2024 Election Forecast

Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.

Election in

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days

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min

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Share

Donald Trump icon

Trump

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%
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%

polymarket.com/elections

Polymarket

Kamala Harris icon

Harris

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ALAKAZCOFLGAINKSMEMAMNNJNCNDOKPASDTXWYCTMOWVILNMARCADEDCHIIAKYMDMIMSMTNHNYOHORTNUTVAWAWINESCIDNVVTLARI
Presidential forecast

Source: Polymarket.com

Biden

0%

Trump

64%

Harris

36%

Swing States

Source: Polymarket.com

arizona

11

electoral

votes

72%

Trump icon

Trump

28%

Harris icon

Harris

georgia

16

electoral

votes

72%

Trump icon

Trump

28%

Harris icon

Harris

nevada

6

electoral

votes

65%

Trump icon

Trump

35%

Harris icon

Harris

pennsylvania

19

electoral

votes

61%

Trump icon

Trump

39%

Harris icon

Harris

wisconsin

10

electoral

votes

58%

Trump icon

Trump

42%

Harris icon

Harris

michigan

15

electoral

votes

54%

Trump icon

Trump

46%

Harris icon

Harris

republican popular vote icon
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Trump

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Popular Vote Winner

polymarket.com/elections

democrat popular vote icon
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Harris

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Trending Markets

Chance of event

Trump wins every swing state? icon
Trump wins every swing state?

29%

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Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? icon
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

61%

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Will the election be called on Nov 5? icon
Will the election be called on Nov 5?

33%

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Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election? icon
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

7%

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Trump gets more black voters than 2020? icon
Trump gets more black voters than 2020?

86%

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Balance of Power

House

52% Republican

very likelylikelyleantossupleanlikelyvery likely

Senate

84% Republican

very likelylikelyleantossupleanlikelyvery likely

Presidency

64% Republican

very likelylikelyleantossupleanlikelyvery likely
Republicans sweep icon
Republicans sweep icon
Republicans sweep icon

48% Rep. Sweep

Democrats sweep icon
Democrats sweep icon
Democrats sweep icon

13% Dem. Sweep

Republicans sweep icon
Republicans sweep icon
Republicans sweep icon

48% Rep. Sweep

Democrats sweep icon
Democrats sweep icon
Democrats sweep icon

13% Dem. Sweep

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