He did surprise us with his brave fight against Modi and his associates, and the INDIA bloc came very near the target earlier this year, but then it didn’t. Our polity continues to suffer. Yes, we’re talking about Rahul Gandhi.
In Uttar Pradesh, he performed a near miracle in the 2009 general elections when the Congress won as many as 21 seats, contesting alone. But it has been a steep decline since then – the party won a pitiful two seats in 2022 Assembly elections, but managed six in alliance with the Samajwadi Party in the recent Lok Sabha polls.
In Gujarat, thanks to his relentless campaign, the party came within striking distance of power in 2017, bagging as many as 77 seats in the 182-member house. In 2022, the tally was a meager 17.
Yet again, after the stellar show in the recent Lok Sabha polls, the party seems to be slumping remorselessly, with the INDIA bloc unravelling fast.
Though the alliance scraped through in Jharkhand, the Maharashtra poll results left everyone stunned. And now in Delhi the Congress seems to be fighting a losing battle.
Not a day passes without a barb or two from some Congress leader or other against the AAP and Arvind Kejriwal. There was even a suggestion that the Congress should ask its supporters to vote for the BJP to teach Kejriwal a lesson and thus prevent him from seeking to challenge the Congress anywhere else in the country.
Even in the no-show UP and where stakes for secularism are higher than ever before and where Akhilesh Yadav is a lot more accommodative than other allies, some glibly talk of going it alone in the 2027 Assembly elections and ‘building’ the party.
The ‘shadow Prime Minister’ aura is fading, and it will most likely be Modi 4.0, never mind whether he is divine or otherwise.
What is happening? Are we as cussed as the American electorate?
Well, the expanded cow-belt syndrome explains much of it, still the blame should devolve largely on Rahul Gandhi, who now effectively controls the GOP. Whether UP or Gujarat, he seems to content himself with photo-ops after some laudable electoral performance, leaving the party machinery to fend for itself.
The INDIA bloc was a heaven-sent opportunity; perhaps it was Rahul’s own brainchild. Though he did commit an egregious blunder by alienating Nitish Kumar, the result was still satisfactory. He should have gone on to consolidate further, but he seems to have left it all to the clique that is calling the shots in the party.
Rajiv Gandhi too was as much a novice as his son when he was initiated, but the times were different. Even if he could not smash the hold of the power-brokers on the party as he had sworn to in Bombay, it didn’t seem to matter much as it was much bigger and stronger then.
Unfortunately, his children don’t have that luxury, and so by allowing themselves to be willing prisoners of all kinds of dalals, they have only squandered many a precious opportunity to revive the party.
Why should they have opted for Wayanad in 2019, reducing a strongly secular party’s strength in the Lok Sabha, even if by one? Surely the DMK would have accommodated Rahul in a safe seat. Again in the recent Lok Sabha polls, fervent pleas were made to the Congress high command not to field him, but in vain. And once won, they had to hold on to Wayanad, thanks to some tortuous political logic.
Even if the Congress does come to power in Kerala in the next Assembly election, how does it help in the larger battle?
So also in Maharashtra they could have projected Uddhav Thackeray as the Chief Ministerial face and perhaps carried more conviction with the voters. Even if it didn’t, at the very least, the alliance would have remained intact.
To the Congress should go the credit of secularising the Shiv Sena in a way, but all the gains of those years could evaporate now.
In Delhi, the AAP, warts and all, is still a better option for the people and so it would have made greater sense not to take on Kejriwal but enable him to return to power. Now it looks like he will, no thanks to the Congress. Worse, other allies are rooting for him, leaving the bloc in tatters.
Those like Sandeep Dikshit, who is always griping about having to support the man who had upstaged his dear mom, is never reined in.
As happened in Madhya Pradesh where Kamal Nath was allowed to run his own fiefdom, never giving an inch to Jyotiraditya Scindia, virtually pushing him to join hands with the BJP, thus losing a Congress majority government for good in a vital Hindi state. In the last Assembly elections, Kamal Nath was again given a free hand and he arrogantly turned down pleas for alliance from parties like the Samajwadi Party. Net result, the Congress stands badly mauled there.
Beyond a point Rahul Gandhi doesn’t seem inclined to ask the overweening second rank leaders to behave.
Priyanka seems no different either, though she might be a bit more feisty than her brother. In any case, the dark shadow of her husband would always haunt her.
Thus while the siblings don’t seem too keen to assert themselves against the regional satraps, Sonia herself seems more comfortable with the manipulative netas.
In a situation where the Congress has become progressively weak and is dependent on whoever is willing to support it for their own reasons, the old power equations cannot hold at all and accommodation is a dire need. But none who matters in the party seems to care or they have psyched themselves into believing they cannot do much anyway.
Without the clan adhesive, the Congress might not remain a viable all-India entity at all, and without it in the arena, the communal hordes will ruin whatever is still left of the India of Gandhi and Nehru. So what is to be done?
An American commentator, despairing over the Trump phenomenon, cited The Talmud as saying that “(we) are not obligated to complete the work, neither are we free to abandon it.” So keep fighting with all your might. That should be the message for the secular liberals in India as well.
TN Gopalan is a senior journalist based in Chennai. Views expressed are the author’s own.