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Kamil Galeev Profile picture
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Sep 9 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
I see a fallacy here. Russian soldiers KIA =/= total Russian casualties. Ministry of defence estimates do not count:

1) Private military companies (Wagner, etc.)
2) Donetsk and Luhansk Levy who likely suffered the highest casualties of all the Putin's forces Image
1. Russia launched total mobilisation of males 18-60 in Donetsk and Luhansk
2. Placed them under the command of Russian senior officers
3. Gave them the most obsolete weapon and equipment Russia had
4. Sent them into the frontline assaults on Ukrainian position

Colonial troops
"Only girls and the military remained in Luhansk, no one else. Well, there are boys of like 15-16 years old, but nobody older than that, I guarantee. Only girls here"

Male population of Russian occupied "Donbass" territory is used as the Russian cannon fodder and thus recycled
Forced mobilisation and subsequent recycling of the Donbass male population is one of the greatest crimes of this war. It is inconceivable for me why this obvious and well-known phenomenon doesn't get more coverage. They are Putin's most disposable cannon fodder. The end
PS. Russian military casualties = Russian army casualties + Russian private military companies casualties + Donbass levy casualties. I have no idea why all these estimates consider only the first term in the equation
PS I strongly suspect that even those "private military companies" that are effectively branches of the ministry of defense are not counted. For example "Redut" is likely a proxy of the Russian military intelligence. Still, I suspect these guys are not counted as casualties

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More from @kamilkazani

Kamil Galeev Profile picture
23h
I disagree. It's not only about a threat of a criminal prosecution, which you always keep in mind when in Russia. You see, when you are trying to persuade people in whatever, it makes sense to use only those arguments which those you want to persuade (and not you) see as strong
Russian public opinion won't see "we are hurting others" as a strong argument. We hurt others? Well, fuck them. But "we are hurting ourselves"may be a strong argument to stop doing what you do. Therefore, politics-wise it makes sense to point to our losses than to abstract morals
Also, I am somewhat critical about the Moscow oppositional establishment. That's not because they're uniquely horrible people, but because they:

1) strive for the unlimited power over the empire
2) share the imperial ethos

Ergo, it is a shadow Tsar's Court which I won't support
Read 7 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 9
I can neither confirm nor deny that certain regions trained and armed volunteer battalions but didn't send them to war. They make zero PR, so local pro-war community is surprised, interpreting this silence as a PR failure. These regions are Russian btw, not ethnic republics
"Russian" in this context means = perceived as Russian, especially outside of Russia
I have no information about the military buildup in the ethnic republics though. That's understandable: they're constantly lowkey suspected in separatism, so are being watched closely by Kremlin. Most probably no "ethnic" region will have anything like its own army anytime soon
Read 5 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 8
Czech manufacturer TDZ Turn posted this hilarious public statement on their website. They were triggered because Yale researchers led by @JeffSonnenfeld included them into the list of Western companies continuing to operate in Russia.

TDZ Turn seem to be really scared. Why?🧵 Image
We never operated in Russia directly. We do not have business contacts there. After annexation of Crimea we limited our operations to the minimum and (God forbid!) didn't work with sanctioned companies

Our conscience is clear. Unlike that of the American Yale University Image
Why is TDZ Turn so triggered? Well, because they helped to build the Russian nuclear arsenal. Russian ICBM and SLBM production is concentrated in Roskosmos megaholding or more specifically in its two sub-holdings:

1) JSC MITT (solid-propellant)
2) JSC Makeyev (liquid-propellant) Image
Read 18 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 7
Broke: Russian "liberalism"

Bespoke: Nuclear War Advocacy
This case illustrates how undesirable factoids are being suppressed. For example:

Fact 1

When arrested, Safronov wasn't a journalist. He was a PR adviser for Dmitry Rogozin, CEO of defence mega corporation Roskosmos. Whose fall from power coincided (?) with the case of Safronov
Fact 2

In 2014 @isafronov cheered and advocated for the annexation of Crimea. See his discussion with Kashin about some Ukrainian officers in Crimea changing sides:

Read 5 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 6
Everyone of some prominence and relevance in Russia has a dossier with charges & evidence against them. Absolutely everyone. They can keep these files forever or take them off the shelf, when deemed necessary

Ergo, it's absolutely irrelevant when the supposed crimes happened...
Only a date when they decided to indict you with the crime matters. Indictment = they take your dossier off the shelf and charge you with "crimes" they have collected for years

Safronov works in Kommersant = no one cares

He joins Roskosmos = They take his dossier off the shelf
I'm honestly amazed by so many Russian commenters promoting absolutely delusionary interpretations of Russian politics

Serdyukov is fired, his team purged:

"OMG, it's a CORRUPTION SCANDAL!"
Read 6 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 6
Yesterday Ivan Safronov was sentenced to 22 years in jail. Russian liberal media describe him as a "journalist" picturing it as Kremlin's crackdown on political opposition. That's misinformation. Safronov *used* to be a journalist. Then he worked in Roskosmos as Rogozin's advisor
Indeed, for many years Safronov worked as a journalist, first in Kommersant, then in Vedomosti. In May 2020 though he was hired by the Roskosmos state corporation, as a PR advisor of its CEO Dmitry Rogozin Image
Roskosmos is a defense megaholding, a product of Putin's consolidation of the military industrial compex. Rosatom is doing nuclear warheads, KTRV - cruise missiles, Almaz-Antey - air defence, Rostec - well, everything. Roskosmos is producing ballistic missiles, including ICBMs Image
Read 18 tweets

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