Europeans are so naive. If Europe breaks from the USA, the USA could very easily decide that the only way to counterbalance China is to break Russia off from China. How? By arming the Russians and letting them have Europe. Russia then becomes a credible rival to China, and Russia and China fight it out for the next 500 years while we Americans just watch from the Western Hemisphere.
NATO was very beneficial to the USA when it was needed to balance against the Soviets in a bipolar world, when the USA and the Soviets were the only game in town. But with the rise of China, a potential tripolar world of the USA, Russia+Europe, and China is now arguably more stable than the bipolar world of USA+Europe vs China+Russia. The only place that really loses from this is Europe, which must be conquered. The only people who really really need NATO are the Europeans.
Listen to the Finnish President talk. Even in his worse case scenario, the USA is still giving him the passwords to his planes. He can’t even envision a world where the USA says “fuck that,” leaves NATO, lifts sanctions on Russia, and starts shipping the Russkies weapons. But if Europe cozies up with China, why wouldn’t we do that? You think we’re going to fight Europe, China, and Russia all at once? No, we’re going to pick one to ally with.
Russia shares a huge border with China. China is an immense threat to Russia. Way more of a threat than either China or Russia are to the USA. The only reason Russia is allied with China at all is because of how powerful the USA is right now, and how weak Russia is. And Russia is only weak because we have refused to let Russia get more powerful by eating Europe. Geographically and historically, a US-Russia alliance against China would be way way more natural than the current situation.
Europeans need to wake up. This isn’t a time for silly games and childish fantasies. I love Europe, I love Europeans, I want you all to live happy and peaceful lives. But you haven’t considered at all what it would mean to have the USA as an enemy.
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NOW - Finland's President, Alexander Stubb, says Europe can "unequivocally" defend itself, without the Americans.
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