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Here’s a tweet from Elon with a table of ages of all people marked not deceased who are collecting social security

(hint: there is a smooth trend of people of all ages up to 199, so the 1875 thing was pure misdirection)

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891350795452654076?s=46&t=NN3...






This comment definitely needs to be bumped up. It adds extra data to the mystery.

Here's the raw data:

  Age Range,Count
  0-9,38825456
  10-19,44326480
  20-29,47995478
  30-39,52106915
  40-49,47626581
  50-59,45740805
  60-69,46381281
  70-79,33404412
  80-89,15165127
  90-99,6054154
  100-109,4734407
  110-119,3627007
  120-129,3472849
  130-139,3936311
  140-149,3542044
  150-159,1345083
  160-169,121807
  170-179,6087
  180-189,695
  190-199,448
  200-209,879
  210-219,866
  220-229,1039
  240-249,1
  360-369,1
Bar plot of data:

https://imgur.com/a/34Y5BSv


If you assume all the non-deceased (as marked in the DB) are still getting a SS check, then simply tallying up 65+ amounts to a 8 trillion dollar social security payout annually. We are definitely not paying that.

My guess is the deceased flag is different from the “eligible for payout” flag, or that flag is determined on another join. They spoke too quickly, which is a common human error.

Someone else smarter run some experiments.


This is the smoking gun that Musk has no understanding of what he's looking at. A competent engineer would look at these numbers, recognize that they don't match payments, and shut up until they figure out the bigger picture that can explain everything they see.

Instead, he raced to tweet it. This is just dumb.


Agree.

Some professional auditors on Reddit were saying how often they go into a business and find a bunch of stuff that immediately looks like fraud, then they go interview knowledgeable employees and find a ton of weird accounting edge cases which explains all the out-of-bounds stuff.

But.. it sounds much better to the population if you scream that you found $8Tn a year in fraud.


Oh, do not for one second think that this behavior isn't intentional.

Elon knows it is BS. But that's not the point, the point is to create outrage, and legitimize it all to the MAGA crowd. It is all intentional misleading.


Quick Google search says 1.6 trillion will be paid this year.

From this: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891350795452654076

The sum of groups age 60-89: 94,950,820

The sum of all groups age 60-369: 121,794,498

From this: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/OASDIbenies.html

Number of beneficiaries receiving benefits on Dec 31, 2024: 68,455,973


If I understand the post, these are persons who are marked not deceased--it is not stated that they are receiving money, though it may be implied. For example, there are some persons under ten years of age who are receiving Social Security benefits, as having lost one or two parents (survivor benefits). The number certainly does not amount to 39 million.



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