PLA could seize and annex Taiwan-controlled islands including Kinmen and Matsu close to the Chinese mainland, the Pratas and Taiping in the South China Sea and the Penghu archipelago off Taiwan’s southeastern coast as a tactic to intimidate the Taiwan government.
Kinmen, at its closest point, is less than 2km away from China-controlled territory.
“Beijing’s contemporary efforts to annex Kinmen and Matsu blend economic enticements, nonviolent coercion, legal warfare, information operations, infrastructure construction, and miscellaneous ‘gray zone’ lines of effort to manipulate public opinion on the islands and erode Taiwan’s control of its territories.”
China could “escalate current lines of effort (LOEs) to erode Taiwan’s sovereignty over its outlying territory of Kinmen in a short-of-war coercion campaign to seize control of the island group in the near term.”
https://independent.co.uk/asia/china/china-invasion-taiwan-outlying-island-intelligence-b2758334.html…https://armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfiles/2025_dia_statement_for_the_record.pdf…