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Are Independents Breaking Late for Harris?

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris reacts during a campaign rally at Michigan State University in East Lansing, Mich., November 3, 2024.(Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters)
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Voters who do not affiliate with either of the two major parties have supported the victor in nine of the last twelve presidential races, including both campaigns in which Donald Trump was on the ballot. In the final minutes of the 2024 presidential race, unaffiliated voters appear to be drifting toward Kamala Harris.

That’s what helps to explain the surprising shift among Iowa voters in Harris’s favor, according to Ann Selzer’s latest survey for the Des Moines Register. And that does constitute a change in the nature of the race. “Independent likely voters, who have supported Trump in every other Iowa ...

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