The number of Russian attacks continues to decline after peaking on 14 December for daily attacks (292) and 18 December for 7-day moving average (233).
From 6 August, when Ukraine launched the Kursk Counterinvasion, to 1 February, the linear trend line for Russian attacks is almost flat. It has been steadily dropping since mid-December.
When you look at the data since 1 December, the last 60 days show a steady drop in daily attacks. Each surge since 14 December is shorter and smaller. The 7-day moving dropped to a range of 150-160 and has stayed there for weeks (that will change today), and the linear trend line is showing a sharp decline.
Through 22:00 Hrs Kyiv Time on 2 February, Russia had only carried out 93 attacks, including 8 in Kursk. If the final count is below 100, it will be the first time since Russia entered an operational pause in late May that daily attacks have been this low.
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