I Think Investors Are Missing The Best Energy Trade For 2026

Dec. 16, 2025 7:30 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Summary

  • The S&P 500 has delivered an 80% return over the past three years, significantly outperforming energy stocks.
  • Despite a 7% year-to-date gain, energy remains an underperformer compared to the broader market's 18% rise.
  • Energy sector volatility, driven by weak demand and OPEC supply actions, has challenged investors throughout the year.
  • I expect a special segment within energy to deliver substantial alpha in 2026 and beyond, surpassing traditional sector returns.

US American dollar bill dripping with crude oil showing the high cost of gas at the pump or the USA dependency on fossil fuels.

SilverV/iStock via Getty Images

Introduction

The year hasn't ended yet. However, we're getting close to New Year's Eve, which means assessing the performance isn't the worst thing in the world.

So far, the market is up roughly 18%, which is spectacular. If

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