Sitemap

Sweden’s Tridon Mk2 Shoots 40mm Programmable Rounds at $27 Each — Patriot Costs $4 Million

Why Russia’s “Shahed” swarm is economically bankrupting the Patriot, and how Sweden’s “$27-bullet” is the mathematical and physical “silver-bullet” that wins the “drone-war.”

26 min readNov 12, 2025
Press enter or click to view image in full size
The ‘$27 Miracle’ in action: Tridon Mk2’s Bofors 40mm cannon fires programmable airburst rounds that achieve what $4 million Patriots cannot — economically sustainable drone defense. Muzzle flash captured during live testing of the system now deployed to Ukraine’s frontlines to counter Russia’s 5,500-per-month Shahed production. Source: BAE Systems Bofors.

Executive Summary: The “$27 Kill” and the “$4 Million Failure”

This article shows forensic evidence of a strategic-economic disaster happening in the skies over Ukraine: NATO’s top air defense system is going bankrupt at an 80:1 cost-exchange disadvantage. Ukraine is spending $4 million on Patriot PAC-3 MSE missiles to defend itself against Russia’s Shahed-136 drones, which cost about $50,000 each and are made at a rate of more than 5,500 per month. Each successful interception is an economic defeat that can’t be sustained.

There is a solution. Not American. It’s from Sweden.

The BAE Systems/Saab Tridon Mk2, which costs $27 per round for Bofors 40mm 3P (Pre-fragmented, Programmable, Proximity-fuzed) ammunition, has a cost-per-kill ratio of about 1:185 against the Shahed threat. This is the exact opposite of the Patriot’s losing equation. This study shows, using solid physics and industrial…

Create an account to read the full story.

The author made this story available to Medium members only.
If you’re new to Medium, create a new account to read this story on us.

Or, continue in mobile web
Already have an account? Sign in
The Forensic Archive

Written by The Forensic Archive

On The Forensic Archive we reconstruct how harm is made, concealed, and normalized in the Russia–Ukraine war.

Responses (1)

Write a response

OK, Patriot systems are not appropriate for handling Shades in swarms. And a "Layered" defense sounds practical.
But in your 100-Shahed "swarm" example, ALL of which are picked up at a maximum distance of 12.5 Km, 70 are shown as downed by the Tridon…