Valaris: A Cheap Stock With Strong Tailwinds

Jan. 15, 2025 9:00 AM ETValaris Limited (VAL) Stock, VAL.WS Stock, , , , , , , 10 Comments
Praetorian Capital
236 Followers
(15min)

Summary

  • Offshore oil production's decline has created a decade-long bear market, but I believe this is ending, leading to potential excess profits for companies like Valaris.
  • Valaris offers significant value with high-spec assets, substantial backlog, and strong cash flow potential, making it a compelling investment despite recent share price declines.
  • The investment thesis hinges on rising dayrates and new contracts, with substantial upside potential and downside protection through asset value and backlog.
  • Despite short-term volatility and investor panic, I am confident in the long-term prospects of offshore services, supported by industry insiders' significant investments.

Stephen Wair/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

The following segment was excerpted from this fund letter.


In 2010, at the dawning of the age of shale, offshore oil production accounted for approximately 31% of global oil supply. As shale has encroached on offshore, that number

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