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Kamil Galeev

23h

Of course Switzerland is a giant. The industry is based upon:

1. Mature mechanical engineering
2. Innovative digital control technology
3. Continuous tradition of craftsmanship

You may try to develop (1) and (2). But you cannot acquire (3) anytime soon. That is just impossible

https://twitter.com/mehmetao/status/1679830104376066048

Much of what is usually referred to as "expertise" (believe the experts) is just infallibility ex cathedra ideology. It is based on a social convention and not on the objective reality. In contrast, the craftsman expertise is real, very difficult to pick and impossible to fake

One of the most destructive effects of the post-Soviet collapse on the Russian military production was the loss of craftsmanship -> tacit knowledge. Sometimes you can reverse engineer the technology later. Sometimes you can't. Anyway, much of it has been lost irreversibly

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Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Jul 14

1. Every major military industrial complex in the world relies upon the CNC cutting machines to mass produce precise components -> weaponry

2. No one is capable of producing them without the continuous import of machines, machine parts and expendables

3. From the U.S. allies https://t.co/UZ1qF3YTYA

https://twitter.com/alexykot/status/1679794029775450112

The vast qualitative gap in the machine tool production is of major strategic significance. First, catching development producers produce subpar equipment. Second, supply chain for their production starts in Western Europe or Japan for the lack of alternatives

See Russia (2015)

In 2015, the Russian gov saw itself as absolutely dependent upon the import of machine parts from the Western Europe and Japan. In no single category did it see a chance of substituting the European and the Japanese critical components with the Chinese production

No alternative

Read 15 tweets

Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Jul 1

You can start with this (1/2):

CNC controllers (Fanuc, Siemens, Heidenhain)
PLC controllers (Siemens)
Electric linear actuators (Fanuc, Siemens)
Linear Displacement Sensors (Heidenhain, Siemens, Renishaw)
Spindles (Kessler, Fischer, Ibag)
Electric motors (Siemens, Fanuc)

https://twitter.com/MM_Casto/status/1674753013838143489

Ballscrews (THK, NSK, Hiwin)
Turrets (Duplomatic, Sauter, Baruffaldi)
Hydraulics (Bosch-Rexroth)
End Mills (Sandvik)
Cutting fluids (ZET-Chemie, etc.)
Bearings (SKF)

This list is by no means exhaustive. It just gives you some idea of where to look into

Cutting fluids are critical for the cutting operations -> production of precise parts -> weaponry (such as missiles)

Zet-Chemie is one of cutting fluids producers still operating in Russia Charge ZET-Chemie GmbH retrospectively. They should be fined into bankruptcy

Read 7 tweets

Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Jun 30

Daily reminder

Russian capacity for the production of weaponry is critically dependent upon the uninterrupted supply of the machine tools and parts by the U.S. allies

Why? For the lack of alternatives. China is not an alternative people think it is, esp. when it comes to parts

Sanctions are inefficient in undermining the Russian weaponry production capacities, as they do not adequately target its main chokepoint - production base. More specifically, machining equipment which is necessary to produce precise components and, therefore, weaponry

To be fair, China *is* advancing. Compare the Russian import structure in the 2000s vs 2010s. But it is not anywhere as advanced as laymen believe (yet)

FYI: The advance of China is largely due to localisation of Europ/Jap/Taiw producers, JVs with them and technology transfer

Read 6 tweets

Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Jun 29

The media and the academia are obsessed with the unimportant. Once you interiorise this principle, their obsession with "Putin's philosopher" Dugin becomes almost forgivable

There's no philosopher at the Putin's court

The king doesn't need a philosopher

He needs a jester🧵

As I said, obsession with the (supposed) "philosopher behind the Putin's plan" is almost forgivable, considering that the dominant Western discourse in Russia is mostly a projection of Western intellectuals. They project their fears, of course. But also their hopes and dreams

Being the King's Philosopher, a brain behind the tyrant, has been a wet dream of intellectuals at least since the days of Plato. It almost always ended the same. After all these millennia, intellectuals could have learned a basic truth:

The King is in no need of a "philosopher"

Read 20 tweets

Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Jun 28

1. Kornilov putsch fails
2. Purges against its real or imaginary supporters follow
3. Two months later the Bolsheviks come to power

Focusing on whether the putsch was orchestrated by the government (it probably was) is missing the point. Staged or not, its consequences are real

There is often an implicit assumption that the "serious" ventures have serious consequences, while the "non-serious" (stage, orchestrated, just a show) ones don't

This assumption is completely and fundamentally wrong. It is usually the other way around

As a general rule, anything serious and long lasting can commence only non-seriously

Consequently, what had been started seriously will most probably lead nowhere

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