ISW’s Tweets

New: #Ukraine's ability - and willingness - to concentrate the forces necessary to launch a counteroffensive along a broad arc north & east of #Kharkiv city indicates confidence in repelling ongoing Russian attacks w/ their existing forces in the region. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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May 6, 2022. Ukrainian forces conducted a significant counteroffensive alleviating pressure against Kharkiv City and driving Russian forces from being about 5 kilometers be out of tube artillery range. Some notes on today's map changes for

below.

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#Moldova Update: The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that #Russian forces continue to provoke tensions in #Transnistria and seek ways to provoke an escalation, including by spreading false allegations of Ukrainians shooting into Transnistria. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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Southern Axis Update: #Russian forces in the entire southern axis did not conduct any active operations (halting recent attacks toward Kryvyi Rih and Zaporizhia) in the last 24 hours and continued to reinforce their frontline positions. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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#Kharkiv Update: The #Ukrainian counteroffensive north and east of Kharkiv made substantial progress in the last 24 hours, and Ukrainian forces may be able to drive #Russian forces out of tube artillery range of Kharkiv city itself in the coming days. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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#Mariupol Update: The continued resistance of #Ukrainian forces in the Azovstal plant and likely widespread civilian resistance to the Russian occupation may be disrupting previously announced Russian plans to conduct a Victory Day exhibition in Mariupol. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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Eastern #Ukraine Update: Ukrainian forces continued to repel #Russian attacks on the #Izyum axis in the last 24 hours. Russian forces likely secured small gains on the outskirts of #Severodonetsk on May 6. isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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Institute for the Study of War

- There were no significant changes on the southern axis in the last 24 hours. Russian forces here continued to reinforce their forward positions. - ISW cannot confirm reports of a Ukrainian anti-ship missile strike on the #AdmiralMakarov at this time.

understandingwar.org

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- Russian forces continued assaults on the #Azovstal plant, but ISW cannot confirm any specific advances. Likely widespread civilian resistance to the Russian occupation may additionally disrupt previously announced Russian plans to conduct a Victory Day exhibition in #Mariupol.

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Other May 6 assessment highlights below, with axis-specific updates to follow: - Russian forces made no progress on the #Izyum axis but likely secured small gains on the outskirts of #Severodonetsk in the last 24 hours, though they are unlikely to successfully surround the town.

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May 6 Update: few RUS gains in eastern Ukraine, no movement in the south, grinding combat in Azovstal. And more notably - Ukrainian forces retook further territory around Kharkiv. Some implications of this developing Ukrainian counteroffensive: 1/11 isw.pub/RusCampaignMay6

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#Ukraine Invasion Update: The #Kremlin is likely attempting to consolidate control and surveillance of #Russian government officials. The Poseidon system was established on April 25 to “prevent corruption” and “other offenses” in the Russian government. isw.pub/UkraineInvasio

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Analysis | Mariupol siege endgame means very different things for Kyiv and Moscow

18h

ISW: “The Kremlin likely intends to claim some sort of victory in Mariupol to present a success to the Russian people, though Russian forces are highly unlikely to halt offensive operations across Ukraine on this date."

@washingtonpost

on #Mariupol:

washingtonpost.com

For Ukrainians, it will likely be remembered as a heroic last stand. But for the Kremlin, it’s belated justification of claims to be “de-Nazifying” Ukraine.

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and others have used NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System to gather information about #Russian movements around #Lyman.

@vicjkim

of the

@nytimes

analyzes why and how:

nytimes.com

Live Updates: Turning Tables on Russia With West’s Arms, Ukraine Goes on Offense

Ukrainian forces are seeking to drive back Russian invaders from two key cities in northeast Ukraine and achieve a breakthrough in what has become a grinding battle.

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