(cache)Predictive History

Latest — 26 Mar 2026

Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising

I cannot predict when this war will end, but I want to make certain predictions about how this war will end. To first understand how the war is going, let's look at some perspectives from US leadership. This is President Donald Trump talking about the war: hit Qatar,

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Great Books #8: The Poetry of Empire

Virgil is very much the anti-Homer. The Aeneid is really a response to the Iliad and the Odyssey. Remember, Homer believes that love is the unifying force of the universe. It is a center; it is what gives you life, purpose, and hope. For Virgil, what matters is the idea

Game Theory #15: The Return of History

When the Berlin Wall fell, an American State Department official named Francis Fukuyama wrote a very influential essay called "The End of History." For decades, capitalism was in a struggle with communism. In his essay, Fukuyama argued that with the triumph of capitalism, we've come to

Game Theory #14: The Law of Proximity

Last night, there was a major escalation in this hypothetical war. The Israelis have bombed the Iranian oil fields, and in response, the Iranians are now attacking the energy infrastructure of the GCC. Qatar provides 20% of the world's LNG. This represents a major escalation. As I'

Great Books #7: The Anti-Homer

Homer becomes the basis for Greek civilization. This means that all educated Greeks memorized the Iliad and Odyssey. At this point in history, people don't read them; they speak and listen in front of an audience. Homer becomes the infrastructure of their mental worldview, and this leads to

Game Theory #13: Epstein's World

To answer why the war between the United States and Iran started, how it will end, and what will happen after, we need to discuss the nature and structure of our reality. The first thing you need to understand, which is very hard, is that our world is a hallucination.

Game Theory #12: The Law of Eschatological Convergence

There are three major questions that will determine how this war is fought, what this war will end up looking like, and how the world will change. I am making three predictions about this war. 1. The United States will use ground troops, and this will mean that Donald Trump

Great Books #6: The Intimacy of Love

The Odyssey is about a homecoming—about three members of a family, Odysseus, Penelope, and Telemachus, who after a 20-year separation must come together again and rediscover their love for each other. As we've discussed, all three suffer from depression. Odysseus suffers from post-traumatic stress disorder because war

Game Theory #11: The Law of Escalation

We continue our analysis of the US-Iran war. In this conflict, there are three major questions that will determine its outcome as well as the state of the world afterward. These three questions are: 1. Will the US launch a ground invasion? 2. Will nukes be used? 3. What will

Game Theory #10: The Law of Asymmetry

We continue our discussion of the US-Iran war that is happening right now. I made the prediction that the United States will lose this war, and last time we did an overview of the military and strategic position. Today, we're going to provide a theoretical framework for how

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Predictive History

A comprehensive archive of Professor Jiang Xueqin's lectures. By analyzing the recurring patterns of civilization and structural game theory, we explore where humanity is headed next.

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