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Policy Forum
Climate Policy

Social science research to inform solar geoengineering

What are the benefits and drawbacks, and for whom?
Science
11 Nov 2021
Vol 374, Issue 6569
pp. 815-818

Abstract

As the prospect of average global warming exceeding 1.5°C becomes increasingly likely, interest in supplementing mitigation and adaptation with solar geoengineering (SG) responses will almost certainly rise. For example stratospheric aerosol injection to cool the planet could offset some of the warming for a given accumulation of atmospheric greenhouse gases (1). However, the physical and social science literature on SG remains modest compared with mitigation and adaptation. We outline three research themes for advancing policy-relevant social science related to SG: (i) SG costs, benefits, risks, and uncertainty; (ii) the political economy of SG deployment; and (iii) SG’s role in a climate strategy portfolio.

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References and Notes

1
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Reflecting Sunlight: Recommendations for Solar Geoengineering Research and Research Governance (National Academies Press, 2021).
2
E. T. Burns et al., Earths Futur. 4, 536 (2016).
3
W. Smith, G. Wagner, Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 124001 (2018).
4
J. E. Aldy, R. Zeckhauser, South. Econ. J. 87, 3 (2020).
5
D. Heyen, T. Wiertz, P. J. Irvine, Clim. Change 133, 557 (2015).
6
W. Rickels et al., Energy Econ. 91, 104852 (2020).
7
K. Grieger, T. Felgenhauer, O. Renn, J. Wiener, M. Borsuk, Environ. Syst. Decis. 39, 371 (2019).
8
M. Belaia, J.B. Moreno-Cruz, D.W. Keith. Clim. Chang. Econ. 2150008 (2021).
9
D. Heyen, J. Horton, J. Moreno-Cruz, J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 95, 153 (2019).
10
A. Parker, J. B. Horton, D. W. Keith, Earths Futur. 6, 1058 (2018).
11
G. Heutel, J. Moreno-Cruz, S. Shayegh, J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 87, 24 (2018).
12
J. Emmerling, M. Tavoni, Glob. Environ. Change 53, 244 (2018).
13
S. Tilmes et al., Earth Syst. Dyn. 11, 579 (2020).
14
A. Ghosh, “Environmental Institutions, International Research Programmes, and Lessons for Geoengineering Research” in Geoengineering our Climate? Ethics, Politics, and Governance, J. J. Blackstock, S. Low, Eds. (Earthscan-Routledge, 2018).
15
C. Merk, G. Pönitzsch, K. Rehdanz, Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 054009 (2016).

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Science
Volume 374 | Issue 6569
12 November 2021

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Published in print: 12 November 2021

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Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge Resources for the Future and LAD Climate Fund for sponsoring a series of workshops in 2020 where these ideas were developed. We appreciate many useful intellectual contributions from the workshop participants. J.E.A., T.F., W.A.P., and M.T. acknowledge support from LAD Climate Fund. J.E.A., J.H., and D.K. acknowledge support from the Harvard Solar Geoengineering Research Program. M.E.B., T.F., J.M.-C., W.A.P., and J.B.W. acknowledge support from the National Science Foundation under grant no. SES-1948154. J.L.R. acknowledges support from Open Philanthropy. D.K. serves on the advisory group to the Carnegie Climate Governance Initiative and on the board of directors of Carbon Engineering.

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References

References

1
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Reflecting Sunlight: Recommendations for Solar Geoengineering Research and Research Governance (National Academies Press, 2021).
2
E. T. Burns et al., Earths Futur. 4, 536 (2016).
3
W. Smith, G. Wagner, Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 124001 (2018).
4
J. E. Aldy, R. Zeckhauser, South. Econ. J. 87, 3 (2020).
5
D. Heyen, T. Wiertz, P. J. Irvine, Clim. Change 133, 557 (2015).
6
W. Rickels et al., Energy Econ. 91, 104852 (2020).
7
K. Grieger, T. Felgenhauer, O. Renn, J. Wiener, M. Borsuk, Environ. Syst. Decis. 39, 371 (2019).
8
M. Belaia, J.B. Moreno-Cruz, D.W. Keith. Clim. Chang. Econ. 2150008 (2021).
9
D. Heyen, J. Horton, J. Moreno-Cruz, J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 95, 153 (2019).
10
A. Parker, J. B. Horton, D. W. Keith, Earths Futur. 6, 1058 (2018).
11
G. Heutel, J. Moreno-Cruz, S. Shayegh, J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 87, 24 (2018).
12
J. Emmerling, M. Tavoni, Glob. Environ. Change 53, 244 (2018).
13
S. Tilmes et al., Earth Syst. Dyn. 11, 579 (2020).
14
A. Ghosh, “Environmental Institutions, International Research Programmes, and Lessons for Geoengineering Research” in Geoengineering our Climate? Ethics, Politics, and Governance, J. J. Blackstock, S. Low, Eds. (Earthscan-Routledge, 2018).
15
C. Merk, G. Pönitzsch, K. Rehdanz, Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 054009 (2016).