SENATE

Minnesota Senate2026

RACE AT A GLANCE

RACE TYPE

OPEN

Tina Smith (D)

Retiring

RACE RATING

Last updated: Aug 7, 2025
Lean D
Likely D

Race summary

Last week, we shifted Minnesota from Lean to Likely Democratic as Republicans continue to struggle to find a GOP challenger in the open seat race.

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Jun 2, 2026

Primary Election: Aug 11, 2026

INCUMBENT

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First Elected: Sign in to view

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INCUMBENT

Tina Smith

First Elected: 2018

Last General Election: 48.7%

Last Primary Election: 87.1%

CANDIDATES

Democrats

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Republicans

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STATE DATA

Minnesota

 

Race map

Population Breakdown

Source: United States Census

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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Past Presidential Results from this State

2024 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx votes

2020 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

Race Analysis

Updated: Aug 13, 2025

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