9-day Weather Forecast for Hong Kong
General Situation:
Under the influence of the remnant of Mitag, there will still be showers and squally thunderstorms over Guangdong today. Tropical Cyclone Ragasa will move towards the vicinity of Luzon Strait and intensify significantly today and tomorrow, and enter the northern part of the South China Sea early this week. Under the influence of its outer subsiding air, the weather will be very hot over the coast of Guangdong on Monday to early Tuesday. Ragasa is expected to edge closer to the coast of Guangdong gradually on Tuesday. Under the influence of its broad circulation, the weather over the region will deteriorate with winds strengthening significantly midweek this week. There will be heavy squally showers, thunderstorms and significant storm surge. Seas will be high with swells. With the departure of Ragasa, showers will ease off gradually in the latter part of this week. Besides, a broad trough of low pressure will bring unsettled weather to the central and northern parts of the South China Sea to the eastern part of the Philippines in the latter part of this week.
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21 Sep (Sun) 25 | 30°C 70-95% East to southeast force 3 to 4, occasionally force 5 offshore later. Mainly cloudy with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms. Showers will be heavy at times in the morning. 22 Sep (Mon) 27 | 34°C 55-90% East force 4, becoming north. Cloudy periods at first. Becoming fine and very hot during the day. 23 Sep (Tue) 27 | 34°C 55-95% North force 4 to 5, force 6 to 7 later, up to force 8 offshore and on high ground. Becoming cloudy. Very hot with sunny intervals in the morning. Squally showers and thunderstorms later. Seas will be very rough with swells. 24 Sep (Wed) 25 | 28°C 80-95% East to northeast force 8 to 9, up to force 11 offshore and on high ground. Becoming southeast later. Cloudy to overcast with heavy squally showers and thunderstorms. Seas will be high with swells. 25 Sep (Thu) 25 | 29°C 80-95% East to southeast force 5 to 6, force 7 offshore and on high ground at first. Cloudy with squally showers and thunderstorms. Showers will be heavy at first. Seas will be very rough with swells. 26 Sep (Fri) 26 | 30°C 75-95% East force 3 to 4. Mainly cloudy with occasional showers and a few thunderstorms. 27 Sep (Sat) 27 | 32°C 65-90% Mainly cloudy with a few showers. Sunny intervals during the day. 28 Sep (Sun) 27 | 32°C 65-90% East force 4 to 5. Mainly cloudy with a few showers. Sunny intervals during the day. |
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Forecast: maximum temperature
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Forecast: maximum relative humidity
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Updated at: 00:00 HKT 21/Sep/2025
(Next update at: 11:30 HKT 21/Sep/2025)
This link will open in a new windowAutomatic Regional Weather Forecast in Hong Kong & Pearl River Delta Region
Climatological information for 21/Sep/2025-29/Sep/2025
2 pm on 20/Sep/2025 at North Point :
7 am on 20/Sep/2025 at Hong Kong Observatory
- This middle 50% range (between 25th and 75th percentiles) is calculated based on the maximum/minimum temperature and relative humidity data within a 5-day period centred on that day in the 30 years from 1991 to 2020.
- "9-day Weather Forecast" provides general indications of the trends in weather for the coming 9 days. For detailed description of today's weather forecast, please refer to "Local Weather Forecast".
- The Probability of Significant Rain (PSR) forecast provides users with additional reference on rainfall amount and forecast trend for the coming 9 days. The PSR forecast on each day indicates the probability of the accumulated rainfall generally over Hong Kong reaching 10 mm (i.e. around the mean daily rainfall in rainy season) or more on that day. There are 5 categories of probability as follows:
| High>=70% | For every 100 forecasts with a "high" probability, there are about 70 times or more with an average accumulated rainfall of 10 mm or above in actual observation. | |
| Medium High 55-69% | For every 100 forecasts with a "medium high" probability, there are about 55 to 69 times with an average accumulated rainfall of 10 mm or above in actual observation. | |
| Medium 45-54% | For every 100 forecasts with a "medium" probability, there are about 45 to 54 times with an average accumulated rainfall of 10 mm or above in actual observation. | |
| Medium Low 30-44% | For every 100 forecasts with a "medium low" probability, there are about 30 to 44 times with an average accumulated rainfall of 10 mm or above in actual observation. | |
| Low<30% | For every 100 forecasts with a "low" probability, there are about less than 30 times with an average accumulated rainfall of 10 mm or above in actual observation. |
- The accuracy of forecast generally decreases while the error generally increases with forecast period. For forecast elements in "9-day Weather Forecast" other than PSR, the average accuracy for the next one to three days, four to seven days, and eight to nine days are about 90%, 85% and 80% respectively. The errors of PSR forecast in the next one to six days are within around 10% and those in seven to nine days are within around 20%.
- The accuracy and error of forecast also vary for different weather systems in different seasons. Generally speaking, weather in spring and summer such as fog, tropical cyclone and severe convective weather is more changeable, resulting in higher uncertainty of forecast.