Space Policy

Volume 65, August 2023, 101537
Space Policy

The International Lunar Research Station: China's New Era of Space Cooperation and Its New Role in the Space Legal Order

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101537Get rights and content

Abstract

Tension between competition and cooperation is common in space activities. China's role in spearheading the International Lunar Research Station, in direct opposition to the US-led Artemis program, demonstrates its strong determination to upgrade its space cooperation. The configuration discourse on the International Lunar Research Station and the Artemis program is clearing a path for a new mixture structure and the interplay of competition and cooperation among space powers. The evolution of China's approach to space cooperation––from an emphasis on national independence to initiating multilateral cooperative platforms––provides insights into understanding the dynamics between techno-nationalism and external constraints, as well as the motivation to increase and an approach towards actually increasing soft power, alongside the development of hard power. This decade-lasting dynamics determines that openness and neutrality are viable means to guarantee the international prospect of China's lunar cooperation platform. Well-designed and targeted engagement measures and overall neutral strategies are needed to realise openness and promote neutrality. To compensate for China's ‘leadership deficit’ in international cooperation, a practical way forward is taking the Artemis program as a point of reference and transplanting the successful American experience while also differentiating from the Artemis program. The interplay of competition and cooperation challenges, forces compromise in, and maintains and develops the space order. Leading an international cooperation venture will accrue the soft power China needs to sustain its hard power and bring new positive energy to the space order. China's unique dual identity as a space power and a developing country could contribute to solving the dilemma of democratisation and decentralisation in the development of international space law.

Introduction

China's rise as a space power is one of the defining developments in international space society1 in the 21st century. However, the paradox is that China's power is defined in terms of space capacity but barely in terms of space cooperation. China's space cooperation is disproportionally underdeveloped in comparison with the degree of advancement of its capability. The overall layout of the China Lunar Exploration Program (CLEP) embraces international participation in many ways, but the implementation of its first stage, the Chang’E Program, has only resulted in a handful of contributed payloads and scientific data sharing.2 Beijing has been trying to remedy and reverse this situation by resorting to multilateralism, characterised by a proactive approach to dealing with external constraints and increasing soft power. It is in this political context that the vision for the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS) has been developed since 2016.
China's National Space Agency (CNSA) formally announced the ILRS proposal in 2019 as revealing the future development of CLEP.3 This is China's first initiative on a multilateral cooperative platform for a specific program, as opposed to incorporating foreign contributions into the implementation process, as with the Chang’E Program. The essential goal is to establish a research platform and infrastructure complex on the moon's surface and in its orbit, with the possibility of long-term unmanned operation and the prospect of a human presence. It will be carried out through several missions from 2020 to 2035, which can be roughly divided into the reconnaissance, construction, and utilisation phases. CNSA and Roscosmos signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on the ILRS in March 2021.4 The roadmap and partnership guidelines were released 3 months later.5 The intensity of the negotiations between China and Russia and other potential partners and the frequency of related press releases demonstrate China's commitment to the ILRS.
The ILRS initiative will significantly strengthen and improve China's status as a space power in direct opposition to the United States on the frontline of the final space frontier. For the first time, China and the United States will be actual competitors in their intentionally chosen programs within roughly the same time period, that is, the IRLS versus the Artemis program, though it might not be China's primary or initial intention to compete the United States. The Artemis program is a US-led international endeavour that was announced in 2019 and similarly aims at establishing a long-term presence on the moon, including the return of astronauts, through close collaboration with commercial and international partners based on the Artemis Accords. The Artemis program consolidated a sizable list of signatory nations as of June 2022,6 in contrast to the ILRS’ two partners and lack of a clear arrangement for a cooperative pattern and a legal framework.
Tension between competition and cooperation is common in space activities.7 The interplay of competition and cooperation challenges, forces compromise in, and maintains and develops the space order.8 Recently, great power competition, primarily among China, Russia, and the United States, has attracted much international attention, and space has re-emerged as a central arena.9 International space politics continue to be defined by the policies and preferences of the United States as the leading space power, but a modicum of leadership transition is occurring as a result of China's attempts to assume the role of a ‘responsible power’.10 The two long-term and large-scale lunar cooperative platforms are embarking upon a journey towards a new mixed structure of cooperation and competition, intensifying and complicating relations among the space powers in the process. The configuration discourse on the ILRS will improve the organisational structure and interplay of competition and cooperation and set the stage for China's decisive role in the space order.
The remainder of this article analyses the evolution of China's approach to space cooperation defined by the dynamics of techno-nationalism and external constraints and its new reliance on multilateralism to increase its soft power. It then underlines the implementation framework to ensure the internationalisation of the unprecedented initiative of the ILRS through a comparison with the Artemis program. Finally, it assesses China's potential as a leader in contributing to the development of international space law.

Access through your organization

Check access to the full text by signing in through your organization.

Access through your organization

Section snippets

The metamorphosis of China's approach to space cooperation

The history of China's space cooperation points to a gradual metamorphosis from a nearly isolated actor to an active leader. Its evolution can be roughly divided into three phases according to the primary emphasis: national independence from the 1950s to the 1970s, bilateral cooperation from the 1980s to the 2010s, and multilateral cooperation as of the 2010s.
For nearly three decades, there was minimal space cooperation, except for several years when China received technical aid from the Soviet

The defining dynamics between techno-nationalism and external constraints

The evolution of China's space cooperation is defined by the dynamics between techno-nationalism and external constraints. Through multilateralism, China intends to proactively tackle external constraints based on its scientific and technological advancement.
Techno-nationalism is a useful and powerful ideology and framework to understand China's enduring quest for self-sufficiency in scientific and technological innovation.27

Realising the multilateralism of the ILRS initiative

Theoretically, China's rise as a space power could elevate the relevance of cooperation to a new level of international endeavour. In reality, Beijing's primary concern is making the ILRS truly international. From the perspective of soft power, converting space capacity and resources into preferred outcomes largely depends on China's skills to attract extensive and intensive international involvement.51

The ILRS’ contribution to strengthening China's influence on the development of international space law

Some commentators consider China-led cooperation with an emphasis on ‘cooperation for the common interests’ to be an ideal approach to achieving a global common in outer space,82 but there has been

Author statement

The author declares that this work is my original research and has not published previously, nor under consideration for publication elsewhere, in whole or in part.

Funding

Strategic Economy Interdisciplinarity of Beijing Universities Advanced Disciplines Initiative (No. GJJ2019163).

Declaration of competing interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

References (0)

Cited by (24)

  • Space and cybersecurity: Challenges and opportunities emerging from national strategy narratives

    2024, Space Policy
    Citation Excerpt :

    While China and Russia, through their space agencies China National Space Agency (CNSA) and Roscosmos, announced at the 2021 Global Space Exploration Conference a public invitation to participate and cooperate to all interested countries in the ILRS project [55]. Wu suggests that the involvement of the ESA, the European Union and their member states in the ILRS is highly likely as it could alleviate the impact of sole dependence on the United States in lunar exploration activities [56], but her assessment does not fully consider the influence of strategic competition on such decisions, nor the possibility that “the Artemis Accords can be seen as a U.S. diplomatic tool using the Artemis programme as a lever to push U.S. position on the international scene” [57]. This could potentially hinder signatories of the Artemis Accords from participating in the ILRS initiative.

View all citing articles on Scopus
View full text