Trust the Evidence

Share this post

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11c

trusttheevidence.substack.com

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11c

Defining the effectiveness outcomes that matter from regulatory data

Tom Jefferson
and
Carl Heneghan
Jun 10, 2024
23
Share this post

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11c

trusttheevidence.substack.com
5
Share

In post 11a, we listed the definitions of the Cominarty effectiveness outcomes that mattered to us, 

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11a

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
Jun 4
Read full story

while in 11b, those that are reported in the package inserts.

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11b

Carl Heneghan and Tom Jefferson
·
Jun 6
Read full story

Share Trust the Evidence

Here, we report the same according to the regulatory data used as a main source, the original Protocol C4591001 (PF-07302048) Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP), part of Clinical_Study_Report_Part_2 and Appendices at pdf page 529 of the same document.

These all relate to trial C 4591001, the registration trial for Comirnaty.

We explained at the beginning why and how we would do our exploration in the first four posts of our series:

Crossed Harms

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
Apr 10
Read full story

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 2

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
Apr 18
Read full story

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 3

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
Apr 20
Read full story

Here are the definitions given by the Pfizer documents


We were unable to identify the definition of a COVID-19 death.

NAAT stands for Nucleic Acid Amplification Tests, and here is a list of them. However, in practice the most widely used and cited in the Pfizer documents is PCR. The EPAR reports the following text, which is more detailed:

The primary endpoint (laboratory-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 in participants with no serological or virological evidence of past SARS-CoV-2 infection up to 7 days after receipt of the second dose, and then in all participants regardless of serostatus) is considered relevant for establishing vaccine efficacy. 

SARS-CoV-2 genomic RNA has been detected in nasal swab samples using Cepheid Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 PCR assay on the GeneXpert Molecular Diagnostic System. This method detects 2 structural genes of SARS-CoV-2: E and N2. A validation of this method was performed, and in addition, the test was issued an EUA by FDA. In order to assess the analytical detection limit, live virus and commercial control (AccuPlexTM SARS-CoV-2) were used. Clinical sensitivity and specificity were evaluated in comparison with results obtained using another FDA authorised real-time RT-PCR method with positive or negative clinical specimens and pre-pandemic samples. Results showed that Cepheid Xpert Xpress PCR assay is a sensitive and specific method for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in nasal swabs. The positive rate of self-swab is similar to site-swab, 3.7% and 4.7% positive from self-swab and site-swab, respectively in the BNT162b2 group. 

and  COVID-19 Case Definitions 

Participants who developed any potential COVID-19 symptoms were to contact the site immediately and, if confirmed, to participate in an in-person or telehealth visit as soon as possible (within 3 days of symptom onset and at the latest 4 days after symptom resolution). At the visit (or prior to the visit, if a self-swab was used), investigators were to collect clinical information and results from local standard-of-care tests sufficient to confirm a COVID-19 diagnosis. Investigators were to obtain a nasal swab (mid-turbinate) for testing at a central laboratory using a validated reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test (Cepheid; FDA approved under EUA) to detect SARS-CoV-2. If the evaluation was conducted by telehealth, the participant was to self-collect a nasal swab and ship it for assessment at the central laboratory. A local nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) result was only acceptable if it met protocol-specified criteria and if a central laboratory result was not available. 

Comparing these definitions with our own, we see that no cutoff for the likelihood of viral load and, hence, infectivity is given, nor do they exclude co-infection with another agent.

In other words, Pfizer is using a black box test to confirm the clinical diagnosis. As a consequence, we do not really know the role of SARS-CoV-2 in these “cases,” nor do we know if they are active and infectious, the only real type of case of interest when you are trying to prevent disease and transmission (which they did not test).  

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 10c

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
May 28
Read full story

We found no definition of a Covid death but found this:

Source: Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine VRBPAC Briefing Document (page 41)

Share Trust the Evidence

So, we wonder how they adjudicated these deaths if there are no definitions of Covid deaths.

To sum up the effectiveness outcomes are an if and maybe, a situation which is difficult to understand given the importance of the trial. What is more is the apparently supine acceptance of the unclear definitions and subsequent conclusions drawn by regulators.

Summary of outcomes based on the CSR Pivotal trial  

  • Covid 19 case

  • Progressively severe Covid 19 case

  • Covid-19 Hospital admission 

  • Covid 19 Death

  • ​​All-cause mortality

Impersonators did not write this post, which is not commercial in confidence. It is not carcinogenic and will not self-disrupt or autodelete. We are not on the payroll of any pharmaceutical company, and given the content of our posts, we have been notified that HMG will award us the order of the boot. Yesterday, we were further notified that our first-class Golden Boot awards will be upgraded to the Order of the Concrete Boot. We apologise to MEDSAFE and can now confirm that their book of straight answers is the second smallest book in the library. The first place is now occupied by the book of evidence of interruption of SARS-CoV-2 transmission by Comirnaty.

Trust the Evidence is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.


23 Likes
·
1 Restack
23
Share this post

Exploring regulatory data sets of the Comirnaty vaccine - 11c

trusttheevidence.substack.com
5
Share
5 Comments
Markker
4 hrs ago

Is the placebo actually just saline or is it LNPs with no mRNA inside? I read the AZ trial used a meningitis vaccine for the control group, which would obviously incurr AEs too, skewing safety results in favour of the actual trial injection.

Expand full comment
Like (2)
Reply
Share
3 replies
Wouter Havinga
12 mins ago

How to sell vaccines. Show that antibodies are produced…(and fool people into believing antibodies equate to infection prevention against continuously mutating respiratory viruses​?).

Just like trying to win the national lottery, hoping that Pharma has filled in the right genetic mRNA code for one of the millions of possible viral variants.

Second, regarding influenza viruses, ​one can but hope that the inoculated billions of eggs had the right influenza strain​ because the influenza virus immediately mutates into another variant in each of the billions of inoculated chicken eggs. Similar constant change due to the virus mutating into variants with every human infection.

Indeed, the words in the insert​ on what viral variant the syringe contains are: “a like strain”. ​Due to continuous mutations, each syringe from a different egg will probably contain a different​ variant.

​Is the WHO committee that chooses to predict the possible next circulating influenza variant strain to be produced in eggs for the coming season outdated​? Or ​does industry funding​ keep it going?

The following news headline again concerns no honest trial on actual effectiveness (preventing morbidity and mortality). The only thing proven is that the body is trying to protect itself with antibodies against what is injected: “Two-in-one flu and Covid jab passes advanced trial” “The phase-three trial shows the vaccine arms the body with protective antibodies.” https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ck55l4rk8z1o

Expand full comment
Like
Reply
Share
3 more comments...
HRH The Princess of Wales
We offer our support.
Mar 24 • 
Tom Jefferson
225
Share this post

HRH The Princess of Wales

trusttheevidence.substack.com
24
The Lockdown files message is clear: we must never again suppress democracy by giving power to power-hungry people.
Read the piece on the Sunday Express and Sir Graham Brady MP’s comment
Mar 5, 2023 • 
Carl Heneghan
 and 
Tom Jefferson
211
Share this post

The Lockdown files message is clear: we must never again suppress democracy by giving power to power-hungry people.

trusttheevidence.substack.com
30
The Rule of Terror and Empty Vessels
The rule of terror and empty heads Forget Putin and Xi, look in your cupboard We still are desperately trying to concentrate on the riddle series and…
Jan 28 • 
Tom Jefferson
 and 
Carl Heneghan
179
Share this post

The Rule of Terror and Empty Vessels

trusttheevidence.substack.com
58

Ready for more?

© 2024 Carl Heneghan
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture
Share

Create your profile

undefined subscriptions will be displayed on your profile (edit)

Skip for now

Only paid subscribers can comment on this post

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in

Check your email

For your security, we need to re-authenticate you.

Click the link we sent to , or click here to sign in.