Kamil Galeev Profile picture
44m 8 tweets 3 min read
Gorbachov's funerals dilemma. Gorbachov allegedly destroyed the USSR. Still, he is an ex-Tsar which is super important in Russian quasi-monarchy. Disrespecting him would undermine the awe before the institution of Tsar's power. So Putin's private farewells were still broadcasted
Many things about Gorbachov would be counterintuitive for the American public. First, few things undermined his reputation in Russia more than his relationship with his wife. They were very close, he took her everywhere and she tried to play a figure of her own. People hated that Image
In America being a "good family man" is usually considered a prerequisite for the high political career. You must be one, or at least persuade enough voters that you are. So Americans casually assume Russian politics work just like this. But they don't Image
I don't really like the term "democracy" for too many reasons. I don't want to go into discussion into whether "the people" do actually rule anywhere. I would ask another question. Is this or that regime

1) Contractual
2) Non-contractual

Russia falls under the second category Image
The thing about the USSR/Russia is not that it is "not democratic". It is that is not contractual. Any contracts dishonour the Tsar. Why?

If Tsar made an agreement with X, it means:

1) X forced him to limit his own power
2) to secure X's interests

That's a huge dishonour Image
Kirienko's statement that "Russian state is not based upon agreements" should be read in this context.

Contractual = Limited = Dishonourable

Contractual = You faced the interest of the second party and had to back off, giving them concessions. What kind of Tsar you are? Image
Russian people mostly accept the idea of the non-contractual supreme power. It won't bind itself with agreements with anyone. You can't (openly) lobby your own interests or fight for them, you gonna be destroyed for such blasphemy. You may only accept the sacred will of the Tsar Image
Accepting the sacred will of the Tsar without questions or complaints is regarded as a semireligious virtue. All the money are the Sovereign's money. All the power derives from the Sovereign. Many regard their obedience as a true, moral behaviour. Unquestioning obedience = virtue Image

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More from @kamilkazani

18h
Not quite. In Stalin's era engineers indeed could enjoy royal lifestyle compared with working masses. You could realistically hope to get Your 👏 own  👏 apartment  👏 one day  👏, while others would live in barracks forever. Absolute kings
Since 1960s however system of incentives gradually changed. First, engineers were simply overproduced. Second, Soviet village with its seemingly infinite human resources was dying out. Third, Soviet government got wary of too many engineering grads. Are they even proletarian?
By the 1970s it was absolutely normal for industrial workers to earn more than engineers, way more. Hence jokes "The more you study, the less you earn". Sounds strange, but in the late USSR it was very real. Tons of engineers took workers' jobs to earn more cash
Read 4 tweets
20h
Yes, of course. Actually this year fates of Russian material producers diverged. Titanium producers are doing fine, as they're irreplaceable and thus pulled out of sanctions lists. Russian ferrous metals producers are replaceable -> sanctioned -> being obliterated Image
If you look at the recent ЦСР report on the Russian narrowly specialised industrial cities (monotowns), you see that maximum risk category mostly consists of two types:

1) Machinery dependent (Naberezhnye Chelny, Tolyatti)
2) Ferrous metals dependent (Cherepovets, Magnotogorsk) Image
For anyone interested in the Russian regional economy, I strongly recommend digging in into the Central Bank or CSR (ЦСР) reports. They're very informative
Read 4 tweets
20h
Actually the Russian metallurgy has been doing ok in post-Soviet period. Production of ferrous metals (left graph) bounced back after the initial contraction of the late 1980s-1990s. Production of non-ferrous metals (right graph) even exceeded Soviet figures in the Putin's era ImageImage
It is the machinery that never recovered after the post-Soviet collapse. I will give you just four examples: production of tractors, сombine harvester, bulldozers, excavators. You can find many, many more. Soviet machinery pretty much died and never recovered ImageImageImageImage
I believe this graph: production of friction bearings may illustrate the history of Soviet/Russian machinery well. As you see, it quickly collapsed in the 1990s and then continued to contract through the Putin's era. Russian metallurgy recovered, but machinery never did Image
Read 6 tweets
23h
So, here goes the first portion of #Rheinmetall memes. I will put here some of those I liked, mentioning the authors

Author @didgeroodi Image
Author @Druddion Image
Author @Druddion Image
Read 14 tweets
Aug 30
Let's start a meme contest about the @RheinmetallAG. I will give some examples and material that may be useful. Make your own memes and post them. Don't forget to mention @RheinmetallAG in your posts. In a week we'll choose the best ones and I will ask the authors to work with me Image
Key materials:

1) Rheinmetall press release, 2011
2) Their statement with awkward misinformation "we didn't supply any simulation technology!" (I've a proof you did), 2022
3) DW report on Serdyukov's visit to Letzlingen to sign contract with Rheinmetall dw.com/ru/партнеры-по… ImageImageImageImage
Key facts:

1) In 2011 Rheinmetall started to build Mulino training center for Russian army with JSC Oboronservis
2) After the corruption scandal (Oboronservis case), it was renamed to JSC Garnison
3) After Crimea Rheinmetall "left" the project, but continued to supply Garnison
Read 17 tweets
Aug 30
I agree. There is an issue about "sincerity" that many seem to ignore. It doesn't scale up. You may be quite open in one on one talk on your cuisine at 2 am. But what if ten people are around? You probably gonna be less open and filter your speech more. Sincerity doesn't scale up
Too many people seem to believe that frankness amounts to emotional dumping. Make everyone know how exactly you feel about this or that. In one-on-one dialogue this may work. In a discussion of 10 people - not so much. In a discussion of 100 000 people - it absolutely can't
There's also a fundamental asymmetry here. You see, your fans are not really that much of fans. They have other interests, their life doesn't center around you. Your haters though... They're way more dedicated. Thus 1% of outspoken haters is enough to destroy any discussion
Read 4 tweets

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