We are going fully remote first at Quora. Most of our employees have opted not to return to the office post-covid, I will not work out of the office, our leadership teams will not be located in the office, and all policies will orient around remote work. (1/2)
Adam D'Angelo
Adam D'Angelo
1,320 件のポスト
Adam D'Angelo
@adamdangelo
CEO of Quora, working on Poe:
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Adam D'Angeloさんのポスト
It’s so incredible that we are going to live through the creation of AGI. It will probably be the most important event in the history of the world and it will happen in our lifetimes.
The pace of change right now is unbelievable. We are going to be living in a very different world a year from now.
I think we are permanently done with AI winters. Endless summer from here on.
Today, we are opening up public access to a new AI product we have been building called Poe. Poe lets people ask questions, get instant answers, and have back-and-forth conversations with several AI-powered bots. (1/n)
I expect we will see continual progress from here to AGI, without any period that feels like a "winter". There are just too many obvious things left to be done. And the underlying exponential growth in compute has a very long way to go.
One reason the AI boom is being underestimated is the GPU/TPU shortage. This shortage is causing all kinds of limits on product rollouts and model training but these are not visible. Instead all we see is Nvidia spiking in price. Things will accelerate once supply meets demand.
I don't think people realize how bad this will be.
引用
The Economist
@TheEconomist
Technology is on the verge of being able to generate credible video and audio of anyone saying anything econ.st/2tTpzti
We are excited to announce that Quora has raised $75M from Andreessen Horowitz. This funding will be used to accelerate the growth of Poe, and we expect the majority of it to be used to pay bot creators through our recently-launched creator monetization program. (thread)
Today we are officially launching the Poe API to all developers. Details in thread below!
Today we are launching Poe subscriptions, which will provide paying users with access to bots based on two powerful new language models: GPT-4 from OpenAI and Claude+ from Anthropic.
Prompt engineering is a high art and I don't expect that to change even as models get more powerful.
I'm excited to be joining the OpenAI board. I continue to think that work toward general AI (with safety in mind) is both important and underappreciated, and I'm happy to contribute to it.
Today we are starting a beta test for a new product called Poe. Short for "Platform for Open Exploration", it lets people ask questions, get instant answers, and have back-and-forth dialogue with AI.
Possibly the worst takeaway you could have from web3 being overhyped and then failing to deliver is that the optimism around AI means it will fail to deliver. If there was ever a case for first principles thinking or digging into details beating pattern matching this is it.
Today we are launching creator monetization for Poe! This program lets any bot creator on Poe generate revenue. This is a major step forward for the platform and is the first program of its kind, so we are very excited to see what it lets everyone create. (thread)
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We are launching a new feature on Poe today: user-created bots. This initially allows anyone to create a new bot based on a short text prompt and an existing bot used as a base. We currently support Claude instant and ChatGPT as base bots.
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We (or our artificial descendants) will look back and divide history into pre-AGI and post-AGI eras, the way we look back at prehistoric vs "modern" times today.
AGI (AI at avg human level for any job that can be done remotely) will massively impact GDP growth. We might expect >50%/year. Assuming a continuous run-up to AGI, we should expect GDP growth to start to accelerate as we get closer. When will this be noticeable in GDP metrics?
AI is going to enable the creation and enforcement of laws 1000x as complex as we have today. This is mostly a good thing.
Pattern matching AI as "the next platform shift" like the PC/internet/smartphone leads to significant underestimates of its potential.
Building Poe feels very similar to early Quora in 2010 except everything is moving at 10x the speed.
There is a category of formal proofs that various things are impossible: the halting problem, the traveling salesman problem, Arrow's theorem, etc. As a general rule, I don't like these and don't think they are very useful in building or thinking about real-world systems.
It's common in in-person meetings to "go around the room" and have everyone share their view on a topic. This is much harder over Zoom since everyone sees the group in a different order, and eye contact doesn't work. My thoughts:
I got used to Waymo in SF and now visiting other cities feels like going back in time
A cool thing you can do with the features we launched today: upload a file and then share the conversation so others can ask questions of the AI about it. For example, here's today's court decision about the FTC vs. Microsoft + Activision Blizzard:
Economists seem to consistently be the most dismissive of AI existential risk concerns, out of all groups of people who think seriously about the future. Why is this and what can we learn from it?
引用
Daron Acemoglu
@DAcemogluMIT
返信先: @DAcemogluMITさん
Finally and relatedly, we should really stop worrying about super intelligent, evil AI. I am impressed by, e.g., GPT-4, but it is NOT intelligent and will not take over the world.
It can make huge damage to inequality, wages and democracy without being super intelligent.
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Amazing to see Nvidia revenue already above Intel and Samsung when we are only one year into the AI boom. There are many orders of magnitude left to go.
引用
Nikkei Asia
@NikkeiAsia
The semiconductor industry is poised to see a new revenue leader emerge for the first time in three decades that isn't Intel or Samsung.
s.nikkei.com/3GTQmd8
This paper, a very narrow result which I'm sure only holds under a lot of assumptions, provided a good Rorschach test for people's views on AI... surprising how many of them are expecting progress to stop.
New consideration in choosing a programming language: how good are LLMs at writing it? Pushes the balance significantly toward Python and away from new languages, at least until the next step function increase in LLM power.
So weird that you gain status in the ML community by talking about how impossible AGI is, and it’s a taboo to be excited about it. Imagine if JFK or those running the Apollo program inspired their followers by saying “we won’t get to the moon anytime soon”.
Fine tuning is going to do two things:
1. Enable a much larger industry contributing to AI progress
2. Create much greater diversity in models and applications
Good chance of major internet attack Nov 8th. Many groups have the ability and incentive. Maps outage alone could easily skew the election.
Investing in Poe dev velocity this week so we can make faster progress going forward
返信先: さん
#1 destination for Quora employees moving out of the Bay Area now that we're remote first.
A clue about why general intelligence evolved in humans first, and a lesson about the importance of scale.
Unlike RIM, Apple has 200 billion in cash to buy its way into AI as it becomes important. Will be interesting to watch.
Last Friday's attack should be enough evidence. Print out directions so you can vote/campaign without internet.
引用
Adam D'Angelo
@adamdangelo
Good chance of major internet attack Nov 8th. Many groups have the ability and incentive. Maps outage alone could easily skew the election.
It's now easy to use Langchain to power bots on Poe:
引用
Ankush Gola
@ankush_gola11
We're excited about the Poe API and have released a repository with some basic examples on how you can use @LangChainAI and @FastAPI to build Poe handlers. Check it out here:
github.com/langchain-ai/l
Just remember: we are only seeing ICOs of services started before it was obvious how much money could be raised. Far more will start now.
Introducing the Poe API v2! This uniquely lets any bot on Poe query any other bot for free and use the output as input. Developers do not have to pay for this; instead the queries are covered under the *user's* normal message allocation on Poe.
We just launched Poe for Android, providing access to ChatGPT, Claude, and all user-created bots across all platforms.
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