Live Updates: Trump Says Cease-Fire Is Imminent; No Word From Iran or Israel
The president’s assertion on social media came hours after an Iranian missile attack on the largest American military installation in the Middle East, and days after U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.
President Trump said on social media on Monday that Israel and Iran had agreed to a cease-fire after more than a week of missile strikes on each other and a weekend attack on Iranian nuclear facilities by American bombers. There was no immediate confirmation of a deal by Israel or Iran.
Mr. Trump’s assertion came hours after Iran launched missiles at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest American military base in the Middle East, retaliating for U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear sites while taking steps to limit the damage.
Vice President JD Vance said that the war appeared to be “effectively over” and that there was now an opportunity to “restart a real peace process.”
Mr. Trump’s language was characteristically less cautious.
“It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE (in approximately 6 hours from now,” he wrote on Truth Social, “when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their in progress, final missions!), for 12 hours, at which point the War will be considered, ENDED!”
An Israeli military spokesman declined to comment, and there was no immediate comment from the Iranian government. But Israeli officials had suggested that the fighting might wind down soon. On Sunday night, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said Israel was “very, very close” to achieving its aims in the war against Iran, although he did not provide a timetable for an end to the fighting.
Even as Iran prepared to target an American air base in Qatar earlier in the day, there were signs that the country was looking for an off-ramp from confrontation with the United States. Iranian officials and Mr. Trump said Iran had given advance notice that the missile strike was coming, minimizing potential casualties.
Mr. Trump said that 13 of the 14 Iranian missiles fired at Al Udeid had been downed, that no Americans there had been killed or wounded and that the damage was minimal. He also suggested that the fight, at least between the United States and Iran, might be over.
“They’ve gotten it all out of their ‘system,’ and there will, hopefully, be no further HATE,” he said, thanking Iran “for giving us early notice, which made it possible for no lives to be lost, and nobody to be injured.”
About 10,000 U.S. troops are stationed at Al Udeid, which serves as the regional headquarters for the U.S. Central Command. The Iranian strike on the base had initially stoked fears that the conflict with Iran might intensify, drawing the United States in deeper and expanding across the region. Qatar condemned the attack on its territory and said it reserved “the right to respond directly.”
Iranian officials had said their country needed to be seen striking back at the United States for its attack on critical nuclear installations, but cautiously. Iran used a similar approach in 2020, giving a heads-up before firing ballistic missiles at an American base in Iraq in reprisal for the assassination of its top general.
The Iranian assault came as Israel launched wide-ranging strikes on Tehran on Monday and promised more “in the coming days,” pressing on with its bombing campaign two days after the United States attacked three Iranian nuclear sites.
But the new Israeli barrage, which a military spokesman said targeted a paramilitary headquarters and access routes to the Fordo nuclear enrichment site that the U.S. military bombarded, came as Iran fired salvos of missiles that sent Israelis to huddle in shelters, and as Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, met with a key ally, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.
While the Russian leader called the U.S. strikes “absolutely unprovoked aggression,” he stopped short of offering concrete support for Iran.
Here’s what else to know:
Economic impact:Oil prices fell and stocks climbed after Iran fired missiles at Al Udeid. Before the attack, investors appeared cautiously optimistic about the potential economic fallout from the U.S. strikes over the weekend, and of any moves Iran might make that would disrupt oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical transit point for global oil supplies.
Calls for peace: After European foreign ministers met to discuss Iran, the European Union’s chief diplomat, Kaja Kallas, said that “the concerns of retaliation and this war escalating are huge.” The International Atomic Energy Agency held an emergency meeting in Vienna, where the head of the agency, Rafael Grossi, warned that “violence and destruction could reach unimaginable levels” if Iran, Israel and the United States do not find a path to diplomacy.
U.S. strikes: Though Mr. Trump declared that Iran’s nuclear program had been “totally obliterated” by the U.S. bombings over the weekend, the actual state of the program was far murkier, with senior officials conceding they did not know the fate of Iran’s stockpile of near-bomb-grade uranium.
Oil prices are now back to where they were two weeks ago, before Israel attacked Iran. The U.S. benchmark is trading just above $65 a barrel, down almost $10 since Friday.
Only hours after Iran unsuccessfully fired missiles at the U.S. base in Qatar, President Trump is claiming in a Truth Social post that a cease-fire has been reached between Israel and Iran, and that the war will be over. We are still trying to verify this from both the Iranian and Israeli sides and have no further details yet. This all comes one day after Trump called for regime change and two days after the U.S. bombed Iranian nuclear sites. So this is all a fluid and unclear situation.
The Qatari Civil Aviation Authority announced the reopening of Qatar’s airspace hours after Iran launched a missile attack on Al Udeid Air Base, a large American military installation in the Gulf emirate.
A Defense Department official said that American air defenses in Qatar intercepted the 13 Iranian missiles that President Trump said were knocked down in Monday’s attack. One other missile was allowed to land harmlessly. A U.S. official said that American troops in Iraq and Syria remain on alert for attacks by Iran-backed militias there.
President Trump’s first public comments since Iran’s missile attack on a U.S. base in Qatar indicated that he does not plan to retaliate. Instead, in a series of posts on Truth Social, the president framed the Iranian barrage as “a very weak response” and a gesture toward peace. In all-caps he posted “CONGRATULATIONS WORLD, IT’S TIME FOR PEACE!” He minimized the damage done and even thanked the Iranians for “giving us early notice, which made it possible for no lives to be lost, and nobody to be injured.”
“Perhaps Iran can now proceed to Peace and Harmony in the Region, and I will enthusiastically encourage Israel to do the same,” he added. Taken together, his posts suggest that Trump currently has no interest in a more protracted war to topple Iran’s leadership, despite some of his recent statements.
Air traffic over the Gulf states is gradually resuming after Iran’s retaliatory attack on a U.S. base in Qatar, according to analysis by Flightradar24, a flight tracking website. Kuwait and Bahrain have reopened their airspace, state news media in both countries reported.
The Israeli military said in a statement late on Monday that it had carried out a series of airstrikes on targets in western Iran, including underground military infrastructure used by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps for storing missiles and missile launchers. Earlier on Monday, the military said, Israeli warplanes also struck and destroyed a missile launcher “intended for use against” Israeli aircraft.
Satellite imagery of Al Udeid Air Base taken Monday morning shows it was nearly empty of aircraft ahead of the Iranian missile attack. The images, captured by Planet Labs, showed dozens of aircraft at the base throughout early June, before Israel began its bombing campaign against Iran on June 13.
Speaker Mike Johnson, a Republican, told reporters on Capitol Hill that he did not support efforts to require Congress to vote on authorizing the use of military force in Iran. “The commander in chief has Article II responsibilities. They’re very serious and important, especially in times like this. I think he used that authority judiciously,” he said. He dismissed efforts to limit that authority as “all politics.”
U.S. forces operating anti-missile batteries shot down the Iranian missiles fired at al Udeid, two Pentagon offiicials said. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss security matters. Theydid not say if Qatari forces assisted in the effort.
Megan Mineiro
The White House has still not briefed the “Gang of Eight” congressional leaders and intelligence committee leaders on the Iran strikes, said Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic House leader, adding that he had repeatedly requested a briefing since Saturday. “There’s zero evidence that I’ve seen that the nuclear program was completely and totally obliterated, as Donald Trump has claimed,” he said.
“The use of military force which is offensive in nature must be approved by the House and the Senate,” Representative Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic House leader, at a Capitol Hill news conference. “It’s not optional, Donald. It’s not,” he added. Jeffries has repeatedly asked what “the administration is hiding” about the strikes on Iran.
Loading humanitarian aid onto an aircraft at Al Udeid Air Base in March 2024.Credit...Hussein Malla/Associated Press
The American air base in Qatar targeted by Iranian missiles on Monday is the biggest U.S. base in the Middle East and serves as the regional headquarters for the U.S. Central Command. About 10,000 troops are stationed there.
The installation, Al Udeid Air Base, is heavily fortified by an array of air defenses. The U.S. military has been using Al Udeid since the days after the Sept. 11 attacks, when it positioned planes there to target the Taliban and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan. Two years later, Al Udeid became the main U.S. air operations hub in the region.
U.S. commanders used the base to coordinate a wide variety of missions during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as strikes against the Islamic State in Syria. The Air Force has deployed a wide variety of aircraft there, from advanced fighters and long-range bombers to drones, transport planes and in-flight refueling tankers.
It also became the central evacuation point for tens of thousands of Afghans and Americans who fled Afghanistan in 2021 when the U.S. military withdrew.
The Combined Air Operations Center at the base helps project U.S. air power across a vast region encompassing 21 countries, from Northeast Africa to Central and South Asia, according to the Air Force.
Qatar, which saw the United States as its main protector in the Middle East, finished building the base in 1996, hoping to encourage the deployment of the U.S. military there. Over the years, Qatar has spent at least $8 billion to develop the base, which its military also uses alongside the British Royal Air Force, as part of its efforts to build up its partnership with the United States.
The modernization and expansion of the base has allowed a number of key U.S. military commands to operate out of it. Along with the U.S. Central Command, the base also hosts command facilities for American special forces.
The base’s location was carefully guarded until 2013, when Chuck Hagel, then the defense secretary, lifted the veil of secrecy.
President Trump visited Al Udeid last month while on a four-day tour of Gulf States. There, in a rally-like atmosphere, he spoke about Qatar’s purchases of American military supplies and told several of his favorite stories, including one about his trip to Iraq during his first term.
“I have nothing else to do,” Mr. Trump told U.S. troops from a stage at the base, “so let’s have a little fun.”
F.B.I. and Department of Homeland Security officials held a call with state and local law enforcement officials on Sunday to warn of potential consequences of U.S. action in Iran.Credit...Eric Lee/The New York Times
Federal officials are increasingly concerned about the possibility of Iran or its supporters retaliating on American soil after the bombing of nuclear sites in Iran by U.S. forces.
In an internal email on Sunday, top officials at the F.B.I. cautioned that Iran and its proxies have “historically targeted U.S. interests in response to geopolitical events, and they are likely to increase their efforts in the near term.”
They urged field offices to monitor their collection platforms and stay in close contact with the Defense Department, including the National Guard, “who may be targeted for retaliation” while “specific attention should be paid to” U.S. military facilities connected to the strikes in Iran.
In New York City, Mayor Eric Adams said that more police officers would be on duty around religious, cultural and diplomatic sites “out of an abundance of caution,” given the situation in the Middle East.
Iran, which the United States has designated as a state sponsor of terrorism, has long backed a network of militias across the Middle East in an attempt to extend its influence across the region and undermine Israel. Those militias include Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis, who control parts of Yemen.
Separately, the Department of Homeland Security issued a security bulletin stating that the “ongoing Iran conflict” had elevated security concerns in the country and adding that cyberattacks by pro-Iranian hackers were likely.
“The likelihood of violent extremists in the homeland independently mobilizing to violence in response to the conflict would likely increase if Iranian leadership issued a religious ruling calling for retaliatory violence against targets in the homeland,” the bulletin said.
It noted that “cyberactors affiliated with the Iranian government may conduct attacks against U.S. networks.”
Such advisories are typical after American forces take significant military action overseas, reflecting a worry by national security officials that people living in the United States may be angry or compelled to lash out. The relationship between Iran and the United States is particularly fraught in recent years, particularly given that U.S. officials have accused Iran of trying to assassinate American officials, as well as Iranian dissidents in the country.
In a conference call on Sunday, D.H.S. and F.B.I. officials cautioned state and local law enforcement officials of the possibility of threats to U.S. communities. During the call, the nonprofit organization Secure Community Network, which provides safety consulting and training for Jewish facilities across North America, said that the level of threats was very high.
“Iran would not strike in the U.S. unless a red line was crossed,” said Michael Masters, the group’s chief executive, according to a summary of the call. “That red line was assessed to be direct military engagement, especially targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities. That red line has now been crossed.”
The bulletin by the Department of Homeland Security said that the Iran-Israel war “could also motivate violent extremists and hate crime perpetrators seeking to attack targets perceived to be Jewish, pro-Israel, or linked to the US government or military in the homeland.”
Former F.B.I. officials said the bureau was well versed in these situations and would ask informants to find out if there were any new threats while scrutinizing existing cases, including possible surveillance of those being investigated.
In its email on Sunday, the F.B.I. said to prioritize tips potentially associated with Iran or its proxies.
“I call on all parties to exercise maximum restraint, de-escalate and return to the negotiating table,” President Emmanuel Macron said on X. “The spiral of chaos must end.”
A Defense official said that a combination of medium range and ballistic missiles were intercepted and that there is no known damage to al Udeid Air Base.
Qatar’s interior ministry said that the situation in the country is “stable” and “there is no cause for concern.” In a statement on social media, the ministry also warned residents against sharing any information “not issued by official sources.”
The all-clear sirens were sounded in Bahrain 15 minutes ago to announce the “end of danger,” according to several residents who received mobile alerts from the ministry of interior.
We’ve been waiting to hear from President Trump about Iran’s attack on the US base in Qatar, but the president’s first social media post since the strikes is a complaint about media skepticism of his statement that Iran’s nuclear sites were “totally obliterated.” Trump criticized CNN, ABC and NBC, calling them “sleazebags.”
Saudi Arabia has condemned “in the strongest terms” Iran’s attack in Qatar, calling it “a flagrant violation of international law,” Saudi state television reported. Saudi Arabia has been cultivating closer ties with Iran, long a strategic rival, over the past few years. But the attack on the Qatar, which the kingdom shares a border with, could test those warming relations.
The U.S. Defense Department confirmed that Iran fired multiple short- and medium-range missiles at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. “At this time, there are no reports of U.S. casualties,” the Pentagon said in a statement. “We are monitoring this situation closely.”
Kuwait and Iraq have closed their airspace in light of the attacks, state news media in both countries reported, joining Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain in doing so.
Debris from missiles or interceptors has fallen in Qatar, according to Al Jazeera, the Qatari broadcaster. The network aired footage showing a fragment lying in the street as bystanders gathered around.
In a televised speech, a spokesman for Iran’s Armed Forces said the attacks on the American base in Qatar were carried out by the Revolutionary Guards Corps. “We warn our enemies that the era of hit and run is over,” said the spokesman.
Bahrain has temporarily closed its airspace, state news media said, citing the country’s transportation and telecommunications ministry. The interior ministry has asked residents to stay off the country’s main roads.
Video verified by The New York Times and filmed from The Pearl Island, a manmade island in Doha, appears to show about a half-dozen missile interceptors flying across the sky to shoot down incoming Iranian missiles.
Air raid sirens sounded in Bahrain, a Gulf State very close to Qatar, several residents have confirmed. The U.S. Fifth Fleet is headquartered Bahrain. The country’s interior ministry has asked citizens and residents to “remain calm and head to the nearest safe place,” according to a statement posted on X.
The United Arab Emirates has joined Qatar in closing its airspace, according to an analysis of flight paths and air traffic control audio by Flightradar24, a flight tracking website. “Lots of aircraft are forced to turned around,” the website said. Both countries are major hubs of international air travel.
Qatar condemned Iran’s attack on Al Udeid Air Base, the largest U.S. military site in the Middle East, saying it was a “flagrant violation of the sovereignty of the State of Qatar, its airspace, international law, and the United Nations Charter.”
“We affirm that Qatar reserves the right to respond directly in a manner equivalent with the nature and scale of this brazen aggression, in line with international law,” Majed Al Ansari, the spokesman of the Qatari foreign ministry said in a post on X. “We reassure that Qatar’s air defenses successfully thwarted the attack and intercepted the Iranian missiles.”
Three Iranian officials familiar with the plans said that Iran gave advanced notice that attacks were coming, as a way to minimize casualties. The officials said Iran symbolically needed to strike back at the U.S. but at the same time carry it out in a way that allowed all sides an exit ramp; they described it as a similar strategy to 2020 when Iran gave Iraq heads up before firing ballistic missiles at an American base in Iraq following the assassination of its top general.
Iran’s Armed Forces said in a statement that Iran “targeted the Al Udaid base in Qatar with destructive and forceful missiles.”
Ameera Harouda
A series of loud booms were heard in Doha, the capital of Qatar. Lights were visible streaking upward, apparently part of a missile defense system, and some objects could be seen falling to earth.
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CreditCredit...Ameera Harouda for The New York Times
Iran’s armed forces issued a statement saying they have launched a military attack on U.S. base in Qatar, according to state television and state news agency.
Al Udeid Air Base is heavily fortified by an array of air defenses that have been on high alert in recent days anticipating an Iranian retaliatory attack.
The British government warned its citizens living in Qatar to shelter in place until further notice following Qatar’s decision to close itsairspace amid potential threats to Al Udeid Air Base, the largest American base in the Middle East. The British notice, posted on the government’s website, says: “Out of an abundance of caution, we recommend that British nationals in Qatar shelter in place until further notice. Follow instructions from local authorities.”
A senior White House official confirms they are aware of a potential attack by Iran against the American base in Qatar. “The White House and the Department of Defense are aware of, and closely monitoring, potential threats to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar,” the official said.
A British Royal Air Force flight departed Tel Aviv on Monday, the first of what the government says will be several evacuation flights for British nationals who are seeking to leave Israel because of the country’s ongoing war with Iran. Most commercial air travel has been halted since the war began as Iran sends waves of missiles and drones in response to Israel’s attacks.
Qatar announced that it is temporarily suspending traffic in its airspace “to ensure the safety of citizens, residents, and visitors,” according to a statement from the country’s foreign ministry. Qatar hosts Al Udeid Air Base, the largest American base in the Middle East, which serves as the headquarters for the U.S. Central Command.
Earlier today, the U.S. State Department had urged Americans in Qatar to shelter in place “out of an abundance of caution.” A Qatari foreign ministry spokesman, Majed Al Ansari, said that the authorities would inform the public if they need to take any specific actions.
A guard outside the entrance to Evin prison in Tehran, in a 2022 photo provided by the Iranian state media.Credit...Majid Asgaripour/WANA News Agency, via Reuters
Israel’s military on Monday targeted Iran’s Evin prison, a notorious detention facility in Tehran where dissidents and political prisoners are held. The detention center has long been regarded as a symbol of repression, and human rights groups and survivors say that torture and executions are routine there.
Israel’s defense minister, Israel Katz, announced the attack, which came amid Israeli strikes elsewhere in Tehran. Video footage examined by The New York Times shows damage after a blast near an entrance.
It was unclear why Israel struck the prison. There were no immediate reports of injuries, and Iran said it still had control of the facility.
Here’s what to know about the prison and the Israeli attack:
What is Evin prison?
Thousands of prisoners are held at Evin, among them hundreds of dissidents, including prominent opposition politicians, activists, lawyers, journalists, environmental activists and students. It is also used to hold prominent non-Iranian or dual-citizen prisoners, many of whom have been accused of spying.
The prison sits on a hilltop in northern Tehran at the foot of the Alborz Mountains. The compound is surrounded by electrified barbed-wire fences as well as a minefield.
How was the prison damaged?
IRNA, the Iranian state news agency, reported that projectiles had caused “damage to parts of the facility” but said the prison was “under full control.”
Video footage reviewed by The Times shows rescue workers clearing debris and metal beams collapsed by the strike from a gaping hole in the entrance.
Other footage examined by The Times shows damage to buildings in the immediate aftermath of another explosion by a second entrance to the prison complex, about 600 yards from the main prison entrance. This strike appeared to be by an entrance to a visitation center on the prison grounds.
How did Evin gain its reputation?
The prison was opened in 1971 under Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi. Over the next seven years, the facility came to international prominence because of what Human Rights Watch called the “horrifying conditions” in which prisoners were held by the secret police.
A 1979 revolution, set off in part by anger at the autocratic government, overthrew the shah, ushering in a theocratic regime under Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. But the prison’s notoriety grew.
In 1988, thousands of Evin prisoners were executed after cursory trials, according to Human Rights Watch. Many of those killed were viewed as a threat to the new Islamic government.
Several prominent Iranians were detained at Evin during the wave of protests in 2022 that followed the death of Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old Iranian woman arrested by Iran’s morality police. During the protests, a huge fire broke out at the prison. Residents nearby reported gunshots and explosions amid chants of “death to the dictator,” and IRNA reported at the time that eight people had been injured. The cause of the fire remained unclear.
In April, the European Union placed the head of the prison, Hedayatollah Farzadi, under sanctions.
What are conditions like at the prison?
Former prisoners have described long interrogations, torture, rape, psychological humiliation, solitary confinement and other examples of harsh treatment and abuse.
Executions at the prison have often been conducted by hanging, they say. Female prisoners who have been tortured have also then been denied adequate medical care, according to Amnesty International.
Cecilia Sala, an Italian journalist who was detained in Iran in December and held at the prison before being released, said her cell had two blankets but no mattress or pillow. She said guards seized her glasses, rendering her all but unable to see. The lights in the cell were constantly on, and during daily interrogations, which lasted for hours, she was blindfolded and had to sit facing a wall, she said.
Are foreign prisoners held at Evin?
Iran has used the detention of foreign and dual citizens as a tool of its foreign policy for nearly five decades. Britain, France, the United States and others have accused Iran of detaining their citizens, as well as dual nationals, and using them as diplomatic bargaining chips.
Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris, two French citizens, were held for over three years at Evin. Their detention has become a sticking point in relations between France and Iran.
Ms. Kohler, 40, a literature professor, and her partner Mr. Paris, a retired professor in his 70s, were visiting Iran as tourists in 2022 when they were arrested on spying charges that France strenuously rejects. Other French citizens arrested on similar charges have been gradually released, leaving Ms. Kohler and Mr. Paris as the only French citizens remaining in Iranian custody.
French authorities have likened the conditions they face in Evin to “torture,” saying they are in near total isolation and have almost no access to consular visits. Last month, France filed a complaint against Iran at the International Court of Justice over their case.
France’s foreign minister, Jean-Noël Barrot, said on Monday that Ms. Kohler and Mr. Paris were unhurt after the Israeli strikes, which he called “unacceptable,” and repeated France’s demand for their release.
Aurelien Breeden and Malachy Browne contributed reporting
Editors’ Note:
June 23, 2025
The following post has been updated to reflect new information learned from our examination of videos circulating on social media. One clip purporting to show the moment of the strike as captured on a security camera appears to have been digitally manipulated, and references to it have been removed.
Two French nationals held at Iran’s Evin prison are unhurt after Israel’s military targeted the complex on Monday, France’s foreign minister, Jean-Noël Barrot, said. The strike put the two, Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris, in danger and was “unacceptable,” he said, demanding their release. Kohler and Paris have been held at Evin for more than three years. Both are accused of spying, a charge that France rejects.
European Union foreign affairs ministers met in Brussels today to discuss Iran and other issues, and the gathering has just wrapped up. “Ministers urge all sides to step back, return to the negotiation table, and prevent further escalations,” Kaja Kallas, the E.U.’s top diplomat, told a news conference after the meeting.
It’s been more than 36 hours since the U.S. military struck Iran, and there has been no statement from Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who will have the final say in any response. Just now, the commander of Iran’s military, Maj. Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi, said that the U.S. attack “will not go unanswered,” according to the government-affiliated Mehr news agency. “We will take action,” he was quoted as saying.
A plume of smoke billowed over Iran’s capital Tehran in a screen grab taken from a video posted on social media on Monday.Credit...Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
The Israeli military pounded Tehran on Monday with a series of strikes targeting structures that belong to the Iranian government, according to the office of Israel’s defense minister, Israel Katz.
The strikes illustrated that Israel was continuing to widen its targets. They came shortly after Iran fired missiles at Israel on Monday morning, sending Israelis running to safe rooms and public shelters for the second time in hours.
Since launching its campaign against Iran earlier this month, the Israeli military has hit Iranian nuclear facilities, scientists and senior military commanders, but it has also struck targets lacking a clear link to Iran’s nuclear program or ballistic missiles, including the state broadcaster.
According to the defense minister’s office, Israel’s strikes in Tehran on Monday targeted the headquarters of the Basij, a volunteer force under the umbrella of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps that has used brutal tactics to crack down on protests in Iran, and Evin prison, the notorious facility holding political prisoners.
Israel also struck access routes to Fordo, the heavily fortified nuclear-enrichment site that the United States bombed on Sunday, the Israeli military said.
President Trump claimed on Sunday that Iran’s nuclear program had been “totally and completely obliterated.” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel said that the American military caused “very big damage” to Fordo, but he clarified that Israel still did not know the full extent.
Morteza Heidari, the spokesman for crisis management in the province where Fordo is, on Monday reported an “attack on the Fordo nuclear site,” according to the government-affiliated Mehr and Tasnim news agencies. He said there was no danger to the public from the strikes, the news agencies said.
Later on Monday, the Israeli military said it had targeted other forces under the Revolutionary Guards, including ones that it described as being responsible for dealing with domestic threats. It also said it had hit missile and radar production sites and missile storage infrastructure.
The impact and extent of the strikes were not immediately clear. But videos reviewed by The New York Times show clouds of smoke emanating from a metal gate below a sign that reads ‘Evin Detention Facility’ in Farsi.
The reports of the strikes on the Evin prison caused particular concern in France because two French citizens, Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris, are detained there.
“We are worried that Cécile and Jacques are going to die under bombs,” Noémie Kohler, Ms. Kohler’s sister, told Franceinfo radio on Monday. “We still have no way of contacting them,” she added. “We are absolutely panicked.”
France has accused Iran of detaining Ms. Kohler and Mr. Paris for over three years on baseless spying charges and has repeatedly demanded their release.
The strikes on Evin — which is close to apartment blocks and a popular hiking route — also hit a main power line that caused outages in two large districts of Tehran, according to the national electricity company Tavanir. It said in a statement distributed broadly to government-affiliated news agencies that it was able to repair the outages within an hour.
Iranian news outlets also reported that the Israeli military hit a building near the Iranian Red Crescent Society, an emergency response service. A video posted by the government-affiliated Mehr news agency, and verified by The Times, showed smoke rising in the area. It was not clear what was in the building that had been struck.
Erika Solomon and Sanjana Varghese contributed reporting to this article.
Editors’ Note:
June 23, 2025
The following post has been updated to reflect new information learned from our examination of videos circulating on social media. One clip purporting to show the moment of the strike as captured on a security camera appears to have been digitally manipulated, and references to it have been removed.
President Trump is keeping a close eye on the price of oil, which is about $74 a barrel this morning in the United States. “EVERYONE, KEEP OIL PRICES DOWN. I’M WATCHING!” Trump wrote in a post on his social-media platform. He also urged the Energy Department to “DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!And I mean NOW!!!”
The federal government does not directly control how much drilling takes place in the United States. That is up to private companies, many of which have been scaling back because prices were relatively low before Israel attacked Iran. U.S. oil prices have climbed around $10 a barrel in the last two weeks, and that has begun to increase prices at the gas pump. That said, both oil and gasoline prices remain moderate by recent standards, and both are lower than they were a year ago.
Kevin Hassett, the director of the White House National Economic Council, said today on CNBC that the strike on Iran had, so far, not “really disrupted” global oil markets. But Hassett added that other oil-producing countries have significant reserves, which would give President Trump “a lot of room to adjust” if Iran retaliates and prices do surge.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel speaking on Thursday at the Soroka hospital complex in southern Israel after it was hit by a missile fired from Iran.Credit...Pool photo by Marc Israel Sellem
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel said on Sunday night that Israel was “very, very close” to realizing its objectives in the conflict with Iran, hours after President Trump launched an American attack on three Iranian nuclear sites.
In a televised address, Mr. Netanyahu said that Israel had begun bombing Iran on June 13 “to remove two concrete, existential threats: the nuclear threat and the ballistic missile threat.”
“We are advancing, step by step, to achieve these goals,” he said. “We are very, very close to completing them.”
Mr. Netanyahu did not say when he believed Israel would end its bombing campaign. Nor did he mention another goal that some observers have suggested Israel might be pursuing in Iran: regime change.
Israelis have broadly backed Mr. Netanyahu’s decision to open the offensive against Iran. Even longtime critics of the prime minister — including Yair Lapid, head of Israel’s parliamentary opposition — have praised what they see as the war’s tactical successes.
But as Iran launches missiles in response, the conflict has also paralyzed much of Israel, shuttering schools, businesses and the international airport near Tel Aviv, leaving thousands of Israelis stranded abroad. The economic damage has compounded the cost of more than 20 months of war in Gaza and Lebanon.
Some Israeli analysts and politicians have argued that now is the time to wind down the fighting.
In his address on Sunday night, Mr. Netanyahu said that he would not be dragged into a “war of attrition” with Iran. But Israel would not cease its assault on Iran before it had “accomplished all of its goals,” Mr. Netanyahu vowed, without providing a timetable.
“We will not continue to operate beyond what is necessary to achieve them,” he said. “But we also won’t finish up too soon. When the aims are achieved, the operation will be concluded, and the fighting will stop.”
Some analysts in Israel have suggested that if Mr. Netanyahu’s war against Iran is seen as successful, he could show greater flexibility in talks to end the war with Hamas in Gaza and to free the remaining hostages there. For months, Mr. Netanyahu has seemed unwilling to make concessions in the talks, which his far-right political allies have opposed.
On Sunday, Mr. Netanyahu said that the blows dealt to Iran — a longtime patron of Hamas — would also further weaken the Palestinian armed group in Gaza.
“It will take a bit more time. But there’s no doubt that our great achievements in Iran contribute to achieving the goals in Gaza,” he said.
Johnatan Reiss contributed reporting from Tel Aviv.
In a photograph provided by Russian state media, Russia’s President Vladimir V. Putin met with Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, at the Kremlin in Moscow on Monday.Credit...Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia met with Iran’s foreign minister in Moscow on Monday, for the first publicized meeting between senior officials of the two allied nations since Israel began its military campaign against Iran on June 13.
The Kremlin has largely stood on the sidelines while Israel has destroyed Iranian air defenses, struck nuclear facilities and killed members of Iran’s military leadership, and Iran has fired deadly missile barrages at targets across Israel. But on Monday, Mr. Putin and his officials attempted to show more explicit support for Russia’s ally — while seemingly trying to avoid provoking the United States, which intervened militarily in the conflict on Sunday, or damaging relations with Iran’s rivals in the Middle East.
“The absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran is unfounded and unjustified,” Mr. Putin said at a meeting with Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, according to a Kremlin statement. “We are making efforts from our side to provide support to the Iranian people.”
Mr. Putin told Mr. Araghchi that he had spoken about the Israel-Iran war with President Trump, as well as with the leaders of Israel, Iran and the United Arab Emirates. Earlier on Monday, the Kremlin said Mr. Putin also spoke by telephone with Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani of Iraq.
The discussions appeared to be part of the Kremlin’s broader efforts to present Russia as a potential mediator in any talks that could bring an end to the fighting.
Yet, according to the Kremlin’s statement on Monday, Mr. Putin stopped short of directly calling out the United States or Israel for attacking Iran. The careful tone contrasted with the more explicit one used by Mr. Araghchi, who denounced the “aggressive actions of Israel and the U.S.A.,” according to the Kremlin.
Dmitri S. Peskov, the Kremlin’s spokesman, attempted to toe the same careful line as Mr. Putin. In remarks on Monday, he voiced Russia’s support for Iran, without making any military or economic commitments that could potentially anger the Trump administration or siphon resources from Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Speaking to reporters, Mr. Peskov deflected a question about whether Russia would be willing to bolster Iranian air defenses.
“Going forward, everything will depend on what Iran will need,” Mr. Peskov said.
He added that Russia had already issued a statement condemning strikes on Iran, and had offered to mediate the conflict.
Preparing bread in Gaza in April. Many bakeries were forced to close and flour supplies ran low after Israel imposed a blockade on food and fuel supplies that ended last month.Credit...Saher Alghorra for The New York Times
Relations between Israel and the European Union have become even more fraught after the bloc found that Israel’s actions in Gaza, including the blockade of aid to the enclave, may have violated human rights obligations.
The findings came after a review by the European Union’s diplomatic service into whether Israel had violated a provision in a treaty that underpins relations between the two sides. Critics of Israel have called for the bloc to suspend the treaty, accusing the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of violating the rights of Palestinians en masse. Israel has rejected the accusations.
Under the terms of the treaty, the European Union and Israel agreed that their relationship “would be based on respect for human rights and democratic principles.”
The review concluded that there are “indications that Israel would be in breach” of those standards, referring to several specific issues. Those included Israeli restrictions of essential goods and food into Gaza; attacks that the report said had caused a “significant number of casualties”; and military strikes on hospitals and medical facilities.
Because E.U. member states are sharply divided on Israel, it could be difficult to achieve the consensus needed to shift the bloc’s policies toward the nation. But the report’s conclusions underscored growing frustrations, including among some of Israel’s closest allies, over the handling of the war in Gaza.
Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, presented the review’s findings to a meeting of the bloc’s foreign ministers in Brussels on Monday.
“Our first goal is to change the situation on the ground and help the humanitarian aid to get in and help the people,” Ms. Kallas said in a news conference after the meeting. “Today was the beginning of the debate, and not the end.”
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A pharmacy at the Kuwait Hospital in Gaza City in April. Medicines were in short supply under the Israeli blockade.Credit...Saher Alghorra for The New York Times
Israel has strongly rejected the findings. The Israeli Foreign Ministry said in a response to the European Union, shared with The New York Times, that the review was “a complete moral and methodological failure.” The ministry pointed out that it “opens with an admission that it lacks the ability to verify its own statements.”
The next steps will be to present the finding to Israel, Ms. Kallas said. If the situation does not improve, officials could discuss other steps at their meeting in July, she added.
“Our main concern is the humanitarian aid distribution,” she said.
The back-and-forth underscored how tense relations between the European Union and Israel have become. The situation has become more complicated after Israel launched a major assault on Iran last week in a bid to cripple its nuclear program, one that now involves the United States: America struck three sites last weekend.
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A body is carried out of a health clinic in Jabaliya, Gaza, on May 15. The European Union review cites attacks on hospitals as one issue of concern.Credit...Saher Alghorra for The New York Times
E.U. officials have spoken about the conflict with Iran cautiously, and there are divisions in Europe over how much to support Israel and America’s actions. European officials have widely urged a return to diplomacy to resolve the crisis.
Many European officials and diplomats have emphasized that the conflict with Tehran should not distract from what is happening in Gaza, but the combination of events has left Brussels struggling to agree on a unified stance toward Israel.
“When all the focus is on Iran and the escalation regarding Iran, we should not forget about Gaza and the terrible war that’s taking place there, and the terrible humanitarian situation,” Caspar Veldkamp, the Dutch minister for foreign affairs, told reporters on Monday.
The Netherlands had been vocal in pushing for the review. That was notable, since it had traditionally been seen as centrist on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, said Hugh Lovatt, a senior fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
“That speaks to the growing frustration and anger amongst a number of European governments,” Mr. Lovatt said, adding that conversations “will continue to happen about other steps, whether it’s banning settlement products and financial services.”
Some member states have pushed for especially serious consequences.
“This is the time for action,” José Manuel Albares Bueno, Spain’s foreign minister, said as he headed into Monday’s meeting. He said he would call for a suspension of the agreement with Israel, along with an embargo on weapon sales to the country.
“Europe must show courage,” he added.
But in the end, the review and its findings might be more symbolically important than practically effective, because E.U. nations remain deeply split on issues related to Israel.
Imposing sanctions or suspending the agreement, for instance, would require unanimity among member states — which is unlikely. The prime minister of Hungary, Viktor Orban, for example, is an ally of Mr. Netanyahu and would almost certainly not agree to impose restrictions on Israel.
Even more modest measures, like peeling back parts of the agreement, would require support from a substantial majority of European nations.
“It’s a complex situation,” Hadja Lahbib, the European commissioner for crisis preparedness, said on Monday.
Rafael Grossi, head of the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, at an emergency meeting of the agency in Vienna on Monday.Credit...Christian Bruna/Getty Images
Rafael Grossi, the head of the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, warned on Monday at an emergency meeting in Vienna that “violence and destruction could reach unimaginable levels” if Iran, Israel and the United States do not find a pathway to diplomacy.
Speaking a day after American warplanes and submarines struck three of Iran’s nuclear facilities, Mr. Grossi reiterated that armed attacks on nuclear facilities should never take place, given the risk of radioactive releases. He offered to travel immediately to Iran and to engage with all parties involved to help ensure the protection of nuclear facilities.
“We may not agree on the reasons behind and even the consequences of the current crisis, but there is a common denominator that exists,” he said at the meeting of the watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency. “First, we don’t want to see a nuclear accident.”
Israel began its military campaign against Iran’s nuclear program and military leadership on June 13. The United States intervened militarily early on Sunday local time, attacking the three Iranian nuclear sites, with President Trump saying that the goal was to prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon.
American officials have said that while Israel’s intelligence agency believes that Iran can achieve a nuclear weapon in 15 days, American spy agencies believe that it could take several months, and up to a year, for Iran to make a weapon.
The International Atomic Energy Agency declared on June 12 that Iran was not complying with its nuclear nonproliferation obligations. But Mr. Grossi stressed on Monday that the correct approach was diplomacy, and urged a return to negotiations.
“Military escalation not only threatens lives, it also delays us from taking the diplomatic path to achieve the long-term assurance that Iran does not acquire a nuclear weapon,” Mr. Grossi said Monday. Iran insists that its nuclear program is for civilian use, not to develop weapons.
“There has never been a time more important than now to muster the political courage to step away from the edge,” Mr. Grossi said.
Later on Monday, the Israeli military said that it had attacked access routes to the Fordo nuclear enrichment site to obstruct them, a day after the United States struck the site itself. Both Israeli and American officials have said the site was severely damaged in Sunday’s U.S. strikes, but that it would take time for a full damage assessment.
Mr. Grossi said that at this time “no one, including the I.A.E.A.,” is in a position to has fully assessed the damage at Fordo. He added that Iran has informed the agency that there was no increase in off-site radiation levels at any of the three sites hit by the United States.
Senior American officials have conceded that they do not know the fate of Iran’s stockpile of near-bomb-grade uranium. Mr. Grossi said on Monday that Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, had written in a June 13 letter to him that Iran would adopt “special measures” to protect nuclear equipment and materials.
The Sheriff’s Department removed the line from similar posts on Facebook and Instagram, saying in the edited posts that “Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department is closely monitoring the situation overseas alongside our local, state, and federal partners.”
In the original post, according to a screenshot by the local TV news station KTLA, the department said “Our hearts go out to the victims and the families impacted by the recent bombings in Iran.”
In its statement on Sunday, the Sheriff’s Department called that post “offensive and inappropriate.”
“This post was unacceptable,” the Sheriff’s Department said, “made in error, and does not reflect the views of Sheriff Robert G. Luna or the Department.”
As a law enforcement agency, the Sheriff’s Department said, it did not comment on “foreign policy or military matters.” It said it was conducting an internal investigation to determine how the post was created and published.
Los Angeles County is home to large populations of both Iranian and Jewish people, including many Iranian Jews.
Of the roughly 400,000 Iranian-born immigrants in the United States, roughly one-third lives in or around Los Angeles, according to the Migration Policy Institute. Westwood, a neighborhood on the west side of Los Angeles near the U.C.L.A. campus, has been nicknamed “Tehrangeles.”
Los Angeles is also home to more than 500,000 Jews, the second-largest Jewish community in the U.S., according to 2021 research by Brandeis University.
The Sheriff’s Department’s social media post emphasized that there was no specific danger for residents but encouraged people to be vigilant.
“At the moment, there are no known threats to Los Angeles County. However, out of an abundance of caution, we are increasing patrol checks at places of worship and other sensitive locations throughout the county,” the sheriff’s department said.
The European Union’s foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, in Brussels, on Monday. European ministers “are very much focused on the diplomatic solution,” she said.Credit...Virginia Mayo/Associated Press
Foreign ministers from across the European Union stressed on Monday that the war between Israel and Iran — in which the United States intervened militarily this weekend — could escalate further, potentially destabilizing the region and the world.
The ministers were in Brussels for a meeting on Monday, where they were scheduled to discuss Israel, China and other pressing security matters. Yet the unfolding situation between Israel and Iran overshadowed other topics, with ministers calling for a return to negotiations.
“Ministers are very much focused on the diplomatic solution, and also the concerns of retaliation and this war escalating are huge,” Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s top diplomat, told journalists. Ms. Kallas added that any Iranian closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for oil and gas, would be “extremely dangerous.”
American military and intelligence officials have detected signs that Iran-backed militias were preparing to attack American bases in Iraq, and possibly in Syria, in retaliation for the U.S. strikes in Iran on Sunday, fueling fears that tensions could ramp up. If Tehran were to close access to the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could soar and some U.S. Navy ships could be pinned in the Persian Gulf, American military officials say.
Ms. Kallas and foreign ministers from Britain, France, and Germany met with Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, in Geneva on Friday. Ms. Kallas said that at that meeting, Iran was opening up to discussions of “nuclear, but also broader security issues that are concerning Europe.”
Still, officials fretted that a peaceful outcome remained far from guaranteed.
“We are very concerned about the risk of an escalation, which could be devastating in the Middle East and have very serious consequences for the stability of the world,” Jean-Noël Barrot, France’s minister for Europe and foreign affairs, said as he headed into Monday’s meeting.
“Europe can bring its experience, its competence, in-depth knowledge of these questions to open a space for negotiation,” he added.
While Mr. Barrot and other European officials suggested that strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities by Israel and the United States might delay nuclear developments, they also said that a negotiated solution would be more durable in the long run.
“At this moment, I think it’s very important to find a way back to the negotiations,” Caspar Veldkamp, the Dutch minister for foreign affairs, told reporters.
A satellite image of the Strait of Hormuz, showing the Iranian coast at top, and Qeshm Island and Oman below.Credit...Gallo Images, via Getty Images
One way that Iran could potentially retaliate for the American strikes on three of its nuclear sites, analysts say, would be to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for oil and gas.
In meetings at the White House, senior military officials have raised the need to prepare for that possibility, after Iranian officials threatened to mine the strait, a narrow 90-mile waterway connecting the Persian Gulf to the open ocean. Such a move could pin any U.S. Navy ships in the Persian Gulf, American military officials say.
In more than a week of fighting between Israel and Iran, Israel’s military has steered clear of hitting Iranian naval assets. So while Iran’s ability to respond to attacks has been severely damaged, it has a robust navy and maintains operatives across the region, where the United States has more than 40,000 troops. Iran also has an array of mines that its navy could lay in the Strait of Hormuz, which hugs a portion of Iran’s southern border.
A quarter of the world’s oil and 20 percent of the world’s liquefied natural gas passes through the Strait of Hormuz, so mining the choke point would cause oil and gas prices to soar. The majority of those fuels go to Asia, meaning that countries there would most likely be severely affected by any closure. The United States and other countries would feel the effects in the form of higher energy costs.
Closing the waterway could isolate American minesweepers in the Persian Gulf on one side of the strait. Two defense officials indicated that the Navy was looking to disperse its ships in the gulf so that they would be less vulnerable. A Navy official declined to comment, citing operational security. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.
Even before the U.S. military struck Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend, Iran vowed that it would respond forcefully to any attack by American forces — potentially setting off a cycle of escalation. Since the strikes, Iran appears to be weighing its options.
“Iran is strategically weaker but operationally still lethal across the region, and Americans still have troops across that part of the world,” said Brian Katulis, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute.
Military officials and analysts said missile and drone attacks remained the biggest retaliatory threat to U.S. bases and facilities in the region. Some also worry that the Quds Force, a shadowy arm of Iran’s military, could attack U.S. troops.
Much is at stake for Iran if it decides to retaliate. “Many of Iran’s options are the strategic equivalent of a suicide bombing,” said Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran policy expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “They can do enormous damage to others if they mine the Strait of Hormuz, destroy regional oil facilities and rain a missile barrage against Israel, but they may not survive the blowback.”
But Iran can make it hugely expensive, and dangerous, for the U.S. Navy to have to conduct what would most likely be a weekslong mine-clearing operation in the Strait of Hormuz, according to one former naval officer who was stationed on a minesweeper in the Persian Gulf. He and other Navy officers said that clearing the strait could also put American sailors directly in harm’s way.
Fu Cong, China’s permanent representative to the United Nations, speaking during a U.N. Security Council meeting at the U.N. headquarters in New York on Sunday.Credit...Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
China said the United States has hurt its reputation as a global power and its diplomatic standing by attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities while it was engaged in talks with Tehran.
“Iran is harmed, but also harmed is U.S. credibility — as a country and as a party to any international negotiations,” Fu Cong, China’s ambassador to the United Nations, told China’s state broadcaster on Sunday.
In the battle for global narratives, China has long cast the United States as a warmonger and a destabilizing power while presenting itself as a responsible global leader championing peace and fairness.
At an emergency meeting of the Security Council on Sunday, Mr. Fu said that China condemned the U.S. strikes and was joining Russia and Pakistan in drafting a U.N. resolution calling for a cease-fire, the safety of civilians and a start to peace negotiations.
The criticism of the United States was echoed in Chinese state media reports on Monday, with the official news agency, Xinhua, accusing the United States of escalating violence in the region.
“The worsening situation in the Middle East is a stark reminder that power politics and military interventions lead to nothing but chaos and instability,” the article said.
In a separate editorial on Monday, the Communist Party tabloid, the Global Times, said the U.S. strikes had weakened “the foundation of the international security order.”
On China’s heavily censored internet forums, users have left furious comments about how Iran was deceived into thinking it was negotiating a nuclear agreement with the United States, only to lower its guard and become the target of U.S. bombs.
China’s rhetoric belies a more complicated reality. Beijing has been one of Tehran’s biggest backers, diplomatically and economically. Its purchases of almost all of Iran’s oil exports have helped a brutal Iranian regime stay in power and deliver support to its terrorist proxies abroad, including Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis.
It remains to be seen how China might use its influence over Iran as fears of a broader conflict grow. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Sunday urged China to persuade Tehran not to make good on a threat to close the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital waterways for the transport of oil.
“China will certainly oppose Iran” closing the strait, said Wang Yiwei, the director of the Institute of International Affairs at Renmin University in Beijing, because of China’s need for access to Iranian oil. But it would only do so on its terms and in its own time, he suggested.
“However, it would be improper, or even counterproductive, to discuss this with the United States, or to exert pressure on Iran at the request of the United States,” he added.
When asked on Monday what China would do if Iran closed the strait, Guo Jiakun, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry, deflected and called on the international community to “step up its efforts to promote the de-escalation of the conflict.”
Oil prices tumbled and stocks rose on Monday, as investors appeared optimistic that the economic fallout from strikes on Iran and its response would remain contained.
That view was intact even after Iran launched an attack on a U.S. military base in Qatar. Iranian officials told The New York Times that Iran had warned of the attack ahead of time, in order to minimize casualties, and the Defense Department said there were no reports of U.S. casualties at the base, Al Udeid.
The expectation that this could signify a de-escalation in the conflict was immediately evident in the energy market. The price of West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for U.S. crude oil, dropped more than 7 percent after the Iranian strike on Qatar, to around $68 a barrel. Brent crude, the international benchmark, also fell over 7 percent.
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Falling oil prices helped lift the stock market, as did further signs that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner than previously expected. Michelle W. Bowman, the Fed’s vice chair for supervision, said Monday that the central bank should consider cutting interest rates in July, becoming the second Fed official to suggest as much in recent days.
“Funny how we would have expected this to be a risk off day,” said Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at NatAlliance Securities. “But that trade happened in the overnight session.”
The S&P 500 index rose about 1 percent. European markets had ended trading lower.
Traders have been seeking clearer indications of whether there would be an escalation in the conflict in the Middle East — particularly any moves Iran might make that would disrupt oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.
A critical transit point for global oil supplies, the Strait of Hormuz last year saw about 20 million barrels of oil shipped through its waterway each day, representing about 20 percent of the world’s total supply. Most of that oil was bound for Asia.
Places like Japan and Taiwan rely on the Middle East for almost all of their crude oil imports, meaning that any disruption to traffic through the passageway could inflict a large economic blow. China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil.
Other analysts expect fallout from the conflict to be relatively short-lived. Iran’s missile attack on the American base was intercepted, leaving open a path to de-escalation.
“Stocks have a long history of eventually looking through Middle East violence (sometimes quickly), even when the U.S. gets involved,” Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise, wrote earlier on Monday.
The oil market is also better equipped to respond to shocks than it has been in the past because of spare capacity held by exporters, according to Daniel Hynes, a senior commodity strategist at ANZ Research. Geopolitical events involving producers can have a big impact on oil markets, but in recent years prices have tended to quickly retreat as risks ease, Mr. Hynes said.
Daniel Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, said there could be more volatility in stock movements this week. But, he added, the market may view the Iran threat as “now gone.” In that case, he said, “the worst is now in the rearview mirror.”