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‘Sapiens’ author Yuval Noah Harari warns that A.I. could erode trust and kill all democracies: ‘Maybe dictatorships will be able to manage somehow’
Fortune · Jonathan Nicholson—NurPhoto via Getty Images

Good morning,

Does anyone still doubt Alan’s assessment late last year that the advent of generative A.I. would prove to be the most important news event of 2023?

Not Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum. I caught up with my former boss at his offices in Cologny, Geneva, yesterday, and he told me he hardly has time for anything else. A.I. completely dominates his agenda, he told me, including when talking to Silicon Valley luminaries.

And not the United Nations either. The UN’s telecommunications arm organized an “A.I. for Good” summit late in Geneva last week, and at it, philosopher and Sapiens author Yuval Noah Harari told The Atlantic’s Nick Thompson what he believes to be A.I.’s most imminent threat to society.

Rather than warning broadly about “the risk of extinction,” he pointed to A.I.'s standout quality as the first tool in human history that can make decisions and come up with ideas on its own.

He specifically warned of the risk posed by A.I. bots. “If you can’t know who is a real human and who is a fake human, trust will collapse, and with it, at least free society. Maybe dictatorships will be able to manage somehow, but not democracies.”

His proposed solutions include prison sentences of up to 20 years for A.I. developers who create bots and allow them to run wild, as well as minimum investment requirements in A.I. safety by those who develop it.

Given all this A.I. angst, I’d like to submit an entry for Alan’s summer reading list: Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein.

Written just a few hundred yards away from my own offices on Lake Geneva, Shelley captures the similar feelings of fear and awe that many people harbored toward technological progress during the industrial revolution of the early 19th Century.

Shelley warns of what might happen if innovators don’t think through the unintended consequences of their inventions. In Frankenstein’s dark romantic world, the monster’s creation led to the wrongful execution of his friend’s servant and to the murder of his wife. The lesson is clear: don’t just innovate, make sure your inventions are safe.

But there’s a deeper lesson too. For all the fear of monsters, it wasn’t a Frankenstein-like creature that led to the greatest suffering in the 19th and early 20th centuries. It was unequal access to technology’s riches and the very deliberate human decisions to wage war on one another, both militarily and in terms of trade.

On a separate note, if you’d like to learn more about a far more benign human creation, tune in to Alan and Michal Lev-Ram's Leadership Next interview with Mattel CEO Ynon Kreiz on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. On the podcast, Kreiz talks about how Mattel’s most famous invention, Barbie, is going from strength to strength, and how she successfully—and harmlessly, I should add—made the move to the big screen.


  • Did Taiwan Semiconductor Just Say "Checkmate" to Intel?

    In This Article:

    During President Biden's tenure in the Oval Office, his administration made it a point to boost investment in domestic manufacturing. One of the administration's accomplishments came in 2022, when Biden signed the CHIPS and Science Act -- a law that seeks to invest $280 billion into research and development and semiconductor manufacturing here in the U.S.

    Over the last couple of years, Intel emerged as one of the biggest beneficiaries of CHIPS Act funding. Given rising investment in artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure -- particularly in data centers and chipware -- I previously predicted that Intel could be a big-time winner under the new Trump administration -- which, like his predecessor, is focused on enhancing domestic manufacturing investments.

    However, a recent announcement from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) is making me reconsider my cautious optimism around Intel.

    Let's explore Intel's latest fumble and assess why Taiwan Semi's latest announcement could be the ultimate checkmate move against its American foundry rival.

    Intel can't seem to get out of its own way

    Last year, Intel generated $53.1 billion in total revenue. While this represented only a 2% decline year over year, results from the company's foundry business were more alarming.

    In 2024, Intel Foundry generated $17.5 billion in sales -- down 7% year over year. The foundry business competes directly with Taiwan Semi, which owns nearly 60% of the global foundry market. Given that Intel Foundry is decelerating at a faster rate compared to the company's overall business, I'm not too confident Intel is proving that it can catch up to its long-established rivals.

    To add salt to the wound, Intel just announced that it is now delaying opening a new plant in Ohio until 2030. For reference, the plant was supposed to be operational between this year and 2026. Now, it's pushed off until next decade.

    Semiconductor chips manufactured in a fab facility.
    Image source: Getty Images.

    Taiwan Semiconductor's $100 billion move

    On March 4, Taiwan Semi announced that it is investing $100 billion into the U.S. to build three additional fabrication plants, two packaging factories, and a research and development (R&D) center. This investment comes on the heels of an existing $65 billion project in Arizona, where TSMC is building additional manufacturing capabilities.

    TSMC's investment in the U.S. is meant to help the company strengthen operational relationships with major customers including Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and Qualcomm.

    What could this mean for Intel?

    Over the last several weeks, several tech giants in the Magnificent Seven group have made public their respective plans to invest in AI infrastructure over the next several years. On the surface, you might think that Intel could benefit from rising capital expenditures (capex) from AI's biggest contributors. Instead, TSMC has taken note of Intel's struggles, and I see the company's new $100 billion investment in the U.S. as a move that could further strengthen its already-dominant pulse on the foundry market.


  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) Adoption Rates Appear Low, but This AI Leader Could See a Massive Surge in Demand in the Next 3 Years. Here's Why.

    In This Article:

    In a matter of years, the share price of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has made it one of the largest companies in the world, with a market cap that currently exceeds $3 trillion. Nvidia isn't alone, either. Many other AI stocks are exploding in value.

    But is Nvidia stock still a buy? According to new research by The Motley Fool on AI adoption rates, the answer is a resounding yes. The statistics cited below could be surprising to many.

    The AI revolution is just getting started

    You're probably well aware of the AI craze occurring right now. But what you might not realize is that the revolution is just getting started. This is going to be a decades-long process, creating huge buying opportunities for early investors who remain patient. Just take a look at some of the adoption statistics compiled by The Fool in its recent report.

    The current adoption rate of AI for U.S. business stands at just 6.8%. But the technology's projected usage rate over the next six months is 9.3% That's a 37% increase in just six months!

    Yet even after that expected growth, total adoption of AI would remain under 10%. "Those numbers might appear low given how AI is often discussed as a game changer for businesses," the report reads. But that's exactly the point. For as much as artificial intelligence is talked about today, its actual adoption remains quite low. Rapid growth should change that story quickly, but this will take many years, if not decades, to fully play out.

    The Fool isn't alone in its findings. According to research from global consultancy McKinsey, the AI market in 2040 will be tremendously larger than it is today. The numbers aren't even close.

    The firm's low-end estimate has AI software and services revenue jumping from $85 billion in 2022 to $1.5 trillion in 2040. On the higher end, the industry's revenue could eventually reach $4.6 trillion!

    Looking at generative AI alone, McKinsey expects $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion in added economic growth stemming from the technology's adoption by businesses.

    This is going to be a growth opportunity like few others in history. But does that make a stock like Nvidia a buy right now? The answer may be surprising.

    Is now the time to buy Nvidia?

    Identifying a growth market is different than investing in one. That's because stocks with big potential are priced accordingly. So, while the underlying growth rate may be impressive, the valuation you pay for it may offset most of that growth.

    Right now, Nvidia is in a curious position. For a multitrillion-dollar company, it's surprising to see its price-to-sales multiple (P/S) so high at 21.6. Yet its revenue is clearly on a huge growth trajectory. And given the statistics discussed above, it's reasonable to expect Nvidia to continue this for decades to come.


  • Chinese investors privately take stakes in Elon Musk’s companies
    How the markets have responded to DOGE & Trump 2.0
    How the markets have responded to DOGE & Trump 2.0
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    Wealthy Chinese investors are quietly funnelling tens of millions of dollars into private companies controlled by Elon Musk using an

    Upgrade to read this Financial Times article and get so much more.
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  • Angel investor shares cautionary advice for LGBTQ founders

    Listen and subscribe to Living Not So Fabulously on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcasts.

    In the first months that President Trump has been in office, his administration has made multiple moves affecting the rights and protections of LGBTQ people.

    Though some of Trump's executive actions have been blocked by courts, most LGBTQ people in the US remain wary of Trump's policies, including LGBTQ entrepreneurs seeking funding for their business ventures.

    “With the anti-LGBTQ+ legislation that's already been put in place and what Trump has already said that he wants to do, or is hinting towards, I think there may be more investors that are a little bit nervous to put into LGBTQ+ startups — especially those that are in the media space,” Elliot Tomaeno, an angel investor and the founder of Astrsk PR, said on an episode of the Living Not So Fabulously podcast that aired Feb. 12.

    Tomaeno shared his advice for LGBTQ founders, saying that though things may seem bleak, he believes that not all hope is lost to get your startup off the ground.

    For starters, Tomaeno cautioned business owners to “stay out of politics” if it’s not an integral part of one's company.

    “If you don't have to be political, don't be right now,” Tomaeno said. “I think we do need a lot of LGBTQ+ founders out there championing and making sure that we don't see some of this legislation go through. But I do think if you're in a space that doesn't have anything to do with politics, maybe stay out of politics for the moment.”

    Though Tomaeno admitted this may be “disempowering” to some, he recommended “not courting any controversy” in the current political climate.

    A supporter holds a Pride flag following a hearing in the multi-state lawsuit over President Trump's order ending all federal funding or support for healthcare that aids gender transitions for people younger than 19, outside a courthouse in Seattle, Washington, U.S., February 14, 2025.  REUTERS/David Ryder
    A supporter holds a Pride flag following a hearing in the multi-state lawsuit over President Trump's order ending federal funding for gender transition healthcare in Seattle, Washington, Feb. 14, 2025. REUTERS/David Ryder · REUTERS / Reuters

    “Nobody wants to hear the same thing that everybody else is saying out there in the media,” Tomaeno continued. “If you don't have something unique to say, maybe don't say anything at all.”

    This isn't a hard-and-fast rule, though. He found that with some clients, publicly sharing a value that’s “a little bit left of center, if you really believe it,” has shown positive results.

    “I saw that some of our clients that did the best were those that weren't afraid to take risks, weren't afraid to say something that maybe was slightly unpopular,” he said. “But it was something that was really true to the core of their business and what they believed in.”

    For the most part, Tomaeno said the investment outlook will likely be muddied until venture capitalists and angel investors see how proposed legislation pans out, as their investing habits tend to go hand in hand.


  • LIVE
    Updated Today at 2:04 PM GMT+9
    Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures fall following S&P's worst week since September

    In This Article:

    US stock futures fell solidly Sunday evening as investors took the weekend to process the February jobs report and prepared for a busy week of economic data, headlined by a report on inflation amid concerns over its resurgence under President Trump's unpredictable trade policy.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) saw a 0.5% slip. Futures attached to the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) dropped 0.7% after the index posted its worst week since September, while futures tied to the Nasdaq (NQ=F) saw a 1% dip. All three major indexes looked set to build on losses of more than 2% last week.

    CBOT - Delayed Quote USD

    Mini Dow Jones Indus.-$5 Mar 25 (YM=F)

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    March's market struggles continue to be fueled by trade war concerns, as ongoing tariff negotiations between the US, Mexico, and Canada dominate the headlines. In a Sunday interview on Fox News, President Donald Trump addressed concerns about a potential recession, describing the economy as undergoing “a period of transition.”

    Meanwhile, Mark Carney is set to become Canada's new prime minister in the middle of a tough economic situation for his country amid Trump's persistent tariff threats.

    The political uncertainty is expected to persist into this week, with key economic data adding to the mix of potential market-moving factors. The Fed's survey of consumer inflation expectations is set for release Monday, followed by the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment report on Friday.

    Meanwhile, updates on the inflationary picture will be in focus, with the February Consumer Price Index scheduled for release on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index set to follow on Thursday.

    Read more: Trump pauses tariffs on most imports from Mexico, Canada

    Earnings continue to come, although this week does see a quieter set of corporate releases. Oracle (ORCL) and BioNTech (BNTX) report Monday, and Adobe (ADBE) is set to report Wednesday.

    LIVE 2 updates
    • Gold stays strong after weekly gain

      Gold (GC=F) remained strong following a week of gains as market jitters caused by global economic uncertainty led to haven demand.

      COMEX - Delayed Quote USD

      Gold Apr 25 (GC=F)

      2,918.70
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      As of 2:52:43 AM EDT. Market Open.
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      Bloomberg reports:

      Spot bullion steadied near $2,912 an ounce, after gaining almost 2% last week. In the US, President Donald Trump said the economy faced “a period of transition” as he pressed on with his focus on tariffs and federal job cuts. In China, data pointed to persistent deflationary pressures.

      The precious metal has surged in the opening quarter of 2025, hitting successive records and gaining every week apart from one. The rally has been driven by investor anxiety about the disruption caused by the Trump administration’s trade policies, signs of sustained central-bank buying, and speculation the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further.

      Read more here.

    • Oil prices drop as China data sours global outlook on risk

      Oil prices dropped as disappointing economic data from China highlighted a bleak demand outlook, while broader markets reflected a reticence to take on risk.

      NY Mercantile - Delayed Quote USD

      Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financ (BZ=F)

      70.13
      -0.23
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      As of 2:52:44 AM EDT. Market Open.
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      Bloomberg reports:

      Brent (BZ=F) traded near $70 a barrel after touching the lowest since 2021 last week, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) was below $67. China’s consumer inflation fell more than expected and was below zero for the first time in 13 months, highlighting persistent deflationary pressures in the biggest crude importer.

      In the US, President Donald Trump told Fox News the economy faced a “period of transition” after his actions on tariffs, while avoiding making calls for a recession. On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the rise in uncertainty, but said officials didn’t need to rush to cut rates.

      Crude has been hit by a confluence of bearish factors, including the escalating global trade war, plans by OPEC and allies to increase production, and talks to end the three-year war in Ukraine. That’s spurred speculators to cut net-bullish bets on global benchmark Brent by the most since July.

      Read more here.


  • Don’t rush into the recession trade — Wall Street pros see opportunity in tech and banks

    In This Article:

    Concerns over valuations, tariffs, and slowing economic growth triggered an ugly week for stocks.

    A sell-off in the Magnificent Seven trade pushed the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) into correction territory. The index closed the week down 3.6%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) recorded its worst weekly performance since September.

    SNP - Delayed Quote USD

    S&P 500 (^GSPC)

    5,770.20
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    At close: March 7 at 4:43:27 PM EST
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    But before investors hightail it, strategists told me it’s not time to panic and pile into the recession trade just yet. Rather, they see the recent sell-off as a buying opportunity, as long as investors are willing to look past uncertainty out of Washington, D.C.

    “We get a correction once every 12 months, and this time, it's spurred by the tariffs,” Nancy Tengler of Tengler Investments told me. “If they're short-lived, then this is just an opportunity to buy stocks for the long term.”

    And according to Tengler, technology and financials are among the two trades that stand out.

    “The defensive trade is just that, a trade," she remarked. "We like financials ... And the use cases for AI are exploding. This is an industrial revolution like we haven't seen for 100 years ... Use the weakness to add to your holdings."

    Valuation corrections paired with strong earnings make the group more compelling too. Market cap losses from Nvidia's (NVDA) record high in January reached $1 trillion in value during Friday's trade. Recently, the chips giant announced fourth quarter earnings that included an 82% year-over-year jump in earnings per share.

    NasdaqGS - Nasdaq Real Time Price USD

    NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

    112.69
    +2.12
    +(1.92%)
    At close: March 7 at 4:00:01 PM EST
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    After hours: March 7 at 7:59:59 PM EST
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    “Tariffs add uncertainty but it doesn't change the demand cycle,” Wedbush's Dan Ives told me on Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief. “This is not going to end the tech bull market; it's a scare, but I see more opportunity than a reason to head for the hills.”

    Ives reiterated his stance that Mag Seven stocks Nvidia, Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), and Tesla (TSLA) remain companies to own, along with Palantir (PLTR) and Salesforce (CRM), arguing “any weakness is a buying opportunity given the fundamental demand picture.”

    Another underperforming sector drawing attention this week is financials. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (^BKX) erased its post-election rally, falling nearly 13% from its recent peak as concerns around a weakening economy and sluggish dealmaking weighed on the sector.

    However, strategists argue that beyond the headline worry, key catalysts for the sector remain intact: deregulation, attractive valuations, and the prospect of lower interest rates.

    Nasdaq GIDS - Delayed Quote USD

    KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (^BKX)

    123.41
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    Truist’s Keith Lerner, who recently downgraded equities from Attractive to Neutral, maintains his "attractive" outlook on Financials (XLF). In a note to clients, Lerner wrote the group “should benefit from pro-growth policies, deregulation and a pickup in mergers and acquisitions.”


  • Should You Buy the Dip in Dogecoin Right Now?

    The stock market has gotten off to a rough start in 2025. As of March 4, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were down by 1.5% and 5.2%, respectively.

    Broadly speaking, when the stock market is performing poorly, investors may shift their funds into alternative assets such as commodities or cryptocurrency. However, so far this year the crypto markets haven't been too lush, either. The top two cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, have dropped by 7% and 36%, respectively, and others have followed in their wake.

    Joining its cohorts in the crypto sell-off is Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE). After surging by 251% in 2024, its price has tanked by 36% so far this year.

    But is buying the dip in Dogecoin now a smart idea?

    What fueled Dogecoin in the first place?

    Even though Dogecoin's price rose significantly last year, the chart below should help paint a clearer picture as to what really went on with the cryptocurrency. As you can see, the vast majority of Dogecoin's gains in 2024 occurred during the last two months of the year.

    Dogecoin Price Chart
    Dogecoin Price data by YCharts.

    Dogecoin's rising price action can be traced to the presidential election. During then-candidate Donald Trump's campaign, Tesla CEO Elon Musk emerged as a major surrogate for and massive donor to the Republican nominee. One of the factors influencing Musk's relationship with Trump was their shared view that the federal budget had become too bloated. As a result, Musk floated the idea of creating a team focused on identifying wasteful spending that could be cut.

    The name that he and Trump bestowed on that initiative: the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

    Shiba Inu dog mascot for Dogecoin.
    Image Source: Getty Images.

    Is now a good time to buy Dogecoin?

    If you take a close look at its price chart, you'll notice that the price of Dogecoin actually started to fall toward the end of 2024. It has declined by 53% since Dec. 1.

    Dogecoin Price Chart
    Dogecoin Price data by YCharts.

    If you've followed Musk at all prior to the election then you may know that the entrepreneur has jokingly endorsed Dogecoin on several occasions in the past. It's likely that Musk's comical affinity toward it played a role when a name was picked for the cost-cutting initiative. But at the end of the day, DOGE is no more than a clever acronym. It has no tangible relationship with the cryptocurrency.

    Moreover, Dogecoin remains a meme coin with little to no utility in the real or digital worlds. In my opinion, the sell-off that started in December was the first domino to drop. As investors began to reflect on the fact that the coin had risen on pure hype unrelated to any actual worthy catalysts, its bubble began to deflate.


Angel investor shares cautionary advice for LGBTQ founders
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