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How to Win Polymarket Bets Safely with and without Bots
A summary of working strategies for Polymarket and Kalshi
My first Polymarket trade lasted nine humiliating minutes.
I had read ten think pieces about a particular election, decided I knew better than everybody, hit buy on a big YES position, then watched the price sag 20% before I finished my coffee. No clever hedge, no exit plan, just raw opinion colliding with a very efficient market.
If you have ever treated Polymarket or Kalshi like a smarter sportsbook, this story probably feels familiar.
This is a continuation essay on my stories below. Enjoy reading and don’t forget to comment!
How Programmers Are “Printing Money” on Polymarket
Why “Free-Money” Liquidity Tricks Don’t Work: Polymarket dismantled
The Myth of Risk-free Polymarket and Kalshi Hacks As Money Machine
Stop betting on narratives, start trading structure
What I eventually learned, the hard way, is that my political opinions are not an edge.
On Polymarket, there are people with faster news feeds, better polling models, more experience with order flow, and, occasionally, just better guts…
