(cache)OXY Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Occidental Petroleum Corp - Alpha Spread

Occidental Petroleum Corp
NYSE:OXY

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Occidental Petroleum Corp Logo
Occidental Petroleum Corp
NYSE:OXY
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Price: 54.6757 USD 2.31% Market Closed
Market Cap: 48.5B USD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one OXY stock under the Base Case scenario is 74.8817 USD. Compared to the current market price of 54.6757 USD, Occidental Petroleum Corp is Undervalued by 27%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

OXY Intrinsic Value
74.8817 USD
Undervaluation 27%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Occidental Petroleum Corp

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Valuation Methods
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Fundamental Analysis

Created with Highcharts 11.4.8Nov '23Jan '24Mar '24May '24July '24Sept '244050607080
Oct 3, 2024
54.6757 USD
Summary

Trading near 52-week low

Trading 27% below its intrinsic value

Earnings dropped by 34% over the last year

Revenue dropped by 14% over the last year

View All Risks & Rewards
Company Quality
Profitability Score
64/100
Solvency Score
40/100
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8
Wall St Estimates
Insider Trading
0-3
Months
No Sales
No Buys
0-6
Months
No Sales
434.8m USD
0-12
Months
No Sales
2.9B USD
0-36
Months
1.2B USD
7.9B USD
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Business Breakdown

Occidental Petroleum Corp., commonly known as Oxy, is a prominent player in the global energy landscape, distinguished by its strategic focus on oil and natural gas exploration and production. Founded in 1920, the company has grown to become one of the largest independent oil and gas companies in the United States. Located in Houston, Texas, Occidental operates a diverse portfolio of assets, including operations in the prolific Permian Basin, where its advanced technologies and commitment to sustainability position it as a leader in efficient energy production. As the energy sector continues to evolve, Oxy is also making bold strides in carbon management and renewable energy initiatives, und...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Occidental Petroleum Corp

Current Assets10.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments1.8B
Receivables3.9B
Other Current Assets4.4B
Non-Current Assets66.1B
Long-Term Investments3.5B
PP&E59.9B
Other Non-Current Assets2.8B
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8Cash & Short-Term Investments:2.42%Cash & Short-Term Investments:2.42%Receivables:5.11%Receivables:5.11%Other Current Assets:5.71%Other Current Assets:5.71%Long-Term Investments:4.54%Long-Term Investme…:4.54%Long-Term Investments:4.54%Long-Term Investme…:4.54%PP&E:78.58%PP&E:78.58%Other Non-Current Assets:3.64%Other Non-Current Assets:3.64%
Total Assets
76B USD
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Occidental Petroleum Corp

Revenue
27B USD
Cost of Revenue
-11B USD
Gross Profit
16B USD
Operating Expenses
-11B USD
Operating Income
5 590m USD
Other Expenses
-1 706m USD
Net Income
3 884m USD
Created with Highcharts 11.4.827B27B-11B-11B16B16B-11B-11B5 590m5 590m-1 706m-1 706m3 884m3 884mRevenueCost of RevenueGross ProfitOperatingExpensesOperatingIncomeOther ExpensesNet Income

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Occidental Petroleum Corp

For the last 3 years cumulatively, Occidental Petroleum Corp has a positive free cash flow. What is Free Cash Flow?
Last Value
4.1B
3-Years Average
8.1B
FCF Margin
15%
Conversion Rate
104%
Created with Highcharts 11.4.82015201620172018201920202021202220232024-2.5B02.5B5B7.5B10B12.5B
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8Net IncomeNet IncomeD&AD&ACapexCapexΔ WCΔ WCOthersOthers
Free Cash Flow
4 052m USD
Net Income3 884m USD
Depreciation & Amortization6 903m USD
Capital Expenditures-6 717m USD
Stock-Based Compensation0 USD
Change in Working Capital-565m USD
Others547m USD
Free Cash Flow4 052m USD
Earnings Calls

Occidental Petroleum reported its highest quarterly production in four years, delivering $1.3 billion in free cash flow. The company exceeded production expectations in the Permian Basin and Gulf of Mexico, benefiting from improved well costs and operational efficiencies. Occidental's strategic acquisition of CrownRock assets is expected to enhance production while divestitures have helped in debt reduction, with $3 billion in debt repayment anticipated by the third quarter. Full-year production guidance has increased to approximately 1.32 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by these strategic moves.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

OXY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Occidental Petroleum Corp's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
ROE is Increasing
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
64/100
Profitability
Score

Occidental Petroleum Corp's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

OXY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Occidental Petroleum Corp's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
40/100
Solvency
Score

Occidental Petroleum Corp's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

OXY Price Targets Summary
Occidental Petroleum Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast OXY stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OXY is 69.2718 USD with a low forecast of 53.53 USD and a high forecast of 89.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
53.53 USD
2% Downside
Average
Price Target
69.2718 USD
27% Upside
Highest
Price Target
89.25 USD
63% Upside
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8Nov '23Jan '24Mar '24May '24July '24Sept '24Nov '24Jan '25Mar '25May '25July '25Sept '25506070408090100
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for OXY?

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Dividends

1.54%
Dividend Yield
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8
Average: 4.08%
Lowest
0.07%
Average
4.08%
Highest
31.25%
0.84 USD
Dividend Per Share
+25%
Created with Highcharts 11.4.82.96883.023.063.13.140.820.040.520.720.66
Growth 3Y
2 000%
Growth 5Y
-73%
Growth 10Y
-69%
47 /100
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
47
0
25
50
75
100

Occidental Petroleum Corp has not declared its next dividend yet.

Want to learn more about OXY dividends?

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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for OXY is 1.64%.

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

1.64%
Shareholder Yield
1.54%
Dividend Yield
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8
Average: 4.08%
Lowest
0.07%
Average
4.08%
Highest
31.25%
-2.36%
Buyback Yield
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8
Lowest
-22.73%
Average
-3.48%
Highest
4.85%
2.46%
Debt Paydown Yield
Created with Highcharts 11.4.8
Lowest
-74.7%
Average
2.88%
Highest
54.18%

Competitive Landscape

Saudi Arabian Oil Co. is engaged in the production, transportation, and sale of energy and chemicals.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

PetroChina Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

TotalEnergies SE engages in the exploration and production of fuels, natural gas and low carbon electricity.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp is a CN-based company operating in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Petróleo Brasileiro SA engages in oil and gas exploration, production, and distribution activities.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Equinor ASA engages in the exploration, production, transport, refining, and marketing of petroleum and petroleum-derived products.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Suncor Energy, Inc. is an integrated energy company, which develops petroleum resource basins.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Eni SpA engages in the exploration, production, refining, and sale of oil, gas, electricity, and chemicals.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

NOVATEK JSC engages in the exploration, production, processing and marketing of natural gas and liquid hydrocarbons.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and value added products.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Imperial Oil Ltd. engages in the provision of integrated oil business.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Oil Co. LUKOIL PJSC engages in the exploration, production, refining, marketing and distribution of oil.

Intrinsic Value
Price
Open

Ownership

OXY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Occidental Petroleum Corp insiders have only bought shares in the past 12 months.

During the last 12 months Occidental Petroleum Corp insiders bought 2.9B USD , and have not sold any shares. The last transaction was made on Jun 17, 2024 by Berkshire Hathaway Inc (10 percent owner), who bought 20m USD worth of OXY shares.

Sold
0-3
months
0 USD
0
3-6
months
0 USD
0
6-9
months
0 USD
0
9-12
months
0 USD
0
Bought
0-3
months
No Insider Transactions
0
0 USD
3-6
months
1
434.8m USD
6-9
months
1
245.9m USD
9-12
months
1
2.2B USD
Cumulative Transactions Amount
PeriodSoldBoughtNet
3 Months
N/A
N/A
N/A
6 Months
N/A
434.8m USD
434.8m
9 Months
N/A
680.7m USD
680.7m
12 Months
N/A
2.9B USD
2.9B
Why is insider trading important?

OXY News

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Profile

Occidental Petroleum Corp Logo
Occidental Petroleum Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

49.5B USD

Dividend Yield

1.54%

Description

Occidental Petroleum Corp. engages in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas and currently employs 11,678 full-time employees. The firm primarily conducts its ongoing exploration and production activities in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa. Within the United States, it has operations in Texas, New Mexico and Colorado, as well as offshore in the Gulf of Mexico. The firm operates through three reporting segments: oil and gas, chemical and midstream and marketing. The oil and gas segment explores for, develops and produces oil (which includes condensate), natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas. The chemical segment (OxyChem) primarily manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyls. The midstream and marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil (which includes condensate), NGL, natural gas, carbon dioxide (CO2) and power. Its midstream and marketing segment also includes Occidental’s low carbon ventures (OLCV) businesses.

Contact

TEXAS
Houston
5 Greenway Plz Ste 110
+17132157000.0
www.oxy.com

IPO

1964-03-03

Employees

11 678

Officers

What is the Intrinsic Value of one OXY stock?

The intrinsic value of one OXY stock under the Base Case scenario is 74.8817 USD.

Is OXY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 54.6757 USD, Occidental Petroleum Corp is Undervalued by 27%.

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