Post-crisis recovery but mainly a rise in fertility rates in parts of Central and Eastern Europe.
I was wondering the same. Also interesting to see how during the global economic crisis of 2008/9 the fertility rate was actually high. Looks like people can't figure out the best moment to give birth to a child
Expect the rate to fall sharply. Housing crisis, unlivable wages, concerns about climate..
Yeah. Not to mention inequitable income distribution. Women are out of their fertility window by the time they climb on the housing ladder and they (and their partner) have stable incomes.
I'm sure some of the causes vary by country, but for the case of Spain (with one of the lowest fecundity rates in the world and one of the widest gaps in Europe between the desired and the final number of children per person), the reasons pushing down the numbers (according to several studies conducted in the past decade) are:
Lack of financial stability. Having children is too expensive and state support policies are too small.
Lack of job stability. Even for people who work, a lot of the time it's in precarious conditions and without long-term prospects. Labour rights were severely eroded in the period after the financial crisis of 2008.
Difficulty to rent or buy a home (much less one to start a family comfortably). Prices (especially in the cities where people can realistically find jobs) are unrealistic. People are often forced to live with parents or in small apartments with roommates until well past 30 years old.
Very poor home and work life conciliation. As mentioned earlier, labour rights are not in a very good place right now, so even when the financial situation can allow it, finding the time for being a parent can be unaffordable on itself.
Difficulty to find a stable partner with whom to form a family. At an individual level, education, work and other factors delay the average age where people start making long-term life plans. This affects the nature of relationships, too.
Also relevant that the amount of people who just don't want kids has remained stable around 5%, which is not very significant compared to other factors.
We need.
Child Tax Credits.
A Real Living Wage.
Cheaper public transport.
Build more affordable homes - priority kids.
Universal Childcare - make free at the point of use.
All of that plus closed borders else it does not work.
Or.
Immigration, which is far, far cheaper to do. The powers that be chose #2
Well then vote for politicians, pressure them, bring attention to this. You are not doing anything by not having kids exept harming your own future.
Oh, but don't you think we've had historically low gas and food prices? Shouldn't those prices increase alongside record breaking inflation?
/s
Fecundity rates have actually collapsed even further during the pandemic.
Hungary just registered lowest ever number of births this year January-March, all while our conservative governement is nominally pro-natalist.
Of course TFR may still rise since there's less and less birthing age women around, but this points to why TFR alone doesn't explain demographics.
Wait so there are a lot of women who give birth twice a year or what does that mean?
This is just me speculating but could the lower and lower birth rates be connected to the world falling apart at the seems which makes people just not want kids.
Fertility rates are down in all Western countries. Millennials are just not having children. This will not turn around anytime soon. It's just too expensive to have children.
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