Gold's meteoric rise to $2,700

(3min)

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Gold (XAUUSD:CUR) recently surpassed $2,700/ounce in a historic first, amid a blistering rally in 2024 that has seen the precious metal soar +33.21% YTD.

According to Bank of America, the precious metal is testing all-time highs against global equities as investors seek hedges

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ET180 profile picture
The rise of gold is not surprising. It's the collapse in purchasing power of the US dollar over the past hundred years that is surprising. It's the reckless govt spending and waste that is surprising.
Dougmayer profile picture
Dougmayer
26 Oct. 2024, 2:16 PM
Inflation adjusted gold still needs to rise about 700 dollars to reach all time highs.
Gtoz profile picture
Gtoz
26 Oct. 2024, 8:06 PM
@Dougmayer Good point. I'd like to see the chart for inflation adjusted gold prices over the past 50 years or so.
Oyat Advisors profile picture
@Gtoz See slide 26

To say nothing of silver (slide 33)

www.incrementum.li/...
T
Traveler4321
26 Oct. 2024, 1:50 PM
Defalation for smart people is happening, it's just the great mass trapped in central banking that is being eaten by imposed inflation.
Bujon Capital profile picture
Bujon Capital
26 Oct. 2024, 1:53 PM
@Traveler4321

There are indeed effective ways to protect oneself; knowledge is power once again.
G
GotsToGetMineFirst
26 Oct. 2024, 1:49 PM
FOMO phase.
Michael Fitzsimmons profile picture
Gold is simply reflecting a real possibility of another trump term and thus a U.S. withdrawal from NATO, a repeat of the foreign policy pivot away from America's Democratic & NATO allies back to dictators like Putin, MBS, etc., and an abysmal economic policy "strategy" which apparently includes:

1. massive across the board (i.e. non-strategic...) import tariffs (taxing the middle-class, again).
2. massive immigrant deportations (so much for the U.S. hotel, construction, and agriculture sectors).
3. trying to repeal all of President Biden's clean-tech, semiconductor, EV, and battery legislation (once again, rolling over and letting China continue to dominate these strategic industries and the good paying manufacturing jobs that go with them).
4. more big tax-cuts for the super-rich elites instead of the middle-class.
5. and just more of the huge uncertainties and chaos seen in trump's first term (but likely on steroids a second time around ...).

If all of the above happen, plus another huge increase in U.S. Federal debt, the US$ is likely to slip and the BRICS+ (with a friend in the White House ...) will likely see an acceleration of their goal to erode the role of the US$ as the world's reserve currency (a primary objective of Putin, the supposed "genius" according to trump).

ALL of this is obviously very (very) bullish for gold, and we are seeing it play out in spades. Warning for U.S. investors: buy gold coins and bullion you can hold yourself to protect your wealth ... not "paper gold" equities. Because if trump succeeds in totally tearing up 240+ year history of U.S. institutions (to be replaced, apparently, with a trump dictatorship), there is a potential for a massive economic crash in the U.S. financial system similar to what Germany, Russia, and more recently Venezuela saw when dictators took over those countries to steal the countries' wealth.
Bujon Capital profile picture
Bujon Capital
26 Oct. 2024, 1:52 PM
@Michael Fitzsimmons

Your comment on physical metal versus paper equities is on point.

I briefly discussed the ''Great Taking'' this week, and the paragraph below summarizes the entire point.

''There are now no property rights to securities held in book-entry form in any jurisdiction, globally.''

seekingalpha.com/...
Strategic Risk Mitigation Research profile picture
@Michael Fitzsimmons regardless of ones opinion of Trump, I don't think either side winning/losing necessarily impacts Gold much....the deficit will grow under both candidates. Both are and have been pushing tariffs and tax cuts/hikes, though on and to slightly different things.

The highest impact likely comes from the deficit growing and bonds becoming increasingly risky, in addition, central banks keep buying every week. All while the market keeps racing up despite historically very high valuations.

Gold, historically, provided isolation against these issues - hopefully it does this time.
kurioz profile picture
kurioz
26 Oct. 2024, 1:55 PM
@Michael Fitzsimmons
Unfortunately, mixing petty politics with investing can foggy up even the brightest brains. Fortunately, here, this is not the case.
R
Rizwanali6
26 Oct. 2024, 1:30 PM
All time high gold needs to ease, else it will turn to be an asset of trading only.
Bujon Capital profile picture
Bujon Capital
26 Oct. 2024, 1:06 PM
On the one hand, I can lend my capital to a Banana Republic for a return of approximately 4.0% per annum, although my principal is at risk via inflation and the Fed's printing press.

The alternative is precious metals, gold and silver.

I have made my decision on the topic, and for it to change, Treasury yields would need to spike a lot higher.

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