May 3, 2025
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In the last five years, Bill Mott and Junior Alvarado have become one of the most dynamic trainer-jockey combinations in Thoroughbred racing's major events. On Saturday they team up with Sovereignty, one of the top choices in the 151st Kentucky Derby. Read More
Post
Horse
Last 3 Beyers
Trainer
Jockey
Last Race
Sire
Morning Line
Aragona odds
Citizen Bull
87-98-96
Bob Baffert
Martin Garcia
Santa Anita Derby, 4th by 9 3/4, 87
Into Mischief
20-1
30-1
OwnerSF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, et al
BF: Champion 2024 juvenile front-runner tough to like off distant fourth in SA Derby and buried down on the rail
DA: Exposed in SA Derby when unable to secure easy lead; very tough to make the front from post 1 in the Derby
Neoequos
89-91-82
Saffie Joseph
Flavien Prat
Florida Derby, 3rd by 4, 89
Neolithic
30-1
50-1
OwnerC2 Racing Stable, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables, Stefania Farms
BF: Pace-presser retreated to third despite easy fractions in Florida Derby, may want shorter, adds speed
DA: One of a few speeds stuck inside, he could have a tough trip coming; hard to see his path to victory
Final Gambit
90-63-65
Brad Cox
Luan Machado
Jeff Ruby Steaks, 1st by 3 1/2, 90
Not This Time
30-1
20-1
OwnerJuddmonte
DA: Synthetic-surface specialist worked well on dirt since Jeff Ruby upset, but dirt kickback presents challenge
BF: Ruby win was visually impressive; should get pace, but pedigree leans turf; many questions to answer
Rodriguez
101-90-91
Bob Baffert
Mike Smith
Wood Memorial, 1st by 3 1/2, 101
Authentic
12-1
12-1
OwnerSF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, et al
BF: Front-running winner of Wood runs best setting pace, but several to his inside and outside have same style
DA: Finally got chance to shine in Wood, but now faces tough pace scenario from less-than-ideal inside draw
American Promise
95-88-82
D. Wayne Lukas
Nik Juarez
Virginia Derby, 1st by 7 3/4, 95
Justify
30-1
30-1
OwnerBC Stable
BF: Dominated second-tier field in one-turn nine-furlong Virginia Derby, imposing colt getting good at right time
DA: Sustained honest pace in dominant Va. Derby score; should get the distance, but has to deal with faster
Admire Daytona
NA
Yukihiro Kato
Christophe Lemaire
UAE Derby, 1st by nose, NA
Drefong
30-1
30-1
OwnerJunko Kondo
BF: U.A.E. Derby win validates Luxor Cafe, who beat 'Daytona decisively in Japan; Dubai-to-Derby ship is difficult
DA: Did well to withstand contested early pace in Dubai; under-the-radar runner is gritty, but needs to improve
Luxor Cafe
NA
Noriyuki Hori
Joao Moreira
Fukuryu Stakes, 1st by 5, NA
American Pharoah
15-1
10-1
OwnerKoichi Nishikawa
BF: Won four straight in Japan; stakes two back flattered when 4-3 finishers 1-3 U.A.E. Derby, these much tougher
DA: Fast finisher has shown star potential in Japan; prefers to race outside in clear, but may not have that luxury
Journalism
102-108-87
Michael McCarthy
Umberto Rispoli
Santa Anita Derby, 1st by 3/4, 102
Curlin
3-1
5-2
OwnerEclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Bridlewood, Don Alberto, LaPenta, et al
Brad Free: Fastest on speed figures, overcame trouble to win SA Derby, wants 1 1/4m, legit favorite at likely low odds
David Aragona: Derby fave doesn't appear to have any significant weaknesses and drew well; tough to deny with a fair trip
Burnham Square
96-91-90
Ian Wilkes
Brian Hernandez
Blue Grass, 1st by nose, 96
Liam's Map
12-1
10-1
OwnerWhitham Thoroughbreds
BF: Late-runner exploited pace collapse to win visually unimpressive Blue Grass, style suits likely fast Derby pace
DA: Got right setup in Blue Grass; has continued improving, will stay the distance and gets last year's winning jock
Grande
97-97-83
Todd Pletcher
John Velazquez
Wood Memorial, 2nd by 3 1/2, 97
Curlin
20-1
20-1
OwnerRepole Stable
BF: Wide-trip Wood runner-up ran as well as winner; seeks Derby win in fourth start a la Big Brown, Justify, Mage
DA: Agree with Brad on tough Wood trip; has talent and stamina; light racing and training schedule a concern
Flying Mohawk
84-82-79
Whit Beckman
Joe Ramos
Jeff Ruby Steaks, 2nd by 3 1/2, 84
Karakontie
30-1
50-1
OwnerTwo Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing, Kalea Racing
BF: Turf-synthetic specialist runner-up in Jeff Ruby, but never raced on dirt nor run particularly fast; would be shock
DA: Ruby runner-up finish puts him in the field, but needs to run the best race of his career on unfamiliar surface
East Avenue
96-74-75
Brendan Walsh
Manny Franco
Blue Grass, 2nd by nose, 96
Medaglia d'Oro
20-1
20-1
OwnerGodolphin
BF: Sent hard to lead and nailed in Blue Grass, rounding into form, insures pace for same owner's Sovereignty
DA: Need-the-lead type fought on gamely after setting taxing pace in Blue Grass; tough year to wire the Derby
Publisher
95-86-81
Steve Asmussen
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Arkansas Derby, 2nd by 2 1/2, 95
American Pharoah
20-1
20-1
OwnerGus King and Estate of Brereton Jones
BF: Benefited by closers-friendly race flow second in Ark. Derby; late-running maiden could upset if pace collapses
DA: Plodder got similar trip to Sandman and couldn't stay with that rival late; has reportedly trained well into race
Tiztastic
95-81-89
Steve Amsussen
Joel Rosario
Louisiana Derby, 1st by 2 1/4, 95
Tiz the Law
20-1
20-1
OwnerWinchell Thoroughbreds, Mrs. John Magnier, Derrick Smith, Michael Tabor
BF: Late-runner put it all together in La. Derby win, although FG 3yos mostly modest this season; will roll in lane
DA: Got the right trip in fast-paced FG victory; probably has to improve again, but he should stay the distance
Render Judgment
90-83-79
Kenny McPeek
Julien Leparoux
Blue Grass, 5th by 4, 90
Blame
30-1
50-1
OwnerBaccari Racing Stable, Dream Walkin Farms, MJM Racing, Rocket Ship
BF: Never run fast enough to be marginal contender Kentucky Derby, shame he is in but Baeza an also-eligible
DA: He's relatively light on accomplishments, but worked the points system to qualify; has little to no chance
Coal Battle
88-91-84
Lonnie Briley
Juan Vargas
Arkansas Derby, 3rd by 7, 88
Coal Front
30-1
15-1
OwnerNorman Stables
BF: Did clock strike midnight for Cinderella story, or did he move too early when third in Arkansas Derby?
DA: Moved early into extreme pace in Ark. Derby; versatile colt makes his own good trips, but needs to improve
Sandman
99-89-92
Mark Casse
Jose Ortiz
Arkansas Derby, 1st by 2 1/2, 99
Tapit
6-1
8-1
OwnerD. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds
BF: Heavily campaigned eight-start Ark. Derby winner could get another ideal pace scenario to set up late rally
DA: Earned fast Beyer at OP with perfect setup, but was still green; needs to focus to be effective in the Derby
Sovereignty
92-95-87
Bill Mott
Junior Alvarado
Florida Derby, 2nd by 1 1/4, 92
Into Mischief
5-1
6-1
OwnerGodolphin
BF: Virtually paired career-best fig finishing well for second in Florida Derby; ideal prep, uncertain if fast enough
DA: A faster fig would have been nice, but still progressed mentally in Fla. Derby; training better than ever now
Chunk of Gold
92-92-75
Ethan West
Jareth Loveberry
Louisiana Derby, 2nd by 2 1/4, 92
Preservationist
30-1
30-1
OwnerTerry Stephens
BF: Lightly raced closer produced more tactical speed when second in La. Derby; paired career-best fig, longshot?
DA: Overachievier ran better than looks in both Louisiana preps; versatile running style will help from this post
Owen Almighty
90-93-83
Bryan Lynch
Javier Castellano
Blue Grass, 4/8, 6th by 4 1/4, 90
Speightstown
30-1
50-1
OwnerFlying Dutchman Breeding and Racing
BF: Curious addition to Ky. Derby field after nowhere finish in Blue Grass; distance-challenged colt adds pace
DA: Trainer says they plan to rate, which may be necessary from this tough post; hard to build a case for him
Baeza (Also-eligible)
101-93-87
John Shirreffs
Flavien Prat
Santa Anita Derby, 2nd by 3/4, 101
McKinzie
12-1
15-1
OwnerCRK Stable and Grandview Equine
BF: Fast, improving Santa Anita Derby runner-up major threat if draws in, outside draw not deal-breaker
DA: Getting stuck on AE list hardly ideal, but half-brother to '23 winner Mage could certainly factor if draws in
Race
Track
Distance
Winner / Beyer
Points Awarded
| Horse | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3Mystik Dan | $39.22 | $16.32 | $10.00 |
| 2Sierra Leone | $6.54 | $4.64 | |
| 11Forever Young | $5.58 | ||
| 4Catching Freedom | |||
| 10T O Password | |||
| $2.00 EXACTA 3-2 | $258.56 |
| $0.50 TRIFECTA 3-2-11 | $556.92 |
| $1.00 SUPERFECTA 3-2-11-4 | $8,254.07 |
| $1.00 SUPER HIGH FIVE 3-2-11-4-10 | $316,920.10 |
| $1.00 DAILY DOUBLE 5-3 | $139.27 |
| $0.50 PICK 3 10-5-3 | $319.06 |
| $0.50 PICK 4 2-10-5-3 | $18,299.93 |
| $0.50 PICK 5 5-2-10-5-3 | $188,957.75 |
| $0.20 PICK 6 3-5-2-10-5-3 | $345,073.62 |
| Position | Horse |
|---|---|
| 1st | 3Mystik Dan |
| 2nd | 2Sierra Leone |
| 3rd | 11Forever Young |
| 4th | 4Catching Freedom |
| 5th | 10T O Password |
| 6th | 19Resilience |
| 7th | 18Stronghold |
| 8th | 7Honor Marie |
| 9th | 14Endlessly |
| 10th | 1Dornoch |
| 11th | 12Track Phantom |
| 12th | 13West Saratoga |
| 13th | 15Domestic Product |
| 14th | 21Epic Ride |
| 15th | 17Fierceness |
| 16th | 20Society Man |
| 17th | 6Just Steel |
| 18th | 16Grand Mo the First |
| 19th | 5Catalytic |
| 20th | 8Just a Touch |
The Kentucky Derby is the first leg of the American Triple Crown series for 3-year-old Thoroughbreds. Held each year at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky, on the first Saturday in May, the race track has presented the Kentucky Derby continuously since 1875. The Kentucky Derby is run at the distance of 1 1/4 miles and is arguably the most famous horse race in the world.
Horses compete in the Kentucky Derby after qualifying through a series of preparatory races known as the Road to the Kentucky Derby. These stakes races are held at racetracks across the country and award Derby qualifying points to the top four finishers. The Kentucky Derby starters and contenders are comprised of the horses with the most qualifying points, with two of the 20 spots reserved for the top qualifiers from the European and Japanese Road to the Derby qualifying events.
The Kentucky Derby has many traditions, including drinking mint juleps, wearing festive hats, and singing "My Old Kentucky Home" as the horses enter the track. Its sister race, the Kentucky Oaks, exclusively for 3-year-old fillies, takes place the day before the Kentucky Derby, on the first Friday in May. Both Oaks Day and Derby Day are treated as local holidays in Louisville.
The horse who wins the Kentucky Derby receives a blanket of red roses, the official flower of the Kentucky Derby. The race is commonly referred to as the “Run for the Roses.”
The winning horse in the Kentucky Derby becomes the only horse eligible to complete that year's Triple Crown, by running in and winning the two other legs of the series. The middle "jewel" is the Preakness Stakes two weeks later at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, and the final leg is the Belmont Stakes three weeks after the Preakness at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y. In 2024 and 2025, the Belmont Stakes will be held at Saratoga Race Course in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. due to ongoing renovations at Belmont Park.
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