•Chamber Overview

Map

Histogram

Simulations

Race Movement

Races to Watch

New Jersey

Updated: November 03, 2025 at 05:05 AM

Democrats are overwhelming favorites to win a majority in the General Assembly.

Democrats are favored to win 51 seats. ↓1

Republicans are favored to win 29 seats. ↑1

What could the next General Assembly look like?

The Democrats have a 96% chance of winning the chamber, with a 30% chance of winning a supermajority. While the Republicans have a 2% chance of winning the chamber.

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What are some possible outcomes?

Below is one of the 20,000 simulations the model runs every single day.

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How has the race evolved?

Below shows the movement of the race for the chamber over the election cycle.

What are the races to watch?

District	Incumbent	DEM	REP
1	Antwan McClellan	0.0	2.0
	Erik Simonsen
2	Claire Swift	0.3	1.7
	Don Guardian
3	Dave Bailey	0.4	1.6
	Heather Simmons
4	Cody Miller	1.2	0.8
	Dan Hutchison
5	Bill Moen	2.0	0.0
	Bill Spearman
6	Lou Greenwald	2.0	0.0
	Melinda Kane
7	Balvir Singh	2.0	0.0
	Carol Murphy
8	Andrea Katz	0.7	1.3
	Mike Torrissi
9	Brian Rumpf	0.0	2.0
	Greg Myhre
10	Greg McGuckin	0.0	2.0
	Paul Kanitra
11	Luanne Peterpaul	1.7	0.3
	Margie Donlon
12	Alex Sauickie	0.0	2.0
	Rob Clifton
13	Gerry Scharfenberger	0.0	2.0
	Vicky Flynn
14	Tennille McCoy	1.9	0.1
	Wayne DeAngelo
15	Anthony Verrelli	2.0	0.0
	Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
16	Mitchelle Drulis	1.9	0.1
	Roy Freiman
17	Joe Danielsen	2.0	0.0
	Kevin Egan
18	Robert Karabinchak	2.0	0.0
	Sterley Stanley
19	Craig Coughlin	1.9	0.1
	Yvonne Lopez
20	OPEN	2.0	0.0
	Annette Quijano
21	Michele Matsikoudis	1.2	0.8
	Nancy Munoz
22	Jim Kennedy	2.0	0.0
	Linda Carter
23	Erik Peterson	0.0	2.0
	John DiMaio
24	Dawn Fantasia	0.0	2.0
	Mike Inganamort
25	Aura Dunn	0.5	1.5
	Chris Barranco
26	Brian Bergen	0.1	1.9
	Jay Webber
27	Alixon Collazos-Gill	2.0	0.0
	Rosy Bagolie
28	Cleopatra Tucker	2.0	0.0
	OPEN
29	Eliana Pintor Marin	2.0	0.0
	Shanique Speight
30	Sean Kean	1.0	1.0
	Avi Schnall
31	OPEN	2.0	0.0
	Will Sampson
32	OPEN	2.0	0.0
	OPEN
33	OPEN	2.0	0.0
	Gabriel Rodriguez
34	Carmen Morales	2.0	0.0
	Mike Venezia
35	OPEN	2.0	0.0
	Al Abdelaziz
36	Clinton Calabrese	1.8	0.2
	Gary Schaer
37	Ellen Park	2.0	0.0
	Shama Haider
38	Lisa Swain	1.7	0.3
	Chris Tully
39	John Azzariti	0.4	1.6
	Bob Auth
40	Al Barlas	0.2	1.8
	Chris DePhillips