Advertisement

Opinion | US-China war ‘inevitable’? Why it’s time to set Thucydides aside and talk about Pericles

Athens’ Long Walls prompted distrust and eventual war 2,500 years ago. Nato is the most obvious ‘Pericles Wall’ of our times

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
0
Listen
Advertisement
NEWSLETTEREvery Saturday
A weekly curated round-up of social, political and economic stories from China and how they impact the world.
By submitting, you consent to receiving marketing emails from SCMP. If you don't want these, tick here
By registering, you agree to ourT&CandPrivacy Policy
Before you go
scmp poll
Advertisement
Pericles’ fortifications played a decisive role in Athens’ downfall. Photo: AFP
Much has been said about Thucydides’ trap, but few talk about Pericles’ walls.

Yet, if we look for historical lessons from the Peloponnesian war some 2,500 years ago, the story of the Long Walls is more relevant.

The story of the war between Athens and Sparta in the fifth century BC – narrated masterfully by Athenian general and historian Thucydides – was unfamiliar to most modern readers until American scholar Graham Allison coined the term “Thucydides’ trap” to describe the “inevitable” clash between a rising power and the reigning hegemon.
It has quickly become a popular shorthand for the “inevitable war” between the United States and China. Poetic, perhaps, but it is also a stretch to cast the Washington-Beijing rivalry in the mould of the Athens and Sparta struggle.

The two scenarios have very different socio-economic, international, and strategic conditions. Perhaps some like to make the comparison for ideological reasons, seeing it not just as a case of power competition but also as a fight between democratic Athens and oligarchical Sparta. Again, that is a gross oversimplification, but perhaps best left for another column.

To me, the real moral of the story lies in Athens’ Long Walls, built under Pericles, the greatest statesman of the city state. Their construction directly contributed to the tragic clash of the Hellenistic powers and Athens’ eventual demise.

Thucydides, who fought in the war, famously said: “What made the war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta.”

Yet Athens’ economic power surpassed that of Sparta long before the war. The aggressive expansion of its alliance system, the Delian League, deeply frustrated Sparta but did not make the conflict inevitable.

Pericles’ insistence on building the fortified corridors from Athens to its naval port of Piraeus doomed the relationship. The walls stretched about 7km (4.3 miles), which would sound unimpressive in contemporary China but were considered revolutionary among Greek city states.

As long as Athens remained unwalled, Sparta – with full confidence in the prowess of its hoplite army – believed that it could prevail when push came to shove and, therefore, saw no urgency in military action. However, the walls significantly diminished Sparta’s military advantages.

Sparta and its allies complained that the construction of the Long Walls had changed the strategic calculus in Greece, giving one state an unfair immunity from traditional pitched battles. No wonder Sparta hired flute players to mark the destruction of the walls after three decades of bitter struggle.

Ironically, the walls also played a decisive role in Athens’ downfall. Wisely deciding that it would be suicidal to fight the Spartans in the open, Pericles pulled most Athenians behind the walls. The city became grossly overcrowded. In the absence of modern sanitation, it became a breeding ground for plagues.

Eventually a severe plague struck Athens. In the end, far more Athenians succumbed to the virus than to Sparta’s spears, including Pericles and his two sons.

Thucydides himself contracted the plague and barely survived, but many of his friends died after suffering the excruciating pain caused by the disease.

This undoubtedly helped to shape the historian’s fatalist view of world affairs. But for us today, the story is a reminder of the importance of mutual security over unilateral security.

Athens could argue that the Long Walls were defensive by nature. Yet to Sparta and its allies, the move exposed Athens’ wish to seek dominance in Greece and made it clear that it was not interested in diplomacy.

This might sound absurd at first, but in fact, it was the truth. Athens practised a form of “democracy” – if you don’t count the over 80 per cent of the population who had no right to vote – but was imperialistic in its foreign policy. It actively sought to bring about regime change in other states through sanctions, instigation, and even direct military interference.

Sparta, which practised a rigid oligarchical system, was conservative and introspective. Before the Peloponnesian war, it was not interested in the domestic politics of others and preferred to be left alone. It headed the Peloponnesian League but was a passive leader.

It was, however, deeply suspicious of Athens’ aggressive policy of installing democracy in other Greek city states. Athens’ foreign policy indeed grew more intrusive over time.

By maximising Athens’ security, Pericles increased the insecurity of its neighbours. The walls were defensive from a tactical point of view but they were aggressive on the strategic level. After the fortification, Athens saw no need to consider Sparta’s concerns or interests.

Nobody builds physical walls for strategic reasons today, but “political walls” of the same nature are everywhere. From the Ukraine war to the Gaza conflict, the attempt to achieve “maximum security” at the expense of other involved parties can be seen clearly.

Nato, nominally a defensive organisation, is the most obvious “Pericles Wall” of our times.

In the name of the “collective security” of its members, Nato threatens the security of other nations in the region by exerting political and strategic pressure on those outside the bloc. Its continuous expansion, even after the end of the Cold War, could be perceived only as a threat by Moscow – particularly after Russia’s proposal to join Nato was rejected out of hand.

But Nato isn’t the only wall. From Aukus to the Quad, security blocs are going up everywhere. It is ironic that after the fall of the Berlin Wall 36 years ago, we now live in an even more compartmented world – with dangerous consequences.

The purpose of the United Nations was to substitute the defence treaty system that led to World War I with a mutual security system in which nobody was absolutely secure, but everyone was willing to compromise and negotiate. That idealistic vision was never fully realised. Even so, in the nuclear age, if one wants to avoid the tragedies of the past, we need more bridges and fewer walls.

Advertisement
Chow Chung-yan
Chow Chung-yan began his journalistic career at the South China Morning Post and rose to become Executive Editor in 2015, following stints at the City, China and Business desks. As the SCMP’s second-in-command, he is in charge of the China and US bureaus as well as the political economy, culture, print and digital teams. He has been running the SCMP’s day-to-day operations since 2011. He led the newsroom’s organisational restructuring, streamlined its production workflows and set up dedicated teams for both the print and digital products to facilitate the newspaper’s digital transformation. He also assembled an award-winning infographics desk and spearheaded the redesign of the newspaper. To strengthen the paper’s international coverage, he established the SCMP’s US operations in 2017 with bureaus in New York and Washington, and subsequently set up offices in Brussels and Nairobi. He has been directing the SCMP’s China coverage since 2007 to build the newspaper into one of the most important sources of information on China for global readers.
Advertisement
Advertisement

Opinion | Could the start of China’s Warring States Period have lessons for the present day?

The downfall of Zhi Bo in the ancient state of Jin is a study in the abuse of power and hubris that still echoes through history

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
2
Listen
The war in Gaza has highlighted some of the UN’s failings. Photo: AP

Chinese strategists love to draw lessons from the country’s rich history, just as Cesare Borgia inspired Niccolo Machiavelli in Renaissance Italy.

The downfall of Viscount Xiang of Zhi (Zhi Bo) in the fourth century BC was often told as a cautionary tale and an example of diplomacy over force.

Such a dramatic story bears retelling, and 2,473 years later, we can still learn a thing or two from it.

The powerful central kingdom of Jin, one of the hegemonic powers in the late Zhou dynasty, was on the brink of collapse. The ruler was a mere figurehead, with the kingdom in the hands of six powerful houses, or the Group of 6 of Jin if you like.

The House of Zhi was the most prominent among them. The young Viscount Zhi Bo was as dashing, charismatic and decisive as he was greedy, arrogant and forceful.

He coerced the other three houses to gang up on the two weakest ones, gobbling up their land and wealth.

Advertisement
We use cookies to tailor your experience and present relevant ads. By clicking “Accept”, you agree that cookies can be placed per our Privacy Policy.