How To Survive A 'Trumpcession' And What Comes Next

(8min)

Summary

  • Markets have sold off due to Trump's tariffs, and this could spark a recession.
  • The good news, and I think Trump and Bessent are counting on this, is that this will lower the 10-year yield.
  • But as the economy weakens, the Fed will have to stimulate again. QE may be closer than you think.
  • This time around, however, the market reaction could send inflation and rates skyrocketing, similar to what we saw in the 1970s.
  • If we are in for a decade of flat equities; how should investors prepare?

Koshiro Kiyota/iStock via Getty Images

Thesis Summary

Markets have sold off since Monday, as President Donald Trump has continued to declare more tariffs on foreign countries.

If Trump is supposed to be a market-friendly president, I don’t want to imagine

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