The predatory «peace plan» of the USA for the capitulation of Ukraine

This record serves for everyone to understand —or remember— that no country should ever listen to, or rely or depend on, the USA for securing and maintaining its own peace and security. The real russian motives to invade Ukraine, and actual constructive solutions for the war of aggression, I will ponder using other (future) records.

The behavioural pattern displayed by the USA in order to obtain the greatest profits and structural advantages in detriment of Ukraine, results not a rarity in stateian[1] history, but rather a frequent occurrence. The only peculiarity of the current administration of the stateian state, consists in the egomaniac and spoiled-childish behaviour of the stateian president Donald Trump.

The facts

  1. In 1994, after the internal dissolution of the soviet empire —the purportedly «communist» version of the russian empire—, newly-independent Ukraine and the still-large russian empire signed an agreement, brokered and fostered by the USA and Britain, which assured that Ukraine would not get attacked after this latter decommissioned its arsenal of nuclear weapons; such arsenal the third largest on the planet at the time. Thus, the USA resulted fundamental for Ukraine to relinquish the only weapons which provided some leverage against its much-larger, highly-armed, and historically-imperial neighbor.

    Of course, the USA, Britain, and the russian empire never decommissioned their own nuclear arsenals.

  2. The russian empire invaded Ukraine in 2014, by sending troops to the peninsula of Crimea and to the easternmost regions of Ukraine. This invasion turned into a large-scale war in the year 2022 when massive amounts of troops of the russian empire attempted to fully occupy Ukraine and defeat the ukrainians.

    During the administration of the stateian state by Joe Biden, the USA furnished weapons, provisions, and some military real-time data to Ukraine, for the ukrainian warriors to defend their own lives, families, property, and country. The USA provided all the stuff expressly at no cost, as declared publicly.

  3. Once Donald Trump became the stateian president, he demanded that Ukraine reimbursed the stuff with large profits included —since, of course, everything got accounted using the usually exorbitant selling prices of the stateian weapons industry.
  4. In order to appease the new stateian president, and aiming to secure a stable and reliable supply of weapons and provisions, the ukrainian state accepted a highly disadvantageous treaty compromising the mineral resources of Ukraine.

    The treaty, ratified by the ukrainian parliament, included the ukrainian commitment to modify any obstructing legislation. Cite the second clause of «Article II: Enabling the Establishment of a Partnership», where its authors recorded «limited partnership» abbreviated as «LP»:

    The Government of Ukraine shall take all steps to empower its agencies and instrumentalities to execute and implement this Agreement and the LP Agreement, including by adopting, maintaining, and enforcing legislation as may be required to execute and implement this Agreement and the LP Agreement, including for the purposes of legal stabilization.

    And the third clause of the same article includes:

    The Government of Ukraine shall ensure that in case of any inconsistency between legislation of Ukraine and this Agreement, this Agreement shall prevail to the extent of the inconsistency.

    While, in contrast, according to the second clause:

    The Government of the United States of America affirms that it has put in place the necessary measures to allow the relevant United States parties to execute and implement this Agreement and the LP Agreement.

    So the document not an ordinary «agreement», but a treaty for Ukraine and an agreement of optional compliance for the USA.

    According to this treaty, in exchange for the much-needed items for defence and survival, and utilizing the inflated prices of the stateian weapons industry, Ukraine will—

    1. Deliver profits derived from ukrainian mineral resources.
    2. Furnish preferential access to the ukrainian mineral resources to whatever entity the USA designates. As the first clause of «Article VIII: Market-Based Offtake Rights» dictates:
      1. Each Governmental Authority of Ukraine that is authorized to issue a license or special permit for subsoil use for any Natural Resource Relevant Assets shall include in the terms of such license or special permit and in the related agreement on subsoil use conditions or in a production sharing agreement with subsoil users:
        1. a provision allowing the U.S. Partner (or its designee or assignee) to negotiate for, in accordance with the terms of the LP Agreement, offtake rights on market-based commercial terms during the term of such license or special permit; and
        2. a requirement for the recipient to, for a period of time and on conditions to be specified in the LP Agreement, refrain from offering to any third party materially more favorable financial or economic terms for offtake of a substantially similar quality or quantity of product.

    The treaty stipulates the establishment of a «limited partnership», implemented as an entity called «United States-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund», in order to manage the monetary investments and proceedings of the ukrainian minerals. Nowhere on the internet could I find the full details of this «limited partnership», which remains reportedly confidential.

    However, the little verifiable information available includes a fixed 50% siphoning of all ukrainian earnings from minerals. Here I cite some known stipulations of the «limited partnership»:

    Ukraine’s initial contribution to the Partnership will consist of an irrevocable right of the Partnership to receive “Ukraine Agreed Revenue” for the term of the Partnership. Ukraine Agreed Revenue is defined as 50% of all royalties (rent payments), license fees, and amounts payable to the Ukrainian Government under production sharing agreements received by any governmental authority of Ukraine from or relating to

    1. new Licenses issued on or after the Effective Date and
    2. the exploitation of Licenses which were issued prior to the May 23, 2025, but were Licenses Not Industrially Exploited on the Effective Date. If the Partnership is terminated, the Royalty Interest will terminate and neither DFC nor Ukraine Partner will have any further rights to receive Ukraine Agreed Revenue.

    “License” shall mean any special permit for subsoil use or any similar license, permit, approval, consent, concession, grant of use, or authorization, with respect to the exploration, production, mining, development, extraction, exploitation, processing, refining or other use of Natural Resource Relevant Assets, from, by or with the Ukrainian Government.

    Moreover, expressed in the written stipulations in a convoluted and obfuscated way, the USA can capture most or all the ukrainian minerals industry; since the treaty stipulates, in «Article VII: Investment Opportunity Rights», with a clarification of mine added in square brackets:

    1. Furthermore, when the Partnership expresses formal interest in participating in a project of the kind described in subsection (a) or (b) of this Section 1 [refers to projects related to the exploitation of mineral resouces], the relevant license, special permit, authorization, agreement on subsoil use conditions, production sharing agreement, or agreement with respect to infrastructure relevant assets shall require the recipient thereof to
      1. engage in good faith negotiations with the Partnership in accordance with the procedures set out in the LP Agreement, and
      2. refrain from granting to any third party materially more favorable financial or economic terms for a substantially similar investment opportunity as that offered to the Partnership.

    The «procedures set out in the LP Agreement» for such negotiations remain confidential. Meanwhile, the known terms of the «limited partnership» stipulate that the USA will control the investment committee; here the start of the relevant section:

    The Board committees are:
    • Investment Committee: Comprised of three USA Managers and two Ukraine Managers, responsible for investment decisions of the Partnership.
    • . . .

    According to the written terms, this disadvantageous minerals treaty and its instrumental «limited partnership» will operate until both parties agree to terminate it; thus, the USA can extend it forever. Results beyond the scope of this record to describe how the stateian state will select and engage with the corporations which will profit from ukrainian minerals.

  5. A few days ago, suddenly the stateian president and his lackeys presented an unpublished capitulation offer to Ukraine, euphemistically calling it «peace plan» and demanding almost immediate acceptance of the «offer» or else would suspend all military and defence cooperation. This sole threat defeated the whole purpose for which ukrainian state functionaries signed the disadvantageous minerals treaty.

    Accordingly, the stateian president demanded expeditious approval of a capitulation proposal by the ukrainian president without allowing for any practical input or expression of opinion by the millions of ukrainians which would directly affect: could not result more antidemocratic.

    The capitulation offer implies the subjugation and destruction of Ukraine, and the ukrainians, as an independent nation.

    In this post I will describe only the aspects of the offer aimed to extract profits and secure strategic commercial advantages and dominance over Ukraine, while selling false peace. Cite, from press reports, a part of the capitulation offer:

    1. A powerful global package of measures to rebuild Ukraine, including but not limited to:
      • The creation of a Ukraine Development Fund to invest in fast-growing industries, including technology, data centres, and artificial intelligence.
      • The United States will cooperate with Ukraine to jointly rebuild, develop, modernise, and operate Ukraine's gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities.

    But nothing stops the USA from seeking profits from the russian empire too; cite:

    1. Russia will be reintegrated into the global economy:
      • . . .
      • The United States will enter into a long-term economic cooperation agreement for mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centres, rare earth metal extraction projects in the Arctic, and other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities.

    More profits for the USA; cite:

    1. Frozen funds will be used as follows:
      • $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine;
      • The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine's reconstruction. Frozen European funds will be unfrozen. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

    Finally, the stateian weapons industry would also obtain its share of the profits; cite, clarification in square brackets added by me:

    1. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.
    2. . . .
    3. The US [security] guarantee:
      • The US will receive compensation for the guarantee;

Conclusion

The stateian elite, through Donald Trump, will continue seeking to extract profits and secure strategic dominance over Ukraine, utilizing a sales pitch based on false «peace agreements», «military assistance», «security provisions», and «US-led peace maintenance»; until the ukrainians and the allies of Ukraine stop them.


--
Anders Baerbock
2025.328




[1]. The adjective «stateian» results more easy to say, write, and remember than the compound «united-statesian»; hence, I use it as the preferred adjectival derivation of the noun «United States of America». Results evident the lack of originality of the country name.


References:
[https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%203007/v3007.pdf] «Memorandum on security assurances in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Budapest, 5 December 1994», page 167 (192 of the pdf). The interested reader can consult also page 147 (172 of the pdf).
[https://www.kmu.gov.ua/storage/app/uploads/public/681/33c/e8f/68133ce8f2e82842702204.pdf]
[https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/840_001-25#Text]
[https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/25-523-Ukraine-Reconstruction-and-Investment.pdf]
[https://kyivindependent.com/us-seeks-administrator-for-investment-fund-with-ukraine-created-under-minerals-deal/]
[https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0236]
[https://me.gov.ua/News/Detail/08676172-aff8-41d6-9cc3-ca35be0b8d79?lang=en-GB&title=U-s-AndUkraineLaunchSearchForAnAdministratorOfTheReconstructionInvestmentFund]
[https://me.gov.ua/view/8a46e937-9c62-4f3e-9538-94ad74d8e975]
[https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-ukraine-peace-plan-28-points-russia]
[https://news.sky.com/story/trumps-28-point-ukraine-peace-plan-in-full-including-land-kyiv-must-hand-to-russia-and-when-elections-must-be-held-13473491]