Post

Conversation

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT

Just 1 of 6 recession determinants says recession... the household employment survey

A chart displaying variables used by the NBER in recession determination. Six horizontal bars represent real personal income less transfers, nonfarm payroll employment, household employment survey, real consumer spending, real wholesale-retail sales, and industrial production, each marked with color-coded monthly changes from 2020 to 2025. A bar graph below shows the percentage change over the last six months for each variable, with household employment survey highlighted in red. Text overlays include titles and percentage values.

6:20 AM · Sep 15, 2025

·

3,934

Views