Democracy Dies in Darkness
Opinion

Who used the Maduro raid to earn $400K? The pool of suspects is alarming.

A bet on government action by a government actor is always a bet against the public interest.

4 min
(​Illustration by Washington Post staff; iStock​)
4 min
By

Ritchie Torres, a Democrat, represents New York’s 15th Congressional District in the House of Representatives.

Hours before U.S. Army Delta Force commandos captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during a nighttime raid in Caracas, an anonymous trader, using a newly created account on the prediction market Polymarket, wagered more than $30,000 that Maduro would be out of office by Jan. 31, 2026. The trader walked away with more than $400,000 in profit.

Already have an account? Sign in

Two ways to read this article:

Create an account
Free
  • Access this article
Subscribe
$4 USDevery four weeks for the first six months
  • Unlimited access to all articles
  • 24/7 live news updates