Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Jun 6 12 tweets 3 min read
Yes, but that's unimportant. Nobody cares about the suffering of the few. It can and will be ignored. What can't be ignored however is the problems in dentistry. You might not give a damn about kidney dialysis, but very soon you'll need to fix your teeth. That gonna be hard
Unavailability of some high tech services like the kidney dialysis doesn't have political significance. Nobody really cares. What does create political consequences however is the general decrease in life standards for everyone. Dentistry >>> Dialysis, politics-wise
You see, any sort of regime however horrendous it might look from outside can exist only as long as it relies on some sort of social contract. Which is generally accepted by the population. And Putin's regime can exist only as long as it fullfills the social contract conditions
Westerners generally misunderstand Putin's social contract . It's not about "gimme your freedom, and I'll give you money". Not at all. Much of Russian population lived in horrendous conditions and that was ok. Cuz it's not what Putin's social contract is about
Putin's social contract is not about securing some life standards or employment or even economic growth. It's primarily about securing FULL SUPERMARKET SHELVES. That's the basis of his legitimacy
Westerners generally underestimate how much Russian population is traumatised by the Soviet empty shelves. It was not "poverty" that damaged the Soviet legitimacy. It was the empty shelves. You kinda have money, but what are you gonna buy?
Putin's social contract is not about everyone having something to eat. It's about food being always available in the supermarket and available in variety and abundance, which never really happened in Russian history before, at least since 1917
It's not poverty that damages the legitimacy of the regime. It's the deficit. If you can't buy food cuz you're poor, then well, fuck you. You're lazy or stupid, because if you were smarter you'd earn cash or take a loan. And buy food which is available in a supermarket, just look
If you can't buy food cuz you don't have cash, it's your own fault. Putin's responsibility is to provide you with supply. However, if you can't buy food, because there is no (or little/limited choice of it), that's Putin's fault. He didn't fulfil the implicit promise of abundance
Paradoxically enough, poverty or starvation don't damage the regime nearly as much as the limited choice of yogurts does. Starvation is your own fault. The limited choice of yogurts is Putin's fault. Know the difference
Russian people love to consume. They love to consume way more than Europeans do, because they didn't have much chance to consume at least since Stalin took the power. Limiting the consumption choice or consumption dreams is way more painful than it would be in Europe. End of 🧵

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More from @kamilkazani

Jun 8
Diversity is natural, uniformity is artificial. Whenever you see the uniformity of cultural memes, be it the linguistic map of modern France or the style of Russian icons, you may be sure it is a result of violent homogenisation. Consider this trifacial Trinity from Tobolsk Image
Trinities with three faces and four eyes were quite common for the Early Modern Siberia. Ecclesiastical authorities of Tobolsk issued two orders in 1748 and 1770 forbidding the use of these "Hellenic" (=pagan) images. Still they were used in churches and privately till the 20th c Image
Imperial authorities disapproved three facial trinity icons. When Catherine II was visiting Kazan in 1764, a local merchant brought her such an icon as a gift. She ordered to arrest him and investigate immediately. Heterodoxy in iconography would arouse suspicions in heresy Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 7
Good morning. It's time for cartoons (not a thread)
Much like the Ming to Qing transition, the Soviet to post-Soviet transition was the Golden Age of culture. Censorship was over, while much of Perestroika optimism was still alive. Today I'm gonna show you a couple of iconic cartoons that you absolutely must be aware of
"Treasure Island" by "Kyivnauchfilm". Kyivnauchfilm = Kyiv Scientific Movies. In the Soviet era this Ukrainian studio had to shoot some boring academic instruction videos. Thankfully, in Perestroika era they abandoned any false pretence of rigour and just started drawing cartoons Image
Read 17 tweets
Jun 6
What's happening with Russian economy? Logistics market is a good indicator. Consider the freight rates. Since late February they fall by 30-40%. For example, according to the freight exchange ATI.SU rates on Moscow-St Petersburg direction fall by 34,3% (not🧵)
Moscow - St Petersburg highway connects the largest city of the country with its main seaport. It is for Russia what Camino Real (Mexico-Veracruz) was for the Colonial Mexico. With the St Petersburg seaport traffic decreasing almost by half, there's much less to deliver
How much did the freight rates fall across Russia? Estimates vary, plus rates on different directions probably fall unevenly. Most common estimates would vary between 30-40%, with some (Oboz company) giving as low estimates as 25% and some (Deliver company) giving as high as 50%
Read 13 tweets
Jun 4
The Magic Worlds of Dmitry Galkovsky

In 2000-2010s Galkovsky reformed the Russian nationalist discourse. He provided it with the new language, the new conceptual framework, the new set of assumptions, the new established facts. He taught young Russian nationalists how to think🧵 Image
Galkovsky graduated from the Moscow State University in 1986 with a degree in philosophy. He became a writer but had little success back then. His novel-treatise "The Infinite Deadlock" was rejected so many times that he gave up. He didn't rise to prominence till the internet era Image
It was the internet that changed everything. Galkovsky experimented with the internet & social media. In 1998-2004 he published a lot on his website (samisdat.com). He became well-known but his success was limited. He hadn't created his General Theory of Everything yet Image
Read 53 tweets
Jun 2
Many thanks to everyone who donated yesterday! The military and the volunteers who are helping them already got significant contributions . One reaction:

"We have got $1200 within 2 hrs, are shocked and already buying headsets, uniform parts etc. We are thankful unlimitedly"
This help is more important than many presume. Much of the Ukrainian armed forces are essentially the citizen levy, like the territorial defence. For example Borden Markovskyi used to work as a recruitment lead in a software company before the war started linkedin.com/in/bohdan-mark…
You can read his account with google translate. Much of the territorial defence is decentralised acting as the guerrilla troops. They know what equipment/clothes/medicine they need much better than the central command does. You can donate them directly

dou.ua/lenta/intervie…
Read 10 tweets
Jun 1
This article by David Johnson raises an important question of whether the US defence community underestimated the Russian military capacities. It's a good article. Some observations are very astute, while others lack the context and may be misleading. Let's discuss it🧵
David Johnson points out to the Ukrainian leadership carefully selecting and censoring the information in order to create & reinforce the positive narrative. That's correct. And that indeed created a certain bias in reporting the course of this war
For Ukraine to get any help it needed to persuade others it can survive at least the initial Russian offensive. Which it did. The belief in the Ukrainian defeat could have become a self-fulfilling prophecy. If they fall in two weeks, there's no need to send heavy weaponry
Read 34 tweets

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