Russian Z-blogger Fighterbomber says the situation in Syria is catastrophic. According to him, Russian military bases and airfield are virtually unprotected from shelling, there is nowhere to withdraw them, and evacuation is completely impossible. He says they probably will come under artillery and drone strikes in the near future.
In his Telegram channel, Z-blogger wrote the following:
"It is still difficult to make any predictions on the situation in Syria, but we can state that the situation has become about the same as in 2015, except for one factor.
The factor of the emergence of drones. Drones, which no one anywhere has learned how to reliably fight against. All other weapons of the Islamists do not differ much in quality and quantity from what they had in 2015. The people are still the same.
How does this difference threaten us?
It threatens us with the loss of the air strike component, which accounts for 75 percent of the combat capabilities of our troops in the SAR. Khmeimim air base is not a multi-storey promo project with basements, it is a field with lightly assembled houses on top, which will cease to function as soon as the enemy comes within artillery fire range or drone flight range.
And then it will not be possible to use the maneuver of aviation, which saves us on the mainland.
There's nowhere to withdraw.
In fact, the only reserve airfields left in Syria are two airfields. This is a critical minimum.
The situation with the naval base in Tartus is about the same. Of course, it can be defended and held for quite a long time, if there is someone and something to do, but it will either not be able to function at all, or very limitedly.
It is almost impossible to evacuate the bases. At best, you can evacuate most of the personnel, documentation and transfer serviceable aircraft.
Well, some equipment, which is on the move, can be place on dry cargo ships and landing ships, but of course not all. All other equipment will remain on the bases.
Resistance to drones is also limited by the distance from the mainland with its supply of missiles and missile systems. But if it comes to FPV drones...
Therefore, the main task of our forces in Syria is to prevent the enemy from entering Latakia, even if we have to temporarily give up the rest of the territory. It's clear what and how to do in theory, but we'll see how it will look like in practice.
There is no need to be surprised by the speed of the enemy's seizure of territories, it works both ways.
We continue to observe, but the fact that the initiative is not on our side and the situation is very difficult cannot be denied."