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Terence Tao

Some loosely organized thoughts on the current Zeitgeist. They were inspired by the response to my recent meta-project mentioned in my previous post mathstodon.xyz/@tao/1152541452, where within 24 hours I became aware of a large number of ongoing small-scale collaborative math projects with their own modest but active community (now listed at mathoverflow.net/questions/500 ); but they are from the perspective of a human rather than a mathematician.

As a crude first approximation, one can think of human society as the interaction between entities at four different scales:

1. Individual humans

2. Small organized groups of humans (e.g., close or extended family; friends; local social or religious organizations; informal sports clubs; small businesses and non-profits; ad hoc collaborations on small projects; small online communities)

3. Large organized groups of humans (e.g., large companies; governments; global institutions; professional sports clubs; large political parties or movements; large social media sites)

4. Large complex systems (e.g., the global economy; the environment; the geopolitical climate; popular culture and "viral" topics; the collective state of science and technology).

(1/5)

MathOverflowList of crowdsourced math projects actively seeking participantsI believe that with the advent of modern online collaboration platforms (such as Github), proof assistant languages (such as Lean), and (potentially) AI tools, there are many emerging opportunities...

An individual human without any of the support provided by larger organized groups is only able to exist at quite primitive levels, as any number of pieces of post-apocalyptic fiction can portray. Both small and large organized groups offer significant economies of scale and division of labor that provide most of the material conveniences that we take for granted in the modern world: abundant food, access to power, clean water, internet; cheap, safe and affordable long distance travel; and so forth. It is also only through such groups that one can meaningfully interact with (and even influence) the largest scale systems that humans are part of.

But the benefits and dynamics of small and large groups are quite different. Small organized groups offer some economy of scale, but - being essentially below Dunbar's number en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunbar%2 in size - also fill social and emotional needs, and the average participant in such groups can feel connected to such groups and able to have real influence on their direction. Their dynamics can range anywhere from extremely healthy to extremely dysfunctional and toxic, or anything in between; but in the latter cases there is real possibility of individuals able to effect change in the organization (or at least to escape it and leave it to fail on its own).

(2/5)

en.wikipedia.orgDunbar's number - Wikipedia

Large organized groups can offer substantially more economies of scale, and so can outcompete small organizations based on the economic goods they offer. They also have more significant impact on global systems than either average individuals or small organizations. But the social and emotional services they provide are significantly less satisfying and authentic. And unless an individual is extremely wealthy, well-connected, or popular, they are unlikely to have any influence on the direction of such a large organization, except possibly through small organizations acting as intermediaries. In particular, when a large organization becomes dysfunctional, it can be an extremely frustrating task to try to correct its course (and if it is extremely large, other options such as escaping it or leaving it to fail are also highly problematic).

(3/5)

My tentative theory is that the systems, incentives, and technologies in modern world have managed to slightly empower the individual, and massively empower large organizations, but at the significant expense of small organizations, whose role in the human societal ecosystem has thus shrunk significantly, with many small organizations either weakening in influence or transitioning to (or absorbed by) large organizations. While this imbalanced system does provide significant material comforts (albeit distributed rather unequally) and some limited feeling of agency, it has led at the level of the individual to feelings of disconnection, alienation, loneliness, and cynicism or pessimism about the ability to influence future events or meet major challenges, except perhaps through the often ruthless competition to become wealthy or influential enough to gain, as an individual, a status comparable to a small or even large organization. And larger organizations have begun to imperfectly step in the void formed by the absence of small communities, providing synthetic social or emotional goods that are, roughly speaking, to more authentic such products as highly processed "junk" food is to more nutritious fare, due to the inherently impersonal nature of such organizations (particularly in the modern era of advanced algorithms and AI, which when left to their own devices tend to exacerbate the trends listed above).

(4/5)

Much of the current debate on societal issues is then framed as conflicts between large organizations (e.g., opposing political parties, or extremely powerful or wealthy individuals with a status comparable to such organizations), conflicts between large organizations and average individuals, or a yearning for a return to a more traditional era where legacy small organizations recovered their former role. While these are valid framings, I think one aspect we could highlight more is the valuable (though usually non-economic) roles played by emerging grassroots organizations, both in providing "softer" benefits to individuals (such as a sense of purpose, and belonging) and as a way to meaningfully connect with larger organizations and systems; and be more aware of what the tradeoffs are when converting such an organization to a larger one (or component of a larger organization).
(5/5)

@tao For thousands of years, humanity has never been able to break free from authoritarianism, no matter how promising it may have seemed at the beginning.

@gongshan @tao

I would dispute that. Again, drawing from cultural anthropology and their own knowledge base about the nature of the human animal and how we can adopt hierarchy or egalitarianism, we know the material conditions and the sociological structures that will favor hierarchy or egalitarianism.

@gongshan @tao

At core and in particular, it is the social moral code held by the rank-and-file in society that jealously guards equality. It is the preemptive stop to authoritarianism and ultimately overthrow it when it gains the upper hand.

Extreme levels of wealth, consolidation and economic consolidation breeds dark triad personality traits. Beyond a critical mass of net worth further increases rapidly expand the power of those traits.

@tao Small organizations are also the granularity at which social norms are valued and "shame", in the sense Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò writes about, can be effective. A lack of small organizations stifles the grassroots level, but it also drains social accountability from the wealthy and leaders of large organizations.
bostonreview.net/articles/how-

Boston ReviewHow Can We Live Together? - Boston ReviewEzra Klein is wrong: shame is essential.

@tao

Your argument dips into historical materialism, which I am inclined towards.

Throughout most of the world production is used to generate profits through a legal framework of property rights, this has lead to large organizations that have goals which differ from the masses'.

To remove the legal framework that creates that divide would be to espouse working-class consciousness and make production become one with the collective goals of a society.

@tao I would like to add exception that proves the rule, and shows the power of scale 2. (in the US): American conservative Christian churches.

They involve many people in weekly activities and organize for political action at the local, state, and federal levels. They have been a very successful minority, have pushed their preferred justices onto the Supreme Court, and punch above their weight.

The center or left has nothing similar. In a very literal sense, those who show up regularly rule in a democracy.

@maxpool i think this example very much underscores the point Tao makes 😅
But my understanding of how the conservative churches work by widely off... To my knowledge there is a lot of local community that converge on larger scales, being funneled into large religion-coorp-political structures. But there is source of local community and sense of purpose that is strong and healthy (whether one disagrees with the political alignment or not is another matter).

@kamstrup

Yes, but that's a bottom-up activity at all levels, as it should be. In contrast, secular urban populations are not as active in that level.

Political hobbyism is not enough
mathstodon.xyz/@maxpool/113186

@tao Bingo: the disproportionate power of large orgs is key. I'll suggest as a rule of thumb this is often due to large orgs driving the tech systems (e.g. most of the web, with ActivityProtocol being a notable exception). If this is correct, we need individuals & small orgs to build tech that breaks this pattern.

@tao

This is an entirely incorrect assertion.

I would recommend reading the cultural anthropology book “ hierarchy in the forest” by Boehm to gain a clear understanding of this topic.

Sci-fi writers are engaging in entertainment, but not actual human societies that exist today and in the past.

In addition, the argument that there is a compromise between equality and egalitarianism and freedom or liberty is a false dichotomy. Egalitarianism and freedom are inseparable.

@tao

Further, it has been a deliberate effort by the most powerful in our economy to deliberately unravel or capture smaller scale social organization. We have not been well served by the suburban land used pattern which fragments communities it makes them impossible to really form.

@tao I believe this shift in dominance in influence from "small" to "large" groups is a completely unprecedented mutation of human society as a whole - never in the history of humanity has such a thing happened before to this scale. No prior generation has lived its entire social and psychological development under the near-total dominance of impersonal, algorithmically mediated large systems. This is both terrifying, and exciting - what new ideas of metaphysics and epistemology will this spawn?