Trade Desk Stock Sinks 29% After Revenue Misses Estimates. That Hasn’t Happened in Years.
Trade Desk Stock Sinks 29% After Revenue Misses Estimates. That Hasn’t Happened in Years. · Barrons.com

In This Article:

The advertising-technology company reports quarterly earnings above estimates but sales that are lower than consensus.


  • Trump selects Brian Quintenz to head CFTC as agency's oversight over crypto may grow

    President Donald Trump is reportedly selecting Brian Quintenz from Andreessen Horowitz's crypto venture firm to helm the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the commodities regulator expected to take on greater oversight of the crypto industry under his administration, according to Bloomberg.

    Quintenz, previously the CFTC commissioner from 2017 to 2021, was nominated to the regulator by both Presidents Obama and Trump. He led the agency's Technology Advisory Committee, which hosted briefings and discussions on the cryptocurrency industry. During his tenure, the CFTC started regulating Bitcoin and Ether-based futures contracts on derivative exchanges and paid increased attention to DeFi (decentralized finance).

    Quintenz served on Crypto.com's advisory council and is a board member for Kalshi, the prediction market platform. Last month, the president's son, Donald Trump Jr., also came on as a a strategic adviser to Kalshi.

    Quintenz is also part of the advisory board at Inca Digital, an intelligence firm that offers risk management to crypto firms and banks. In a 2022 statement, the company said he offered "high-level counsel on the firm's larger effort to provide world-class data analytics across crypto regulatory matters."

    In 2018, Quintenz called the crypto industry a "young market" and did not voice opposition to self-regulation by the industry. "It would behoove the industry and it would add credibility to the marketplace for the community to form some type of independent regulatory body that has teeth — that has some type of enforcement and punitive powers — to add credibility to the market and to protect investors," he told CNBC. "I think that's good business."

    "Some type of federal oversight is a good idea," he added.


  • The Trade Desk (TTD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
    The Trade Desk (TTD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript · Motley Fool

    In This Article:

    The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD)
    Q4 2024 Earnings Call
    Feb 12, 2025, 5:00 p.m. ET

    Contents:

    • Prepared Remarks

    • Questions and Answers

    • Call Participants

    Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

    Greetings. Welcome to The Trade Desk fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings conference call. [Operator instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Chris Toth.

    You may begin.

    Chris Toth -- Vice President, Investor Relations

    Thank you, operator. Hello, and good afternoon to everyone. Welcome to The Trade Desk fourth quarter 2024 earnings conference call. On the call today are: co-founder and CEO, Jeff Green; and chief financial officer, Laura Schenkein.

    A copy of our earnings press release is available on our website in the investor relations section at thetradedesk.com. Please note that aside from historical information, today's discussion and our responses during Q&A may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and reflect our views and assumptions as of the date such statements are made. Actual results may vary significantly, and we expressly disclaim any obligations to update the forward-looking statements made today.

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    If any of our beliefs or assumptions prove incorrect, actual financial results could differ materially from our projections or those implied by these forward-looking statements. For a detailed discussion of the risks, please refer to the risk factors mentioned in our press release and in our most recent SEC filings. In addition to our GAAP financial results, we present supplemental non-GAAP financial data. A reconciliation of the GAAP to non-GAAP measures is available in our earnings press release.


  • HubSpot (HUBS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

    In This Article:

    HubSpot (HUBS) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.32 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.19 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.76 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

    This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 5.94%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this cloud-based marketing and sales software platform would post earnings of $1.89 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.18, delivering a surprise of 15.34%.

    Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.

    HubSpot , which belongs to the Zacks Internet - Software industry, posted revenues of $703.17 million for the quarter ended December 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.38%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $581.91 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.

    The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.

    HubSpot shares have added about 12.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 3.2%.

    What's Next for HubSpot?

    While HubSpot has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?

    There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.

    Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

    Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for HubSpot: favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

    It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.03 on $703.97 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $9.18 on $3 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.


  • Analysts Estimate Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

    In This Article:

    Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) reports results for the quarter ended December 2024. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

    The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 19, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

    While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

    Zacks Consensus Estimate

    This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -67.7%.

    Revenues are expected to be $69.54 million, down 8.5% from the year-ago quarter.

    Estimate Revisions Trend

    The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 22.22% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

    Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

    Earnings Whisper

    Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

    The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

    Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

    A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.


  • Shopify Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates, Revenues Up Y/Y, Shares Rise

    In This Article:

    Shopify SHOP reported fourth-quarter 2024 non-GAAP earnings of 44 cents per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The figure jumped 29.4% year over year.

    Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.

    Revenues of $2.81 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.26%. The top line soared 31.2% year over year.

    Following fourth-quarter 2024 results, SHOP shares increased 3.08% to close at $123.59 on Tuesday. Shopify shares have appreciated 37.6% in the trailing 12 months, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 22.1%.

     

    Shopify Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

    Shopify Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Shopify Inc. Quote

     

    SHOP’s Top Line Rides on Growing Merchant Base

    Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) in the fourth quarter was $94.46 billion, which increased 25.7% year over year. Same-store sales growth from existing merchants, particularly Plus merchants, a higher number of merchants on SHOP’s platform and strong international growth drove GMV in the reported quarter. 

    International GMV grew 33% in the fourth quarter, driven by 37% growth in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Shopify saw higher same-store sales growth from existing merchants in the region than new merchants.

    Point of sales GMV increased 26% year over year in the reported quarter.

    Shopify is benefiting from strong growth in its merchant base. Merchant solutions revenues in the fourth quarter were $2.15 billion and accounted for 76.3% of Shopify’s total revenues. On a year over year basis, merchant revenues increased 32.6% year over year driven by strong GMV and increased penetration of Shopify payments. 

    The company processed $61 billion of GMV (64% of GMV versus 60% in fourth-quarter 2023) on Shopify Payments, up 35% year over year.

    Shop Pay was 41% of Gross Payments Volume in the reported quarter.

    Subscription solutions revenues in the fourth quarter were $666 million and accounted for 23.7% of Shopify’s total revenues. On a year-over-year basis, subscription solutions revenues increased 26.9%.

    Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) in the fourth quarter was $178 million, which increased 23.6% on a year-over-year basis. Plus category accounted for 33% of MRR in the reported quarter, unchanged sequentially.

    SHOP’s Operating Expenses Rise Y/Y

    In the fourth quarter of 2024, gross profit was $1.4 billion, up 27% year over year. 

    Subscription Solutions gross margin was 79.9%, down from 81.5% reported in the year-ago quarter due to higher cloud and infrastructure hosting costs. Merchant Solutions’ gross margin was 38.2%, down from 39.2% in the year-ago quarter due to lower non-cash revenues from certain partnerships and the negative impact of an expanded partnership with PayPal.

    Total operating expenses were $887 million, up 14.7% year over year. As a percentage of revenues, total operating expenses declined 450 basis points (bps) to 31.5%.

    Sales & Marketing (S&M) expenses increased 9.8% year over year to $348 million. As a percentage of revenues, S&M expenses decreased 240 bps year over year to 12.4%

    Research & Development (R&D) expenses increased 12.9% year over year to $351 million. As a percentage of revenues, R&D expenses decreased 200 bps year over year to 12.5%.

    General & Administrative (G&A) expenses increased 12% year over year to $112 million. As a percentage of revenues, G&A expenses decreased 70 bps to 4%.

    Consequently, SHOP reported an operating income of $465 million compared with an operating income of $289 million reported in the year-ago quarter.


  • Robinhood beats profit estimates as post-election trading frenzy lifts volumes
    Why Wednesdays have been the best day for investors in 2025
    Why Wednesdays have been the best day for investors in 2025
    Scroll back up to restore default view.

    In This Article:

    By Jaiveer Shekhawat and Manya Saini

    (Reuters) Robinhood (HOOD) stock soared 15% in pre-market trading Thursday after surpassing Q4 profit expectations, driven by a surge in equity, options, and crypto trading following Donald Trump's White House return.

    NasdaqGS - Nasdaq Real Time Price USD

    Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

    63.50
    +7.59
    (+13.58%)
    As of 9:49:49 AM EST. Market Open.
    Loading Chart for HOOD
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    HOOD

    Robinhood's transaction-based revenue, or income generated from fees for facilitating trading in options, cryptocurrency and equities, jumped 236% in the quarter to $672 million from a year earlier.

    Nearly half of those gains came from a 700% rise in revenue from crypto trading activity as bitcoin (BTC-USD) continued its rapid march towards the $100,000 mark in the quarter on hopes of favorable policies under the new Trump administration.

    CCC - CoinMarketCap USD

    Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD)

    96,085.43
    +467.33
    +(0.49%)
    As of 2:47:00 PM UTC. Market Open.
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    BTC-USD

    "It was no secret that Robinhood's Q4 earnings were going to be great, driven primarily by a huge uptick in crypto-related revenues," Ava Labs President John Wu said.

    After Donald Trump's election victory, both equity and cryptocurrency markets surged as investors bet on deregulation and pro-business policies to benefit American corporates and the burgeoning digital asset industry.

    The company posted an adjusted profit of 1.01 per share, compared with analysts' expectations of 44 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG.

    Robinhood's assets under custody climbed 88% in the quarter to $193 billion, while quarterly net interest revenue, the bulk of which comes from margin investing, jumped 25% to $296 million.

    "This was a big quarter for us, so we did over $1 billion in revenue for the first time in the history of the company, and that capped off what was a record-breaking year with over $3 billion in revenue for the whole year," Robinhood co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev said on a post-earnings call with analysts.

    (Reporting by Jaiveer Singh Shekhawat and Manya Saini in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva)


Robinhood beats profit estimates as post-election trading frenzy lifts volumes
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