
Hairline crack at Red Moss, Aberdeenshire forced ~3-week Forties Pipeline System shutdown; Brent benchmark tightened during outage.
logistics
|
pipeline forties-pipeline | 2017-12-11 → 2017-12-30 | 0.45 mb/d | Resolved |
|
💼 commercial
Venezuela halted gas imports from Colombia citing FX and commercial disputes; restart periodically floated but has not materialized.
policy
|
pipeline antonio-ricaurte | 2015-08-01 · ongoing | 5.0 bcm/yr | Ongoing |
|
⚙️ mechanical
BTC pipeline fire in Turkey; 20-day outage, claimed by PKK. Historical reference event.
sabotage
|
pipeline btc | 2008-08-05 → 2008-08-25 | 1.00 mb/d | Resolved |
|
🚫 sanction
Saudi Arabia nationalized IPSA-2 in 2001, 11 years after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait had shut the pipeline. Converted 2017 to natural-gas service (western segment).
policy → war
|
pipeline ipsa-2 | 2001-06-10 · ongoing | 1.65 mb/d | Ongoing |
BTC ETF Tracker
BTC ETF Tracker Tracks daily estimated fund flows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs:
- Inflow/outflow direction and magnitude
- Volume and price change per fund
- Net aggregate flow across all tracked ETFs
Net Flow
NET OUTFLOW
Est. Flow
$186.2M
Total Vol
41.6M
ETFs
0↑ 10↓
| Ticker | Issuer | Est. Flow | Volume | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT | BlackRock | -$138.7M | 31.8M | -1.04% |
| FBTC | Fidelity | -$24.2M | 3.6M | -0.98% |
| ARKB | ARK/21Shares | -$3.9M | 1.5M | -0.97% |
| BITB | Bitwise | -$5.9M | 1.4M | -1.02% |
| GBTC | Grayscale | -$8.9M | 1.5M | -0.99% |
| HODL | VanEck | -$2.3M | 1.0M | -1.05% |
| BRRR | Valkyrie | -$808K | 373K | -1.00% |
| EZBC | Franklin | -$746K | 168K | -0.98% |
| BTCO | Invesco | -$621K | 81K | -1.01% |
| BTCW | WisdomTree | -$224K | 28K | -0.99% |
Stablecoins
Stablecoins Peg health, market cap, and 24h volume for major USD-pegged tokens (USDT, USDC, DAI, BUSD). A broken peg signals systemic risk.
HEALTHY
MCap: $275.9B | Vol: $70.2B
Peg Health
USDT
Tether
$0.9999
ON PEG
0.01%
USDC
USDC
$0.9999
ON PEG
0.01%
DAI
Dai
$1.0000
ON PEG
0.00%
USDE
Ethena USDe
$0.9991
ON PEG
0.09%
FDUSD
First Digital USD
$0.9979
ON PEG
0.21%
Supply & Volume
TokenMCap24h Vol24h Chg
USDT
$189.7B
$57.2B
-0.02%
USDC
$77.6B
$12.9B
+0.00%
DAI
$4.4B
$14M
+0.03%
USDE
$3.8B
$98M
-0.02%
FDUSD
$411M
$36M
-0.03%
Armed Conflict Events
2000Armed Conflict Events Event-level conflict data from Uppsala University (UCDP).
- State-Based: Government vs rebel group
- Non-State: Armed group vs armed group
- One-Sided: Violence against civilians
13,247 deaths
| Country | Deaths | Date | Actors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somalia | 5 (5-5) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab |
| Somalia | 4 (4-4) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab |
| Ukraine | 29 (29-29) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Israel | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs KIO |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 0 | 2023-12-31 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG |
| Ukraine | 8 (8-8) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 5 (5-5) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-2) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 4 (4-5) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 5 (5-5) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 6 (6-6) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Israel | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 68 (68-68) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Russia (Soviet Union) | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Nigeria | 2 (2-2) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Nigeria vs IS |
| Pakistan | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Pakistan vs TTP |
| Ukraine | 3 (3-3) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 2 (1-2) | 2023-12-31 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Mali | 0 | 2023-12-31 | Government of Mali vs JNIM |
| Mali | 0 | 2023-12-31 | Government of Mali vs JNIM |
| Ukraine | 3 (3-4) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 7 (7-7) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 2 (1-2) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 14 (2-14) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-2) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 32 (32-31) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Yemen (North Yemen) | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Yemen (North Yemen) vs Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG |
| Israel | 2 (2-2) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 5 (5-5) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 40 (40-40) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 15 (15-15) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 0 | 2023-12-30 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 0 | 2023-12-30 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG |
| Myanmar (Burma) | 0 | 2023-12-30 | Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG |
| Ukraine | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Ukraine | 9 (9-9) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine |
| Afghanistan | 0 | 2023-12-30 | Government of Afghanistan vs NRF |
| Israel | 3 (3-3) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 20 (20-20) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 4 (4-4) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 1 (1-1) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 3 (3-3) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 6 (6-6) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 12 (12-12) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
| Israel | 3 (3-3) | 2023-12-30 | Government of Israel vs Hamas |
1303 more events not shown
Disease Outbreaks
Disease Outbreaks Active outbreak alerts from WHO, ProMED, and health ministries. Tracks confirmed outbreaks, affected regions, case counts, and threat levels. Updated as new reports are published.
ALERT
Salmonella
United States
34 people across 13 states have gotten sick with the same strain of Salmonella
CDC
4d ago
ALERT
Measles
Kabkabiya
In North Darfur's Kabkabiya locality, health authorities reported a worsening outbreak of measles with 237 cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
7d ago
ALERT
Unknown Disease
United States
CDC's Epidemic Intelligence Service officers are gathering this week for the 2026 EIS Conference
CDC
7d ago
ALERT
Measles
Dhaka
Bangladesh's measles outbreak has spread to 61 districts, with 3,065 measles cases detected nationwide.
ThinkGlobalHealth
11d ago
ALERT
Measles
Guatemala City
Four children have died in Guatemala's outgoing measles outbreak, which has infected 4,709 people since December 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
12d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah's measles outbreak has now reached 602 confirmed cases since it began in June 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
ALERT
Whooping Cough
Vanuatu
Vanuatu has detected 813 whooping cough cases since the country's outbreak began in 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
18d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah has become the United States' new measles epicenter with 386 cases diagnosed in 2026, raising its outbreak tally to…
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
ALERT
Measles
Dhaka
Bangladesh's measles outbreak is worsening, after the country reported 1,187 new suspected cases in 24 hours and seven n…
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
ALERT
Measles
Ulaanbaatar
Seventeen people have died from measles in Mongolia, as of April 7, 2026. The country has confirmed nearly 15,000 cases …
ThinkGlobalHealth
21d ago
ALERT
Measles
Tumbes
Health authorities in Peru's Puno region confirmed an outbreak of eight measles cases following transmission at Carnival…
ThinkGlobalHealth
23d ago
ALERT
Measles
Dhaka
Bangladesh's government reported 94 suspected measles deaths in 19 days, mostly among children, as the country's outbrea…
ThinkGlobalHealth
24d ago
ALERT
Hepatitis A
Havana
Cuban health authorities are reporting hepatitis A outbreaks across several municipalities, linked to deteriorating wate…
ThinkGlobalHealth
24d ago
ALERT
Chicken Pox
Hanoi
In Dak Lak province, Vietnam, a chickenpox outbreak among children at a primary school has grown to 26 cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
25d ago
ALERT
Hepatitis A
Sweden
Sweden reported a hepatitis A outbreak of 11 cases linked to the consumption of frozen strawberries and raspberries.
ThinkGlobalHealth
25d ago
ALERT
Measles
Michigan
Michigan has confirmed eight measles cases in 2026 amid an outbreak in Washtenaw County.
ThinkGlobalHealth
26d ago
ALERT
Measles
Taipei
Taiwan has reported six measles cases this year, one of which involved a woman in her 50s who traveled to the United Sta…
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah's measles spread has accelerated, with 116 infections confirmed over the last two weeks of March 2026. The new case…
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
ALERT
Measles
Guatemala City
Guatemala's Ministry of Public Health confirmed its first two deaths from a measles outbreak that began in January 2025.…
ThinkGlobalHealth
29d ago
ALERT
Measles
Dhaka
In Bangladesh this year, at least 46 children have died in an ongoing measles outbreak. A single hospital has received 5…
ThinkGlobalHealth
29d ago
ALERT
Measles
England
England is facing its second measles outbreak in two months, reaching 299 cases in 2026. Cases are concentrated in Birmi…
ThinkGlobalHealth
31d ago
ALERT
Measles
Florida
Florida has reported 143 measles cases in 2026, although the state's outbreak appears to be slowing.
ThinkGlobalHealth
33d ago
ALERT
Diphtheria
Northern Territory
Australia's Northern Territory declared an outbreak of diphtheria on March 25, with four cases reported in a single week…
ThinkGlobalHealth
33d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah has confirmed 486 measles cases in its ongoing outbreak, which began in June 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
ALERT
Measles
Texas
A measles outbreak in an ICE detention center has now spilled over to the public, infecting at least four El Paso reside…
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
ALERT
Measles
Quebec
Quebec, Canada has declared another measles outbreak, with two new confirmed cases and multiple exposure sites in Montre…
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
ALERT
Measles
Riga
Latvia registers 17 cases of measles, involving 15 children and two adults. The outbreak began in February 2026 at a wel…
ThinkGlobalHealth
36d ago
ALERT
Measles
Sydney
Sydney, Australia confirms 33 measles cases in the city's worst measles outbreak in years. New cases are located in the …
ThinkGlobalHealth
36d ago
ALERT
Measles
Kazakhstan
On March 19, 2026, Kazakhstan identified a severe measles complication—subacute sclerosing panencephalitis—in an 11-year…
ThinkGlobalHealth
39d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah has added 85 measles cases in the past 10 days, increasing the state's total to 443 since the current outbreak bega…
ThinkGlobalHealth
42d ago
ALERT
Measles
Tel Aviv
An unvaccinated teenage boy died from measles in Israel, marking the country's seventeenth measles death since the curre…
ThinkGlobalHealth
42d ago
ALERT
Measles
Mexico City
Mexico's measles cases for the first three months of 2026—with 6,956 cases as of March15—now exceed the count for 2025, …
ThinkGlobalHealth
43d ago
ALERT
Measles
United Kingdom
In 2026, England has recorded 235 measles cases as of March 2, as the outbreak spreads beyond London to neighboring Birm…
ThinkGlobalHealth
44d ago
ALERT
Chicken Pox
Islamabad
In Khairpur, Pakistan, a surge in chickenpox cases has killed five children in the past three days, including three newb…
ThinkGlobalHealth
44d ago
ALERT
Measles
Columbia
As of March 17, 2026, South Carolina has recorded 997 measles cases in its outbreak that continues to slow.
ThinkGlobalHealth
46d ago
ALERT
Measles
São Paulo
São Paulo, Brazil has reported its first case of measles in 2026—in a child who had traveled to Bolivia, which has been …
ThinkGlobalHealth
46d ago
ALERT
Measles
Colorado
Colorado's measles outbreak, tied to two schools in Broomfield, has reached 10 cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
47d ago
ALERT
Whooping Cough
Honduras
In Honduras, nine children—the majority newborns—have died from whooping cough this year via an outbreak that has infect…
ThinkGlobalHealth
47d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah's measles outbreak is accelerating after 98 cases were reported in the last three weeks, bringing the state's total…
ThinkGlobalHealth
48d ago
ALERT
Measles
Maputo
In early March, Mozambique recorded 18 new measles cases, raising the case total for the country's seven-month outbreak …
ThinkGlobalHealth
49d ago
ALERT
Measles
Khartoum
Sudan's health ministry reported 165 cases of measles across five states among other severe disease outbreaks, linked to…
ThinkGlobalHealth
49d ago
ALERT
Measles
Baglung
Nepal's Dhorpatan municipality has recorded 18 new measles cases, the country's second outbreak in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
49d ago
ALERT
Measles
Utah
Utah's measles outbreak has reached 358 cases with reports of severe illness, with more than 120 admitted to the emergen…
ThinkGlobalHealth
51d ago
ALERT
Measles
North Dakota
North Dakota has recorded 23 measles cases in 2026. Two new cases were reported in Pembina county bordering Manitoba, Ca…
ThinkGlobalHealth
52d ago
ALERT
Measles
Columbia
South Carolina reports just one new case of measles in the state, bringing its caseload to 991 since the start of the ou…
ThinkGlobalHealth
53d ago
ALERT
Measles
Ontario
While Ontario's measles outbreak was declared over in October 2025, five new cases have been reported in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
ALERT
Botulism
United States
The CDC has released an update on the ongoing investigation of infant botulism cases
CDC
138d ago
ALERT
Listeria
United States
CDC urges people to check their refrigerators and freezers for recalled foods. Do not eat them.
CDC
179d ago
ALERT
E. coli
United States
CDC has posted a Food Safety Alert regarding a multi-state outbreak linked to organic carrots.
CDC
526d ago
ALERT
Unknown Disease
United States
The number of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) remains high in the United States, however the latest data from CDC…
CDC
531d ago
ALERT
E. coli
Mountain West states linked to McDonald's Quarter Pounders; McDonald's removes suspect ingredients temporarily
A CDC Food Safety Alert regarding an outbreak of E. coli infections linked to McDonald's Quarter Pounders has been poste…
CDC
552d ago
ALERT
Salmonella
Illinois
CDC warns of recalled eggs sold in Illinois, Michigan, and Wisconsin, linked to Salmonella outbreak
CDC
598d ago
ALERT
Mpox
Several African Countries
FACT SHEET: United States Response to the Clade I Mpox Outbreak in Several African Countries
CDC
613d ago
WARNING
Measles
El Taweisha
Measles has spread rapidly since late March 2026 in North Darfur's El Taweisha district, with around 300 infections and …
ThinkGlobalHealth
7d ago
WARNING
Measles
Oregon
In 2026, Oregon has 20 confirmed cases of measles. The state's first measles hospitalization and case of community sprea…
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Measles
North Kordofan
North Kordofan, Sudan has recorded 994 measles cases. The majority were detected in displacement camps amid overcrowded …
ThinkGlobalHealth
7d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Kabkabiya
North Darfur's Kabkabiya district has recorded 196 whooping cough cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
7d ago
WATCH
Measles
Hong Kong
On April 20, 2026, Hong Kong detected a third case of measles among airport staff.
ThinkGlobalHealth
7d ago
WATCH
Measles
Madrid
In January and February 2026, Spain reported 101 measles cases to the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control…
ThinkGlobalHealth
8d ago
WATCH
Measles
N'Djamena
Chad saw more than 130 measles cases in a small pediatric hospital between March and April 2026, overwhelming the facili…
ThinkGlobalHealth
8d ago
WATCH
Measles
Turkiye
Turkey recorded 30 new cases of measles in the second week of April.
ThinkGlobalHealth
8d ago
WATCH
Measles
Bucharest
Romania recorded the largest number of measles cases in Europe over the past 12 months following low vaccination rates. …
ThinkGlobalHealth
10d ago
WATCH
Hepatitis A
Naples
Caserta, Italy has confirmed a new case of hepatitis A at an elementary school, bringing the region's total to 84.
ThinkGlobalHealth
10d ago
WATCH
Measles
Latvia
Latvia has detected two new measles cases, bringing the country's total to 47.
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
Measles
San Francisco
San Francisco, California has reported its first measles case since 2019.
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
Measles
Arizona
Arizona has recorded 72 measles cases statewide in 2026. The latest was reported in Maricopa County.
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
Measles
Florida
Florida has recorded 145 measles cases in 2026. The majority are in Collier County.
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
Measles
Tokyo
Japan has reported 236 measles cases in 2026, a more than threefold increase from the same time last year.
ThinkGlobalHealth
13d ago
WATCH
Measles
Jalisco
Mexico has reported 9,398 confirmed measles cases through mid-April 2026, or 45% more than its 2025 count of 6,480.
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
WATCH
Measles
California
Sacramento, California reported six new measles cases on April 15, bringing the state's total to 39.
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
WATCH
Measles
Washington
Washington state has confirmed 33 measles cases in 2026, after four new cases were detected in a single week in Kittitas…
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Honduras
In 2026, Honduras has reported 112 confirmed cases and nine deaths due to whooping cough, matching the national case cou…
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
WATCH
Measles
Sofia
Bulgaria recorded 30 new measles cases during the second week of April, bringing the country's total to 104 cases in 202…
ThinkGlobalHealth
14d ago
WATCH
Measles
Tokyo
Tokyo confirmed 55 measles cases in April 2026 alone, bringing Japan's cumulative total this year to 109.
ThinkGlobalHealth
15d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Mexico City
Mexico has recorded 72 cases of whooping cough in 2026, following a major surge in 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
15d ago
WATCH
Measles
Singapore
Singapore has recorded 27 measles cases since the start of 2026, matching its case count for all of 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
17d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Hagåtña
Guam reported two new whooping cough cases on April 10, raising its 2026 total to nine confirmed cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
17d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Measles
Sofia
Bulgaria has reported 101 cases of measles; 89% are children.
ThinkGlobalHealth
18d ago
WATCH
Polio
Luanda
Angola has reported one case of vaccine-derived polio in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Polio
Democratic Republic of Congo
Democratic Republic of Congo has reported two cases of vaccine-derived polio in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Polio
Nigeria
Nigeria has reported 14 cases of vaccine-derived polio, including types two and three, in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Polio
Somalia
Somalia has reported two cases of vaccine-derived polio in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Diphtheria
Conakry
Guinea has reported 28 diphtheria cases and three deaths since the beginning of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Mali
Mali has reported 91 diphtheria cases and four deaths since the start of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Mauritania
Mauritania has reported 71 diphtheria cases and one deaths in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Niger
Niger has reported 78 diphtheria cases and six deaths since the start of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Nigeria
Nigeria has reported 360 diphtheria cases and eight deaths since the beginning of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Somalia
Somalia has reported 758 diphtheria cases and 21 deaths since the beginning of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
South Africa
South Africa has reported 13 diphtheria cases and one death since the beginning of 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Measles
North Dakota
In 2026, North Dakota has confirmed 32 cases of measles, nearing the state's total for all of 2025.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Chicken Pox
Cox's Bazar
Chickenpox has infected 8,769 people living in Bangladesh's Rohingya camps in the past three months because of overcrowd…
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Measles
Quebec City
Quebec City, Canada reported its first measles case in six years.
ThinkGlobalHealth
19d ago
WATCH
Measles
Alberta
Alberta, Canada has reported 243 reported cases across the province in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
20d ago
WATCH
Diphtheria
Northern Territory
Health officials in Northern Territory, Australia confirmed 10 new diphtheria cases as of March 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
20d ago
WATCH
Chicken Pox
Quang Tri
In the first week of April, Huong Lap commune in Vietnam detected 38 cases of chickenpox across three villages.
ThinkGlobalHealth
20d ago
WATCH
Hepatitis A
Juiz de Fora
Juiz de Fora, Brazil confirmed 331 cases of hepatitis A between January and March 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
22d ago
WATCH
Respiratory Syncytial Virus
United States
RSV is peaking later in the spring than usual in the United States, as 7.5% of RSV tests were positive during the third …
ThinkGlobalHealth
22d ago
WATCH
Measles
Saratov
Four measles cases have been recorded in Russia's Saratov region.
ThinkGlobalHealth
23d ago
WATCH
Measles
Texas
Texas reported 28 more measles cases in the last two weeks, bringing the statewide total to at least 175 infections this…
ThinkGlobalHealth
26d ago
WATCH
Measles
Florida
Southwest Florida reported two new measles cases on March 28, 2026, bringing the region's total to 109 cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
26d ago
WATCH
Measles
Rio de Janeiro
Brazil confirmed its second measles case of 2026, in a 22-year-old woman who works at a hotel in Rio de Janeiro.
ThinkGlobalHealth
26d ago
WATCH
Measles
Tokyo
Japan has recorded 152 measles cases in 2026, more than three times its number for the same period last year.
ThinkGlobalHealth
27d ago
WATCH
Measles
Ad-Du'ayn
A Rapid Support Forces official in East Darfur, Sudan reported 140 cases of measles in the region, including 12 deaths.
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
WATCH
Measles
Montana
Oregon has confirmed 13 cases of measles in 2026, with the total expected to grow after additional detections in wastewa…
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
WATCH
Measles
Colorado
Colorado reported its thirteenth case of measles in 2026, an increase from 2025 when the state had reported just two cas…
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
WATCH
Measles
Singapore
Singapore reported 12 new measles cases, increasing the country's total to 23 in 2026, nearing the tally recorded during…
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
WATCH
Measles
Sofia
As of March 30, 2026, Bulgaria has recorded a total of 43 measles infections across three regions.
ThinkGlobalHealth
28d ago
WATCH
Measles
Sofia
As of March 30, 2026, three regions of Bulgaria have registered 43 measles cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
29d ago
WATCH
Chicken Pox
Tamil Nadu
Tamil Nadu, India has reported 1,320 cases of chickenpox from January to March 2026, and rising temperatures are expecte…
ThinkGlobalHealth
31d ago
WATCH
Measles
Indonesia
A young doctor in Cianjur, Indonesia died from a suspected measles cases, complicated by pneumonia.
ThinkGlobalHealth
32d ago
WATCH
Measles
Manitoba
Canada has confirmed 582 measles cases in 2026, of which 407 occurred in Manitoba.
ThinkGlobalHealth
32d ago
WATCH
Measles
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan recorded more than 200 measles cases in a single week.
ThinkGlobalHealth
32d ago
WATCH
Measles
California
Placer County, California has reported eight cases of measle as of March 25, 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
33d ago
WATCH
Measles
Oregon
Oregon confirmed a new measles case, bringing the state's total to 10 confirmed cases in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
33d ago
WATCH
Polio
Angola
On March 18, Angola reported its first polio case of the year
ThinkGlobalHealth
33d ago
WATCH
Measles
Queensland
New South Wales, Australia reported three new measles cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
34d ago
WATCH
Measles
Michigan
Washtenaw County, Michigan confirmed its seventh measles case of the year on March 25, 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
WATCH
Measles
New Mexico
On March 25, 2026, New Mexico health officials reported two cases of measles at the Luna County Detention Center. The in…
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
WATCH
Measles
Virginia
Virginia reported six cases of measles in its southwest region.
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
WATCH
Chicken Pox
Bucaramanga
A public school in Bucaramanga, Colombia has been placed under isolation after three chickenpox cases were confirmed. Ni…
ThinkGlobalHealth
35d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Rome
Italian soccer club Sassuolo has confirmed a case of whooping cough on its team ahead of an upcoming match. Five other t…
ThinkGlobalHealth
38d ago
WATCH
Measles
Sofia
Bulgaria registered eight new measles cases in the Vratsa region, raising the country's total for 2026 to nine cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
38d ago
WATCH
Hepatitis A
Rome
Hepatitis A cases are rising in Italy, possibly linked to consumption of raw seafood contaminated by recent heavy rains …
ThinkGlobalHealth
39d ago
WATCH
Measles
New Mexico
The number of measles cases reported in New Mexico federal detention centers more than doubled to 13, from March 4 to Ma…
ThinkGlobalHealth
40d ago
WATCH
Measles
Washington
Washington state officials have confirmed 28 cases of measles in 2026 and warn of further exposure after a Canadian trav…
ThinkGlobalHealth
40d ago
WATCH
Measles
California
As of March 16, 2026, California has reported 29 confirmed measles cases, with a possible additional exposure reported i…
ThinkGlobalHealth
40d ago
WATCH
Measles
Dhaka
A 100-bed hospital in Dhaka, Bangladesh has recorded 255 measles cases in 2026, with many patients—most of which are und…
ThinkGlobalHealth
41d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Hagåtña
Guam has reported two new cases of whooping cough, bringing the territory's total confirmed cases for 2026 to six.
ThinkGlobalHealth
41d ago
WATCH
Measles
Tokyo
Japan has experienced 100 confirmed measles cases in 2026. Infections are growing at a faster pace than in 2025, which r…
ThinkGlobalHealth
41d ago
WATCH
Measles
Texas
At least 147 measles cases have been reported in Texas this year; 116 have been confirmed inside federal detention facil…
ThinkGlobalHealth
42d ago
WATCH
Measles
Florida
Five new measles cases were confirmed in Florida's Collier County, bringing the state's total to 140 cases. The majority…
ThinkGlobalHealth
42d ago
WATCH
Measles
Colorado
Colorado reported its twelfth measles case of 2026: a Weld County adult who was briefly hospitalized.
ThinkGlobalHealth
42d ago
WATCH
Measles
Cape Town
Health officials in the Western Cape, South Africa have confirmed measles cases across several elementary schools follow…
ThinkGlobalHealth
43d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Diphtheria
Western Cape
South Africa has reported nine diphtheria cases in 2026—and 96 cases since tracking began on January 1, 2024.
ThinkGlobalHealth
46d ago
WATCH
Respiratory Syncytial Virus
Michigan
RSV hospitalizations among children are rising in Michigan, with one hospital reporting a four-fold increase in hospital…
ThinkGlobalHealth
47d ago
WATCH
Measles
Florida
Florida has reported eight new measles cases, bringing the state's total to 132 in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
47d ago
WATCH
Measles
Oregon
Oregon has recorded six measles cases in 2026 as of March 12.
ThinkGlobalHealth
47d ago
WATCH
Whooping Cough
Wyoming
Wyoming has recorded 26 confirmed pertussis cases in 2026 so far. Last year the state recorded its highest number of cas…
ThinkGlobalHealth
48d ago
WATCH
Hepatitis A
Hong Kong
Hong Kong's Center for Health Protection is investigating a cluster of hepatitis A infections, occurring from September …
ThinkGlobalHealth
48d ago
WATCH
Measles
Alberta
Alberta, Canada has confirmed 159 measles cases so far in 2026, with 36 new cases reported over a single weekend.
ThinkGlobalHealth
48d ago
WATCH
Measles
Mexico City
As of March 10, Mexico has reported 6,387 confirmed measles cases in 2026, nearly same amount the country reported in al…
ThinkGlobalHealth
49d ago
WATCH
Measles
Jakarta
In 2026, Indonesia has confirmed 572 measles cases and four deaths.
ThinkGlobalHealth
49d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Measles
United States
CDC reaffirmed its commitment to protecting communities across the United States
CDC
49d ago
WATCH
Measles
Orange County
The New England Journal of Medicine documented the case of a seven-year-old boy in Orange County, California who died fr…
ThinkGlobalHealth
50d ago
WATCH
Measles
San José
Costa Rica's Ministry of Health has confirmed the country's second case of measles in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
50d ago
WATCH
Measles
Montana
Montana's first measles case in 2026 has been reported in Blaine County, according to the Fort Belknap Tribal Health Dep…
ThinkGlobalHealth
51d ago
WATCH
Measles
Colorado
Colorado's health department identified four new measles cases in middle- and high school children, bringing the total t…
ThinkGlobalHealth
52d ago
WATCH
Measles
Washington
Washington state has confirmed 26 measles cases in the first two months of 2026, more than double the state's 12 cases i…
ThinkGlobalHealth
52d ago
WATCH
Measles
Khabarovsk
Russia has registered 54 cases of measles in Khabarovsk Krai.
ThinkGlobalHealth
52d ago
WATCH
Polio
Nigeria
In Nigeria, four cases of circulating vaccine-derived polio (cVDPV2) were reported with onset of paralysis between Janua…
ThinkGlobalHealth
53d ago
WATCH
Measles
Taipei
Two cases of measles infections have been diagnosed in central Taiwan, marking the second measles cluster of the year.
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
WATCH
Measles
England
England has reported 195 cases of measles since the start of 2026, of which 65% were in London.
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
WATCH
Measles
Scotland
A second case of measles has been confirmed in Grampian, Scotland, just over a week after the region reported its first …
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
WATCH
Measles
Jakarta
In the first two months of 2026, Indonesia has reported 572 measles cases including five child deaths.
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
WATCH
Chicken Pox
Kerala
Kerala, India has now recorded more than 10,154 cases of chickenpox and three adult deaths in 2026.
ThinkGlobalHealth
54d ago
WATCH
Measles
Sacramento
Sacramento County, California reported two new measles cases, raising its 2026 tally to 26 confirmed cases.
ThinkGlobalHealth
55d ago
WATCH
Measles
Kansas City
A Kansas City, Missouri resident has been diagnosed with measles, the city's first case since 2018.
ThinkGlobalHealth
55d ago
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
Marburg
WHO
91d ago
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
Influenza
WHO
143d ago
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
Rift valley
WHO
173d ago
WATCH
Chikungunya
WHO
206d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
We extend our deepest condolences to Suzy's family, her friends, and all who cared about her.
CDC
209d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
Newborns and Sexually Transmitted Infections
New CDC data shows U.S. cases of newborn syphilis increased for the 12th consecutive year in 2024
CDC
215d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
Michael Fletcher, a passionate advocate for quit-smoking efforts, has passed away
CDC
221d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Polio
WHO
250d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
Christine Brader, a champion of anti-smoking efforts, has passed away at 62
CDC
266d ago
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
A person with severe avian influenza A(H5N1) illness ("H5N1 bird flu") has passed away.
CDC
476d ago
WATCH
H5n1
United States
December 18, 2024-- A patient has been hospitalized with a severe case of avian influenza A(H5N1)
CDC
495d ago
WATCH
H5n1
California
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has confirmed a human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) (H5N1 …
CDC
521d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
Transcript for MMWR Telebriefing: Evidence of Recent H5 Bird Flu Infections among Dairy Workers and CDC Guidance Updates
CDC
536d ago
WATCH
Lassa
Death of U
The CDC and the Iowa Department of Health are investigating a suspected case of Lassa fever, which was diagnosed today i…
CDC
546d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
California
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has confirmed a third human case of H5 bird flu in California.
CDC
565d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Marburg
Rwanda
CDC is aware of 26 individuals with Marburg virus disease, as confirmed by the Republic of Rwanda Ministry of Health.
CDC
574d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
Today, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) announced more than $176 million in funding to support 48 pu…
CDC
579d ago
WATCH
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
Media Statement - Three additional human cases of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5) ("H5 bird flu") virus i…
CDC
641d ago
WATCH
Unknown Disease
United States
CDC has clarified and simplified the process for bringing dogs into the United States from rabies-free and low risk dog …
CDC
644d ago
WHO · ProMED · HealthMap
Social Velocity
Social Velocity Trending topics and viral content with geopolitical significance. Measures social media velocity: how rapidly a story spreads relative to baseline. Helps surface emerging narratives before they hit mainstream news.
1
Ukrainian drones reportedly strike Russian oil storage tanks in Tuapse before flames from previous attacks extinguished.
r/worldnews
▲ 1.1k
💬 37
97% up
3h ago
401
2
Taiwan on alert after spotting two Chinese warships near its Penghu islands
r/worldnews
▲ 142
💬 28
89% up
1h ago
351
3
Nations meet to discuss fossil fuel exit as Iran war drives up prices
r/worldnews
▲ 219
💬 22
96% up
2h ago
340
4
/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1524, Part 1 (Thread #1671)
r/worldnews
▲ 112
💬 4
97% up
3h ago
286
5
Pakistan Attacks Afghan University In Kunar Province; 4 Killed, Thousands Of Students Affected
r/worldnews
▲ 406
💬 50
93% up
4h ago
270
6
Ukraine to field 25,000 ground robots in push to replace soldiers for frontline logistics
r/worldnews
▲ 4.0k
💬 230
97% up
7h ago
250
7
Argentina’s Milei bars media from presidential palace
r/worldnews
▲ 357
💬 38
93% up
4h ago
248
8
Top Jalisco cartel leader 'El Jardinero' arrested in Mexico, minister says
r/worldnews
▲ 463
💬 19
98% up
6h ago
207
9
North Korea opens museum honoring soldiers killed fighting Russia's war against Ukraine
r/worldnews
▲ 236
💬 40
91% up
6h ago
182
10
Some US Tariff-Relief Deals Are Worthless, Canada’s Carney Tells CBC
r/worldnews
▲ 1.1k
💬 64
97% up
8h ago
169
11
Canada Setting Up Sovereign Wealth Fund to Distance Economy From U.S.
r/worldnews
▲ 3.2k
💬 127
95% up
9h ago
163
12
Canada won't be 'chasing a small deal' to get U.S. tariff relief, Carney says
r/worldnews
▲ 1.5k
💬 101
96% up
10h ago
132
13
Negotiating with Israel 'not treason,' Lebanon's Aoun says, stressing goal is to end war
r/worldnews
▲ 389
💬 59
87% up
9h ago
119
14
Orbán Rigged the Game—and Still Lost
r/geopolitics
▲ 36
💬 6
83% up
6h ago
103
15
Falklanders should 'go back' to England, insists Argentina in renewed war of words
r/worldnews
▲ 6.4k
💬 1.2k
94% up
13h ago
83
16
Can Iran Take More Pain Than Us?
r/geopolitics
▲ 20
💬 41
75% up
6h ago
79
17
Iran court upholds death sentence for protester, 25-year term for daughter
r/worldnews
▲ 1.0k
💬 121
91% up
13h ago
69
18
Iran oil tankers turned back by US blockade, Hormuz traffic sparse
r/worldnews
▲ 964
💬 100
97% up
14h ago
63
19
Claire's closes all 154 stores in UK and Ireland with loss of 1,300 jobs
r/worldnews
▲ 1.6k
💬 112
97% up
15h ago
60
20
Putin praises Iranian people for resistance to US in talks with Araqchi
r/geopolitics
▲ 14
💬 2
72% up
7h ago
59
Reddit · velocity = recency × score × ratio
WSB Ticker ScannerPRO
0WSB Ticker Scanner Real-time ticker mentions from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks, and r/investing. Ranked by mention frequency and engagement. Velocity measures how rapidly a ticker gains momentum across posts.
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UNHCR Displacement
212UNHCR Displacement Data Global refugee, asylum seeker, and IDP counts from UNHCR.
- Origins: Countries people flee FROM
- Hosts: Countries hosting refugees
- Crisis badges: >1M | High: >500K displaced
30.5M
Refugees
8.4M
Asylum Seekers
63.9M
IDPs
107.2M
Total
| Country | Status | Count |
|---|---|---|
| Syrian Arab Rep. | CRISIS | 5.6M |
| Ukraine | CRISIS | 5.3M |
| Afghanistan | CRISIS | 5.2M |
| Sudan | CRISIS | 3.3M |
| South Sudan | CRISIS | 2.4M |
| Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) | CRISIS | 1.8M |
| Myanmar | CRISIS | 1.5M |
| Dem. Rep. of the Congo | CRISIS | 1.3M |
| Somalia | CRISIS | 1.1M |
| Central African Rep. | CRISIS | 702K |
| Eritrea | HIGH | 679K |
| Nigeria | CRISIS | 567K |
| Colombia | CRISIS | 461K |
| Iraq | CRISIS | 419K |
| Haiti | CRISIS | 408K |
| Mali | HIGH | 398K |
| Burundi | ELEVATED | 388K |
| Cuba | ELEVATED | 385K |
| Nicaragua | ELEVATED | 373K |
| Unknown | ELEVATED | 339K |
| China | ELEVATED | 332K |
| Ethiopia | CRISIS | 331K |
| Honduras | HIGH | 303K |
| Burkina Faso | CRISIS | 294K |
| Türkiye | ELEVATED | 282K |
| Rwanda | ELEVATED | 269K |
| India | ELEVATED | 232K |
| Mexico | ELEVATED | 229K |
| Guatemala | HIGH | 227K |
| Russian Federation | ELEVATED | 222K |
Climate Anomalies
7Climate Anomaly Monitor 7-day temperature and precipitation anomalies versus 1991-2020 monthly normals. Data from Open-Meteo (ERA5 reanalysis).
- Extreme: >5°C or >12mm/day anomaly
- Moderate: >3°C or >6mm/day anomaly
| Zone | Temp | Precip | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Asia | +4.0°C | -0.2mm | MODERATE |
| Central Africa | -1.1°C | +10.9mm | MODERATE |
| Central Asia | +3.8°C | +0.7mm | MODERATE |
| Caribbean | -1.9°C | +6.0mm | MODERATE |
| Western Antarctic Ice Sheet | -4.0°C | -0.3mm | MODERATE |
| Tibetan Plateau | +4.1°C | -0.2mm | MODERATE |
| Greenland | +8.7°C | +2.5mm | EXTREME |
Population Exposure
20Population Exposure Estimates Estimated population within event impact radius. Based on WorldPop country density data.
- Conflict: 50km radius
- Earthquake: 100km radius
- Flood: 100km radius
- Wildfire: 30km radius
Total Affected
28.0M
⚔️ North Korea (26 reports)
⚔️ Australia (53 reports)
⚔️ Israel (37 reports)
⚔️ Government of Israel vs Hamas
⚔️ India (81 reports)
⚔️ Pakistan (45 reports)
⚔️ Comando Vermelho vs PCC
⚔️ China (129 reports)
⚔️ Vietnam (94 reports)
⚔️ Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs KIO
⚔️ Government of Myanmar (Burma) vs NUG
⚔️ Government of Russia (Soviet Union) vs Government of Ukraine
⚔️ Iran (167 reports)
⚔️ Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
⚔️ Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
⚔️ Libya (112 reports)
⚔️ CPC vs Civilians
⚔️ Cartel do Norte vs Comando Vermelho
⚔️ Cartel do Norte vs Comando Vermelho
⚔️ Russia (135 reports)
Security Advisories
224Security Advisories
Travel advisories and security alerts from government foreign affairs agencies:
Sources:
🇺🇸 US State Dept Travel Advisories
🇦🇺 AU DFAT Smartraveller
🇬🇧 UK FCDO Travel Advice
🇳🇿 NZ MFAT SafeTravel
Levels:
🟥 Do Not Travel
🟧 Reconsider Travel
🟨 Exercise Caution
🟩 Normal Precautions
Travel advisories and security alerts from government foreign affairs agencies:
Sources:
🇺🇸 US State Dept Travel Advisories
🇦🇺 AU DFAT Smartraveller
🇬🇧 UK FCDO Travel Advice
🇳🇿 NZ MFAT SafeTravel
Levels:
🟥 Do Not Travel
🟧 Reconsider Travel
🟨 Exercise Caution
🟩 Normal Precautions
1
Do Not Travel
5
Reconsider Travel
2
Exercise Caution
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Austria
20h ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Portugal
21h ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Eritrea
22h ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Mali
1d ago
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Threats Report
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Maldives
3d ago
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
China
4d ago
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Mexico
4d ago
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🏥 WHO News
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Laos
5d ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Kuwait
6d ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Vietnam
6d ago
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Japan
4/21/2026
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Bolivia
4/21/2026
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Publications
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Greece
4/20/2026
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Publications
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Publications
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Publications
Info
🇬🇧 UK FCDO
Pakistan
4/18/2026
Info
🇪🇺 ECDC Threats Report
Info
🇺🇸 US Embassy Colombia
Info
🇺🇸 CDC Travel Notices
Level 1 - Global Dengue
4/16/2026
Do Not Travel
🇺🇸 US State Dept
Haiti - Level 4: Do Not Travel
4/16/2026
Sanctions & Designations
20014OFAC sanctions designations from the SDN and Consolidated Lists. Shows which countries face the highest designation pressure, what programs are driving it, and what has been newly added since the last update.
New
0
Vessels
1480
Aircraft
344
Sanctioned countries
Russia
Unknown
🚢 1480✈ 343
Iran
China
Mexico
United Arab Emirates
Colombia
Turkey
Recent designations
Anka Energy and Logistics Company
entity
Anshun II
vessel
Bangus
vessel
Bentley
vessel
Costin Shipping Limited
entity
Covenio
vessel
DOFA Shipping Ltd
entity
EDOR
vessel
Evy Blue Ltd
entity
Extensive Shipping Limited
entity
Programs
RUSSIA-EO14024
SDGT
IFSR
SDNTK
UKRAINE-EO13662
NPWMD
R&D Signal
0Weekly defense and dual-use patent filings by Raytheon, Lockheed, Huawei, DARPA, and other strategic organizations. Categories: H04B (comms), H01L (semiconductors), F42B (ammunition), G06N (AI), C12N (biotech). Source: USPTO PatentsView.
No filings in this category.
Radiation Watch
12Seeded EPA RadNet and Safecast readings with anomaly scoring and source-confidence synthesis. This panel answers what is normal, what is elevated, and which anomalies are confirmed versus tentative.
Anomalies
1
Elevated
0
Confirmed
0
Low Confidence
2
Conflicts
0
Spikes
1
| Station | Reading | Delta | Status | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chicago
medium confidencelive
|
84.0 nSv/h | +22.3 nSv/h · z3.3 | spike | 4h ago |
|
Boston
medium confidencelive
|
66.0 nSv/h | -0.2 nSv/h · z-0.1 | normal | 3h ago |
|
Washington, DC
medium confidencelive
|
25.0 nSv/h | -2.6 nSv/h · z-1.2 | normal | 3h ago |
|
Anchorage
medium confidencelive
|
31.0 nSv/h | +0.2 nSv/h · z0.1 | normal | 3h ago |
|
Houston
medium confidencelive
|
39.0 nSv/h | +2.0 nSv/h · z1.0 | normal | 3h ago |
|
Philadelphia
medium confidencelive
|
40.0 nSv/h | -2.0 nSv/h · z-0.7 | normal | 3h ago |
|
Seattle
medium confidencelive
|
26.0 nSv/h | -1.8 nSv/h · z-1.6 | normal | 4h ago |
|
Honolulu
medium confidencelive
|
28.0 nSv/h | -0.3 nSv/h · z-0.3 | normal | 4h ago |
|
San Francisco
medium confidencelive
|
29.0 nSv/h | -0.2 nSv/h · z-0.2 | normal | 4h ago |
|
Albany
medium confidencerecent
|
42.0 nSv/h | -0.5 nSv/h · z-0.3 | normal | 16h ago |
|
Fukushima
low confidenceCPM-derivedhistorical
|
74.3 nSv/h | -3.6 nSv/h · z0.0 | normal | 2026-01-27 |
|
Tokyo
low confidenceCPM-derivedhistorical
|
88.6 nSv/h | -21.2 nSv/h · z-0.9 | normal | 2025-04-18 |
Thermal Escalation
12Seeded FIRMS/VIIRS thermal anomaly clusters with baseline comparison, persistence tracking, and strategic context. This panel answers where thermal activity is abnormal and which clusters may signal conflict, industrial disruption, or escalation.
12
Total
1
Elevated
1
Spikes
10
Conflict
1
Strategic
Ukraine
spikeconflict-adjstrategic
14 MW
+5 · z4.2
3h
6h ago
Ukraine
normalconflict-adj
233 MW
-4 · z-0.5
0h
6h ago
Ukraine
elevatedconflict-adj
5 MW
+3 · z0.0
0h
6h ago
Russia
normalconflict-adj
22 MW
-9 · z-1.6
3h
6h ago
Ukraine
normalconflict-adj
16 MW
-5 · z-1.4
3h
6h ago
Russia
normalconflict-adj
13 MW
-10 · z-1.2
3h
6h ago
Russia
normalconflict-adj
13 MW
+2 · z1.0
0h
6h ago
Ukraine
normalconflict-adj
11 MW
-3 · z-0.8
3h
6h ago
Russia
normalconflict-adj
10 MW
-3 · z-0.8
3h
6h ago
Turkey
normal
10 MW
-7 · z-1.1
3h
6h ago
Ukraine
normalconflict-adj
10 MW
-3 · z-0.7
3h
6h ago
Saudi Arabia
normal
9 MW
0 · z0.0
0h
6h ago
Israel Sirens
11Israel Sirens
Real-time rocket and missile siren alerts from Israel Home Front Command.
Data is polled every 10 seconds. A pulsing red indicator means active sirens are sounding.
Real-time rocket and missile siren alerts from Israel Home Front Command.
Data is polled every 10 seconds. A pulsing red indicator means active sirens are sounding.
No active sirens — all clear
0 alerts in 24h — 8 waves
01:40 PM Apr 27
ALERT — 1 areas
08:11 PM Apr 26
ALERT — 1 areas
09:56 AM Apr 26
ALERT — 1 areas
09:56 AM Apr 26
ALERT — 1 areas
10:06 PM Apr 25
ALERT — 3 areas
08:20 PM Apr 24
ALERT — 1 areas
05:19 AM Apr 24
ALERT — 1 areas
12:39 AM Apr 22
(none) — 2 areas
Telegram Intel
50Real-time signals from monitored Telegram OSINT channels
Tasnim News ENLIVE
Visit of Iran's Deputy Minister of Defense to Kyrgyzstan
🔹 Brigadier General of Guards "Reza Talainik", Deputy Director of Management Development and Strategic Planning of the Ministry of Defense, arrived in Kyrgyzstan in order to participate in the meeting of defense ministers of the member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
🔹At the airport, he was welcomed by Brigadier General Talentbek Talipov, the commander of the air defense forces of the Kyrgyz Armed Forces.
🔹 It should be noted that on April 28, Bishkek will host the meeting of defense ministers of the member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
@TasnimNews
🔹 Brigadier General of Guards "Reza Talainik", Deputy Director of Management Development and Strategic Planning of the Ministry of Defense, arrived in Kyrgyzstan in order to participate in the meeting of defense ministers of the member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
🔹At the airport, he was welcomed by Brigadier General Talentbek Talipov, the commander of the air defense forces of the Kyrgyz Armed Forces.
🔹 It should be noted that on April 28, Bishkek will host the meeting of defense ministers of the member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
@TasnimNews
Tasnim News ENLIVE
Flower arrangement of the glasshouse and steel window on the eve of the birth of our blessed saint, Imam Reza, peace be upon him
@TasnimNews
@TasnimNews
Abu Ali Express ENLIVE
Professor Mohammad Marandi, the outspoken “diva” of the Iranian delegation to the negotiations with the US, tweets last night:
To comment, follow this link
To comment, follow this link
Abu Ali ExpressLIVE
כלי תקשורת לבנוניים מדווחים על 3 תקיפות ממטוסי קרב ישראלים הבוקר בכפר זוטר א-שרקיה, בנפת נבטיה בדרום לבנון.
PressTV (Iran State)LIVE
▶️ Palestine Action targeted the Potsdam, Germany facility of DSV, a major Danish logistics firm, due to the company's role in shipping weapons for Israel’s largest arms producer.
@PressTV
@PressTV
Tasnim News ENLIVE
New censored statistics of Israeli casualties
▪️8,500 wounded, no deaths reported
🔹 The Zionists, who under severe military censorship, hide the real statistics of their casualties, especially at the level of the dead, presented new censored statistics of their wounded since the beginning of the recent war with Iran.
🔹 In this context, last night, the Ministry of Health of the Zionist regime, by updating the data related to the casualties of this regime, announced that the total number of wounded who have been registered in hospitals since February 28 has reached 8497 people.
🔹 Referring to the increase in casualties of this regime in the clashes with Hezbollah, the Ministry of Health of the occupying regime reported that 15 more cases of injuries were registered on Monday.
🔹 Reg
▪️8,500 wounded, no deaths reported
🔹 The Zionists, who under severe military censorship, hide the real statistics of their casualties, especially at the level of the dead, presented new censored statistics of their wounded since the beginning of the recent war with Iran.
🔹 In this context, last night, the Ministry of Health of the Zionist regime, by updating the data related to the casualties of this regime, announced that the total number of wounded who have been registered in hospitals since February 28 has reached 8497 people.
🔹 Referring to the increase in casualties of this regime in the clashes with Hezbollah, the Ministry of Health of the occupying regime reported that 15 more cases of injuries were registered on Monday.
🔹 Reg
Tasnim News ENLIVE
When will the stock market reopen?
🔹 Spokesman of the Economic Commission of the Islamic Council: The stock market will gradually start its activity.
🔹 The stock exchange organization should take serious steps to protect the assets of shareholders and control excitement, maintain liquidity, create trust and balance, stabilize and prosper the stock market, which will finance the market and working capital of production units and economic enterprises.
@TasnimNews
🔹 Spokesman of the Economic Commission of the Islamic Council: The stock market will gradually start its activity.
🔹 The stock exchange organization should take serious steps to protect the assets of shareholders and control excitement, maintain liquidity, create trust and balance, stabilize and prosper the stock market, which will finance the market and working capital of production units and economic enterprises.
@TasnimNews
Tasnim News ENLIVE
The possibility of hearing the sound of controlled explosions in Bandar Abbas
🔹 Hormozgan's political and security deputy announced the neutralization and controlled explosion of the enemy's non-functional and remaining projectiles in the vicinity of Bandar Abbas city.
@TasnimNews
🔹 Hormozgan's political and security deputy announced the neutralization and controlled explosion of the enemy's non-functional and remaining projectiles in the vicinity of Bandar Abbas city.
@TasnimNews
NEXTALIVE
🚫 Блокировки в Беларуси приходят внезапно — и сразу массово
За последний год в стране заблокировали более 18 тысяч интернет-ресурсов.
Мининформ ограничивает доступ к тысячам «деструктивных» сайтов и каналов, ещё почти 15 тысяч ресурсов СК признал мошенническими и также закрыл.
Список «экстремистских материалов» уже превысил 9 000 позиций — и продолжает пополняться.
В такие моменты кто не успел подготовиться — тот остаётся без доступа к информации.
NEXT Step VPN помогает обходить блокировки и оставаться на связи с новостями. Подключается в два клика.
Важно ❕ Оплатить NEXT Step VPN можно прямо в Telegram звёздами ⭐ — это безопасно: в платёжной истории не видно, что именно вы покупали, всё выглядит как обычная внутренняя транзакция.
За последний год в стране заблокировали более 18 тысяч интернет-ресурсов.
Мининформ ограничивает доступ к тысячам «деструктивных» сайтов и каналов, ещё почти 15 тысяч ресурсов СК признал мошенническими и также закрыл.
Список «экстремистских материалов» уже превысил 9 000 позиций — и продолжает пополняться.
В такие моменты кто не успел подготовиться — тот остаётся без доступа к информации.
NEXT Step VPN помогает обходить блокировки и оставаться на связи с новостями. Подключается в два клика.
Важно ❕ Оплатить NEXT Step VPN можно прямо в Telegram звёздами ⭐ — это безопасно: в платёжной истории не видно, что именно вы покупали, всё выглядит как обычная внутренняя транзакция.
Quds News
Breaking | Israeli fighter jets bomb the town of Zawtar in southern Lebanon, in breach of the ceasefire.
Resistance Trench
🔹We definitely won’t allow the criminal aggressors who attacked our country to go unpunished. We will certainly demand full reparations for all damages caused, as well as blood money for the martyrs and compensation for the war's wounded. We will definitely take the management of the Strait of Hormuz to a new phase. We have not sought, nor do we seek, war; yet we will in no way relinquish our legitimate rights.
✍Imam Sayyid Mojtaba Khamenei
April 9, 2026
🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost
✍Imam Sayyid Mojtaba Khamenei
April 9, 2026
🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost
DefaPress (Iran MOD)
📸گزارش تصویری/ مقتل شهدای شهرک شهید محلاتی
dnws.ir/003U2w
@Defapress_ir
dnws.ir/003U2w
@Defapress_ir
IRGC Official
🎥 اعتراف سنگین از واشنگتن؛ تمام اهرمها در اختیار ایران و ترامپ در تله انزوای جهانی!
🔸️اریکهم، تحلیلگر مسائل سیاسی آمریکا:
🔺️ متاسفانه ایران و نه آمریکا تمام اهرمهای فشار را در دست دارد. ترامپ سرمایههای سیاسی زیادی را از دست داده و به لحاظ سیاسی و جهانی منزوی شده و تمام اقتصاد جهانی زیر فشار است.
سپاه سایبری پاسداران👇🏻
☑️ @SEPAH
🔸️اریکهم، تحلیلگر مسائل سیاسی آمریکا:
🔺️ متاسفانه ایران و نه آمریکا تمام اهرمهای فشار را در دست دارد. ترامپ سرمایههای سیاسی زیادی را از دست داده و به لحاظ سیاسی و جهانی منزوی شده و تمام اقتصاد جهانی زیر فشار است.
سپاه سایبری پاسداران👇🏻
☑️ @SEPAH
Geopolitics Prime
🚨Israeli settler terror in West Bank horrifies ex-Mossad chief
💬 "My mother is a Holocaust survivor, and what I saw here reminded me of the events of the previous century against the Jews," Tamir Pardo admitted after a tour of the West Bank.
👍 Boost us | Chat | @geopolitics_prime
💬 "My mother is a Holocaust survivor, and what I saw here reminded me of the events of the previous century against the Jews," Tamir Pardo admitted after a tour of the West Bank.
👍 Boost us | Chat | @geopolitics_prime
Tasnim News EN
Nabieberi's criticism of the positions of the President of Lebanon
Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament:
🔹The absolute priority is to establish a ceasefire and the Lebanese government is in a state of stagnation like the state of the country.
🔹Before a ceasefire agreement is reached, no issue will be discussed and any attempt to manipulate the exchange rate of the Lebanese lira will have disastrous consequences for this country.
🔹We have done everything we could to achieve a ceasefire.
@TasnimNews
Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament:
🔹The absolute priority is to establish a ceasefire and the Lebanese government is in a state of stagnation like the state of the country.
🔹Before a ceasefire agreement is reached, no issue will be discussed and any attempt to manipulate the exchange rate of the Lebanese lira will have disastrous consequences for this country.
🔹We have done everything we could to achieve a ceasefire.
@TasnimNews
Resistance Trench
🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸 Professor Marandi lays out Iran's conditions for any negotiations with the Trump administration:
- Trump must honor previous agreements from before the first round of talks.
- Israel must stop its military actions in Lebanon.
- The siege/sanctions on Iran must be lifted.
He states that without these, talks are pointless, and Iran is prepared for war.
🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost
- Trump must honor previous agreements from before the first round of talks.
- Israel must stop its military actions in Lebanon.
- The siege/sanctions on Iran must be lifted.
He states that without these, talks are pointless, and Iran is prepared for war.
🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Secretary of State Rubio on Iran's new "supreme leader":
"Does he have the clerical credentials to actually act as supreme leader? Is he actually making the decisions or is there somebody standing in his stead...?" https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049015948414161340/video/1
tweet
Secretary of State Rubio on Iran's new "supreme leader":
"Does he have the clerical credentials to actually act as supreme leader? Is he actually making the decisions or is there somebody standing in his stead...?" https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049015948414161340/video/1
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Secretary Rubio on what happens if there's no Iran deal:
"That's Trump decision to make… the level of sanctions on Iran are extraordinary, the level of pressure on Iran is extraordinary, and I think more can be brought to bear." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049015217028296857/video/1
tweet
Secretary Rubio on what happens if there's no Iran deal:
"That's Trump decision to make… the level of sanctions on Iran are extraordinary, the level of pressure on Iran is extraordinary, and I think more can be brought to bear." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049015217028296857/video/1
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Sec Rubio: “The blockade is not a blockade against shipping, it’s a blockade against Iranian shipping, because they cannot be the sole beneficiaries of an illegal, unlawful, and unjustified system of tolling and control in the straits.” https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049014646011478264/video/1
tweet
Sec Rubio: “The blockade is not a blockade against shipping, it’s a blockade against Iranian shipping, because they cannot be the sole beneficiaries of an illegal, unlawful, and unjustified system of tolling and control in the straits.” https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049014646011478264/video/1
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
TRUMP:
America’s Elections are Rigged, Stolen, and a Laughingstock all over the World. We are either going to fix them, or we won’t have a Country any longer. I am asking all Republicans to fight for the following:
SAVE AMERICA ACT!
ALL VOTERS MUST SHOW VOTER I.D. (IDENTIFICATION!).
ALL VOTERS MUST SHOW PROOF OF CITIZENSHIP IN ORDER TO VOTE.
NO MAIL-IN BALLOTS (EXCEPT FOR ILLNESS, DISABILITY, MILITARY, OR TRAVEL!).
tweet
TRUMP:
America’s Elections are Rigged, Stolen, and a Laughingstock all over the World. We are either going to fix them, or we won’t have a Country any longer. I am asking all Republicans to fight for the following:
SAVE AMERICA ACT!
ALL VOTERS MUST SHOW VOTER I.D. (IDENTIFICATION!).
ALL VOTERS MUST SHOW PROOF OF CITIZENSHIP IN ORDER TO VOTE.
NO MAIL-IN BALLOTS (EXCEPT FOR ILLNESS, DISABILITY, MILITARY, OR TRAVEL!).
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
IDF: A Hezbollah explosive drone attack in southern Lebanon yesterday severely wounded one soldier and lightly injured another. The military called it a "violation of the ceasefire understandings by the Hezbollah terror group."
tweet
IDF: A Hezbollah explosive drone attack in southern Lebanon yesterday severely wounded one soldier and lightly injured another. The military called it a "violation of the ceasefire understandings by the Hezbollah terror group."
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Strikes reported this morning in Zouter al-Sharqiya, southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049011258939068614/video/1
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Strikes reported this morning in Zouter al-Sharqiya, southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2049011258939068614/video/1
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Mexican President Sheinbaum is facing political pressure at home after making repeated concessions to Trump on border security, trade, and cartel crackdowns. Trump keeps demanding more, including possible military action against cartels. A recent CIA incident in Mexico and her restrained response drew domestic criticism. - WSJ
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Mexican President Sheinbaum is facing political pressure at home after making repeated concessions to Trump on border security, trade, and cartel crackdowns. Trump keeps demanding more, including possible military action against cartels. A recent CIA incident in Mexico and her restrained response drew domestic criticism. - WSJ
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
NEW 🔴
Iran has 12–22 days of oil storage left. U.S. naval blockade has cut exports by 70%. Strait of Hormuz shipments nearly stopped. Production could drop another 1.5M barrels per day by mid-May.
Bloomberg.
tweet
NEW 🔴
Iran has 12–22 days of oil storage left. U.S. naval blockade has cut exports by 70%. Strait of Hormuz shipments nearly stopped. Production could drop another 1.5M barrels per day by mid-May.
Bloomberg.
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
IDF forces in southern Lebanon identified a suspicious aerial target. An interceptor was fired. Results under review.
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IDF forces in southern Lebanon identified a suspicious aerial target. An interceptor was fired. Results under review.
tweet
OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
Ukrainian drones struck Russia's Tuapse oil refinery again.
Ukrainian drones struck Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery overnight, igniting the tank farm. Russian officials reported one dead and one injured, marking the second hit on the Rosneft site in under a week. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2046152684453933312/video/1 - Open Source Intel
tweet
Ukrainian drones struck Russia's Tuapse oil refinery again.
Ukrainian drones struck Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery overnight, igniting the tank farm. Russian officials reported one dead and one injured, marking the second hit on the Rosneft site in under a week. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2046152684453933312/video/1 - Open Source Intel
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OSINT Live
Open Source Intel
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: encouraging signs of progress towards an agreement to disarm Hamas.
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US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: encouraging signs of progress towards an agreement to disarm Hamas.
tweet
Tasnim News EN
The sentence of retribution for the martyrdom of the police officer was executed in Chaharbagh
🔹 This morning, the sentence of self-retribution for the martyrdom of 1st Sergeant "Mohammed Mehdi Vakili" in Chaharbagh, who had shot and killed this conscientious officer with a waist-collared weapon while on duty, was executed.
🔹 The anti-narcotics police officers of Chaharbagh city of Alborz province suspected the occupants of a car and chased the car.
🔹Meanwhile, another person who was a friend of the occupants of the car shot at the officers with a Colt gun at the scene, and in this conflict, 1st Sergeant "Mohammed Mehdi Vakili" was martyred.
🔹In the subsequent investigation, it was found that one of the occupants of the car called the main accused and asked him to come to their ai
🔹 This morning, the sentence of self-retribution for the martyrdom of 1st Sergeant "Mohammed Mehdi Vakili" in Chaharbagh, who had shot and killed this conscientious officer with a waist-collared weapon while on duty, was executed.
🔹 The anti-narcotics police officers of Chaharbagh city of Alborz province suspected the occupants of a car and chased the car.
🔹Meanwhile, another person who was a friend of the occupants of the car shot at the officers with a Colt gun at the scene, and in this conflict, 1st Sergeant "Mohammed Mehdi Vakili" was martyred.
🔹In the subsequent investigation, it was found that one of the occupants of the car called the main accused and asked him to come to their ai
Bint Jbeil News
نيويورك تايمز عن مصادر: مسؤولون في إدارة ترمب يرون أن إبرام اتفاق لفتح مضيق هرمز هو الخيار الأمثل
-مسؤولون آخرون بإدارة ترمب يرون أن استمرار الحصار شهرين آخرين سيضر قطاع الطاقة الإيراني
The New York Times, citing sources: Officials in the Trump administration see striking a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as the best option
Other officials in the Trump administration believe that continuing the blockade for two more months would damage Iran’s energy sector
ــــــــــــــ
📲 قناة موقع بنت جبيل على واتساب
https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaG3H3R8fewmfDqRKX0Q
-مسؤولون آخرون بإدارة ترمب يرون أن استمرار الحصار شهرين آخرين سيضر قطاع الطاقة الإيراني
The New York Times, citing sources: Officials in the Trump administration see striking a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as the best option
Other officials in the Trump administration believe that continuing the blockade for two more months would damage Iran’s energy sector
ــــــــــــــ
📲 قناة موقع بنت جبيل على واتساب
https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaG3H3R8fewmfDqRKX0Q
Quds News
Oil prices rose to a three-week high during Asia trading, driven by uncertainty surrounding negotiations between the United States and Iran to end the war.
Brent crude, the international benchmark, increased by more than 2% to reach $110.64 per barrel. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, gained 2.2%, climbing to $98.47 per barrel.
Brent crude, the international benchmark, increased by more than 2% to reach $110.64 per barrel. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, gained 2.2%, climbing to $98.47 per barrel.
Bint Jbeil News
نيويورك تايمز عن مصادر:
-ترمب أبلغ مستشاريه عدم رضاه عن آخر مقترح إيراني لإعادة فتح مضيق هرمز وإنهاء الحرب
-قبول المقترح الإيراني قد يفسر على أنه حرمان لترمب من تحقيق نصر
-مسؤولون في إدارة ترمب يشككون في استعداد إيران لتقديم تنازلات
The New York Times, citing sources:
Trump told his advisers he is dissatisfied with the latest Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war
Accepting the Iranian proposal could be interpreted as depriving Trump of achieving a victory
Officials in the Trump administration doubt Iran’s willingness to make concessions
ــــــــــــــ
📲 قناة موقع بنت جبيل على واتساب
https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaG3H3R8fewmfDqRKX0Q
-ترمب أبلغ مستشاريه عدم رضاه عن آخر مقترح إيراني لإعادة فتح مضيق هرمز وإنهاء الحرب
-قبول المقترح الإيراني قد يفسر على أنه حرمان لترمب من تحقيق نصر
-مسؤولون في إدارة ترمب يشككون في استعداد إيران لتقديم تنازلات
The New York Times, citing sources:
Trump told his advisers he is dissatisfied with the latest Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war
Accepting the Iranian proposal could be interpreted as depriving Trump of achieving a victory
Officials in the Trump administration doubt Iran’s willingness to make concessions
ــــــــــــــ
📲 قناة موقع بنت جبيل على واتساب
https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaG3H3R8fewmfDqRKX0Q
Abu Ali Express EN
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio with a key insight about Iran:
The Strait of Hormuz is essentially the economic equivalent of a nuclear weapon. The Iranians use it against the world—and they are proud of it.
Imagine what would happen if these people had nuclear weapons? They would hold the entire region hostage.
To comment, follow this link
The Strait of Hormuz is essentially the economic equivalent of a nuclear weapon. The Iranians use it against the world—and they are proud of it.
Imagine what would happen if these people had nuclear weapons? They would hold the entire region hostage.
To comment, follow this link
Abu Ali Express EN
American news agency Bloomberg:
Iran is rapidly approaching a situation in which it will run out of space to store the oil it is extracting (this is due to the naval blockade preventing it from exporting the millions of barrels of oil it extracts daily—AA).
##
According to Bloomberg, the storage facilities will be completely full within 12–22 days.
To comment, follow this link
Iran is rapidly approaching a situation in which it will run out of space to store the oil it is extracting (this is due to the naval blockade preventing it from exporting the millions of barrels of oil it extracts daily—AA).
##
According to Bloomberg, the storage facilities will be completely full within 12–22 days.
To comment, follow this link
Abu Ali Express EN
The Wall Street Journal and Reuters on the latest Iranian proposal in the negotiations that the US received over the weekend:
Trump is not satisfied with the proposal.
Trump is skeptical about the proposal.
##
According to these sources, the Iranians first proposed to open the Strait of Hormuz and lift the American blockade, and to leave, for the end—as part of the discussions on ending the fighting—the negotiations on the nuclear issue.
##
It seems this does not reach the threshold set by President Trump.
Nevertheless, it should be said—Trump has not yet rejected the proposal and has not addressed it publicly.
To comment, follow this link
Trump is not satisfied with the proposal.
Trump is skeptical about the proposal.
##
According to these sources, the Iranians first proposed to open the Strait of Hormuz and lift the American blockade, and to leave, for the end—as part of the discussions on ending the fighting—the negotiations on the nuclear issue.
##
It seems this does not reach the threshold set by President Trump.
Nevertheless, it should be said—Trump has not yet rejected the proposal and has not addressed it publicly.
To comment, follow this link
Abu Ali Express EN
IDF Spokesperson: An IDF soldier was seriously wounded and another soldier was lightly wounded yesterday (Monday), as a result of an explosive drone falling during operational activity in southern Lebanon.
##
Hezbollah has been using these drones against the IDF since the beginning of this round of fighting.
Yesterday and the day before were the first times it managed to directly hit soldiers and cause casualties (including the death of a soldier).
Hezbollah is showing a significant improvement curve in operating explosive drones—it is now much more experienced.
Hezbollah does not operate the explosive drones from Dahieh in Beirut. It operates them from a relatively close range to IDF forces—that is, within the area of southern Lebanon (it can be assumed also south of the Litani), an a
##
Hezbollah has been using these drones against the IDF since the beginning of this round of fighting.
Yesterday and the day before were the first times it managed to directly hit soldiers and cause casualties (including the death of a soldier).
Hezbollah is showing a significant improvement curve in operating explosive drones—it is now much more experienced.
Hezbollah does not operate the explosive drones from Dahieh in Beirut. It operates them from a relatively close range to IDF forces—that is, within the area of southern Lebanon (it can be assumed also south of the Litani), an a
Resistance Trench
🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸🇦🇪🇦🇺🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪 The UN has elected the Islamic Republic of Iran as one of the 34 Vice Presidents of the 2026 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Review Conference, despite objections from the US, UAE, Australia, UK, France and Germany
Abu Ali Express EN
Iran International, which is affiliated with the Iranian opposition:
At an emergency meeting of Iran’s National Security Council, the possibility of a new wave of popular unrest breaking out across Iran was discussed—this follows concerns from Iranian security bodies based on internal intelligence reports.
To comment, follow this link
At an emergency meeting of Iran’s National Security Council, the possibility of a new wave of popular unrest breaking out across Iran was discussed—this follows concerns from Iranian security bodies based on internal intelligence reports.
To comment, follow this link
PressTV (Iran State)
Iran says EU’s insistence on sanctions hastens its ‘embarrassing descent into irrelevance’
🔹Tehran says the EU’s insistence on sanctions against Iran demonstrates Europe’s double standards and hastens its “embarrassing descent into irrelevance.”
@PressTV
🔹Tehran says the EU’s insistence on sanctions against Iran demonstrates Europe’s double standards and hastens its “embarrassing descent into irrelevance.”
@PressTV
Saberin (IRGC Intel)
✅ نماینده سابق کنگره آمریکا: ترامپ با حمله به ایران کشاورزی آمریکا را نابود کرد
مارجری تیلر گرین، نماینده سابق کنگره آمریکا:
✅ روزی در آینده، والدین به فرزندان خود خواهند گفت که بهدلیل جنگ ترامپ با ایران، مزارع از بین رفت، چون کشاورزان توان خرید کود را نداشتند و هزینههای کشاورزی بیش از حد بالا رفت.
✅ @Saberinfa
مارجری تیلر گرین، نماینده سابق کنگره آمریکا:
✅ روزی در آینده، والدین به فرزندان خود خواهند گفت که بهدلیل جنگ ترامپ با ایران، مزارع از بین رفت، چون کشاورزان توان خرید کود را نداشتند و هزینههای کشاورزی بیش از حد بالا رفت.
✅ @Saberinfa
NEXTA
В Витебске продают автозак через госаукцион
На торги выставили фургон МАЗ 2010 года выпуска. Стартовая цена — 33,4 тыс. BYN.
Больше некого возить или ждут пополнение автопарка на штрафы репрессированных?
На торги выставили фургон МАЗ 2010 года выпуска. Стартовая цена — 33,4 тыс. BYN.
Больше некого возить или ждут пополнение автопарка на штрафы репрессированных?
Saberin (IRGC Intel)
✅ بلومبرگ: ۱۵۵ میلیون بشکه نفت خام ایران یا در حال انتقال است یا در سراسر جهان شناور است
✅ @Saberinfa
✅ @Saberinfa
Tasnim News EN
Twenty tankers on the verge of loading Iranian oil
🔹 Tanker Trekkers:A VLCC supertanker carrying two million barrels of oil, is still in Iran and has not moved yet, and is anchored in a westbound position.
🔹Twenty VLCC supertankers without cargo are available to load Iranian oil, of which four are not sanctioned.
🔹A supertanker VLCC, which is under US sanctions, while its automatic positioning system is active, is moving along Oman's coastline and has entered the US embargoed zone.
@TasnimNews
🔹 Tanker Trekkers:A VLCC supertanker carrying two million barrels of oil, is still in Iran and has not moved yet, and is anchored in a westbound position.
🔹Twenty VLCC supertankers without cargo are available to load Iranian oil, of which four are not sanctioned.
🔹A supertanker VLCC, which is under US sanctions, while its automatic positioning system is active, is moving along Oman's coastline and has entered the US embargoed zone.
@TasnimNews
Quds News
Israeli Army Radio reports that explosive drones pose a growing challenge to Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, amid daily attacks by Hezbollah.
France 24 EN
King Charles expected to promote US-UK unity in speech before Congress
King Charles III will speak before the US Congress on Tuesday, where he is expected to deliver an address promoting US-UK unity despite widening differences between London and Washington. Charles and Queen Camilla are on a so far studiously apolitical four-day tour of the US.
👉 Read more: https://f24.my/Bt7q.g
King Charles III will speak before the US Congress on Tuesday, where he is expected to deliver an address promoting US-UK unity despite widening differences between London and Washington. Charles and Queen Camilla are on a so far studiously apolitical four-day tour of the US.
👉 Read more: https://f24.my/Bt7q.g
Tasnim News EN
Flower arrangement of the holy shrine of Imam Reza (AS) on the occasion of the Decade of Dignity
[🔹] (emoji/5888681238360757868) On the occasion of the birthday of Imam Reza(a.s.) and the ten years of honor, the steel window and glass of the Razavi shrine were decorated with flowers.
📷 See Tasnim's video reporthere.
@TasnimNews
[🔹] (emoji/5888681238360757868) On the occasion of the birthday of Imam Reza(a.s.) and the ten years of honor, the steel window and glass of the Razavi shrine were decorated with flowers.
📷 See Tasnim's video reporthere.
@TasnimNews
DefaPress (Iran MOD)
💢حجتالاسلام اژهای: توقیف اموال خائنین به وطن عین عدالت و عدالتگستری است
🔸رئیس قوه قضاییه گفت: ما هیچگاه از دایره عدالت خارج نمیشویم و به جد معتقدیم که توقیف و مصادره اموال خائنین به وطن و شرکای داخلی متجاوزین، عین عدالت و عدالتگستری است.
🔸افرادی که چه در داخل کشور و چه در خارج از کشور، به هر نحوی از انحاء با دشمن متجاوز همکاری میکنند، اطمینان داشته باشند که وفق قانون به سراغ آنها خواهیم رفت و چنانچه مجازات مصادره اموال در قبال آنها به لحاظ قانونی، صدق کند، حتماً اموالشان را به حکم قانون، مصادره خواهیم کرد.
🔸در جنگ تحمیلی سوم، دشمن متجاوز، به هر جنایتی علیه مردم ایران دست زد؛ از حمله به مدرسه و بیمارستان تا موشک زدن به منازل مسکونی مردم؛ آن فردی که خود را ایرانی مینامد و به این دشمن زبون و رذل یاری رسانده، نباید از دست انتقام ملت ایران مصون بماند؛ او نیز در کودککشی دشمن، سهی
🔸رئیس قوه قضاییه گفت: ما هیچگاه از دایره عدالت خارج نمیشویم و به جد معتقدیم که توقیف و مصادره اموال خائنین به وطن و شرکای داخلی متجاوزین، عین عدالت و عدالتگستری است.
🔸افرادی که چه در داخل کشور و چه در خارج از کشور، به هر نحوی از انحاء با دشمن متجاوز همکاری میکنند، اطمینان داشته باشند که وفق قانون به سراغ آنها خواهیم رفت و چنانچه مجازات مصادره اموال در قبال آنها به لحاظ قانونی، صدق کند، حتماً اموالشان را به حکم قانون، مصادره خواهیم کرد.
🔸در جنگ تحمیلی سوم، دشمن متجاوز، به هر جنایتی علیه مردم ایران دست زد؛ از حمله به مدرسه و بیمارستان تا موشک زدن به منازل مسکونی مردم؛ آن فردی که خود را ایرانی مینامد و به این دشمن زبون و رذل یاری رسانده، نباید از دست انتقام ملت ایران مصون بماند؛ او نیز در کودککشی دشمن، سهی
DD Geopolitics
🇺🇦 Considering the regular conversations about lowering the mobilization age - they might not be spared for much longer
The commander of the 'Steppe Wolves' Yurichko told The Irish Times that during the mobilization, 'young, healthy people pay money not to fight but when old men are called up, they go.' The article also states that the average age of an AFU fighter is currently 45.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
The commander of the 'Steppe Wolves' Yurichko told The Irish Times that during the mobilization, 'young, healthy people pay money not to fight but when old men are called up, they go.' The article also states that the average age of an AFU fighter is currently 45.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
✈️ Airline Intelligence
Airline Intelligence Real-time airline operational data: route suspensions, airspace closures, carrier advisories, and emergency diversions. Sourced from aviation authority NOTAMs and carrier bulletins.
LHR
London Heathrow
NORMAL
—
CDG
Paris Charles de Gaulle
NORMAL
—
FRA
Frankfurt Airport
NORMAL
—
IST
Istanbul Airport
NORMAL
—
DXB
Dubai International
NORMAL
—
RUH
King Khalid International
NORMAL
—
SAW
Sabiha Gökçen International
NORMAL
—
ESB
Esenboğa International
NORMAL
—
Tech Readiness Index
255Global Tech Readiness
Composite score (0-100) based on World Bank data:
Metrics shown:
🌐 Internet Users (% of population)
📱 Mobile Subscriptions (per 100 people)
🔬 R&D Expenditure (% of GDP)
Weights: R&D (35%), Internet (30%), Broadband (20%), Mobile (15%)
— = No recent data available
Source: World Bank Open Data (2019-2024)
Composite score (0-100) based on World Bank data:
Metrics shown:
🌐 Internet Users (% of population)
📱 Mobile Subscriptions (per 100 people)
🔬 R&D Expenditure (% of GDP)
Weights: R&D (35%), Internet (30%), Broadband (20%), Mobile (15%)
— = No recent data available
Source: World Bank Open Data (2019-2024)
#1
🌐
Sint Maarten (Dutch part)
🌐—
📱100
🔬—
100
#2
🇰🇷
Korea, Rep.
🌐98
📱100
🔬99
98.1
#3
🌐
Liechtenstein
🌐98
📱86
🔬100
97.4
#4
🌐
Cayman Islands
🌐—
📱93
🔬—
96.9
#5
🌐
Monaco
🌐99
📱72
🔬—
93
#6
🇮🇱
Israel
🌐88
📱100
🔬100
88.1
#7
🌐
San Marino
🌐97
📱80
🔬—
85.5
#8
🌐
Gibraltar
🌐—
📱65
🔬—
85
#9
🇸🇪
Sweden
🌐96
📱94
🔬72
84.2
#10
🇨🇭
Switzerland
🌐97
📱86
🔬64
83.5
#11
🌐
St. Kitts and Nevis
🌐77
📱79
🔬—
82.5
#12
🇩🇰
Denmark
🌐100
📱84
🔬61
81.3
#13
🇩🇪
Germany
🌐93
📱86
🔬63
81.3
#14
🇯🇵
Japan
🌐86
📱100
🔬69
80.2
#15
🇧🇪
Belgium
🌐96
📱69
🔬65
79.7
#16
🇺🇸
United States
🌐95
📱75
🔬69
79.4
#17
🌐
Seychelles
🌐88
📱84
🔬—
79.3
#18
🌐
North America
🌐94
📱74
🔬67
78.4
#19
🇨🇳
China
🌐92
📱88
🔬52
77.7
#20
🇫🇮
Finland
🌐94
📱84
🔬62
77
#21
🌐
Puerto Rico (US)
🌐87
📱84
🔬—
77
#22
🇬🇧
United Kingdom
🌐95
📱81
🔬54
76.4
#23
🇦🇹
Austria
🌐95
📱83
🔬65
75.8
#24
🌐
Iceland
🌐98
📱81
🔬53
75
#25
🇳🇱
Netherlands
🌐97
📱86
🔬45
75
World Clock
World Clock Live local times and market session status for major global financial centers. Shows open/closed status for NYSE, LSE, TSE, SGX, and other exchanges.
⋮
New York
NYSECLSD
03:03:10
Tue EDT
⋮
London
LSEOPEN
08:03:10
Tue GMT+1
⋮
Dubai
DFMOPEN
11:03:10
Tue GMT+4
⋮
Bangkok
SETOPEN
14:03:10
Tue GMT+7
⋮
Tokyo⌂
TSECLSD
16:03:10
Tue GMT+9
⋮
Sydney
ASXCLSD
17:03:10
Tue GMT+10