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Kamil Galeev Profile picture
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Nov 18 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Now repeat after me:

Sanctioning individuals doesn't bring you anywhere. It gives you a cheap dopamine boost, an illusion of doing sth. But it isn't efficient at all

"Mother of all sanctions" would be cutting the supply chains of the Russian military industry
In a sense, navalnist nonsense is structurally similar to the Mearsheimer's nonsense. In both cases you dismiss any evidence contradicting your priors. In your case that would be:

They're all "crooks" and personal profits is their primary motivation

Counterpoint - February 24
Navalnist Theory of Putin is wrong, not because it is 100% false (same for Mearsheimer - some of his arguments may be correct), but because it is absurdly reductionist

They steal -> They're "corrupt" -> Money is all they're about

Sorry, that's not how it works
Navalnist nonsense gives the Western elites an easy way out. Sanctions don't work? No problem, let's add another 100 individuals. And another 100. And another. Meanwhile Russian military plants are working 24/7 as they're not impacted by these "efficient" sanctions at all
Now let's sum up:

Taking Putin's ex-wife's villa won't shut down MKB Raduga

Taking Putin's ex-wife's villa won't shut down MKB Raduga

Taking Putin's ex-wife's villa won't shut down MKB Raduga

Taking Putin's ex-wife's villa won't shut down MKB Raduga

Do you get it?

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More from @kamilkazani

Kamil Galeev Profile picture
18h
Great question. Dumb, but that makes it only better. Short answer: in the recent decades manufacturing digitalised. In 1991 90% machine tools were conventional (mechanical basically). Now most are computer controlled and very software dependent, especially for precision machining
So yr understanding of industrial machines is sorta adequate to how most of them worked 30 years ago. Back then they were kinda autonomous: you buy them and they work. May be you need to buy spare parts, but that’s it. Because they were mechanical. No computer -> no disconnection
Modern machines are different. Computer control. Graphical User Interface. You don’t need to control it with your hands like 30 years ago. You may not even need to code like 15 years ago. You can often pick button on a screen -> I want *this* component design from the online bank
Read 7 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 19
It was revealed to me in a dream that producers of key cruise missiles and components for them (engine producer ODK Saturn for example) have been actively expanding their workforce -> They most probably work 24/7 -> Western suppliers didn't disconnect machines they sold to Russia
Russia can produce precision components in massive quantities -> It is a strong indication that Western suppliers of industrial machines did *not* disconnect their products. It's highly likely they're updating software and maintaining them remotely keeping Russian army afloat
Western = Western European (primarily German) + the role of Asian Tigers (Taiwan, Korea) increased in the last years. Out of American companies - HAAS plays a major role. There is a bunch of small suppliers: Australia, Brazil, Turkey and mainland China but they do not matter much
Read 5 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 17
The Poverty of Realism

This interview illustrates some key fallacies, shortcomings and outright intellectual dishonesty associated with Mearsheimer's realist approach. And since his authority is instrumental in legitimising the appeasement advocacy, I will discuss it in detail🧵
Let's start with dishonesty. Mearsheimer denies that Putin hold any intention to conquer Ukraine before this war. He even quotes Putin's article of July 2021 as an evidence of Putin "recognising the Ukrainian sovereignty". This is a highly inaccurate representation of its content
Let's open the original text of Putin's article kremlin.ru/events/preside…

Putin argued that modern borders of Ukraine are illegitimate. They had more territory leaving the USSR in 1991 than they had joining it in 1922. Justice would require Ukraine to give it all away [to Russia]
Read 30 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 13
Yevgeny Nuzhin was a Russian prison inmate who enlisted into the Wagner mercenary group to fight in Ukraine. After being captured by Ukrainians he expressed his desire to fight against Putin. He was exchanged and then executed with sledgehammer according to Wagner traditions. Image
Wagner is led by Yevgeny Prigozhin who himself had spent 10 years in prison for violent crimes. Upon release he launched a catering business and eventually became known as "Putin's cook". In this capacity he established a Wagner mercenary group fighting colonial wars for Russia ImageImage
Wagner mercenaries ironically style themselves as "ихтамнеты" ("they are not there"). It means that they are fighting in many countries where Russia has no official presence. If questioned, Russia will deny Wagners being there/connection of Wagner to Kremlin. Hence the nickname Image
Read 14 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 11
And here goes the new round of donations for the Ukrainian army. Thanks to everyone who has donated last time! Here's one piece of equipment paid for by your money: a vehicle for the 58th brigade. Today I'll post some more donation links🧵 Image
1. Communications equipment for the 1st (Bogun) Brigade. Radio batteries, antennas, etc

Wire

IBAN: UA403220010000026204329575932
Swift: UNJSUAUKXXX
Account: 26204329575932
Receiver: PARFONOV HLIB
Bank: JSC UNIVERSAL BANK
City: KYIV, UKRAINE

PayPal

gleb.parfenov95@gmail.com
(continuation)

Crypto links for the communications equipment

BTC bc1qsksu2x0lnqs09yv3qtsdlxgxjsmqecdqrmjhvy
ETH 0x08447D07152d7E2d566ecD7462dC862262850636
Read 13 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 6
I see why many would want to pressure Ukraine to "negotiations" (=concessions). At the same time, I think proponents of appeasement do not understand Russian motives at all. The Russian invasion is motivated by *domestic* policy concerns. Which are still valid -> war can't stop
The early Putin's era was marked by the quickly rising oil prices. Russia was showered in oil revenues and the standards of life were objectively improving with every year. Incomes and quality of life improving, boosted Putin's legitimacy greatly
So early Putinism mostly operated with:

Economy rising -> More legitimacy

That wasn't the sole mechanism of regime legitimisation (wars also played a part), it was just an objectively more important part of the mix. People attributed their rising standards of life to Putin
Read 17 tweets

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