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China targets lowest growth range since 1991 in realistic move as pressures rise

Beijing to prioritise hi-tech over stimulus-driven growth with focus on the people in notable shift, premier’s work report to NPC reveals

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Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s speech at the National People’s Congress opening session is broadcast on a giant TV screen, in Beijing on Thursday. Photo: Robert Ng
Jane Caiin Beijing
Beijing has set a relatively cautious yet pragmatic economic growth target for 2026 amid persistent domestic headwinds and escalating external pressures.

A 4.5 to 5 per cent GDP growth target – the lowest since 1991 – was announced by Premier Li Qiang on Thursday at the opening session of the National People’s Congress (NPC), China’s top legislature.

In delivering his annual government work report, Li reaffirmed Beijing’s aim for stronger economic growth where conditions allowed.
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Takeaways from Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s government work report

Li raises the curtain on the annual session of the National People’s Congress with a series of targets for the economy

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Chinese Premier Li Qiang opens the annual session of the National People’s Congress by delivering the government’s work report. Photo: AFP
Beijing laid out a list of priorities for the economy, innovation and the military for this year at the opening session of the National People’s Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People on Thursday.

Here are the major takeaways from this year’s government work report and budget report:

Major targets for 2026

  • Gross domestic product growth of 4.5-5 per cent

  • A consumer price index increase of around 2 per cent

  • A fiscal budget deficit of around 4 per cent of GDP

  • Addition of 12 million new urban jobs

  • A 7 per cent increase in the defence budget

  • Research and development spending to grow by 10 per cent

Economic resilience and the private sector

This year’s GDP growth target confirmed an earlier report by the South China Morning Post. It marks the first formal downgrade since 2023 and is the least ambitious expansion goal since 1991.
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Singapore and China have ‘common interests’ in safeguarding global order, says ambassador

In Beijing, Peter Tan Hai Chuan says two countries built ties based on sovereign equality and respect, not just cultural or ethnic links

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Peter Tan Hai Chuan, Singapore’s ambassador to China, says: “An open, connected, and cooperative region serves our common interests.” Photo: Handout
Singapore and China share “common interests” in safeguarding international order amid profound changes in the global landscape and uncertainties from trade wars, according to the city state’s top envoy to Beijing.

The world has faced increased challenges, with huge pressure on multilateralism, free trade, and openness since the beginning of last year, Peter Tan Hai Chuan, Singapore’s ambassador to China, warned at an event at Renmin University in Beijing on Tuesday.

“But Singapore and China have common interests – upholding the rules-based international order,” he said at the event hosted by the university’s Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies.

“Small countries need stability and large countries need predictable development.

“An open, connected and cooperative region serves our common interests.”

The world has been subjected to huge pressure on multilateralism, free trade, and openness since the beginning of last year, Peter Tan Hai Chuan, Singapore’s ambassador to China, told an event in Beijing on Tuesday. Photo: Handout
The world has been subjected to huge pressure on multilateralism, free trade, and openness since the beginning of last year, Peter Tan Hai Chuan, Singapore’s ambassador to China, told an event in Beijing on Tuesday. Photo: Handout

Still, Beijing has not officially endorsed the concept of the rules-based international order and has been widely accused by the West of challenging it.

China has long advocated “the international system with the United Nations at its core and the international order based on international law”.

“Cooperation between Southeast Asian countries and China is also crucial,” he said, adding that Singapore and China were working together to build a “more integrated and prosperous” Asia.

He highlighted that over the past 35 years since establishing diplomatic ties, the two countries had built a “unique, solid and dynamic” bilateral relationship, which was based on sovereign equality and mutual respect rather than merely cultural or ethnic links. Singapore is often considered the only sovereign country besides China with a majority Chinese population.

“Looking ahead, may we always remember that true friendship is not about being identical, but about respecting differences, being sincere and growing together,” Tan said.

Amid the fierce Washington-Beijing strategic rivalry, compounded by the impact on the international order by US President Donald Trump’s “America first” agenda and foreign policy – notably the US-Israel military strikes on Iran – there have been mounting discussion and concerns about how other countries position themselves between the two powers.

While the United States is Singapore’s largest foreign investor and a major security cooperation partner, China is the city state’s largest trading partner in goods.

Singapore has been China’s largest source of new foreign investment since 2013, according to Chinese government data.

Still, the Southeast Asian island country’s long-standing effort to remain equidistant between Washington and Beijing has been seen as entering a more volatile phase recently.

When asked about China-US trade competition at the event on Tuesday, Tan said that Singapore, as a trade-dependent country, was watching developments “very closely”.

“We need to preserve the multilateral system of open trade and free trade, and that’s what we will continue to do,” he said.

“As all of us try to navigate the complex global changes that have happened for the past 12-13 months, that is key.”

He expected that the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) summit to be held in Shenzhen in November would play “an important role”.

“On platforms like Apec, we will continue to promote multilateralism, openness and free trade based on international rules,” Tan said.

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At the same event on Tuesday, Liu Qing, vice-president of the China Institute of International Studies, which is affiliated with the Chinese foreign ministry, called for China and Singapore to cooperate in maintaining the existing international order amid looming “law of the jungle” in the international arena.

“We must clearly oppose bloc politics and ‘small circles’, and work together to safeguard regional peace and prosperity,” Liu said.

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Based in Beijing, Orange covers a range of topics including China's economy and diplomacy. He previously worked in Hong Kong and had a stint in Washington. Before joining the Post, Orange worked as a Shanghai Correspondent for ET Net, a Hong Kong financial news agency.
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