2026 Texas Senate Predictions and Polling
Track the latest polling for the 2026 Texas Senate primaries and explore our live, interactive predictions for the general election, powered by a data-driven model that incorporates polling, historical trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. The forecast is updated daily with the latest information.
Democratic State Representative James Talarico successfully secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive primary against Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett. He will face the winner of the Republican runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26th.
After exploring the Texas Senate Race, you can see our predictions for all Senate, House, and Governor Races. You can also follow the latest polling for the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential primaries, or explore the latest polling across the entire site. For questions or press inquires, send an email to the RacetotheWH founder Logan Phillips at racetothewh@gmail.com.
Track the latest predictions for the 2026 Senate Race, including an interactive map, and detailed predictions for each state.
2026 Senate Forecast
Other Interactive Features
Explore our Senate Forecast, which predicts every race, and Democrats chance to secure the Majority.
The House Forecast uses data-driven projections to forecast all 435 races and projects each party’s chance of winning the Majority.
Explore our predictions for every Governor race in 2026 - from Arizona and Georgia to Michigan and Wisconsin.
Track the latest Presidential Primary Polling - both nationally and across every state.