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South Africa’s rooftop solar has helped alleviate load shedding, but has undermined demand for residential PV

By Tom Kenning
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Rooftop solar installations in South Africa.
Households are now motivated by solar PV affordability rather than energy insecurity. Image: SAPVIA.

A surge in behind-the-meter rooftop solar has been one of the key factors in resolving South Africa’s persistent load shedding crisis since March this year. However, figures show that the subsequent decrease in energy security concerns has paradoxically led to a steep decline in the demand for residential PV systems.

South Africa experienced increasingly severe power outages between 2018 and 2023, sometimes lasting more than eight hours. These issues were largely addressed through improvements in the Energy Availability Factor (EAF) and better performance of coal-fired power stations.

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