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Tyler Cowen: ‘Liberation Day’ Was Even Worse Than Expected
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Tyler Cowen: ‘Liberation Day’ Was Even Worse Than Expected
Donald Trump holds up a chart while speaking in the Rose Garden on “Liberation Day.” (Chip Somodevilla via Getty Images)
This is perhaps the worst economic own goal I have seen in my lifetime.
By Tyler Cowen
04.03.25 — Tyler Cowen Must Know
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Tyler Cowen: ‘Liberation Day’ Was Even Worse Than Expected
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Liberation Day has come and gone, and sorry to say, I do not feel any freer. At least on the surface, Donald Trump’s announcement, made yesterday in the Rose Garden, goes well beyond the more pessimistic expectations.

CATO scholar Scott Lincicome summed up the executive order best:

Trump’s reciprocal tariffs:

1) Impose hundreds of billions of dollars in new taxes on Americans without public/congressional input

2) Are based on secret calculations that have little, if any, connection to actual foreign trade barriers

3) Ignore all U.S. tariff/nontariff barriers, which in some cases are quite high

4) Are justified by a “national emergency” that reflects a total misunderstanding of how trade deficits work

5) Disregard U.S. trade agreement commitments, including ones made by Trump himself

6) Will make us all poorer, and likely do real and lasting harm to the U.S. economy (including in manufacturing)

7) Embolden our adversaries around the world.

And those are just the ones off the top of my head.

Markets responded accordingly, with the Canadian currency hit especially hard and S&P futures sinking immediately.

With President Trump one never quite knows what one is going to get, so any assessment needs to be provisional. But that is a big part of the broader problem—high and persistent uncertainty about the basic rules of the game.

Like a game show host, Trump announced a series of tariff rates on many of America’s major trading partners.

How did he come up with the rates?

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Tyler Cowen

Tyler Cowen is Holbert L. Harris Professor of Economics at George Mason University and also Faculty Director of the Mercatus Center. He received his Ph.d. in economics from Harvard University in 1987. His book The Great Stagnation: How America Ate the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better was a New York Times best-seller. He was named in an Economist poll as one of the most influential economists of the last decade and Bloomberg BusinessWeek dubbed him "America's Hottest Economist." Foreign Policy magazine named him as one of its "Top 100 Global Thinkers" of 2011. He co-writes a blog at www.marginalrevolution.com, hosts a podcast Conversations with Tyler, and is co-founder of an on-line economics education project, MRU.org. He is also director of the philanthropic project Emergent Ventures.

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Tariffs
Trade
Donald Trump
Economics
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