Some are asking, why should even care about Darya Dugina's assassination? Because:
1. It is almost certainly the FSB false flag operation 2. Most likely, it will be used as a pretext for strikes that had been already pre-scheduled for the Ukrainian Independence Day this Thursday
Once again. Strikes later this week are highly likely, they have must been prescheduled long ago. Most probably, on Thursday-Friday. It's quite probable that Putin wants to scale up and sacrificed Dugina to needs justify future strikes as counter-terrorist action or sth like that
Assuming this is true, why was Dugina chosen as a sacrificial lamb? Presidential plenipotentiary Schegolev's speech on her funerals gives some idea:
1. Alexander (and Darya) Dugina were nobody in the Russian system of power 2. But the West believed they were somebody
AMAZING
If Putin planned a false flag operation to get a pretext for escalation, than Darya made a better sacrificial lamb than Alexander. *Exactly* because she is young woman. Her death would trigger more outrage. Legions of pornocephals gonna flood the internet with pro-Russian content
Alexander Dugin is playing exactly this game:
"We need only the Victory. My daughter put her maiden's life on its altar"
Indeed, theme of sacrifice is very common for Dugin. He was obsessed with the idea of ritual sacrifice for the greater good. Constantly thinking about it
Some hints on Dugin's views on the sacrifice. He's quoting a Jung's argument that for the sake of ritual, the sacrificer and the sacrificed, must be one.
For some reason other pro-war activists also tend to use the language of ritual sacrifice to describe what happened. Consider Prilepin. This pro-war writer used to be a member of the National Bolshevik Party with all its death worshipping esotericism
If it was the FSB false flag operation (which is almost certain), than it was most likely Darya and not Alexander who was the real target. If Alexander knew it all beforehand, I won't be much surprised. See him on Darya's funerals
The FSB false flag attack probably aimed to trigger exactly this type of reaction from the Western useful idiots. Preparing to launch massive strikes later this week, Russia needs to present its actions as "retaliatory". That's the most likely reason for them killing Darya Dugina
Putin, Parliament, key propagandists are trying to elevate previously virtually unknown Darya to the key martyr of the state cult:
"One country, one President, one Victory"
declares MP Slutsky on her funerals. Russia is kinda starting resembling a bad Third Reich cosplay
In Russian conditions nobody would speak against a new Horst Wessel campaign. But some gonna keep silence. What is interesting, neither Shoygu, nor Ramzan Kadyrov did not express any condolescences, threats or warnings regarding Darya's death. Just silence
To sum up. Most likely:
1. FSB killed Darya 2. as a pretext for escalation pre-planned for the end of this week 3. Why now? August 24, Ukrainian Independence Day. August 25, the Russian parliament session. Some expect significant changes in policy to be announced there. The end
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- What is long, green and smells with sausage?
- Moscow-Tver train
Why? Well, under the USSR provincials had to go shopping to Moscow. Their shops had no food, often very literally. Today we'll learn an expression "supply category"🧵
Under the centrally planned economy it was the state which supplied food to the localities. It would assign each city one of four "supply categories" determining how much food there will be on shelves. Moscow was supplied far better than anyone while cities like Tver - horribly
Provincial Soviet cities of the lower supply categories might have no food on the shelves at all. Sometimes very literally. Sometimes they would have only the scraps from the table of the higher status city: like some algae, or the disgusting paste "Ocean"
1/ A 34-year-old former Russian paratrooper, Pavel Filatyev, has published a remarkable in-depth account of his experiences of the Ukraine war. He served with the Feodosia-based 56th Guards Air Assault Regiment and fought in southern Ukraine for two months. A 🧵 follows.
2/ Filatyev was part of the force that captured Kherson in February and was hospitalised with an eye injury after spending more than a month under heavy Ukrainian artillery bombardment near Mykolaiv. By that time, he was completely disillusioned with the war.
3/ While recuperating, Filatyev wrote a scathing 141-page memoir titled 'ZOV' (after the recognition symbols painted on vehicles of the invasion force) and published it on VKontakte (Russian Facebook). Not surprisingly, he's now been forced to flee Russia for his own safety.
NEW: Western intelligence official just told reporters attack on Saky airfield in Crimea by Ukraine 'put more than half of Russia's Black Sea Fleet naval aviation combat jets out of use. The Russian system is busy seeking to allocate blame for the debacle.'
NEW: Western intelligence official: 'The real story is about (Russia's) Black Sea Fleet. They've lost their flagship Moskva, they lost Snake Island, they lost half of their naval aviation package and their military headquarters was struck.'
NEW: Western intelligence official: 'What we are seeing now is (Russia's) Black Sea Fleet taking a very defensive position, trying to avoid getting in the line of fire. This is a proud fleet with a long history. The credibility of that entity has been diminished.'
Scientific rationality is overrated, evolutionary rationality is underrated. If such behaviour is common, it suggests it is evolutionary stable = rational
Tribe needs mythology to unite it. And mythology must be dumbed down for the entire tribe to get it, otherwise it won't work
It is absolutely rational to believe in some dumbed down crap. Reality is incomprehensible in all of its complexity anyway. And when you start adding 1st nuance, 2nd nuance, 3rd nuance, it can't unite the tribe anymore. Working tribal mythologies are very dumb. Hence, rational
That's a common mechanism of social changes. When a party is small, its myth is nuanced, complicated. But once it expands, it *must* dumb it down to unite everyone. As a result, the old core (inner party) has a nuanced myth and the newcomers (outer party) have dumbed down version
"There is destructive energy in the air this month and it will manifest someway. So I must take preemptive action and trigger a crisis *of my choice*. All the bad energy gonna flow there and voila, it's all gone"
That's very easy to understand. In some countries they trigger forest fires for this very reason. There's lots of dry wood in the forest, so we create a controllable fire artificially. Otherwise, we'd have to wait for the uncontrollable one, which is more dangerous
In other places they provoke the avalanches with special cannons for this very reason. There's *objectively* lots of snow on the mountains, so if we just let it lie there, it will go down in an uncontrollable avalanche. Creating a controllable one artificially is way better
Most analysts would dismiss a hypothesis that numerology plays a big role in Russian scheduling of key events (invasion, important political assassination, etc)
While it is almost certainly true.
Russia is run by state security. Who are not "rational"
Let me get it straight. There are plenty of absolutely "rational" (Western-style) people in Russian bureaucracy. They're smart, they're following the recent Western intellectual fashion, mimic the language, the conceptual framework
But they're not rulers. They're servants
Russia has high ranked officials who would easily communicate with people on the US campuses and fit in well. *These people do not make decisions*. They follow orders, that's it. When hearing an order they consider dumb/counterproductive/dangerous, they just bow and execute it
For high quality investigative journalism from Russia I strongly recommend following the Агентство (Agentstvo) media. They're not super big or super famous, and that's good. World famous media do not feel evolutionary pressure to do their homework. These guys do, and do it well
Their first material - on Shoygu was the work of art. Strongly recommended
This one may be even more interesting. On the Putin's mortality. What do we know of his health, of which doctors visit him and how often, which procedures he is taking (including baths from deer antlers), what and how is reported in media
Let's be honest, what Yeltsin did in 1991 certainly had an *element* of military coup, to say the least. Yeah, it's kinda nice he had crowds on his side. But the fact that a few army regiments and lots of KGB joined him didn't hurt either. Peaceful protests are hugely overrated
In fact, it was the coup element of 1991 that determined the face of the Russian army leadership till around 1996. Upstarts with no relevant experience, credentials or network heavily dominated the military command. Why? They just happened to switch to Yeltsin in August 1991
I see why media and academia tend to wildly exaggerate the power of peaceful protests. But honestly I'm sick of that BS. For a regime change to happen you need at least few regiments to switch sides. If that doesn't happen, regime not gonna change. Army always beats the "people"
Disclaimer: I consider anyone who genuinely feels sorry for a "kid" (= 30 y.o. war propagandist and a war crimes advocate) while the Ukrainian residential areas have been under bombing and shelling for months to be an absolute disgrace
That's well understandable though. An interesting thing about the pornocephals is that you could show them a young woman and they gonna support whatever agenda/ideology. Propagandists use this weapon so often cuz it works, that's it. Wankers gonna wank
Pornocephalia levels in the internet are truly astonishing. Perhaps, I underestimated how common this diagnosis is, while Putin got it correctly. That's why he chose a young woman rather than her old grey dad as a sacrifice lamb. It absolutely works, apparently