The Tower & the Square

JUN 11, 2024 • 45 Min Read

Pondering Durian
Pondering Durian

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AI x Crypto (Part 1)

The Tower & the Square

In writing this piece, I kept coming back to themes from Niall Ferguson’s “The Square and the Tower” which traces the power dynamics between traditional hierarchies (the Tower) and networks (the Square) throughout history. While hierarchies have traditionally been the dominant forms of organization, networks have played a crucial role in shaping societies, and their rise – the Enlightenment, the American & French Revolutions, the internet, etc – have often marked profound shifts in societal organization.

The 21st century is primed for a continued struggle: the state, the corporation, the elites vs. the network, the interwebs, the proles. The hierarchy and the hivemind. The Tower and the Square.

Much of post-cold war history has been a story of the rise of networks: globalization, markets, liberalism, the internet, social media, crypto. Perhaps most symbolically, in 2021 we witnessed a social network suspend the sitting President of the United States.

However, recent years have seen the Tower reassert itself. Geopolitics are once again resurgent over economic efficiency. The tools which promised open communication have been trained inward, honing Orwellian-level surveillance of our every click. The “open internet” has fragmented into four increasingly extractive and censorious “walled gardens”.

History chronicle’s countless pendulum swings between centralization and decentralization, networks and hierarchies, anarchy and autocrats, but this time feels different. With the rapid advances of artificial intelligence, perhaps the stakes have never been higher. We are witne

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How Are Networks Challenging Traditional Hierarchies? – Discover the ongoing battle between decentralized networks and centralized hierarchies, and what it means for the future of AI and society.

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What Is the Role of Open Source in AI Development? – Explore how open-source communities are striving to democratize AI development and challenge the dominance of Big Tech.

Can AI Be Decentralized? – Investigate the potential for decentralized AI ecosystems supported by cryptographic and distributed incentives to offer viable alternatives to centralized models.

Will Crypto Play a Critical Role in AI’s Future? – Learn about the intersection of AI and crypto, and how distributed incentives could be key to fostering innovation and decentralization in AI.

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Pondering Durian
Pondering Durian

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"A_Survey_of_Backpropagation-free_Training_For_LLMS"

Link leads to a 'page not found'

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"a substantially enhanced end-user experience enabling on-chain interactions through natural language."

interesting - I can see this working well for more trivial/simpler interactions. For more complex ones, or more structured ones, having a unified UI where the end user can learn the interface and rely on learnt habits to check over the request is imo quite valuable.

I can see a mixture of the two - natural language to orchestrate a transaction, and a more traditional UI to review and approve. I struggle to see a fully natural-language based UI for larger sums and more complex Txs though.

Curious to hear your thoughts on what is essentially a question of the ease of use/lower barrier to entry vs. confidence & feeling of tx correctness when comparing these experiences?

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Great points - I agree, near-term a combination will certainly be necessary, but even so, could provide a meaningful experience in terms of UX to average users. Seems like there should be a lot of low hanging fruit in simply helping new users navigate towards the best protocols to use for a given intent.

To be honest, I haven't had a chance to dive deeply into specific mechanics here, but will definitely be an area I plan to research further in a future report to tackle the app layer

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Keen to hear authour's take on this, but in the mean time def check out WayFinder & Slate - they appear to combine a simple UX with transaction simulation features (so you can check the validity of the actions before you confirm)

kinda like a confirmation pop-up before you send money with your bank.

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"may make open source ecosystems superior."

have there been examples of this happening in previous tech evolutions?

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Hi Ejaaz - I guess top of mind examples for me would be linux, android, and large swaths of the database market today.

Also AOL / intranet vs. internet was a real debate back in the 90s

Not sure they are always "superior" but can provide an alternative / tradeoffs which some developers / users value vs. integrated solutions

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Agree on your final point - alternatives and trade-offs, but typically the leading centralized options have gained the advantage in terms of quality product experience + quality distribution (i.e. engaged users you can sell to vs mass spam farmers).

I think this starts to shift more towards open networks if we end up in a world of millions of small personal AI models (personally betting on this).

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Very true. John Luttig of Founders Fund makes the point around product quality fairly explicit in the following piece: https://blog.johnluttig.com/p/the-future-of-foundation-models-is

Agree. In my opinion, the key tension to watch is how much closed source leaps ahead vs. how quickly moats deteriorate. If the moats deteriorate faster than value extraction, then a network of more cost effective models seems likely to be very competitive. If closed source continues to make large leaps each generation based on moats in hardware / data, then perhaps they can ride a flywheel of usage -> revenues -> cheap financing -> more investment -> better models -> more users.

Keen to see whether or not this dynamic holds up....

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This is already one of my favorite reports.. can't wait to read more

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Really well done PonderingDurian - I have no doubt this is the main timeless center of gravity when thinking about centralized vs Crypto x AI.